12 held by Delhi police for attempts of unauthorised withdrawal from high-value NRI account, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi [India], October 19 (ANI): Delhi Police Cyber Cell on Tuesday arrested 12 people, including three HDFC bank employees, for allegedly attempting to make an unauthorised withdrawal from a very high-value NRI account.

KPS Malhotra, Deputy Superintendent of Police (DCP) (Cyber Cell), informed that as many as 66 attempts of unauthorised online transactions were made by the group on the high-value account.

“The accused had fraudulently obtained cheque book which has been recovered. Mobile phone number identical to that of account holder’s US-based phone number was also procured by the fraudsters,” the DSP stated.

“On the basis of technical evidence, footprints, and human intelligence, multiple geolocations were identified. In all, raids were conducted at 20 locations across Delhi, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh,” he further informed.

Out of the 12 accused held by the police, three are HDFC bank employees, who were involved in issuing the cheque book, updating the mobile phone number and removing the debt freeze of the account.

The matter came to light after HDFC bank filed a complaint with the Cyber Cell alleging several unauthorised attempts of withdrawal noticed in one NRI account.

“There are many unauthorised internet banking attempts noticed in one NRI bank account. Further, there have been attempts to withdraw cash from the same account, using the fraudulently obtained cheque book. Attempts were also made to get update mobile phone number in the KYC of the same bank account by replacing the already registered US mobile phone number with similar/identical Indian mobile phone number,” HDFC bank’s complaint alleged.

The police informed that in earlier instances, there were attempts of withdrawal of money from this account, and two cases were registered for the same at Uttar Pradesh’s Ghaziabad, and Punjab’s Mohali.

Further raids are in progress and investigation in the case is being carried out. (ANI)



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1 Large-Cap And 1 Small-Cap Stock To Buy As Suggested By ICICI Securities

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Buy Hindalco with upside potential of 20%

Hindalco is the world’s largest aluminum corporation in terms of sales, as well as a major copper player. Novelis, the company’s fully owned subsidiary, is the world’s largest manufacturer of aluminum beverage can stock.

From the current market price of Rs 543, ICICI Direct sees an almost 20% upside in the shares of Hindalco. The stock has a target price of Rs 650 set by the firm.

“Hindalco’s share price has grown by ~3.5x over the last five years. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock. Target Price and Valuation: We value Hindalco at Rs 650, based on SoTP valuation”, the brokerage has said.

Hindalco- Strength in aluminium prices augurs well

Hindalco- Strength in aluminium prices augurs well

Why one should consider Hildalco?

According to the brokerage, Hindalco’s prospects are bright, thanks to high aluminium prices and a strong performance from Novelis.

  • During the current calendar year, global aluminium prices on the LME have risen dramatically. Aluminium prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) climbed by 55 percent from US$2028/tonne on January 4, 2021 to US$3149/tonne on October 15, 2021.
  • Increased aluminium prices bode well for an integrated player like Hindalco (domestic operations).
  • Novelis has been reporting strong results in recent quarters, which has helped Hindalco’s overall performance.

Key triggers for future price-performance:

Over the previous few quarters, global aluminium prices have risen sharply, and Hindalco is well positioned to capitalise.

Going forward, we project Hindalco’s consolidated sales to expand at a CAGR of 16.8% between FY21 and FY23E, while EBITDA and PAT will likely grow at 26.3 percent and 58.1 percent, respectively.

Buy Tata Metaliks with upside potential of 20%

Buy Tata Metaliks with upside potential of 20%

Tata Metaliks (TML) is a Tata Steel subsidiary that was founded in 1990. TML has pig iron and ductile iron (DI) pipes manufacturing operations in Kharagpur, West Bengal.

ICICI Direct expects Tata Metaliks’s stock to rise over 20% from its current market price of Rs 1080. The brokerage has set a target price of Rs 1300 for the stock.

“Tata Metaliks’ share price has grown by ~2.5x over the past five years. We continue to remain positive and retain our BUY rating on the stock. Target Price and Valuation: We value TML at Rs 1300 i.e. 7x FY23E EV/EBITDA,” the brokerage has said.

Tata Metaliks- Long term story remains intact

Tata Metaliks- Long term story remains intact

Q2FY22 Results of Tata Metaliks

TML’s operational performance in Q2FY22 was low, owing to higher-than-expected operating costs.

TML reported sales of Rs 645 crore, up 24% year on year and 7% quarter on quarter.

EBITDA was Rs 100 crore, down 9% year on year and 35% quarter on quarter. EBITDA margin was 15.5 percent, down 560 basis points year over year and 1000 basis points quarter over quarter.

Due to higher iron ore costs (due to increased royalty) and higher coking coal costs, EBITDA and EBITDA margin were muted throughout the quarter.

The resulting PAT was worth Rs 55 crores (down 33 percent YoY and 42 percent QoQ)

Key triggers for future price-performance:

In Q4FY22, the first phase of DI pipe capacity expansion (of 1 lakh tonnes) is expected to be completed.

The second phase (of 1 lakh tonnes) is expected to be completed in Q4FY23. TML’s DI capacity would be doubled after both stages are completed, from 2 lakh tonnes to 4 lakh tonnes.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above 2 stocks to buy are picked from the report of ICICI Securities. Please note investing in stocks is subject to market risks and one needs to be cautious at this point of time as markets have gone-up sharply. Neither the author, nor Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd would be responsible for losses incurred based on a decision made.



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Banks shut on Id-E-Milad in these states, closed for up to 5 days this week

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Even as banks will remain shut on specific days, customers can avail net banking and other online services

Bank holidays: Banks in India will remain closed for up to five days this week, and seven days in the remaining month of October 2021. This will also include second and fourth Saturdays, and Sundays. It may be noted that apart from weekly holidays, all the public and private sector banks across India will not be closed for all seven days for all states as these are state-specific holidays for different occasions. Even as banks will remain shut on specific days, customers can avail net banking and other online services, as mobile and internet banking will also remain operational.

Festive Holidays in October 2021

19 October 2021 – Id-E-Milad/Eid-e-Miladunnabi/Milad-i-Sherif (Prophet Mohammad’s Birthday)/Barawafat
20 October 2021 – Maharishi Valmiki’s Birthday/Lakshmi Puja/Id-E-Milad
22 October 2021 – Friday following Eid-i-Milad-ul-Nabi
26 October 2021 – Accession Day

On 19 October, banks in Ahmedabad, Belapur, Bhopal, Chennai, Dehradun, Hyderabad, Imphal, Jammu, Kanpur, Kochi, Lucknow, Mumbai, Nagpur, New Delhi, Raipur, Ranchi, Srinagar, Thiruvananthapuram will remain shut for Id-E-Milad/Eid-e-Miladunnabi/Milad-i-Sherif. Banks in Agartala, Bengaluru, Chandigarh, Kolkata, Shimla, will be closed on 20 October for Maharishi Valmiki’s Birthday. On 22 and 26 October, banks in Jammu and Srinagar will remain closed for Eid-i-Milad-ul-Nabi, and Accession Day, respectively.

Also read: Early Q2 results boost hopes of firm recovery; retailers, banks signal nascent pick-up in consumption

Weekend Bank Holidays in October 2021

17 October 2021 – Sunday
23 October 2021 – 4th Saturday
24 October 2021 – Sunday
31 October 2021 – Sunday

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has categorised holidays under three categories — Holiday under Negotiable Instruments Act; Holiday under Negotiable Instruments Act and Real-Time Gross Settlement Holiday; and Banks’ Closing of Accounts. The list of holidays given below has been notified by RBI.

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How To Make The Right IPO Choice?

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Planning

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

At a time when everyone is inclined to make quick bucks, IPO is also a good way to look at such income stream in a short span. But other than the market momentum, your choice of an IPO amid high euphoria in the primary market space shall be highly crucial.

How To Make The Right IPO Choice?

How To Make The Right IPO Choice?

Now there is a case in point particularly for long term investors in IPO as huge number of IPOs in a bull run may always not be indicative of their long run success. But this case has been made considering past trend and in a growth story like India we cannot completely ignore the debut of some of the promising companies’.

Few key points to make a good IPO choice:

1. Going through the DRHP and how the proceeds are being planned to be mobilized will likely hint at the company’s prospects:

Say if the DRHP provides that the company solely intends to repay debt using the proceeds then it shall not be a lucrative bet for investors in the long run unless and until the fundamentals are in favour.

Other pointers can be the company’s track record, financials, management that shall offer a deep insight into the company. Most of such information can be gathered from the DRHP itself.

2. Determining growth potential of the industry and the company coming up with the IPO shall be crucial:

The growth potential of the industry in which the company deals in and its likely capacity to tap the possible future opportunities shall be critical in the investor’s success. Nonetheless, if you are not able to determine the company’s business that better not invest in such an enterprise even for likely listing gains.

3. Promoters and management role cannot be neglected:

Many a times through the primary market issuance, promoters look to divest their stake and as per law even after the stake sale, promoters need to mandatorily hold 20 percent stake, so factor in all such criterions.

4. Pricing:

This is an important consideration and for it the two variable that can be looked upon are price to sales and price to earnings. Do not just in the sake of a good reputed company go for an overly priced IPO. Here in the comparison of these variables is made with the peer companies.

5. On the basis of your risk and investment strategy, churn out whether you wish to invest for short term or long term:

All the assessments need to be made when your putting your hard earned money into an IPO and you need to note that fundamentals of the business should form your long term investment decision into the IPO and likewise market momentum can make you to decide on for betting for just the listing gains. All in all be mindful and skeptical for a better investment decision to just go right in your IPO choice.

GoodReturns.in



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Bitcoin investing could get boost from exchange-traded fund

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ProShares said Monday it plans to launch the country’s first exchange-traded fund linked to Bitcoin. The ETF with the ticker symbol “BITO” is expected to begin trading Tuesday, barring any opposition from regulators.

In a statement, ProShares CEO Michael Sapir compared the launch of a crypto-linked ETF to the 1993 launch of the first stocks ETF and the 2002 roll-out of the initial bond ETF. The US market for ETFs has grown to more than $5.4 trillion and they’re owned by roughly 9 per cent of all the nation’s households, according to the Investment Company Institute.

Cryptocurrencies, meanwhile, have exploded into a nearly $2.5 trillion industry after the creation of thousands of digital currencies. Bitcoin is the biggest of them all, with a total value of nearly $1.2 trillion. But like much in the crypto world, the Bitcoin-linked ETF is complicated.

The fund won’t invest directly in Bitcoin itself. Instead, it will focus on futures related to Bitcoin, a market that’s overseen by US regulators. Investors need to be particularly aware of what they’re buying and how it’s likely to perform.

Why is this a big deal?

A Bitcoin-related ETF would give investors a new way to get involved in the fast-growing field of cryptocurrency. Bitcoin’s price has more than doubled this year, and a growing number of investors see it as a way to offer their portfolios some protection.

Also see: Bitcoin hovers near 6-month high on ETF hopes, inflation worries

The hope is that Bitcoin’s price will move in a way that’s not as tied to expectations for the economy as stocks and other investments are. If it does, it could help support portfolios when everything else is falling or when inflation is high. But it doesn’t have a perfect track record. When the US stock market fell nearly 34 per cent at the start of the pandemic in 2020, Bitcoin lost roughly as much.

Some investors may not want to open a new trading account for cryptocurrencies. Instead, they can buy the ETF through old-school brokerage accounts they may already be using for their stocks or their IRA.

What is an ETF?

An exchange-traded fund allows investors to easily buy a whole basket of investments. Some of the most popular ETFs track things like the S&P 500 index of big US stocks, the price of gold or high-yield bond indexes.

Unlike with a traditional mutual fund, which prices just once a day, investors can buy or sell an ETF throughout the trading day. That’s particularly important for cryptocurrencies, whose prices can swing sharply from minute to minute, let alone day to day.

So this new ETF will track the price of bitcoin?

No, and this is one of the most important distinctions. The fund will invest in Bitcoin futures, which are essentially bets on where Bitcoin’s price will go in each of the months ahead.

The Bitcoin futures market is overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which may offer investors more protection. But it also doesn’t perfectly track the price of Bitcoin.

“This is not a replacement for owning bitcoin directly,” said Todd Rosenbluth, Head of ETF and Mutual Fund Research at CFRA.

Who is this best suited for?

Because it will be invested in futures instead of actual Bitcoins, the ETF is less than ideal for a Bitcoin believer who wants to invest in it for the long term, Rosenbluth said.

Instead of a buy-and-hold investor, he said it’s more likely to be popular with shorter-term traders who want to make money off its volatility, at least initially. There’s certainly plenty of opportunity for that.

In the span of roughly three months earlier this year, Bitcoin more than halved from nearly $64,900 to less than $30,000. Since that low point in July, it’s surged back to nearly $61,800.

How much will it cost?

BITO will have an expense ratio of 0.95 per cent. That means $95 of every $10,000 invested in the fund will go toward paying its annual operating expenses.

Such fees could be a hard sell for Bitcoin fans, many of whom see cryptocurrencies as a way to erase middlemen from industries.

Is this the first and last such ETF?

No, several other fund companies have their own applications for ETFs linked to Bitcoin futures. Some may try to separate themselves by charging lower fees.

Also see: Millennials pull crypto out of the shadows

Beyond just extending the reach of Bitcoin, the ETFs will help create a bigger ecosystem in the financial world around it, said Ben Johnson, Director of Global ETF Research at Morningstar.

With a Bitcoin-linked ETF, sceptical investors will have something that they can sell short. In such a trade, they can bet on the ETF’s price to fall by borrowing a share and selling it, hoping to buy it back later at a lower price. The ETFs could also allow for trading of options around them.

“The money made on all that trading activity is going to dwarf the money made just on collecting fees for those products,” Johnson said.

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2 Stocks To Buy As Suggested By Motilal Oswal For Long-term Investors

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Good financial performance of Mahindra CIE

Mahindra CIE’s consolidated revenue grew 23% YoY (2% QoQ) to Rs 20.9 billion (estimated Rs 19.5 billion) in 3QCY21, led by a beat in India operations.

According to Motilal Oswal, revenue from the India business grew 33% YoY (22% QoQ) to Rs 11.4 billion (estimated Rs 10.3 billion). EBITDA margin improved by 100 basis points YoY (140 basis points QoQ) to 13.6% (estimated 13.4%).

“It is expecting lower than expected sales in 4QCY21 (v/s earlier estimates) due to ongoing semiconductor shortage. However, it is optimistic about growth in both India and the European region during CY22 and CY23, subject to semiconductor availability,” the brokerage has said.

Buy the stock of Mahindra CIE

Buy the stock of Mahindra CIE

According to Motilal Oswal, Mahindra CIE’s growth story is on track, driven by its organic initiatives (new products/customers).

“This, coupled with cost-cutting initiatives in both India and the EU, would drive margin expansion. Any significant order win or growth in the EV portfolio can act as a re-rating factor. The stock trades at valuations of 16.9x/13.9x CY21E/CY22E consolidated EPS. We maintain our Buy rating with a target price of Rs 300 per share (15x Sep’23E consolidated EPS),” the brokerage has said.

Buy the stock of Cyient

Buy the stock of Cyient

Cyient’s 2QFY22 revenue grew 4.6% QoQ in USD terms (moderately higher than our estimate of 4% QoQ growth). This was led by broad-based growth in Services (+4.4%) and DLM (+5.4%).

According to Motilal Oswal, the recent acquisition of Workforce Delta contributed 0.7% to Services revenue in 2QFY22. The management retained its double-digit growth guidance in FY22 in the Services business, while DLM growth is expected to be 15-20% (v/s the 20% growth guidance earlier).

“We increase our EPS estimate for FY23 on a potentially better margin performance, led by the management’s medium-term outlook. We maintain our Buy rating on attractive valuations. Our target multiple of 24x FY23E EPS takes our target price to Rs 1380 per share, implying an upside of 19%,” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stocks are picked from the brokerage report of Motilal Oswal. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Balasubramanian elected as Chairman of Association of Mutual Funds

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Balasubramanian has been elected Chairman of Association of Mutual Funds in India, at the recently concluded board meeting of AMFI.

Balasubramanian is Chief Executive Officer of Aditya Birla Sun Life Asset Management. He would take over from Nilesh Shah, Managing Director, Kotak Mutual Fund.

Balasubramanian earlier served as AMFI Chairman between 2017 and 2019 and now would continue to hold the office till the conclusion of the next AGM.

Radhika Gupta, Chief Executive Officer, Edelweiss Asset Management has been elected as the Vice-Chairperson of AMFI.

A Balasubramanian was also appointed as the ex-officio Chairman of AMFI Financial Literacy Committee, being the Chairman of AMFI.

Shah was elected to be the Chairman of AMFI Valuation Committee.

Radhika Gupta has been re-elected as Chairperson of AMFI ETF Committee.

Sanjay Sapre, President, Franklin Templeton Asset Management (India) was re-elected as the Chairman of AMFI Operations and Compliance Committee.

Vishal Kapoor, Chief Executive Officer, IDFC Asset Management has been elected as the Chairman of AMFI Standing Committee of Certified Distributors (ARN Committee).

These decisions were taken by AMFI, the industry body of SEBI-registered mutual funds at its Board Meeting on Monday.

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Wall Street banks set to profit again when Fed withdraws pandemic stimulus, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW YORK -Wall Street banks have been among the biggest beneficiaries of the pandemic-era trading boom, fueled by the Federal Reserve‘s massive injection of cash into financial markets.

With the central bank nearing the time when it will start winding down its asset purchases, banks are set to profit again as increased volatility encourages clients to buy and sell more stocks and bonds, analysts, investors and executives say.

The Fed has been buying up government-backed bonds since March 2020, adding $4 trillion to its balance sheet, as part of an emergency response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The strategy was designed to stabilize financial markets and ensure companies and other borrowers had sufficient access to capital. It succeeded but also resulted in unprecedented levels of liquidity, helping equity and bond traders enjoy their most profitable period since the 2007-09 financial crisis.

The top five Wall Street investment banks – JP Morgan Chase & Co, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup – made an additional $51 billion in trading revenues last year and in the first three quarters of 2021, compared with the comparative quarters in the year prior to COVID, according to company earnings statements.

The trading bonanza, along with a boom in global deal-making, has helped bank stocks outperform the broader market. The KBW Bank index has risen by 40% in the year-to-date compared with a 19% advance in the S&P 500.

Now, banks with large trading businesses are expected to profit a second time as the Fed starts to withdraw the stimulus, prompting investors to rejig their portfolios again.

“As investors look to position based on that volatility, that creates an opportunity for us to make markets for them. And obviously that would lend itself to improved performance,” Citigroup Chief Financial Officer Mark Mason told reporters this week.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled in late September that tapering was imminent. An official announcement is expected in November and the central bank has signaled it will look to halt asset purchases completely by mid-2022 – a timetable seen by some investors as aggressive.

Banks have already benefited from enhanced volatility since Powell’s comments in late September, which led to a spike in Treasury yields and a decline in equity markets. That led to a pick-up in trading volumes at the end of the third quarter and the start of the fourth quarter, executives say.

“It is possible we will see bouts of volatility associated with the tapering,” Morgan Stanley Chief Financial Officer Sharon Yeshaya said in an interview Thursday, adding that she doesn’t expect a repeat of 2013’s ‘taper tantrum.’

At that time, the Fed’s decision to put the brakes on a quantitative easing program sent markets into a frenzy as investors dumped riskier assets in favor of ‘safe havens,’ leading to a spike in government bond yields and sharp falls in equity markets.

Fed officials are confident of avoiding that scenario this time around by giving markets enough advance warning of their intentions.

“The sweet spot is where you have some volatility but not enough to disrupt the broader capital markets which have been an important contributor to healthy trading results over the past year,” said JMP Securities analyst Devin Ryan.

Third-quarter results from the biggest U.S. banks this week showed strong performances in equities trading, boosted by stocks hitting record highs, but a more subdued showing in bond trading reflecting calm in those markets.

Investors are anticipating activity will ramp up again in the run-up to tapering, when it eventually begins.

“It will certainly be a positive,” said Patrick Kaser at Brandywine Global Investment Management. “Volatility is a friend to trading businesses.”

(Additional reporting by David Henry; Editing by Andrea Ricci)



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Cash going to co-exist with central bank digital currency, says former RBI governor Subbarao, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Former RBI governor D Subbarao on Monday said there is a strong motivation for the central bank to launch a digital currency and cash is going to coexist with the new-age currency. Addressing an event virtually organised by economic think tank NCAER, Subbarao further said cybersecurity is also one of the downside risks of the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

“There is a strong motivation for the RBI to launch CBDC… Cash is going to coexist with CBDC,” he said.

The former RBI governor also noted that privacy is also going to be a big issue when the RBI launches the digital currency.

Recently, RBI Deputy Governor T Rabi Sankar had said the central bank is working on a phased implementation strategy for its own digital currency and was in the process of launching it in wholesale and retail segments in the near future.

He had also said the idea of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is ripe, and many central banks in the world are working towards it.

While observing that if the RBI launches CBDC, the control of the central bank on money supply will be weakened, Subbarao said there is also issue of financial instability.

Replying to a question on cryptocurrencies, Subbarao warned that cryptocurrencies could become a vehicle for taking money out from countries like India and China.

“There is a certainly case for regulating cryptocurrencies..These cryptocurrency assets can be used for money laundering,” he said.

Subbarao, however, noted that cryptocurrencies are here to stay as speculative assets.

In India, a high-level inter-ministerial committee constituted by the Ministry of Finance has examined the policy and legal frameworks, and has recommended the introduction of CBDC as a digital form of fiat money in the country.

Cryptocurrencies are digital or virtual currencies in which encryption techniques are used to regulate the generation of their units and verify the transfer of funds, operating independently of a central bank.



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RBI remains net purchaser of US dollar in August, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) remained a net buyer of the US currency in August after it net purchased USD 3.747 billion from the spot market. In the reporting month, RBI had purchased USD 10.887 billion and sold USD 7.14 billion in the spot market, according to the monthly RBI bulletin for October 2021 released on Monday.

In July, RBI net purchased USD 7.205 billion. It had bought USD 16.16 billion and sold USD 8.955 billion during the month. In August 2020, the central bank had net bought USD 5.307 billion from the spot market, the data showed.

During FY 2020-21, RBI had net purchased USD 68.315 billion from the spot market. It had bought USD 162.479 billion from the spot market and sold USD 94.164 billion during 2020-21, the data showed.

In the forward dollar market, the outstanding net purchase at the end of August was USD 49.606 billion compared with a net purchase of USD 49.01 billion in July. PTI HV RAM

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