Buy The Stocks Of Burger King India, L&T Finance & HDFC Bank, Says Motilal Oswal

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Burger King India

According to Motilal Oswal, Burger King India is one of the youngest and fastest growing players in India’s quick service restaurant (QSR) sector. It is focused on establishing and operating Burger King restaurants across India.

“In the post-COVID world, where 30-40% of restaurants are expected to shut down permanently, QSRs are well-placed to grab share from other FSI segments as branded players command greater trust,” the broking firm has said.

According to the broking firm, QSRs advantages include high affordability, globally well-known and aspirational brands, different cuisines to cater to evolving taste of the youth that have been adapted to Indian tastes. They also have the benefits of scale and better sourcing.

“The brand is globally popular for its signature product Whopper. Burger King offers its services via four channels – dine-in, takeaway, delivery and drive-thrus. We initiate coverage with a Buy rating and a target price of Rs 210,” the broking firm has said.

Shares of Burger King India were last trading at Rs 174 on the National Stock Exchange.

HDFC Bank

HDFC Bank

The firm is also bullish on one of India’s top private sector banks, HDFC Bank and is looking at an upside target of nearly 20% from the current share price of HDFC Bank, which is Rs 1,478.

According to Motilal Oswal institutional Equities, asset quality deteriorated marginally, with GNPA/NNPA ratio increasing by 15bp/8bp QoQ. Total slippages in 1QFY22 stands elevated Rs 73 billion (2.5% of loans). Also, restructured loans rose to 0.8% of loans (v/s 0.6% in FY21). The bank which declared its quarterly numbers last week saw its share price tumble in trade, and the stock fell as much as 3%.

“The bank continues to make additional contingent provisions to further strengthen its Balance Sheet. Total restructured book increased to 0.8% of loans (v/s 0.6% of loans), however overall stress formation remains under control. In the near term, lifting of RBI restrictions remains a key monitorable. We broadly maintain our earnings estimates and project 18% PAT CAGR over FY21-23E. We maintain our Buy rating with a target price of Rs 1,800 per share (3.5x FY23E ABV),” the broking firm has said.

Shares of HDFC Bank were last trading at Rs 1,478, down 3%.

L&T Finance Holdings

L&T Finance Holdings

The third stock that Motilal Oswal is bullish on and has a “buy” call on the stock is the NBFC stock of L&T Finance Holdings.

Rural businesses witnessed an improving MoM trend in Jun-Jul’21 in disbursements/collections. LTFH has been consolidating its loan book over the past many quarters, and we expect this to continue over the next 2-3 quarters. We expect disbursements in 2W/ML to pick up as collections improve. Restructured pool (including OTR 2.0) was contained at 2.6%, with a PCR of 14%. Gradual normalization in excess liquidity on the Balance Sheet will reduce the negative carry and support margin. We look to revise our estimates post the analyst call on 19th Jul’21

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in stocks is risky and investors need to be cautious. Neither Greynium Information Technologies nor the author, nor the brokerage houses mentioned would be responsible for any losses incurred based on decisions made from the article. Investors are also advised caution as the markets are now at a historic high.



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NPCI in talks to take UPI, RuPay to global markets, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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National Payment Corporation of India (NPCI) is in talks with several global agencies to expand the global footprint of indigenous payment networks RuPay and UPI (unified payment interface), possibly in West Asia, the United States, and Europe.

“We are aiming to expand RuPay and UPI acceptance across world destinations, where Indians travel for holidays, study or profession or even stay,” said Ritesh Shukla, chief executive of NPCI International Payments (NIPL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of NPCI for international business. “We are in talks with global agencies through which we are looking to introduce RuPay and UPI to the world.”

Those international agencies may include regulatory authorities, large banks, fintech companies, or even umbrella payment organisations from respective countries.

Some of the likely destinations include Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain, European and North American countries, Mauritius and Singapore, payment industry insiders said.

Shukla did not disclose names of agencies NIPL is in talks with, but a senior payment industry executive told ET, “US-based Zelle or The Clearing House could well be partners.”

Zelle Network is a payment platform in the US that deals with banks and credit unions while The Clearing House Payments Company operates core payments system infrastructure in the US.

Zelle Network and The Clearing House did not reply to ET’s queries as of press time Sunday.

The development comes at a time when global payment giant MasterCard is facing regulatory roadblocks in India.

The Reserve Bank of India had last week banned MasterCard from issuing new cards for non-compliance with data storage localisation rules. The development will likely prompt some banks using its services to reach out to RuPay, industry experts said.

RuPay already holds more than 60 per cent market share in terms of number of cards in India, outpacing both MasterCard and Visa which had till recently dominated the turf.

Launched in 2016, UPI reported a 285 per cent compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in payment volume since 2017 to hit $457 billion in 2020.

To take UPI payment system to global markets, NIPL would be reaching out to tie up with existing QR (quick response) code infrastructure operators.

RuPay acceptance can be made available through point of sale (PoS) terminals and ATMs.

Bhutan recently became the first country to adopt UPI standards for its QR code. It is also the second country after Singapore to have Bhim-UPI acceptance at merchant locations, NIPL had said last week.

Both UPI and RuPay are payment services delivered through NPCI’s multi-rail payment network.



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3 Top Solar And Renewable Energy Company Stocks To Watch Out In 2021-22

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Tata Power

Tata Power Limited, a subsidiary of the Tata Group, is an Indian electric utility company situated in Mumbai, Maharashtra. The company’s main activity is to generate, transfer, and distribute electricity. Tata Power has established TP Akkalkot Renewable Ltd, a special purpose vehicle (SPV) that will be responsible for the building, operation, and maintenance of this captive solar power plant.

The company’s debt has been reduced by 16.04 crores. The firm has a high level of operating leverage, with average operating leverage of 4.13. With a current ratio of 3.56, the company has a strong liquidity position. Tata Power’s current year dividend is Rs 1.55, with a yield of 1.25 percent.

Tata Solar has embarked on a rooftop solar installation binge. It is also one of India’s largest and oldest solar panel manufacturing plants, given the courtesy.

P/E DIV. YIELD EPS (TTM) ROE
44.13 1.25% 2.88 6.01 %

Suzlon

Suzlon

Suzlon is a leading renewable energy company in India. Wind turbine generators are designed, developed, and manufactured by the corporation (WTGs). It is a company that creates, develops, and manufactures wind turbine generators (WTGs). It also offers ancillary services, giving it a significant presence throughout the wind energy value chain.

The company has a high level of operating leverage, with an average operating leverage of 56.32 percent. Suzlon Energy has a PE ratio of -17.67, which is low and inexpensive compared to its peers. Suzlon Energy has a D/E ratio of -1.16, indicating that the company has a low debt-to-capital ratio. Over the last three years, the company has had a dismal ROE of 6.77 percent. In the past year, the stock has given a return of 68%.

P/E DIV. YIELD EPS (TTM) ROE
0 0 -0.45 0

Adani Power

Adani Power

Adani Power Limited is the power division of the Adani Group, an Indian conglomerate headquartered in Ahmedabad, Gujarat. Adani Power has a D/E ratio of 1.90, indicating that the company has a low debt-to-capital ratio. Adani Power’s operating margin for the current financial year is 8.74 percent. The current ratio of Adani Power is 0.15.

The green energy investments sparked value purchasing and partial payments to the Rajasthan and Maharashtra governments that had been long overdue. Aside from that, the cancellation of Adani Power’s delisting has aided the company’s share price surge. In the past year, the stock has given a fantastic return of 202% and YTD returns of 113%.

P/E DIV. YIELD ROE EPS (TTM) in Rs
0 0 -6.54 % -1.29

Top 4 Indian Solar Company Stocks To Watch Out

Top 4 Indian Solar Company Stocks To Watch Out

Websol Energy System

In India, it is a significant manufacturer of solar cells and panels. The company has a reputation for high-quality products ranging from 5 W to 220 W, catering to the demands of home, commercial, and industrial institutions, and has been in business for more than two decades.

Websol Energy System has a market capitalization of Rs 221.12 crore. The company generated gross sales of Rs. 1955.42 crores and total income of Rs.2064.41 crores in the most recent quarter. It has a PE ratio of 3.26, which is low and cheap compared to its peers. The stock gained 57.4 percent over three years, compared to 39.97 percent for the Nifty Smallcap 100. The D/E ratio of Websol Energy System is 0.61, indicating that the company has a low debt-to-capital ratio. Given its development and performance, Websol Energy System’s revenue climbed by 185.22 percent, which is respectable.

LTP 1 year YTD
70.75 260.97% 46.94%

Swelect Energy Systems

Swelect Energy Systems

Swelect Energy Systems Limited is a solar module, mounting structure, transformer, and inverter manufacturer and trader based in India, Europe, and internationally. Solar and Solar Related Activities, Foundry Business, and others are the company’s three segments.

Swelect Energy’s PE ratio is 16.52, which is excessive and overvalued in comparison. Swelect Energy has a negative return on investment (ROI) of -1.89 percent, which is a bad omen for future performance. (higher values are always desirable). The current year dividend for Swelect Energy is Rs 2 and the yield is 1.12 %.

Numeric Power Systems Limited was the company’s previous name until May 2012, when it was renamed Swelect Energy Systems Limited. Swelect Energy Systems Limited is based in Chennai, India, and was founded in 1994.

The current share price of Swelect Energy Systems is 260.25. It currently has a market capitalization of Rs 402.01 crore. The company reported gross sales of Rs. 1420.4 crores and total income of Rs. 1737.5 crores in the most recent quarter.

LTP 1 Year YTD
258.45 19.57% 128.62%

Surana Solar

Surana Solar

In comparison to the Nifty Smallcap 100, which returned 48.85 percent over three years, the stock returned 59.04 percent. Surana Solar Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in India. The current share price is 13.64. It now has a market capitalization of Rs 64.61 crore.

The company’s debt has been reduced by 16.04 crores. The firm has a high level of operating leverage, with average operating leverage of 4.13. With a current ratio of 3.56, the company has a strong liquidity position.

LTP 1 year YTD
13.80 29.58% 97.14%

Urja Global

Urja Global

Urja Global Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in the United Kingdom. The current share price is Rs. 7.55. It now has a market capitalization of Rs 422.36 crore. The company reported gross sales of Rs. 1445.59 crores and a total income of Rs.1463.63 crores in the most recent quarter. The stock returned 149.18 percent over three years, compared to 48.85 percent for the Nifty Smallcap 100. A greater current ratio is desirable so that the corporation can withstand unanticipated business and economic downturns. The current ratio of Urja Global is 1.09. The organization can take advantage of India’s rural development wave of opportunity and optimism surrounding solar energy.

LTP 1 year YTD
7.55 142.77% 18.52%

Highlights of Renewable Energy

Highlights of Renewable Energy

  • India has the world’s fifth-largest installed renewable energy capacity.
  • India’s Wind power has the fourth greatest installed capacity in the world.
  • In the last five years, solar power capacity has expanded by more than 5 times, from 6.7 GW to 40 GW in March 2021.
  • By 2030, the Indian government wants to boost overall renewable energy capacity to 450 GW. Gujarat is now constructing the world’s largest renewable energy park, a 30 GW solar-wind hybrid project.
  • India has the world’s fifth-largest solar installed capacity.
  • ReNew Power, Vikram Solar, Indosolar, Waaree Solar are some of the popular non-listed solar companies.



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SBM Bank ties up with 30 FinTechs to grow deposits, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: SBM Bank, a wholly-owned subsidiary of State Bank of Mauritius, has partnered with 30 fintech firms as a part of its strategy to acquire customers using the ‘banking as a service’ model.

Under this, the FinTechs provide an interface for customers, and the bank delivers the network effect by providing not just the banking platform but also access to other fintech services that it has partnered with.

SBM earlier operated as an Indian branch of its parent doing wholesale banking and did not have any electronic interface like internet or mobile banking. In end-2018, the bank got a full-fledged bank licence. “This enabled us to leapfrog in terms of IT and provide a new technology stack to the customer,” said MD & CEO Sidharth Rath. According to him, the bank took a call to build a liability (deposit) franchise first. “Building a branch network is expensive and it costs as much as Rs 1-1.5 crore to set up a branch. For us, the lockdown was a blessing as it hastened the move to digital,” he added.

The FinTechs the bank has partnered with include Paisabazaar, through which it issues innovative products like a secured credit card. Young people and others who are otherwise ineligible for credit cards can instantly open a fixed deposit online and get a secured credit card. Once they build a track record of paying bills in time, they are eligible for a regular card.

Similarly, through a partnership with PayNearby, the bank can get small recurring deposits through the ‘Bachat Khata’ offered by the FinTech, which offers business correspondent services on the digital platform. The bank can offer customers immediate cross-border payments through its partnership with Nium. Other partners include RedCarpet, EnKash, Karbon, Finin, Open and Kodo.

“While we are present in only eight cities with physical branches, we have opened accounts in 500 cities with these digital accounts. This will continue to grow because the relationships have just about started,” said Neeraj Sinha, head (consumer & retail banking). Another advantage that SBM is exploiting is that of its offshore parent, which enables the bank to facilitate remittances under the RBI’s Liberalised Remittance Scheme for purchasing shares or other assets through a foreign currency account. Additionally, SBM’s model gains from the fact that it is not capital-intensive. The bank, which started out with Rs 500 crore, has added another Rs 100 crore to its capital base and has managed to generate profits from its first year of business.



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HDFC Bank cautious on retail biz, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: The second wave of the pandemic has turned HDFC Bank cautious with respect to retail loans. The bank’s overall retail loan book shrank from Rs 5.27 lakh crore at the end-March 2021 to Rs 5.23 lakh crore at the end-June. Retail loans fell with a drop in credit card outstandings, auto loans, two-wheeler loans and loans against securities.

According to HDFC Bank’s chief financial officer Srinivasan Vaidyanathan, credit card outstanding shrank to Rs 60,429 crore in end-June from Rs 64,674 crore in end-March because of a drop in revolving credit. He said that the focus was on the quality of credit and around three-fourths of the bank’s credit card customers have deposits that are on average five times the credit card outstanding. He was addressing analysts in a conference call after the bank’s results for the first quarter of the current fiscal.

Speaking in the same call, head (retail assets) Arvind Kapil said that the bank was now seeing buoyancy returning to the personal loan segment and expects good growth in future.

The bank, which is facing a freeze on issuing new cards, has completed an audit of its IT systems as required by the RBI and is now waiting to hear from the central bank. Even as it awaits the RBI’s nod for resuming card issuance, the bank is rapidly growing its card-acceptance business. Vaidyanathan said that the bank already has 2.3 million merchant-acceptance points and it has a 50% market share of merchants being on-boarded for card acceptance as against 40% last year.

HDFC Bank’s chief credit officer Jimmy Tata said that, during the quarter, things had not been the most orderly because of the second wave. “We were pretty much back to pre-Covid level until March, till the second wave hit us in April. We found our staff getting infected rapidly and we stopped going out on recovery calls. Most of the work was work-from-home. It is only in the month of June that we had the ability to start going out,” he said. In the second quarter, there has been a high level of vaccinations in the bank and staff have returned to the office for calling on borrowers.

According to Tata, the one product segment that has seen a non-Covid impact was diesel commercial vehicles (CVs), because they have not been able to pass on the sharp hike in fuel costs. He said that the bank was watching the portfolio as it would take two quarters for the price hike to be passed on. “We expect that by the festival season, things would have been brought back on an even keel, with cost increases passed on.”

On the cards business, Srinivasan said that HDFC Bank’s debit card issuance would not be hit because of the ban on Mastercard except for a couple of co-branded cards. He said that cards contribute between one-fourth to a third of the bank’s fee income in any quarter.



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Gold loans, best option amid the Covid pandemic

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The demand for gold loans surged in the last fiscal as lenders, in general, turned cautious in the wake of Covid-19 pandemic, which impacted lives and livelihoods. With the traditional funding avenues being clogged, borrowers found it convenient to secure credit for their personal and business needs by pledging their gold jewellery.

This was adequately supported by the spike in gold prices, especially between April 2020 and August 2020, when gold prices went up by about 25 per cent. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) also relaxed the loan-to-value (LTV) of these loans (for non-agricultural purposes) from 75 per cent to 90 per cent for banks till March 31. While the prices came down from the peak witnessed in August 2020 as of March 2021, it was marginally higher than in the beginning of the year. Loans against gold jewellery are typically less rigorous vis-a-vis other types of loans, and are largely based on the assessment of the ornaments being pledged. The above, along with the counter-cyclical nature of this asset segment, bodes well for borrowers, especially for the non-prime borrower segments, whose income levels are more vulnerable to adverse economic cycles.

Bank credit grows

The bank credit to this segment, under the personal credit category, grew at about 81 per cent during the last fiscal to ₹605 billion in March 2021. Over the last two years, the overall bank credit to this segment grew at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56 per cent, while overall bank credit and the banking personal credit segment grew at a CAGR of 6 per cent and 13 per cent, respectively.

The country’s largest bank, SBI, saw its personal gold loans grow by about 465 per cent on a year-on-year basis during the last fiscal. Banks also extend agricultural loans against gold jewellery for their rural borrowers.

Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) also saw their asset under management (AUM) grow by about 27 per cent compared with the overall NBFC credit growth of about 4 per cent during the last fiscal. NBFCs’ credit to this segment stood at about ₹1.1 trillion as of March 2021 against the estimated gold security, weighing about 350-400 tonne.

Bank credit grew by about 34 per cent on a year-on-year basis in May 2021 and is expected to be moderate vis a vis the last fiscal, while NBFC credit is expected to grow at about 14-16 per cent in the current fiscal. Various estimates put India’ gold holdings at about 25,000 tonnes, which provides a large scope for this segment to grow going forward in the long term.

Limited documentation

Product delivery for the NBFCs is better vis a vis banks, as they offer quick loans with limited documentation. The interest rates offered by the NBFCs are higher and in the range of 12-26 per cent (average ~20-22 per cent) per annum depending on the tenor, repayment patterns etc, while banks charge an interest rate of 8-10 per cent per annum. The convenience offered by the NBFCs and their gold-loan focussed branches, however, help in keeping the turnaround time much lower than the banks.

The gold loan business has been branch-centric in the past and NBFCs have been taking initiatives to digitise the process, and some also offer door-step credit and gold collection facilities.

The pace of digitalisation, involving online transactions for securing credit and repayments, improved with the pandemic-induced business disruptions, and is currently estimated at 20-25 per cent of the overall NBFC gold loan AUM. Banks, on the other hand, have tied up with smaller NBFCs and fintechs to improve their penetration.

The gold price movement is a crucial factor and could have an impact on the segmental asset quality; entities, however, have adapted to this risk by either lowering their loan tenure (3/6/9 months vis a vis the typical tenor of 12 months) or by ensuring regular collections of interest (monthly or quarterly vis a vis bullet payments) while maintaining the 12-month tenure, thereby, securing themselves against any large swings in gold prices. Generally, loans with a 12-month tenure get repaid in 5-6 months or get renewed basis the prevailing gold price.

Maximum decline

Looking at the gold prices trends over the last 10 years, the maximum decline witnessed in gold prices in a quarter was about 10 per cent, while it saw a maximum of about 15 per cent decline over a six-month period. Lenders typically have an option to call for additional collateral if the LTVs increase beyond the regulatory stipulated levels of 75 per cent and could auction the gold jewellery offered for security.

Auctions have been as high as 21-22 per cent of the opening portfolio for some NBFCs in the past (FY13-FY14); while there have been instances of under-recovery in the interest accrued on the overdue loans, especially the loans originated before the imposition of LTV cap by the RBI, loan losses in these auctions have been quite negligible.

The average annual credit cost for the large NBFCs, over the last 10 years, is about 0.4 per cent, and maximum credit cost observed during this period was about 1 per cent. Short tenure, small ticket size, conservative LTV (65-70 per cent) and access to collateral make this a go-to asset class for lenders when the credit risk perception is unfavourable.

 

(The writer is Vice-President & Sector Head, ICRA)

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The turnaround story of Indian Overseas Bank

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The turnaround story of a private sector entity gets a lot of attention while the tendency is to brush off anything that pertains to a public sector organisation’s success.

The Chennai-headquartered public sector lender Indian Overseas Bank’s efforts in achieving a turnaround in six years is nothing short of an impressive saga. The turnaround experience of the 84-year-old bank provides a valuable lesson on team effort, and also busts several myths about the leadership of public sector entities.

Amid speculation over its privatisation and the euphoria over its benefits, the successful turnaround of Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) is worth recounting as to how the team pulled it off.

The crisis started for the public sector lender in 2015-16 when the bank posted a net loss of ₹454 crore after reporting strong profit several years before that. The losses started mounting to ₹2,897 crore in FY16 and ₹3,417 crore in FY17.

A few major factors were reported to have caused deterioration in IOB’s performance.

Borrowing normally takes place after a clear plan for deployment. Else, it will cause a huge interest burden. But in IOB’s case, huge overseas borrowings, with no proper plan for deployment, caused a huge dent to the balance sheet.

Aggressive lending

With adequate capital in hand, the company resorted to aggressive lending, particularly to large corporates. While its exposure to this large corporate segment increased significantly, which was never a case in the history of IOB earlier, most of the large corporate accounts turned bad (NPA) in the subsequent months, wreaking havoc on the bank’s balance sheet.

The exposure to large corporate grew significantly from a small share in the book to fund-based exposure of ₹84,634 crore and non-fund exposure of ₹17,478 crore in 2014-15.

Also, reckless branch expansion without adequate resources, led to more branches incurring losses. Between 2010-11 and 2013-14, the bank opened more than 1,250 new branches which never happened in the history of IOB.

To add to the bank’s woes, poor IT systems and absence of a mechanism for monitoring customer complaints worsened the situation.

High contraction of credit led to rise in gross NPAs and the situation started turning worse with poor credit offtake and ballooning bad loans in the subsequent years. Consequently, the bank was put under the PCA (prompt corrective action) programme by the RBI from September 2015.

R Subramaniakumar, who served Punjab National Bank, was appointed as MD and CEO of the bank in May 2017. When he took charge, the bank reported its highest-ever net loss, Gross NPA of more than ₹35,000 crore and net NPA close to ₹20,000 crore. Also, almost one-fourth of the branches were making losses with a huge number of customer complaints.

Turnaround programme

In 2017, R Subramaniakumar and his team embarked on a massive turnaround programme, with a multi-pronged strategy under which it used INR surplus swap option, rebalanced its portfolio by significantly reducing exposure to large corporates, brought in huge HR focus, and perfected the IT systems.

“The revival programme was taken up with participation of entire IOB staff, unions and others as everyone showed enthusiasm for the revival of the bank,” says a former top official of the bank.

Under HR focus, the management resumed promotions to boost the morale of staff, which was at historic low due to various issues. People were recognised for work and performance. Another important focus area that contributed to the turnaround was the restoration of IT system. Since there was no centralised mechanism to monitor complaints and offer solutions, complaints surged, and at one point, there were more than 9,000 complaints, including disputes in ATM and other issues. The formation of multiple IT teams with additional training support from IT major Infosys helped reduce complaints drastically over a period of 6 months with several processes getting automated. The number of loss-making branches was reduced to low single-digits from 25 per cent earlier.

“IT automation gave a big boost to the bank by way of stability, customer confidence while boosting the morale of staff,” says a former senior official of the bank.

Under rebalancing of credit portfolio plan, the bank moved away from the large corporate segment and created a separate team for mid-corporate loans, while accelerating the focus on RAM (retail, agriculture and MSME) segment, the share of which grew significantly from 40 per cent in 2017 to 65 per cent in the subsequent years (now RAM is about 74 per cent of total domestic advances). Also, CASA share was increased to one-third in FY18 from one-fourth earlier (now it has touched 43 per cent), while additional focus on non-interest income has boosted its performance.

IOB’s multi-pronged initiatives started yielding positive outcomes; it exhibited improvement in reducing the gross and net NPAs and upgraded the provision coverage ratio from 53.63 per cent in FY17 to 71.39 per cent in FY19. Automation of NPA administration like transparent OTS settlement and identifying the early warning signal accounts helped the bank contain fresh slippages and improved the NPA recovery.

The bank carried forward the turnaround measures under Karnam Sekar, who took charge as the MD and CEO of the bank in July 2019. Though losses continued, the December 2019 quarter saw its net NPA falling below six per cent, helped by the government’s capital infusion of ₹4,360 crore and other measures.

Returns to black

With reduction in NPAs and provisions, the bank swung into profit mode in Q4 of FY20 and it maintained its profitability in the following four quarters. Finally, the bank returned to black after suffering losses for six years in a row.

IOB’s net profit in March 2021 quarter more than doubled to ₹350 crore (₹144 crore in March 2020 quarter). Its net NPA declined to 3.58 per cent in March 2021 quarter from 5.44 per cent in March 2020 quarter.

For FY21, it posted a net profit of ₹831 crore against a net loss of ₹8,527 crore in FY20. Its gross NPA was ₹16,323 crore, while net NPA was below ₹5,000 crore (₹4,578 to be precise). Provision coverage ratio has improved from 53.63 per cent in FY17 to 90.34 per cent in FY21.

The current MD and CEO, Partha Pratim Sengupta, said it was a great achievement by Team IOB to script the turnaround and the bank was confident of continuing the performance in the coming years.

The bank has written to the RBI to move out of the PCA framework and the exit will help the bank focus on future growth and other opportunities. It has also planned for a capital infusion of ₹2,000 crore in this fiscal to support its growth plans.

Senior officials of the bank say IOB carries huge potential to emerge as one of the strongest banks in the mid-segment as it has introduced strategic changes, supported by the motivated staff.

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ED stance strikes at the heart of cryptocurrency in India, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: The stand taken by the Enforcement Directorate (ED) on cryptocurrencies can unsettle crypto trading and all bourses in India. The agency, in its recent notice to WazirX, has asked the country’s largest crypto exchange to explain why ‘withdrawal from crypto wallets’ is not a violation of the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA), a person familiar with the issue told ET.

The ED notice puts a question mark on the very essence of cryptos and fundamental structure of the underlying digital ledger, blockchain, that allow holders of cryptos to freely transfer coins from their wallets to another wallet and to anyone, anywhere in the world.The agency had asked WazirX to explain transactions worth 2,790.74 crore. “These were carried out in violation of forex rules. WazirX’s platform allowed clients to transfer cryptocurrencies without proper documentation, making it a route for laundering,” said an official.

“Since money has crossed borders, the law of the land applies and one needs to be sure that this money isn’t cheap money (cheap money is low-interest loan) or dirty money (used for illegal activities),” said an ED official.

A trader buying Bitcoin, the most popular cryptocurrency, on WazirX stores the coin in her wallet with the exchange. However, she can move the crypto purchased on WazirX platform to another wallet with another exchange in India or abroad, or to her private wallet which is not linked to any exchange, or directly move coins to the wallet of another person who may be located anywhere.

“WazirX, like other exchanges, may be doing the KYC of traders and investors who have accounts and wallets with it. If any of these traders withdraws a few Bitcoins, WazirX would also know the ‘address’ of the external wallet where the Bitcoins are sent. But it can never know the identity of the person or the entity owning the other wallet which receives the Bitcoin. Knowing the address of the wallet is not the same as knowing the people behind the wallet. This is the very nature of cryptos,” said an industry person.

“The exchange has claimed they have done KYC, but that isn’t enough to ensure that the digital currency isn’t misused. In the absence of any official digital currency and regulation, there have been instances of Bitcoins being used to buy drugs on the dark net as well as for money laundering,” the ED official added.

WazirX and a few exchanges have also received notices from the income tax department which is trying to figure out the source of earnings of the bourses and whether parts have escaped tax.

WazirX CEO and founder Nischal Shetty declined to comment on the matter. The exchange, it is believed, is yet to respond to the ED notice.

The central agency had served the notice to WazirX in June after it stumbled upon information on crypto withdrawals and receipts in the course of an ongoing investigation into Chinese-owned online illegal betting applications. ED, in a June 11 press release had said the Rs 800-crore crypto inflow and Rs 1400-crore crypto outflow were not available on the blockchain.

“While the present investigation is linked to WazirX, ED’s approach and line of questioning could eventually involve other exchanges. Traders on all exchanges are free to transfer cryptos to other wallets… However, we have not received queries or asked to share data on outflow-inflow into wallets,” said an official with another exchange.

Many in the fintech world may argue that ED is wrongly comparing crypto transactions with banking transactions. “A bank or the regulator can find out the details of suspicious accounts. But the essence of cryptos, which aims to bypass the banking system, is anonymity and privacy,” said another person.

However, the concern over fund movements in the garb of cryptos is being voiced by regulators world over. In 2019, the Financial Action Task Force — an intergovernmental organization to combat money-laundering — had come out with the ‘Travel Rule’ that prescribes exchanges, custodians as well as wallet providers to share information on senders and recipients of cryptos.

“It may be easy to implement this among exchanges within a country even if they are competitors. But to enforce this across the world among exchanges and service providers with servers located in different jurisdictions can be a big challenge. Also, it’s difficult to track debits and credits in private wallets which are available on mobile phones and other devices,” said a fintech official.



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Debt Free Company With Dividend Yield Of 8.61%, Investors Should Buy The Stock

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Solid dividend yields, make the stock of Coal India attractive

Last year, for 2020-21, Coal India declared a dividend of Rs 12.5 per share. The company declared a dividend of Rs 7.5 per share in November 2020 and again a dividend of Rs 5 per share in the month of Feb 2021, taking the total to Rs 12.5 per share. If you buy the shares at Rs 145 and assume the company continues to pay the same dividend, your dividend yield on the stock works to around 8.61%, which is pretty good.

In the previous year 2019-20 also the dividend was almost the same at Rs 12 per share. It is unlikely that the company would reduce its dividend in the years to come, which means that your yield is much better than bank deposits. State Bank of India deposits are fetching an interest rate of 5.5% only.

The company is the world’s biggest coal mining company, which is also cash rich and debt free. It is unlikely at least there are any threats to the business. Also, with the government facing a huge shortfall in revenues, Coal India maybe forced to pay a higher dividend this financial year.

Who you should buy the stock of Coal India?

Who you should buy the stock of Coal India?

Last month, brokerage firm Motilal Oswal said to buy the stock with a price target of Rs 185, which is almost 25% higher from the current levels. ICICI Direct in a recent report last week said that for Q1FY22E, coal offtake was at 160 million tonne (MT), up 33% YoY but down 3% QoQ.

“We expect consolidated topline to increase 37% YoY but decline 5% QoQ to Rs 25,295 crore. The consolidated EBITDA margin is likely to come in at 22.5% (vs. 23.9% in Q4FY21 and 16.5% in Q1FY21). We expect EBITDA/tonne to come in at Rs 355/tonne (compared to Rs 387/tonne in Q4FY21 and Rs 253/tonne in Q1FY21),” the brokerage has said.

Many brokerages remain optimistic on the stock and have a “buy” rating, thanks to the dividend yield. We believe that the downside risk to the stock remain limited given its superior dividend yields, debt free status and robust cash flows.

“At 3.2 times FY22E EV/EBITDA and 6 times FY22E P/E, Coal India remains attractively valued and implies a PV of just 10 years of future cash flows. We maintain our Buy rating on COAL with a target price of Rs 185 per share, based on 4x FY22E EV/EBITDA,” brokerage firm Motilal Oswal said in its last report on Coal India in June.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in stocks is risky and investors need to be cautious. Neither Greynium Information Technologies nor the author, nor the brokerage houses mentioned would be responsible for any losses incurred based on decisions made from the article. Investors are also advised caution as the markets are now at a historic high.

About the author

About the author

Sunil Fernandes the author of the article has spent 27 years covering stocks markets and mutual funds. He is the Managing Editor of Goodreturns.in and has worked with Hindustan Times, Deccan Herald, Oman Economic Review, Dalal Street Investment Journal and Gulf Times.



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