How Gold Prices In India Have Moved In The Last 10-years?

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

|

Gold investors have gained pretty decent returns in the last 10-years in India. A mix of a rally in international prices and a falling rupee have propelled prices, resulting in pretty decent annualized returns to investors. Let’s take a look at the historical prices of gold in the last 10-years. In fact, gold has grown almost 10 times in the last 20-years.

Let’s take a look at the historical price movement of gold in India in the last 10-years. This is for 24 karats and reflects 10 grams. Prices are indicative and cannot be accurate.

Year 24-karats for 10-grams
2011 Rs 26,350
2012 Rs 31,025
2013 Rs 29,650
2014 Rs 28,000
2015 Rs 26,400
2016 Rs 28,700
2017 Rs 26,600
2018 Rs 31,400
2019 Rs 35,300
2020 Rs 48,800
2021 Rs 48,850

The big post covid jump in gold prices

For almost 6-years between 2011 and 2017, gold prices barely moved in India. Thereafter, there was some marginal traction, but the real gains were notched in 2020 and 2021, following the discovery of Covid-19 infections. Gold being a safe haven asset, investors took shelter in gold and international prices rallied. In India, gold for 24 karats hit a peak near the Rs 54,000 levels, after which there has been some dip.

The sharp run-up in the last two years has prompted lesser investment physically in the precious metal. In fact, demand for gold in countries like India has reduced considerably. Physical demand over the last 1-year has also been jolted by covid-19 cases. Investors across the globe continue to look to invest in gold ETFs, where there maybe reasonable demand going ahead.

How Gold Prices In India Have Moved In The Last 10-years?

What lies ahead for gold prices?

With the rally of the last 2-years, it’s unlikely that we will see any solid movement in the precious metal. In fact, our own belief is that there maybe a long period of stability in the precious metal. Gold requires a trigger like a geo-political tension or a covid to spark a rally. Interestingly, the global economy is gathering steam, which is good news for equities and not so for gold. At the moment, in the short to medium term, there are no triggers to spark a big rally in the precious metal.

In India, the rupee movement against the dollar plays a big role in the movement of gold. If the rupee depreciates against the dollar, it leads to gold prices going higher and vice versa.

The government of India in the Union Budget proposals this year announced a cut in import duty of gold. The government announced cut in customs duty on gold and silver to 7.5% from 12.5%. India imports bulk of its gold requirements and hence the cut in the duty, did make gold prices cheaper.

Gold price movement in 2021, 22 karats at the local jeweller

Price Date
Rs 48, 940 Jan 1, 2021
Rs 48,450 Feb 1, 2021
Rs 44,940 March 1, 2021
Rs 43,370 April 1, 2021
Rs 44,170 May 1, 2021
Rs 46,900 June 1, 2021

As can be seen in the table above, the sharp fall in gold prices in the month of Feb and March was largely to do with the reduction in import duties of gold. Since then, gold in the international market has moved higher, which has pushed domestic markets higher. It’s likely that gold would hover in that range of Rs 45,000 to Rs 50,000.

Much would depend on gold prices in the global markets, where movement of inflation in the US and rising bond yields pose a major risk to gold prices. All in all, if you are looking to buy gold, you may do so only on declines, as there maybe a little more downside left. If you are looking at consumption related buying, then there is no choice, but to go ahead and buy.

Check gold rates in all major cities in India



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RBI imposes Rs 6 cr penalty on BoI, PNB, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: The RBI on Monday imposed penalty aggregating to Rs 6 crore on Bank of India and Punjab National Bank for contravention of norms, including one related to “Frauds – Classification and Reporting”.

A penalty of Rs 4 crore has been imposed on Bank of India and Rs 2 crore on Punjab National Bank.

In a statement, the RBI said the statutory Inspection for Supervisory Evaluation (lSE) of Bank of India was conducted with reference to its financial position as on March 31, 2019.

The bank had also conducted a review and submitted a Fraud Monitoring Report (FMR) dated January 1, 2019 pertaining to detection of fraud in an account.

Examination of the risk assessment report pertaining to the ISE and the FMR revealed non-compliance with/contravention of directions, viz., breach of stipulated transaction limits; delay in transfer of unclaimed balances to DEA Fund; delay in reporting a fraud to RBI and sale of a fraudulent asset, the statement said.

In a separate statement, the Reserve Bank said the statutory ISE of Punjab National Bank was conducted with reference to its financial position as on March 31, 2018 (ISE 2018) and March 31, 2019 (ISE 2019).

The examination of the risk assessment reports pertaining to ISE 2018 and 2019 revealed non-compliance with/contravention of the aforesaid directions, viz., delay in reporting of frauds and not ensuring data accuracy and integrity while submitting data on CRILC platform/ to RBI, it said.

In both cases, notices were issued to show cause as to why penalty should not be imposed on them for such violations of the directions.

The RBI, however, added that the penalties have been imposed based on the deficiencies in regulatory compliance and are not intended to pronounce upon the validity of any transaction or agreement entered into them with their customers.



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How to Update Income Tax Profile Details -Mobile Number, Email ID on New Income Tax Portal?

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Taxes

oi-Sneha Kulkarni

|

The income tax agency inaugurated a new platform called e-filing 2.0 on Monday, which will make filing returns and paying taxes online much easier.

Taxpayers were also required to re-register their DSC (Digital Signature Certificate), update their personal mobile number and email ID under ‘primary contact,’ act on any pending action, and reply to any ‘outstanding demand,’ according to the tax department.

The I-T e-filing portal has approximately 8.46 crore individual registered users. For the Assessment Year 2020-21, almost 3.13 crore ITRs have been e-verified (the fiscal year 2019-20).

How to Update Income Tax Profile Details on New Income Tax Website?

What are the details that can be updated on the Income tax website?

  • Source of Income details
  • Bank Account and Demat Account details
  • Register DSC
  • Contact details (through OTP authentication)

Personal Details

  • You can alter your basic profile details, such as Type of External Agency, Type of Services, PAN of Organization, TAN of Organization; contact info; manage certificates, update principal contact info, add or remove ERI, and alter ERI type, if you are logged in as an ERI.
  • You can update contact information, manage certificates, add or delete key personnel, and add or delete services if you are logged in as an External Agency.
  • You can update contact information, manage certificates, and update or add additional technical SPOC details if you are a TIN 2.0 stakeholder who is logged in.

What is a Secure Access Message?

A Secure Access Message is a customized message that serves as verification that the website you’ve visited is legitimate. After logging in, this can be changed in the profile section. Your secure access message is set to “login” by default for now.

How to Update Profile Details -Mobile Number, Email ID in New Income Tax Portal?

Step 1: Visit www.incometax.gov.in
Step 2: Click on the Individuals/HUF tab
Step 3: Enter your PAN in the Enter your User ID and click Continue.
Step 4: Confirm your Secure Access Message.
Step 5: Enter your Password and click Continue.
Step 6: Once you Login
Step 7: Select Update profile from the drop-down menu
Step 8: Login using PAN/Aadhaar number.
Step 9: Click on Profile
Step 10: Enter details of mobile number, Email ID
Step 11: Confirm the same

To check your status, go to your profile and click Register DSC. If the DSC for the PAN / Principal Contact is not registered or expired, a notification will be displayed in the profile after login for CA/Company/ERI.

GoodReturns.in

Story first published: Tuesday, June 8, 2021, 9:37 [IST]



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Made A Profit From Trading In Crypto! Here’re The 6 Things You Need To Know

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Taxes

oi-Vipul Das

|

First and foremost, we must remind you that the government has recently extended the timeframe for filing income tax returns for the fiscal year 2020-21 to September 30 and individuals with an income of more than Rs 2.5 lakh are required to file income tax returns (ITR) under the Income Tax Act. Many Indian investors have turned to digital currencies in the expectation of generating quick money, but they are unsure how to report their gains. As a consequence, while you as a crypto investor may have profited lavishly, you may be perplexed as to how these profits can be reported in your IT return. Cryptocurrency gains, according to tax professionals, are taxable. These earnings are categorized as either capital gains or business income. So, let’s talk about how cryptocurrency profits should be reported on an ITR form.

Made A Profit From Trading In Crypto! Here’re The 6 Things You Need To Know

How gains from Cryptocurrencies are taxable?

1. While filing an ITR, earnings from cryptocurrencies can be stated under ‘Income From Other Sources.’

2. The period of holding will be taken into consideration while calculating the tax on cryptocurrencies. Long-term capital gains (LTCG) are taxable if investors hold cryptocurrencies for 36 months or longer, while short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxable if they hold for less than 36 months.

3. Short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxed at the taxpayer’s slab rate, whereas long-term capital gains are taxed at a rate of 20% with indexation.

4. ITR-2 and ITR-3 should be used to file tax returns for individuals who have capital gains or business income from cryptocurrencies.

5. Individuals with taxable income over Rs 50 lakh are required to fill out Schedule AL in ITR forms, which covers details regarding mutual funds, securities, and cryptocurrencies.

6. Moreover, if you have a dearth of transparency on crypto taxation, it is wise to discuss with your tax expert before disclosing your crypto gains on ITR forms.



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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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(Amount in ₹ crore, Rate in Per cent)

  Volume
(One Leg)
Weighted
Average Rate
Range
A. Overnight Segment (I+II+III+IV) 375,670.92 3.26 0.01-3.45
     I. Call Money 8,257.43 3.13 1.90-3.40
     II. Triparty Repo 253,304.15 3.25 3.20-3.40
     III. Market Repo 111,938.34 3.30 0.01-3.45
     IV. Repo in Corporate Bond 2,171.00 3.42 3.40-3.45
B. Term Segment      
     I. Notice Money** 801.75 3.22 2.75-3.40
     II. Term Money@@ 277.00 3.05-3.40
     III. Triparty Repo 219.40 3.24 3.24-3.24
     IV. Market Repo 195.00 3.00 3.00-3.00
     V. Repo in Corporate Bond 0.00
  Auction Date Tenor (Days) Maturity Date Amount Current Rate /
Cut off Rate
C. Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) & Marginal Standing Facility (MSF)
I. Today’s Operations
1. Fixed Rate          
     (i) Repo          
     (ii) Reverse Repo Mon, 07/06/2021 1 Tue, 08/06/2021 398,908.00 3.35
     (iii) Special Reverse Repo~          
2. Variable Rate&          
  (I) Main Operation          
     (a) Reverse Repo          
  (II) Fine Tuning Operations          
     (a) Repo          
     (b) Reverse Repo
3. MSF Mon, 07/06/2021 1 Tue, 08/06/2021 52.00 4.25
4. Special Long-Term Repo Operations (SLTRO) for Small Finance Banks (SFBs)£          
5. Net liquidity injected from today’s operations
[injection (+)/absorption (-)]*
      -398,856.00  
II. Outstanding Operations
1. Fixed Rate          
     (i) Repo          
     (ii) Reverse Repo          
     (iii) Special Reverse Repo~ Fri, 04/06/2021 14 Fri, 18/06/2021 150.00 3.75
2. Variable Rate&          
  (I) Main Operation          
     (a) Reverse Repo Fri, 04/06/2021 14 Fri, 18/06/2021 200,029.00 3.46
  (II) Fine Tuning Operations          
     (a) Repo          
     (b) Reverse Repo          
3. MSF          
4. Long-Term Repo Operations# Mon, 17/02/2020 1095 Thu, 16/02/2023 499.00 5.15
  Mon, 02/03/2020 1094 Wed, 01/03/2023 253.00 5.15
  Mon, 09/03/2020 1093 Tue, 07/03/2023 484.00 5.15
  Wed, 18/03/2020 1094 Fri, 17/03/2023 294.00 5.15
5. Targeted Long Term Repo Operations^ Fri, 27/03/2020 1092 Fri, 24/03/2023 12,236.00 4.40
  Fri, 03/04/2020 1095 Mon, 03/04/2023 16,925.00 4.40
  Thu, 09/04/2020 1093 Fri, 07/04/2023 18,042.00 4.40
  Fri, 17/04/2020 1091 Thu, 13/04/2023 20,399.00 4.40
6. Targeted Long Term Repo Operations 2.0^ Thu, 23/04/2020 1093 Fri, 21/04/2023 7,950.00 4.40
7. On Tap Targeted Long Term Repo Operations Mon, 22/03/2021 1095 Thu, 21/03/2024 5,000.00 4.00
8. Special Long-Term Repo Operations (SLTRO) for Small Finance Banks (SFBs)£ Mon, 17/05/2021 1095 Thu, 16/05/2024 400.00 4.00
D. Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF) Availed from RBI$       1,662.00  
E. Net liquidity injected from outstanding operations [injection (+)/absorption (-)]*     -116,035.00  
F. Net liquidity injected (outstanding including today’s operations) [injection (+)/absorption (-)]*     -514,891.00  
G. Cash Reserves Position of Scheduled Commercial Banks
     (i) Cash balances with RBI as on 07/06/2021 606,491.98  
     (ii) Average daily cash reserve requirement for the fortnight ending 18/06/2021 611,914.00  
H. Government of India Surplus Cash Balance Reckoned for Auction as on¥ 07/06/2021 0.00  
I. Net durable liquidity [surplus (+)/deficit (-)] as on 21/05/2021 843,197.00  
@ Based on Reserve Bank of India (RBI) / Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL).
– Not Applicable / No Transaction.
** Relates to uncollateralized transactions of 2 to 14 days tenor.
@@ Relates to uncollateralized transactions of 15 days to one year tenor.
$ Includes refinance facilities extended by RBI.
& As per the Press Release No. 2019-2020/1900 dated February 06, 2020.
* Net liquidity is calculated as Repo+MSF+SLF-Reverse Repo.
# As per the Press Release No. 2020-2021/287 dated September 04, 2020.
^ As per the Press Release No. 2020-2021/605 dated November 06, 2020.
As per the Press Release No. 2020-2021/520 dated October 21, 2020, Press Release No. 2020-2021/763 dated December 11, 2020 and Press Release No. 2020-2021/1057 dated February 05, 2021.
¥ As per the Press Release No. 2014-2015/1971 dated March 19, 2015.
£ As per the Press Release No. 2021-2022/181 dated May 07, 2021.
~ As per the Press Release No. 2021-2022/177 dated May 07, 2021.
Ajit Prasad
Director   
Press Release: 2021-2022/334

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Report, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Financial creditors may realise Rs 55,000-60,000 crore in fiscal 2021-22 through successful resolution plans from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), credit rating agency Icra has said.

The realisation for financial creditors from the resolution of Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) under the IBC declined significantly in FY2021 with a total resolution amount of around Rs 26,000 crore, almost a quarter of the realisations in FY2020, the agency said.

“As per our estimates, the financial creditors could realise about Rs 55,000-60,000 crore in FY2022 through successful resolution plans from the IBC,” the agency’s Vice President and Group Head – Structured Finance, Abhishek Dafria, said in a report.

The increase in the resolution amount in FY2022 would depend on the expected resolution of a large housing finance company which is awaiting the NCLT‘s approval but is also under litigation in the higher courts, he said.

In the current financial year, the realisation by the financial creditors would depend on the successful resolution of 8-9 big-ticket accounts, as more than 20 per cent of the agency’s estimated realisation for the year could be from these alone, he added.

Dafria, however, said if the second wave of the pandemic does not subside soon, it could have a bearing on the agency’s estimates as the difficult operating environment may result in a slowdown in the resolution process, especially for smaller-sized entities, and would also result in an increase in the haircuts for the lenders.

The agency said the pandemic has increased operational challenges for the various parties involved in a CIRP, which resulted in limited cases yielding a resolution plan. The suspension of new proceedings under the IBC for the entire FY21 resulted in a sharp slow-down in the resolution process.

From its commencement in December 2016, 4,376 CIRPs have been admitted, of which 2,653 were closed till March 2021, the report said.

The agency believes that there have been some positive outcomes from the presence of the IBC despite the delays that are becoming common.

“About 40 per cent of the cases admitted by the NCLT were closed on appeal/ review or settled or withdrawn under Section 12A which highlights that at least some promoters have been more willing to pay their dues to keep the IBC proceedings at bay,” it said.

For CIRPs that have yielded a successful resolution, the financial creditors have realised/are expected to realise an average 39 per cent of their claims while the realisation value, in comparison to their liquidation value, stands at 180 per cent, the report said.

“Nonetheless, the extent of cases being referred to liquidation remains high at about 40 per cent and only a quarter of such cases have seen the liquidation process come to a conclusion.

The average realisation through liquidation has been a mere around three per cent of the claim amount,” the agency’s Assistant Vice President and Sector Head, Sankha Subhra Banerjee, said.

Improving the turnaround time for successful resolution and finding enough interest in defaulting assets from external parties in the current environment will remain the key challenges for a while, he added.



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Raghuram Rajan moots global credit incentive fund to reduce carbon emissions, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan has mooted a global carbon incentive to balance national-level priorities with global needs of protecting the environment.

Mooting a gl0boal credit incentive fund, Rajan said every country that emits more than the global average of around five tons per capita would pay annually into the fund, with the amount calculated by multiplying the excess emissions per capita by the population and the GCI. If the GCI started at $10 per ton, the US would pay around $36 billion, and Saudi Arabia would pay $4.6 billion.

Meanwhile, countries below the global per capita average would receive a commensurate payout (Uganda, for example, would receive around $2.1 billion), he wrote. “This way, every country would face an effective loss of $10 per capita for every additional ton that it emits per capita, regardless of whether it started at a high, low, or average level, he said.

Fairness problem

The GCI also would address the fairness problem as the low emitters, which are often the poorest countries and the ones most vulnerable to climatic changes they did not cause, would receive a payment with which they could help their people adapt. “If the GCI is raised over time, the collective sums paid out would approach the $100 billion per year that rich countries promised to poor countries at COP15 in 2009. That would far exceed the meagre sums that have been made available thus far. Better still, the GCI would assign responsibility for payments in a feasible way, because big emitters typically are in the best position to pay,” Rajan wrote in a column.

Moreover, the GCI would not snuff out domestic experimentation. “Instead of levying a politically unpopular carbon tax, one country might impose prohibitive regulations on coal, another might tax energy inputs, and a third might incentivize renewables. Each one charts its own course, while the GCI supplements whatever moral incentives are already driving action at the country level,” Rajan wrote.

The problem

The least costly way to reduce global emissions would be to give every country similar incentives. While India should not keep building more dirty coal plants as it grows, Europe should be closing down the plants it already has. But each country will want to reduce emissions in its own way – some through taxation, others through regulation. The question, then, is how to balance national-level priorities with global needs so that we can save the one world we have.



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Green’ to be soon the colour of money for European banks, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The European Union is working on new rules where banks will have to state the “greenness” of their activities, or what share of their business is financing climate-friendly activities — a move that would impact profitability in an increasingly environmentally conscious world.

The so-called green asset ratio (GAR) measure is meant to help inform stakeholders — including investors, employees and depositors — of a bank’s commitment to disinvesting from fossil fuels by revealing what proportion of its assets are environmentally sound.

How would it work

Depending on its relative shade of green, a lender’s funding costs could be at stake, as well as its ability to retain talent and its attractiveness to customers. Unlike banks’ other complex financial metrics, a green label may resonate with a much broader public that’s increasingly conscious of companies’ role in society.

However, there is a lot of uncertainty around what will be included in the GAR. If too many banking activities are included it may unnecessarily hit some lenders, and if only a few are included there is danger of “greenwashing.” Also, the banks may shift dirty business to where it isn’t captured in the GAR.

While the European Union proposed measuring green assets against banks’ entire activities, including derivatives, the European Banking Authority has a different view. It favours excluding derivatives entirely from the calculation and reporting so-called “capital markets indicators” separately.

The EBA’s proposal could let banks off the hook on climate change by possibly flattering their green asset ratios. Derivatives are a significant and somewhat risky part of investment banking so their inclusion in the GAR would make a difference. Worse, some lenders might take on greater risk by structuring non-green deals as derivatives to keep them out of the GAR calculations.

Where do European banks stand?

French banks are known for dominating their home market, but they’re considered also-rans on the global stage when compared with US lenders. That’s not the case in the world of green banking. Credit Agricole is the leading underwriter of green bonds, three places ahead of the much larger JPMorgan since the end of 2015, according to an analysis on activity from almost 140 banks around the world by Bloomberg. Two other Paris-based banks, BNP Paribas and Societe Generale, rank in the top 10 in the league table.

French banks were early in identifying green lending as a way to differentiate themselves from their rivals, said Maia Godemer, a London-based researcher at BloombergNEF, a clean-energy think tank. Green debt offerings have been steadily increasing for the past five years, and 2021 is shaping up to be the biggest yet. Issuers have sold more than $187 billion of green bonds so far in 2021, almost triple the pace from the year-earlier period.

A renewable energy market

The underwriting market for renewable-energy companies is minuscule when compared with the funds that fossil-fuel companies are raking in. Since the start of 2016, renewable-energy producers have raised less than $160 billion in the debt markets, compared with the $3.6 trillion for non-renewable energy producers, according to Bloomberg data. This year, when one would expect the spread to be narrowing, green energy providers have received less than $10 billion from bond sales and loans, while fossil-fuel companies got almost $190 billion. The leading lenders to renewable-energy companies since 2016 include Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, BNP Paribas and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group. Bank of America was the top U.S. bank, placing 11th in the league table.



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RBI buys 70% of 10-year G-Sec to keep yields in check

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The Reserve Bank of India has mopped up about 70 per cent of the benchmark 10-year Government Security (coupon rate: 5.85 per cent) the government has issued since December 1, 2020, thereby keeping G-Sec yields under check and ensuring that banks have enough liquidity to subscribe at the weekly bond auctions.

The current outstanding in the 10-year benchmark G-Sec is ₹1.05-lakh crore. Of this, around 70 per cent is with the RBI. The central bank has accumulated all this via open market operation (purchases), the G-Sec Acquisition Programme and via the secondary market. What this means is the RBI is providing liquidity to banks to encourage them to buy G-Secs at the weekly auctions.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, said: “Due to the Covid-19 related uncertainty, central banks all over the world have intervened in the financial markets. Similarly, the RBI is supporting the huge domestic borrowing. However, once the new 10-year benchmark is issued, the current one will become illiquid due to lower float in the market.”

Irani opined that if the RBI had not intervened, the yield on the current 10-year G-Sec, which closed at 6.0227 per cent on Monday, would have been much higher.

He estimated the coupon rate of the new 10-year benchmark G-Sec, which is likely to be issued by the government either this week or next, to be in the 5.95 to 6.05 per cent band. Ever since the 5.85 per cent G-Sec 2030 was issued in December 2020, it is among the top three traded G-Secs.

Bond market expert K Boovendran observed that at the appropriate time, the RBI will offload the 10-year G-Sec to the banks. “The RBI will not hold them permanently. It is only because of the peculiar situation (triggered by the pandemic) that it Is holding so much of this paper.

“… The RBI is very actively operating in the G-Sec market. That is why the G-Sec yield has been kept under check,” he said.

Boovendran, however, noted that since the paper is not available in the market, there could be more demand for it from market participants. More demand will translate into higher price and lower yield for the paper. Bond yield and price are inversely related and move in opposite directions.

He said that whenever the RBI feels that banks have enough money to subscribe to G-Sec auctions on their own, it will sell the 10-year G-Sec from its portfolio.

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Central Bank of India inks co-lending pacts with Indiabulls Housing, IIFL Home Finance, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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State-owned Central Bank of India on Monday announced co-lending partnerships with NBFC players Indiabulls Housing Finance and IIFL Home Finance.

Under this arrangement, non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) will originate and process retail home loans while Central Bank of India will take into its book 80 per cent of the housing loan under direct assignment transactions, the lender said in separate regulatory filings.

The bank said it has entered into strategic co-lending partnership with Indiabulls Housing Finance and IIFL Home Finance to offer housing loans under priority sector to homebuyers at competitive rates.

The partnership will result in a greater disbursement of housing loans by Central Bank of India, Indiabulls HFL and IIFL HFL, the bank said.

NBFCs will service the loan account throughout the life cycle of the loan.

The lender said this arrangement will help all the three players expand their reach across India.

In November last year, the Reserve Bank had announced a Co-Lending Model (CLM) scheme under which banks can provide loans along with NBFCs to priority sector borrowers based on a prior agreement.



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