Indian Gold Rates Declining, Should You Buy Ahead Of Festive Season?

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Investment

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

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Amid the pandemic-induced slowdown in India, household’s privately held gold was worth more than $1.5 trillion at the initial stage of this year. The yellow metal has gained popularity among Indian citizens because of its auspicious factor and also as a hedge against inflation. Ahead of the upcoming festival season, investors are quite concerned about buying gold; as there are worries about the rallying gold rates in the international market at present. In upcoming November, within less than 2 months, Indians will celebrate Dhanteras which is the biggest festive season for the Indian gold market. Additionally, the wedding season – a significant gold business time too, is knocking at the door. So, here is a price chart to help investors who are looking out for previous gold rates of this year to understand the correct time to buy gold.

Indian Gold Rates Declining, Should You Buy Ahead Of Festive Season?

How far the gold prices fell?

In September, gold rates are down by 13% over the last quarter. Since May 15, this year the gold rates started to rally up again, slowly. In the recent period, gold rates went to their peak during the first week of June, due to worsening global economic conditions. But after that, gold prices have shown consistent fall; only in the second half of July gained to some extend. If counted from May, this year, gold rates have augmented by around Rs. 1100 in September. For big investors, this rally will matter. But if counted from June, the prices have fallen by Rs. 1680 in September, motivating people to buy more gold. Here is a chart of gold rates in India for the last 5 months, that will provide a clear idea of monthly gold prices.

5 months’ gold price chart in India

Timeline 22 Carat Gold(10 grams) 24 Carat Gold (10 grams)
9, September, 2021 Rs. 46,000 Rs. 47,000
9, August, 2021 Rs. 45,280 Rs. 46,280
9, July, 2021 Rs. 46, 810 Rs. 47,810
9, June, 2021 Rs. 47,680 Rs. 48,680
9, May, 2021 Rs. 44,910 Rs. 45,910

Source: GoodReturns.in Gold Rates

To note, the August gold rates were far down because the US non-farm-payroll data came out with promising figures triggering the anticipation of early tapering. But the US Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell sounded dovish even after that and hinted at delayed tapering, which helped the gold prices to gain. As asset buying will decline, it will drag down gold rates again. Gold is a dollar-dominated asset class and its international prices depend on US Fed’s decision and the US dollar index.

However, in January, this year 10 grams 22 carat gold was quoted very high at Rs. 48,460 and 24 carat gold was quoted at a high of Rs. 49,460 in India. But the present declining trend is not indicating gold rates to reach that high again any time soon. If the US Fed starts tapering end of this year, the rates are expected to drop again. So, that will be a good time for Indians to buy gold. The price of the yellow metal is always measured in a long term, like 5-8 years. The monthly gain and falls are influenced by multiple global economic factors, but yearly gold has given good returns to investors, making it a good time.

PR Somasundaram, Regional CEO, World Gold Council in an interview to India today recently said that – in 2019, the gold rates were moving around Rs. 30,000 – Rs. 32,000, but in 2021, the gold rates are being counted at around Rs. 50,000 with GST. Nobody’s income has gone that much up. Pointing out his tone, this year Indians are far more cautious about gold price ups and downs and trying to find out when the prices will drop.

Ahead of this festive season gold investors are tracking the gold rates rally in the international and domestic markets to interpret what would be a good time to buy gold. This year there is a doubt about the usual up-trend ahead of the festive and wedding season. As the gold rates are anticipated to drop again with US tapering, small-scale investors can take a policy of wait and watch. There will be a risk although – if the US does not start tapering, the gold prices will go up again. As the gold prices are mostly showing a downward trend, so it now is suggested to invest. When the gold rates will be up again in the next year, the stored gold will be a profitable asset then. However, people who are looking for wedding jewelleries for the October-November season, and can not wait till December, can buy gold now. The prices are low and jewellers are going to provide offers soon.

Here is a gold price chart of major Indian cities on September, 9

City 22 carat (10 Grams) 24 carat (10 Grams)
Mumbai Rs. 46,000 Rs. 47,000
Delhi Rs. 46,100 Rs. 50,300
Bangalore Rs. 44,000 Rs. 48,000
Chennai Rs. 44,340 Rs. 48,370
Kolkata Rs. 46,540 Rs. 49,240

Irrespective of the city you are buying gold from, it should be remembered that one must invest in hallmarked jewelleries; the union government is strongly promoting hallmarking system for assured buying now.

Dhanteras is an auspicious Hindu festival, but as the jewellers offer good discounts on making charges at that time, investors across religions and communities try to buy gold at that time. Hence, the household gold storage increases, but this massive wealth mostly lies idle. RBI’s gold monetization scheme is an excellent opportunity to explore by people, who are interested to buy the precious metal but would not use the jewelleries on a regular basis. RBI will store the gold safely and will give returns.



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UCO Bank out of PCA, will RBI blink in case of IOB, Central Bank?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has removed UCO Bank from its Prompt Corrective Action Framework (PCAF) but the fate of Central Bank and Indian Overseas Bank hangs in balance.

The central bank lifted the PCA on Uco Bank following improvement in various parameters and a written commitment that the state-owned lender will comply with the minimum capital.

However, RBI had reservations over the capital adequacy levels of the banks under PCA.

Interestingly, Indian Overseas Bank and Central Bank were reported to be among the four banks shortlisted by the government for privatisation.

The RBI objection

In FY21, the government infused Rs 20,000 crore in ve banks through the instruments. Central Bank of India was the biggest beneficiary with Rs 4,800 crore, followed by Indian Overseas (Rs 4,100 crore), UCO Bank (Rs 2,600 crore).

However, the RBI had raised questions over the government’s bank capital infusion programme through non-interest-bearing bonds, according to a report.

The RBI reasoned that capital infusion through bonds cannot be taken at face value and, therefore, these banks may still be short of regulatory capital, they said. In such a situation, they will continue under the PCA framework. Under the PCA regime, business restraints are imposed on struggling banks until they regain health.

The government went ahead despite RBI’s initial reservations and now the regulator had expressed serious concerns. The entire fund infusion through such bonds will then not count toward regulatory capital.

RBI is not inclined to pull these lenders out of the PCA framework based on such capital infusion and may further direct lenders to recalculate their capital adequacy ratio based on the actual value of the bonds.

The PCA status

Indian Overseas Bank, Central Bank have reported net non-performing assets (NPAs) below levels that trigger PCA. However, on the proforma net NPA front, Central Bank falls short as its NNPA is 6.58% against the 6% required to be out of PCA.

Even after PCA exit, these banks may still be under RBI watch. In the case of IDBI Bank, which has committed to comply with the norms of minimum regulatory capital, net NPA and leverage ratio on an ongoing basis, RBI has said the lender would be under continuous monitoring. “It has been decided that IDBI Bank be taken out of PCA framework, subject to certain conditions and continuous monitoring,” RBI had said.

Privatisation bid

Four banks on the privatisation shortlist included Bank of Maharashtra, Bank of India, Indian Overseas Bank and the Central Bank of India.

Two public sector banks and one general insurance company are expected to be disinvested this year in addition to the divestment of IDBI Bank, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had announced during the Union Budget presentation.

Bringing the banks out of PCA could boost their valuations in the event of privatisation.



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Foreign Stocks: Ways Indians Can Invest In US Stocks

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How much can Indian investors buy International or foreign stocks?

Indian brokers such as HDFC Securities, Motilal Oswal, and Geojit, as well as fintech platforms such as Stockal, offer comprehensive US investment services. While you may invest a lot of money in US stocks, keep in mind that the Reserve Bank of India has set a limit of $250,000 for Indian residents.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) authorises an individual Indian citizen to send $250,000 every financial year to the United States. With the current rate of exchange. This sum turns out to be in the billions of rupees. If you have two family members, you can invest a total of $250,000 ($500,000).

Prepare to pay a lot of money: You will be dealing with foreign currencies if you want to invest in other countries. If you want to invest in the US stock market, you must now pay fees and brokerage in US dollars.

Direct Investment In US Stocks

Direct Investment In US Stocks

Process of Investing in Foreign Stocks:

The first step is to register for an account online once you’ve found the best brokerage account in India for buying US stocks. It’s a straightforward, and quick procedure.

Step 1: To invest in the international stock market, you must first open a trading account with a brokerage firm that offers abroad trading services. There are only a few well-known brokerage firms that offer foreign trading services.

Step 2: Submit a separate account opening form with all required information, as well as know your customer (KYC) papers.

Step 3:You must transfer funds to the local equity broker’s overseas partner, through whom the service is supplied.

Step 4: Submit LRS application and declaration forms.

Step 5: Fill Form A2 (That is available with your broker)

Step 6: Sign a declaration form under the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA).

Authorization form for the specified bank branch to act as an approved dealer.

You can now use an internet marketplace to buy and sell international equities.

Investing through Mutual Funds

Investing through Mutual Funds

Investing in international funds (funds of funds) has a set of benefits. For starters, you don’t need a Demat account or a trading account. Two, investing is simple since the investor does not need to open an international account or be concerned about currency fluctuations. Three, you won’t have to worry about exceeding your investment limit because there is an annual limit if you invest directly through the LRS.

This is the simplest way to invest in international equities. The most significant benefit of investing in mutual funds is that you do not need to open an international account. Investing in mutual funds/ETFs is also less expensive than investing directly in foreign stock markets.

Investing through ETFs

Investing through ETFs

A Demat and trading account are required for ETFs. The simplest and most straightforward approach is to invest in companies based outside of India through feeder or funds of funds. In this route, they also offer index funds that invest in foreign indexes such as the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell, Dow Jones, and so on. You can also invest in gold, commodities, technology, energy, and resources funds, which are all differentiated by geography. Because many mutual funds already have different themes, an investor does not need to be concerned. It’s as simple as investing in any domestic mutual fund.

Tax Implication for these investments

Tax Implication for these investments

This profit will be taxed in India. In the United States, no taxes will be withheld. The amount of taxes you must pay in India is determined on the length of time you retain the investment. The long-term capital gain threshold is 24 months, at a rate of 20% with an indexation advantage. Capital gains are deemed short-term if you sell a stock in less than 24 months and are taxed according to your income tax bracket. Dividends, unlike investment profits, will be taxed at a fixed rate of 25% in the United States. Fortunately, the United States and India have a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) that permits taxpayers to deduct income tax paid in the United States. The 25% tax you already paid in the United States is available as a Foreign Tax Credit, which you can use to offset the income tax you owe in India.

Conclusion

There are online platforms that allow you to invest directly in overseas stocks, but keep in mind that it is not always straightforward due to a variety of factors. For starters, all of these stocks are valued in US dollars. The dollar becomes exceedingly expensive when converted into Indian rupees.



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Penalty for missing ITR filing deadline has been cut to half, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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For the financial year 2020-21, the deadline to file income tax return (ITR) is December 31, 2021, (it was extended twice – first from the usual deadline of July 31, 2021, to September 30, 2021, and then to December 31, 2021) due to the pandemic. Till last year, if a taxpayer missed the ITR filing deadline, the maximum penalty he/she would have had to pay was Rs 10, 000.

However, with effect from FY 2020-21, the penalty amount has been reduced by half, i.e., a person filing belated ITR will have to pay a penalty of up to Rs 5,000. Further, if your income is below the taxable limit then you won’t even have to pay the penalty amount if you file your ITR after the deadline subject to certain exceptions. Here is why the penalty this year is half that of last year.

The penalty you will have to pay
In Budget 2021, the government reduced the maximum time allowed to an individual (whose accounts are not required to be audited) for filing ITR by three months. Due to a reduction in the time limit of filing ITR, a consequential amendment was made in Section 234F of the Income-tax Act, 1961 under which the penal amount for filing belated ITR was reduced to a maximum of Rs 5,000 from Rs 10,000 earlier.

Earlier, an individual was allowed time till the end of the financial year, i.e., March 31 to file belated ITR by paying a maximum penalty of up to Rs 10,000.

From this year onwards, the deadline for filing belated ITR is December 31. Accordingly, for FY2020-21 the deadline for filing belated ITR was December 31, 2021, but has been extended twice – first to January 31, 2022, and then to March 31, 2022, due to covid-19. As mentioned above, an individual filing belated ITR by the deadline of March 31, 2022 will now have to pay maximum penalty of Rs 5,000.

Abhishek Soni, CEO, Tax2Win.in, an ITR filing website says, “The last date of filing belated return for FY 2020-21 was December 31, 2021 (originally) which was extended till January 31, 2022 and which is again extended by two months. Now the last date of filing belated ITR is March 31, 2022. This needs to be noted that the deadline for filing the belated return has been extended but late filing fees will be Rs. 5000/- only rather than Rs. 10,000 if you file belated ITR between January 1, 2022 and March 31, 2022.”

Up until last year, there was two-tier penalty structure for missing the ITR filing deadline. If the belated ITR was filed after the expiry of the deadline and on or before December 31, then the individual was required to pay a late filing fee of Rs 5,000. If the ITR was filed between January 1 and March 31, then a late filing fee of Rs 10,000 was levied.

Kapil Rana, Founder & Chairman, HostBook, a fintech startup offering ITR filing services, says, “As per section 234F, till FY 2019-20, if the taxpayer failed to file ITR on or before the due date, then he/she was liable to pay a fee of Rs 5,000 if the tax return was furnished on or before 31st December of the relevant assessment year, otherwise, it will be Rs 10,000 if tax return is furnished after 31st December but from FY 2020-21, the law has been changed. The maximum late filing fees of Rs. 5000 shall be payable if, return is submitted after the expiry of the due date.”

However, there is no change in the penal amount levied on small taxpayers who miss the ITR filing deadline. If you are a small taxpayer whose total income does not exceed Rs 5 lakh during an FY, then the maximum fees you are liable to pay is Rs 1,000 if the ITR is filed any time after the expiry of the deadline (i.e., December 31, 2021) but before March 31, 2022.



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Despite Extension of Due Dates ITR Filing Has Increased To 3.2 lakh Daily In September, 2021: Check Report

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Taxes

oi-Vipul Das

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The Income Tax Department’s e-filing site (www.incometax.gov.in) was introduced on June 7, 2021. Since then, taxpayers and experts have experienced malfunctions and problems with the platform. However, between April 1st and August 30th, 2021, the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) provides refunds of over Rs. 67,401 crore to over 23.99 lakh taxpayers. In all, Rs. 16,373 crore in income tax refunds and Rs. 51,029 crore in corporate tax refunds has been given in 22,61,918 cases.

Despite Extension of Due Dates ITR Filing Has Surged To 3.2 lakh Daily In Sept

Several problems have been reported by taxpayers since the introduction of the new portal, however notwithstanding the struggles, over 8.83 crore individual taxpayers have checked in until September 7, 2021, with a daily average of over 15.55 lakh. In September 2021, the number of ITRs submitted climbed to 3.2 lakh per day, with 1.19 crore ITRs filed for the fiscal year 2021-22. About 76.2 lakh taxpayers have used the portal’s online service to file their income tax returns. Whereas over 94.88 lakh ITRs have also been e-verified out of which 7.07 lakh ITRs have been processed so far.

Taxpayers have been allowed to witness approximately 8.74 lakh Notices issued by the Department under the Faceless Assessment/Appeal/Penalty processes, out of which almost 2.61 lakh fixes have been made successfully, according to a statement released by the Finance Ministry. On a daily basis in September 2021, an average of 8,285 Notices for e-proceedings was issued and 5,889 responses were submitted.

Approximately 10.60 lakh statutory forms have been filed, comprising 7.86 lakh TDS reports, 1.03 lakh submission of Form 10A, 0.87 lakh submission of Form 10E for pay arrears, and 0.10 lakh submission of Form 35 for appeals. 66.44 lakh taxpayers have linked their Aadhaar numbers to their PAN numbers, and over 14.59 lakh e-PANs have been issued. In September 2021, over 0.50 lakh taxpayers took advantage of these two services on a daily basis despite the glitches on the new Income Tax Portal, according to the statement.

New Deadline For Income Tax Return Filing For The Assessment Year 2021-2022

According to an official memorandum issued on September 9, 2021, the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has declared to further extend the due dates for filing Income Tax Returns for the Assessment Year 2021- 22 under the Income-tax Act, 1961 (the “Act”), based on hardships disclosed by taxpayers and other stakeholders in filing Income Tax Returns and various reports of audit for the Assessment Year 2021- 22 under the Income-tax Act, 1961.

  1. The due date of furnishing of Return of Income for the Assessment Year 2021-22, which was 31st July, 2021 under sub-section (1) of section 139 of the Act, as extended to 30th September, 2021 vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 31st December, 2021;
  2. The due date of furnishing of Report of Audit under any provision of the Act for the Previous Year 2020-21, which is 30th September, 2021, as extended to 31st October 2021 vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 15th January, 2022;
  3. The due date of furnishing Report from an Accountant by persons entering into international transaction or specified domestic transaction under section 92E of the Act for the Previous Year 2020-21, which is 31st October, 2021, as extended to 30th November, 2021 vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 31st January, 2022;
  4. The due date of furnishing of Return of Income for the Assessment Year 2021-22, which is 31st October, 2021 under sub-section (1) of section 139 of the Act, as extended to 30th November, 2021 vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 15th February, 2022;
  5. The due date of furnishing of Return of Income for the Assessment Year 2021-22, which is 30th November, 2021 under sub-section (1) of section 139 of the Act, as extended to 31st December, 2021 vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 28th February, 2022;
  6. The due date of furnishing of belated/revised Return of Income for the Assessment Year 2021-22, which is 31st December, 2021 under sub-section (4)/sub-section (5) of section 139 of the Act, as extended to 31st January, 2022, vide Circular No.9/2021 dated 20.05.2021, is hereby further extended to 31st March, 2022.

Story first published: Friday, September 10, 2021, 12:32 [IST]



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Reserve Bank of India – Tenders

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Reserve Bank of India, Hyderabad invites Applications from Category I CA firms for Appointment of Concurrent Auditors for a period up to one year i.e., from November 01, 2021 to September 30, 2022 (extendable on annual basis for two more years subject to satisfactory performance to be evaluated by the Bank).

The Tendering will be done through the e-Tendering portal of MSTC Ltd. (https://www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi). Interested tenderers must register themselves with MSTC Ltd through the above-mentioned website to participate in the tendering process.

Tender document can be downloaded from both the RBI website www.rbi.org.in under tender section and www.mstcecommerce.com.

The last date for submission of Applications is October 01, 2021 at 11:00 Hrs. Applications received after the said date and time will not be accepted.

The Tenderer should check the above website / e-portal for any Amendment / Corrigendum / Clarification before submitting the bid. The Bank shall have the right to cancel, modify the Tender and extend the deadline for submission of Tender. Further, the Bank reserves the right to accept any Tender, either in full or in part and to reject any or all the Tenders without assigning any reason thereof.

Regional Director
Reserve Bank of India
Hyderabad


SCHEDULE OF TENDER

A e-Tender no Tender No. – RBI/Hyderabad/HRMD/13/21-22/ET/141
B Name of the Tender Appointment of Concurrent Auditors for the period November 01, 2021 to September 30, 2022 for RBI, Hyderabad
C Date of Notice Inviting e-tender available for download on RBI website September 10, 2021
D Estimated value of tender ₹ 11,00,000/- (exclusive of taxes)
E Date of Starting of online submission of e- tender (Technical Bid and Financial Bid) at www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi September 10, 2021, 11:00 am
F Last date of availability of e-tender on website October 01, 2021
G Date & time of closing of online submission of e-tender (Technical Bid and Financial Bid). October 01, 2021, 11:00 am
H Date & time of opening of Part-I
(Technical Bid)
October 01, 2021, 3:00 pm
I Date of opening of Part-II (Financial Bid) Part-II (Financial Bid) will be opened electronically of only those bidder(s) whose Part-I (Technical Bid) is found acceptable by RBI, Hyderabad. Such bidder(s) will be intimated regarding date of opening of Part-II (Financial Bid) through valid email id given by them.

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Freezing bank accounts could affect right to life, says Karnataka high court, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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BENGALURU: Freezing of bank accounts will affect the right to life under Article 21 of the Constitution, the high court has said.

Justice Mohammed Nawaz made this observation while allowing a petition filed by Narayana Yadav, a New Delhi-based businessman, and directed CEN police station at Yadgir to intimate banks to defreeze his accounts. The defreezing is subject to the businessman abiding by his commitment to give a bank guarantee for a sum of Rs 3.7 lakh, the court said. Yadav had challenged the June 22, 2020 notice issued by police, directing the manager of Axis Bank to freeze his account and linked account numbers, four in all.

The action was based on a complaint from Ludra Mary, a resident of Shahpur in Yadgir, who alleged that she received an email on May 27, 2020 stating that she had won Rs 48.5 lakh lottery. To get hold of the same, she had to log in to a website. She entered the password and the user name provided and filled up the information requested. In response, she was asked to deposit an amount to the account numbers provided. Until June 10, 2020, a total of Rs 3.7 lakh was deposited in those accounts, but Ludra did not get the money. Ludra approached police, who ordered the freezing of Yadav’s account on the ground that his Axis Bank account had received Rs 99,999 from her.

Yadav claimed he is not involved in the alleged crime and was surprised by the intimation about freezing of his accounts. He said he’s running electronics stores in Delhi and proceeds of his business were transferred to the company account that was maintained at Axis Bank, Dwarka Branch, Delhi, and all transactions are legitimate.

Police defended the action, saying it was necessary to freeze the accounts for probe and also to avoid the petitioner transacting further.



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3 HDFC Securities Stock Picks For Gains Up To 20% In The Short To Medium Term

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1. IIFL Wealth Management:

The brokerage firm is bullish on this financial services company IIFL Wealth for gains of over 8 percent. The last closing price of the stock is Rs. 1674.75, while the target price set out is Rs. 1815 per share. The stop loss recommended is Rs. 1505, while the time horizon is up to 3 months.

Here are the observations for the scrip by the brokerage firm:

As per the brokerage the recent downward correction in the scrip seems to have concluded and the stock is currently signaling a decisive upside breakout of the crucial overhead resistance at Rs 1665 levels.

“The positive chart pattern like higher tops and bottoms is intact and the stock price has bounced up recently after the formation of new higher bottom at Rs 1500 levels. Hence, one may expect upside bounce from here. Weekly 14 period RSI has turned up from 65 levels, which indicate a strength of an upside momentum in the stock price. The overall chart pattern of IIF Wealth indicate long trading opportunity”, said the brokerage.

Stock Current price Target price Potential gains
IIFL Wealth Rs. 1674.75 Rs. 1815 >8%

2.	Sudarshan Chemical:

2. Sudarshan Chemical:

The brokerage firm HDFC Securities has recommended Sudarshan Chemical, a leading color and effect pigment manufacturer. The brokerage has recommended the scrip as its positional pick for a time horizon of 3 months and target price of Rs. 780. This implies gain of 15.60% from the last traded price of Rs. 674.75.

As per HDFC Securities, the chemical company has breached above downward sloping trend line. “The stock has taken a support on 50% of the bull candle. We observe a formation of bullish pattern on daily and weekly time frame. The stock is trading above 21 EMA. Momentum oscillators like RSI and MACD are giving bullish indication suggesting bullish movement for the stock for few more weeks. The overall chart pattern of Sudarshan chem indicates long trading opportunity”, added the brokerage firm.

Stock Current price Target price Potential gains
Sudarshan Chemical Rs. 674.75 Rs. 780 15.6%

3. NRB Bearings:

3. NRB Bearings:

HDFC Securities is bullish on auto components company, NRB Bearings and sees it to gain up to 20% from the current market price of Rs. 140.45. The target price set out for the scrip is Rs. 168.

The company is an ISO 9001 certified best bearing manufacture company in India and today over 90% of vehicles on Indian roads run on NRB parts.

HDFC Securities take

The company has been the major beneficiary of the strong volume recovery in the auto segment. Further, going ahead there is seen revival in demand owing to recovery in OEM offtake. The company’s customer base is across segments such as two-wheelers, commercial vehicles (CVs), passenger cars, utility vehicles (UVs), farm equipment & tractors, off-highway vehicles, railways and defence.

Other key points

– NRB produces all its output indigenously unlike its MNC peers

– The company is well positioned to capitalize given the high share of demand from OEMs

– Export has been a key driver registering a growth of 10% v/s 1.5% CAGR growth in domestic market over FY12-21.

– “Increasing R&D spend and foray into Defence,Aerospace and Railway segments coupled with fall in interest cost could aid in topline and margin expansion. Fears over impact on revenues due to the advent of electric vehicles are partly justified as ICE engines need more number of bearings than Electric engines. However, though the number of bearings required may come down, the complexity and value add of bearings in EVs may be higher”, notes the brokerage company

Valuation & Recommendation: We expect NRB’s revenue/EBITDA/PAT to grow at 17/21/29% CAGR over FY21-FY23, led by increased demand in the automobile industry, operating leverage and reduction in debt. We believe investors can buy the stock in the band of Rs 132-134 and add on dips to Rs 116-118 band (12.5x FY23E EPS) for a base case fair value of Rs 150 (16x FY23E EPS) and bull case fair value of Rs 168 (18x FY23E EPS) over the next 2 quarters.

Stock Current price Target price Potential gains
NRB Bearings Rs140.45 Rs. 168 19.62%

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

The stocks in the story are taken from the HDFC Securities brokerage report and is for informational use only and should not be construed for investment advice.

GoodReturns.in



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CLSA, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: The sale of Citibank’s India retail business is a good opportunity for existing banks to strengthen their affluent customer bases, said CLSA.

IndusInd Bank has the size and valuation constraints to acquire such an asset, while for HDFC Bank it is not a game-changer in terms of size but it is still a good asset, the brokerage said.

Citibank’s India retail business is up for sale as part of a global restructuring. On the block is the $3.5 billion retail asset book with a 4-6% market share of card or spending, sizeable home loan book and an affluent deposit base.

Reports suggest five banks including HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank, IndusInd Bank and DBS Bank have been shortlisted.

The brokerage said the size of Citi’s business is too large for IndusInd Bank and its valuation does not favour deal-making.

Valuations would be a constraint for Axis Bank as well although it would be a favourable acquisition.

Citi’s affluent retail business fits well with DBS Bank India’s premium offerings and banking relationships, said CLSA.

For HDFC Bank, the retail book size of Citibank is not a game-changer but for Kotak Mahindra Bank, the business adds 20% to its current retail book and increases its card segment by three times, said CLSA. It is also complementary to its affluent customer base and Kotak’s premium valuation will aid it in a purchase, said CLSA.



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Know how Banks and Financials performed throughout the week, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Domestic benchmark indices witnessed some exhaustion this week, after a healthy rally seen in the past weeks, with the BSE Sensex gaining around 9% last month.

Developments around the US economy, revival of activity in Europe amid rising Covid-19 infections, improving economic data, positive earnings expectations and healthy pick up in daily inoculations were considered to be key market driving factors this week.

Last Friday, the BSE Sensex vaulted above the 58,000-mark, while the Nifty50 touched 17,300 points as investors cheered recovery in the economy.

Monday Closing bell: Market continues winning streak; banks and financials underperform

The Nifty50 had a gap up opening, but couldn’t build upon the early gains. The index traded in a narrow range throughout the day and consolidated its gains. During the second half, markets continued to trade on a positive note on the back of strong global cues and domestic economic activity. The Sensex was up 0.29% at 58,296.91, and the Nifty was up 0.31% at 17,377.80.

Bank Nifty closed with losses, ending 0.5% lower at 36,592 points, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.3% lower at 18,077 points. Shares of IndusInd Bank fell 1.13% as the top laggard, followed by Kotak Mahindra Bank, and HDFC Bank.

Tuesday Closing bell: Market ends in red, banks, financials continue to lose

The Nifty50 had a cautious start on Tuesday, around levels of 17,400. All sectoral indices opened in the green, except for Nifty Bank. Domestic indices reached fresh all-time highs but failed to hold gains and ended the day with marginal losses. The Sensex closed at 58279.48 points, down 0.03%, while Nifty closed at 17362.10, down 0.09%.

Bank Nifty ended the 0.34% lower at 36,468 while Nifty Financial Services closed at 18,102 gaining 0.15%. Axis bank was among the top Nifty Losers while HDFC and IndusInd Bank were among the top gainers.

Wednesday Closing bell : Indices tad down; banks, financials among top gainers

Domestic equity indices rebounded from lows in the dying hour of trade to end flat with a negative bias, with mid and smallcaps outperforming the benchmarks. The Sensex and Nifty both ended flat, down 0.05% each at 58,250.26 points and 17,353.50 points, respectively.

Among sectors, Nifty Bank, private bank, PSU bank and financial services rose about a percent each. Bank Nifty gained 0.82% to end at 36,768, while Nifty Financial Services gained 0.57% closing at 18,207. Kotak Mahindra Bank jumped 3.5% to be the top index gainer.

Thursday Closing bell: Market closes on positive note; banks, financials underperform

Domestic indices started Thursday’s session on a flat note amid selling pressure seen in financial stocks. Sensex and Nifty both closed with a gain of 0.09%, higher at 58,305.07 and 17,369.25 respectively.

Nifty Bank ended in red at 36,683 down 0.23%, while Nifty Financial services closed at 18,160, down -0.26%. Kotak Bank and Bajaj Finserv were among top blue-chip performers. HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank and SBI were among the volume toppers. Meanwhile, SBI Life, Axis Bank, Federal bank and Chola Invest were among the top losers.

Industry Key Takeaways

Tamilnad Mercantile Bank files IPO papers with SEBI
Private-sector lender Tamilnad Mercantile Bank has filed preliminary papers with Securities and Exchange Board of India to mop-up funds through an initial share-sale. The initial public offering (IPO) comprises fresh issue of 15,827,495 equity shares and an offer-for-sale of up to 12,505 equity shares by selling shareholders, according to the draft red herring prospectus (DRHP).

LIC Housing Finance partners with India Post Payments Bank
India Post Payments Bank (IPPB) and LIC Housing Finance on Tuesday announced a strategic partnership for providing home loan products to over 4.5 crore customers of IPPB. LIC Housing Finance was quoting at Rs 416.10, up Rs 11.35, or 2.80% on the BSE.

India’s fintech market to triple to ₹6.2 lakh cr by 2025: MoS Finance Karad
The government’s various initiatives have led to fast growth in the fintech sector, which is likely to triple to ₹6,20,700 crore in value terms by 2025, minister of state for Finance Bhagwat K Karad said on Wednesday.

Highlighting that India is a leader in adopting financial technology among emerging markets, he said, the country had an adoption rate of 87% in March 2020, as compared to the global average of 64%.

Paytm Money launches investment advisory marketplace on platform
Paytm Money, the wealth management division of digital payments major Paytm, on Tuesday said it is creating a wealth and investment advisory marketplace on its platform to offer curated advisory services and products to retail investors.

Paytm Money has partnered with investment startup WealthDesk to offer investment portfolios called ‘WealthBaskets’. A ‘WealthBasket’ is a custom portfolio of stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) created by SEBI-registered investment professionals.

India to post strong GDP growth in coming quarters: S&P
India is expected to post strong economic growth in the coming quarters, even as inflation, led by food prices, is likely to remain elevated, S&P Global Ratings said on Wednesday.

The economy is expected to clock 9.5 percent growth in the current fiscal year, followed by 7% expansion in the next year, it said, adding high nominal GDP growth would be important for ensuring fiscal consolidation going forward

Kotak Mahindra Bank slashes home loan rates by 15bps to 6.5%
Kotak Mahindra Bank announced today that it has reduced home loan rates by 15 base points, from Friday till November 8.

The bank is offering this rate in view of the upcoming festive period. The rate of 6.5% will be prevalent for both fresh home loans and balance transfers, and will be available across all loan amounts and is linked to a borrower’s credit profile.

UCO Bank shares spike 16% after RBI lifts PCA restrictions
UCO Bank shares received strong buying demand, rising as much as 15.9 percent on September 9 after the Reserve Bank of India lifted Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) restrictions on the bank.

“The performance of the UCO Bank was reviewed by the Board for Financial Supervision under the RBI. As per published results for the year ended March 31, 2021, the bank is not in breach of the PCA parameters,” said the RBI in its press release published on September 8.



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