Credit growth lags as banks chase recoveries, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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In the quarter-ended September 2020, the GNPA ratio of scheduled commercial banks improved to 7.7% against 9.3% in the year-ago period. India’s banking sector did see a decrease in its gross non-performing assets (GNPA) owing to the moratorium offered by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and due to recoveries and higher write-offs by the multiple banks.

State Bank of India has recoveries worth of Rs 4,038 crore and written off loans to the tune of Rs 5,617 crore. Likewise, ICICI Bank has recovered Rs 1,945 crore, written-off Rs2,469 crore.

Bank Recoveries
SBI Rs 4,038 cr
Bank of India Rs 1,172 cr
Bank of Baroda Rs 1,642 cr
ICICI Bank Rs 1,945 cr
Yes Bank Rs 1,000 cr
Bank Write-off
SBI Rs 5,617 cr
PNB Rs 4,555 cr
BoB Rs 2,553 cr
ICICI Bank Rs 2,469 cr
Axis Bank Rs 1,812 cr

On an overall basis public sector banks accounting for 75% share of GNPAs of SCBs (scheduled commercial banks) experienced a drop in the GNPA ratio to 9.3% in the Q2FY21 against 11.6% in Q2FY20 and 9.8% in Q3FY20.

However, CARE Ratings in its latest report stated that the GNPAs would have been around 0.5% to 0.6% higher had moratorium accounts been classified as NPAs.

Even RBI in it’s Financial Stability Report for July 2020 had warned that the asset quality of the financial system could deteriorate sharply, caused by the lockdown-induced disruptions to both supply- and demand-side factors.

Will lending improve in 2021?
As per the RBI’s weekly bulletin, bank credit deployment has already started to witness a decline. The credit growth decelerated to 5.8% and 5.7% during the last two fortnights, compared to last year’s level of 8.0% and 7.9%, respectively (as of November 22, 2019 and December 06, 2019).

Banks have been very selective with their credit portfolios. Sectoral deployment of bank credit has witnessed a downward trend in some crucial industries and sectors. Growth in bank credit to NBFCs declined mainly because of the base effect and risk aversion in banking system due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As for MSMEs, they did secure loans but at higher rates.

In an interview to ET Now, Suresh Ganapathy of Macquarie said, “Bank credit growth continues to languish, with similar trends observed in the NBFC space. There has been a fall in consumption demand, especially in home loans, auto and service segments; and decline in industry credit, primarily on account of risk aversion on the part of banks to lend to MSMEs.”

CRISIL expects the bank credit growth to plummet to a multi-decadal low of 0-1%. Krishnan Sitaraman, senior director at CRISIL, told ETBFSI, “This crisis is unprecedented and so will its economic fallout be, such as lower capex demand as well as lower discretionary spends, to name some. This slowdown credit offtake is significant across segments in the current fiscal. The corporate loan portfolio, which constitutes almost half of total credit, is expected to be the worst-hit, and de-grow this fiscal.” Hence, if the denominator (credit) doesn’t grow the fresh slippages will add to the NPAs, and the GNPA ratio will increase.

There is an improvement in the economy. GST and GDP numbers have shown some growth. The banks are seeing a rise in the credit applications but they are cautious. B Ramesh Babu, MD & CEO, Karur Vysya Bank told ETBFSI, “No one wants to press an accelerator button right now. Because how is it going to pan out no one knows. The current growth is a short term or long term no one knows. So wait and watch mode is preferable.”

Real picture is still awaited
The liquidity surplus in the banking system has increased in the week ended January 1, 2021 to Rs 6.21 lakh crore from Rs 5.09 lakh crore in the week ago period. As per RBI data, banks have maintained a liquidity surplus for the last 19 months. “This can be attributed to the inflow of bank deposits surpassing the outflow of bank credit. The incremental bank deposits (over March 20) have grown by 6.7% till December 18, 2020 as against the bank credit growth of 1.7%. With bank deposits outweighing bank credit flows, the banking system would continue to see a sizeable liquidity surplus in the current week, too,” said Kavita Chacko, Senior Economist with CARE Ratings.

The various liquidity infusion measures being undertaken by the RBI — OMO purchases and, the LTRO and TLTRO — have also added to the liquidity surplus.

Experts view that the performance of financial sector would remain under pressure on account of lack of credit uptake, risk aversion, lower fee income and covid-related provisioning. With the overhang of stressed assets continuing, banks will continue to focus on improving their collection efficiency and an immediate turnaround in lending activity seems unlikely.



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SBI raises $600 million through overseas bonds

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The bond issuance was a part of SBI’s $10 billion medium term note programme, the ratings of which were withdrawn by rating agency Moody’s. Image: PTI

State Bank of India (SBI), the country’s largest bank, on Thursday raised $600 million through bonds issued to international investors at a coupon of 1.8%, which is the lowest pricing for such an issue. The bank said that on the back of strong demand, the price guidance was revised from T+175 basis points to T+140 basis points. The issuance of bonds will happen through SBI’s London branch. The bonds will also be listed on Singapore Exchange and India International exchange at Gujarat International Finance Tec City (GIFT). “SBI has concluded the issue of $600 mio senior unsecured fixed rate notes having maturity of 5.5 years and coupon of 1.8% payable semi-annually under regulation S,” SBI said in a stock exchange filing. Regulation S provides an SEC (Securities Exchange Commission) compliant way for non-US companies to raise capital.

The issue was oversubscribed by 2.1 times as per lender. The bond issue was priced at 140 basis points (bps) over the US treasury. The lender also claimed that it was lowest pricing for any such issue. The notes are expected to carry a final rating of Baa3, BBB- and BBB- from Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch respectively, SBI said.

C Venkat Nageswar, deputy managing director (DMD), International banking group said, “This is an indication of confidence global investors have in the Indian banking sector generally, and in SBI in particular and is also testament to the exceptional access that SBI enjoys in the global capital markets.”

The bond issuance was a part of SBI’s $10 billion medium term note programme, the ratings of which were withdrawn by rating agency Moody’s on Wednesday. As the rationale for voluntarily withdrawing the ratings on the $10 billion foreign currency bonds of SBI, Moody’s said it has decided to withdraw the ratings for its ‘own business reasons’. The rating agency, however, clarified all other ratings of the bank and its branches are unaffected by its action. BofA Securities, Citigroup, HSBC, JPMorgan, MUFG, SBICAP and Standard Chartered Bank were the Joint bookrunners for SBI’s bond offering.

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TVS Capital closes third fund-raise of ₹2,000 crore, with all-Indian capital

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Chennai-based TVS Capital Funds successfully closed its extended fund raise — TVS Shriram Growth Fund 3 — on December 31, with an overall AUM of ₹1,550-crore blind pool and with potential co-investment pool of around ₹450 crore, the total AUM for the fund would stand at ₹2,000 crore.

“This marks TVS Capital Funds as the largest rupee-only capital fund, only through domestic sources, empowering next-gen entrepreneurs in India,” Gopal Srinivasan, Founder, TVS Capital Funds, told BusinessLine.

This is the first time in India that a fund of this size has been raised as a purely rupee-capital fund. This dispels the myth that India cannot raise large pools of capital. ₹2,000 crore is not large, and a $1-billion PE is the next step with all Indian capital, he said. “I believe this is the beginning of the change that it is possible to raise domestic funds from India,” he added.

Around 45 per cent of the corpus is from 35 leading family offices with individual contribution of ₹10 crore (excluding sponsors) — thus representing India’s Family Office Fund. Around 22 per cent is from DFIs and Insurance companies like SIDBI and NABARD; 26 per cent from UHNIs, including several professionals in various fields as ‘Friends of the Fund” and sponsors’ contribution being 7 per cent (TVS & Shriram Groups), he said.

The fund combines advantages of three sets of investor groups — discipline brought in by institutional investors; legacy and value from family offices, sophistication and proficiency from ‘Friends of the Fund’, who help sharpen the understanding in underwriting, he said.

In 2020, the TCF from 3rd Fund invested in GoDigit General Insurance Limited — ₹200 crore; DCB Bank — ₹50 crore and Leap India Private Limited. It exited from its previous Fund (Fund 2) in Indian Energy Exchange (2.3X) and National Stock Exchange (3.7X), said Srinivasan.

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Assam MFI Bill may hit collections in short term

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The Assam Micro Finance Institutions (Regulation of Money Lending) Bill 2020, which was recently passed by the Assam Assembly, is likely to create “some confusion” in the minds of borrowers and could affect collections in the region in the short term.

While the Bill is still not available in public domain, however, certain reports indicate that the key provisions of the Bill would include restriction on the deployment of collection agents, coercive collection practices and door-to-door collection; cap on the number of lenders per borrower as well as on the overall loan outstanding; and a minimum three-month loan repayment moratorium in case of natural adverse events.

The Bill will turn into a law once the Governor signs it and detailed guidelines would be issued by the Finance Secretariat thereafter.

Collection rate

According to Manoj Kumar Nambiar, Managing Director, Arohan Financial Services Ltd, the collection rate in the region has dipped for the sector as a whole in the last 2-3 days, and this could be an area of concern.

“Though we do not have a copy of the Bill, but whatever little we can make out based on what the local media has reported so far, most of the technical terms are as per RBI guidelines.

“The issue right now is there is a bit of confusion on the field as to what it will allow us to do and what not, and confused customers tend to get swayed by mischievous report and local activists may create more confusion. As a sector, in the last 2-3 days, collection rate has dipped which is an area of concern,” Nambiar told BusinessLine. The development comes at a time when the collection efficiency of the microfinance industry has been impacted due to the disruption caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

While the overall collection efficiency has improved to around 80-85 per cent in November-December, however, it is estimated to be lower by around 5-6 percentage points in the eastern and north-eastern region.

It is to be noted that repayments in the region were hit by the dual impact of the pandemic and natural calamities, including flood and cyclone. The East and North-East accounted for 34 per cent of the total NBFC-MFI portfolio, which stood at ₹71,147 crore as on September 30, 2020.

“But we are hoping that better sense will prevail because the government has made it clear that its intention to help promote an orderly growth of the sector,” said Nambiar.

Impact on banks, NBFCs

According to a report on BFSI-Banks put out by Emkay, Assam has nearly 45 MFI lenders with a portfolio of ₹12,000 crore, of which, Bandhan contributes 55 per cent, followed by Arohan at 8 per cent, Ujjivan/Satin at 3 per cent each, and the balance by other small players.

Assam has seen sharp growth in the past few years, albeit on a small base. The average ticket size of loans in Assam is ₹47,263, which is the second highest after West Bengal.

While NBFC-MFIs are regulated institutions under the RBI regime, universal banks, SFBs and NBFCs do not have any RBI guidelines on microfinance lending. So, the regulations by Assam government could have an impact on them, industry experts pointed out.

“As of now, the RBI guidelines are applicable only to NBFC-MFIs and not to banks (including SFBs). However, we believe that most of the State guidelines, particularly regarding collections and moratorium, may be applicable to banks as well. Restrictions related to loan caps need to be followed voluntarily, if not mandated to banks, as concerns remain around multiple lenders and overleveraging in the MFI space in States such as West Bengal, Assam and Tamil Nadu, among others, have been raging, even attracting the RBI’s attention recently,” the report said.

However, a senior executive from the banking industry felt that the Bill may primarily seek to regulate NBFC-MFIs or other such entities that are in the MFI business, as it mainly talks about MFI lending and not much about micro lending or micro banking practised by banks.

Moreover, banks come under the supervision of the Banking Regulation Act, which is under the Central Parliament; hence, the State government guidelines may not impact its operations, he opined.

Bandhan Bank refused to comment on the impact of the proposed regulations on its business as it is in the silent period.

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Union Bank to issue AT-1 bonds to raise up to ₹1,000 crore

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Union Bank of India (UBI), on Thursday, said it will issue Basel III-compliant Perpetual Debt lnstruments, in the nature of Debentures eligible for inclusion in Additional Tier 1 Capital, aggregating up to ₹1,000 crore.

The issue size of the public sector bank’s Basel III-Compliant Additional Tier I Bonds will be ₹300 crore, with a green shoe option of up to ₹700 crore, UBI said in a regulatory filing.

The face value of the bonds, which carry a coupon rate of 8.64 per cent per annum, is ₹1 crore per bond. The pay-in date/ deemed date of allotment of the bonds is January 11, 2021. The bonds will be listed on the NSE.

As per the Term Sheet, the bank can exercise call option with prior approval of the Reserve Bank of India, subject to conditions mentioned in the sheet, on the fifth anniversary from the deemed date of allotment or any allotment anniversary date thereafter

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Oaktree Capital wants CoC to consider its additional offer of ₹1,700 crore for DHFL

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Oaktree Capital has fired a fresh salvo, asking the Committee of Creditors to consider its additional offer of ₹1,700 crore for Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd.

In a letter to the CoC, Oaktree Capital said: “…we committed to provide additional interest income of ₹1,700 crore, a right we reserved in our resolution plan, that commitment is being ignored. If the second highest bidder was awarded the opportunity to provide additional interest income, we should be permitted the same opportunity, and should derive the same benefit in the evaluation of the bids.”

The global alternative investment management firm has further contended that the ₹1,000 crore of value it has prescribed to the life insurance subsidiary – Pramerica Life Insurance – is not being considered.

It has sought that the ascribed value should be given credit for “what it is” – upfront cash to the benefit of the financial creditors.

“We have respected the resolution process, answered your questions, provided clarifications when they were required, and accommodated the concerns of all stakeholders,” Oaktree further said in the letter.

Bone of contention

The bone of contention for Oaktree has been that the additional interest income it has offered through an e-mail on December 24 has not been considered by the CoC, despite a similar increase by the second higher bidder, which is Piramal Capital and Housing Finance Ltd.

Clarifying once again on its resolution plan, Oaktree Capital said the upfront cash recovery has been undervalued by ₹2,700 crore. It also said its bid offers a significantly higher fair market, which is higher by ₹4,503 crore than Piramal’s offer.

It has also stressed that its bid is unconditional and fully implementable, and it has committed to infuse capital in DHFL through equity and debt. It has also promised to turnaround the operations of DHFL on a standalone basis, going concern basis without merging it with another entity.

“As you vote on the resolution plans, the burden on responsibility as a guardian of public money and a repository of faith for all DHFL stakeholders is clear,” Oaktree further said in the letter, urging them to vote in favour of the highest bid.

Voting for the resolution plans is expected to get over next week, and the winning bid is likely to be announced later this month.

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LIC launches special campaign to revive lapsed policies

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Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) of India has launched a fresh campaign to revive lapsed individual life cover policies.

“To encourage continuation of risk cover in the current circumstances of the pandemic and high risk, LIC brings an excellent opportunity for its policyholders to revive their lapsed policies,” it said in a statement on Thursday.

The special revival campaign was launched on January 7 and will continue till March 6.

“Policies of specific eligible plans can be revived within five years from date of the first unpaid premium, subject to terms and conditions. Certain concession in health requirements is also being offered subject to eligibility,” it further said.

Most policies can be revived only on the basis of a declaration of good health and a Covid questionnaire to be submitted by the proposer or life assured.

LIC has also authorised its 1,526 satellite offices to revive policies, where special medical tests are not required.

It is also offering concession of up to 30 per cent in late fees for eligible policies. It, however, said that high-risk plans such as term assurance, health insurance and multiple risk policies are not eligible for the concession,

“The campaign is launched to benefit those policy holders who were not able to pay premiums due to unavoidable circumstances and their policy lapsed,” LIC further said.

It had previously also launched a similar campaign to revive lapsed policies between August 10 and October 9, 2020.

LIC currently services almost 30 crore policies across the country.

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CBoI ties up with NABFOUNDATION to provide loans to self-help groups

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Central Bank of India (CBoI) and NABFOUNDATION, on Thursday, entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), whereby working capital will be provided by the bank to all self-help groups (SHGs) which have an account with it and undertake the Nabard-sponsored ‘My Pad My Right’ project.

“This cheap, collateral-free credit support is just what the rural women will need as they take up manufacturing on a regular basis,” said NABFOUNDATION, which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (Nabard), in a statement.

Under the project, one pad making machine will be sponsored per district across the country to a well-functioning SHG, along with the requisite capacity building support, with total grant support pegged at nearly ₹5 lakh per unit, according to the statement.

The project would see Nabard providing a total support of nearly ₹50 crore over the next three years, it added.

GR Chintala, Chairman, Nabard, noted that the project addresses rural women’s health issues and also provides a dynamic rural livelihood option on a sustainable basis.

Pallav Mohapatra, Chairman, CBoI, said the bank is committed to providing cheap and collateral-free credit support to rural women.

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Bank advances rise in Q3, but asset quality still a concern

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Advances by banks seem to be slowly on the rise as provisional data from the third quarter suggest. While asset quality continues to remain a concern, lenders say it is likely to be better than previously estimated.

“Restructuring requests are lower than expected and largely lesser than the provisioning for it. Most borrowers have shown a willingness to pay. The pain is likely to be lesser than initially thought of but everyone is cautious,” said a banker who did not wish to be named.

Collection efficiencies

The loan restructuring window came to an end last month and with economic activity on the mend, collection efficiencies are expected to improve further.

A clearer picture will emerge when banks start to report their performance for the September to December 2020 quarter later this month.

Provisional data being reported by banks to the stock exchanges indicate that advances growth, which had been muted in previous quarters, is now picking up.

HDFC Bank reported a 16 per cent growth in advances at ₹10.82-lakh crore as on December 31, 2020, compared to ₹9.36-lakh crore a year ago, while Bandhan Bank Bandhan Bank reported a 23 per cent growth in loans and advances at ₹80,255 crore in the third quarter of this fiscal compared to a year ago.

Most lenders, including NBFCs, have said their disbursements are slowly inching back to pre-Covid levels, but many say credit demand is muted for fresh expansion plans.

“With bounce in high frequency-led indicators, increased spending and consumption, we expect credit growth to rise quarter-on-quarter by three per cent to four per cent translating to seven per cent to nine per cent year-on-year growth. SME lending (under ECLGS), some pick-up in industry and service sector credit, robust momentum in credit card and other retail loans will provide support,” said ICICI Securities in a report.

Motilal Oswal Institutional Equities said in a report that loan growth is likely to pick up, led by improving consumer sentiment and a good festival season. “On the other hand, wholesale lending remains muted. Growth is driven by a secured retail book as the bank remains cautious of higher stress in the unsecured portfolio,” it said.

It, however, said it remains watchful of asset quality as banks recognise non-performing loans from moratorium and overdue loans. “Although, overall trends have fared better than earlier expected, led by sharp improvement in collection efficiency,”it said.

Economic impact

The Reserve Bank of India’s Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India in 2019-20 has cautioned that the asset quality of the banking system may deteriorate sharply, going forward, due to the uncertainty induced by Covid-19 and its real economic impact.

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SBI raises $600 million at 1.80% coupon, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Public lender, State Bank of India through its London branch raised $600 million of ‘Regulation S’ bonds at a coupon rate of 1.80%.

The bond has been benchmarked against the 5 year US treasury and priced at a spread of 140 bps over the benchmark. The bonds will be listed on SGX-ST and India INX.

SBI said, “The transaction was well received and saw strong interest from investors across geographies with a final order book in excess of USD 1.9 billion. On the back of strong demand, the price guidance was revised from T+175 bps area to T+140 bps, with a peak orderbook of USD 2.1 billion resulting in final pricing at the tight end of the range i.e. T+140 bps. The Notes are expected to carry a final rating of Baa3, BBB- and BBB- from Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch respectively.”

Commenting on the successful transaction, C Venkat Nageswar, DMD – International Banking Group, said, “The successful issuance demonstrates the strong investor base SBI has created for itself in offshore capital markets allowing it to efficiently raise funds from the World’s leading fixed income investors, even during periods of heightened volatility. This is an indication of confidence global investors have in the Indian banking sector generally, and in SBI in particular and is also testament to the exceptional access that SBI enjoys in the global capital markets.”

BofA Securities, Citigroup, HSBC, J.P. Morgan, MUFG, SBICAP and Standard Chartered Bank were the Joint Bookrunners for this offering.



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