RIL Shares Still 14% Away From Their 52-Week Highs: What Should Investors Do?

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Buy, Sell or Hold RIL Scrip?

Now for the investors in RIL or those who want to enter the scrip, is it the opportune time, here is what experts suggest:

RIL move defies overall market trend when market logged highs every other day

In September of 2020, the scrip of RIL hit its highest price of Rs. 2369.35 on September 16 and since then has corrected sharply. Now, what is interesting to note here is that ever since the US Presidential elections prompted the Indian markets to new high, it was the RIL stock that did not catch up.

Goldman Sachs suggest a 'Buy' call on RIL

Goldman Sachs suggest a ‘Buy’ call on RIL

And the brokerage and research firm has reiterated a buy recommendation on the scrip on the basis of multiple catalysts for the stock price up ahead.

“Amid the ongoing recovery, RIL Retail has significantly outperformed peers, with revenue continuing to grow despite lower footfall on-year,” the report said. RIL’s retail revenues are expected to grow further in the coming years with forecasted overall core retail revenue CAGR of 40%. “Within e-commerce, we forecast RIL’s online GMV will reach US$35bn in FY25E with a 31% market share,” Goldman Sachs said. Also other factors cited are stake sale in the company’s energy business, product launches in the e-commerce, augmenting margins in the energy vertical and also tariff increase for Jio shall propel a surge in the share price of RIL.

Refining margins could revive in the coming quarters from broader cracks improvement, widening light-heavy differentials from the middle of this year as OPEC production starts to come back, and benefits from the pet-coke gasification project, added the brokerage and research firm.

Target price and valuation

Target price and valuation

The base case target price of Goldman Sachs of Rs 2390 per share that implies an upside of 18% from current levels. “We continue to use 8X CY22E (FY23E) to value the chemical business and 6.5X for refining and marketing; we use EV/EBITDA to value the core refining and (petrochemicals) business, and we use DCF to value the high-growth telecom and retail business (online and offline),” the brokerage firm said.

GoodReturns.in



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WhatsApp Payments grows over 2X in December UPI volume, value; PhonePe pips Google Pay to lead tally

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PhonePe, Google Pay, and Paytm Payments Bank together had a lion’s share of 89 per cent in total UPI volume and 93 per cent share in value terms for December 2020.

WhatsApp Payments, which went live in December 2020 for up to 20 million users, has grown by over 2X in UPI transactions volume and value as well from November, according to the latest data released by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). WhatsApp Payments UPI volume was up from 0.31 million transactions (3.1 lakh) worth Rs 13.87 crore in November 2020 to 0.81 million (8.1 lakh) involving Rs 29.72 crore in December. WhatsApp Payments is the latest entrant in the UPI apps segment that is currently led by PhonePe, Google Pay, and Paytm Payments Bank. PhonePe was on top of the table in December with 902.03 million transactions worth Rs 1.82 lakh crore processed up from 868.4 million transactions worth Rs 1.75 lakh crore processed in November.

Google Pay slipped to the second spot in December with 854.49 million transactions involving Rs 1.76 lakh crore down from 960 million transactions in November even as the value was up from Rs 1.61 lakh crore. Paytm Payments Bank remained at a distant third spot among UPI apps with 256.36 million transactions involving Rs 31,291.83 crore in December from 260.09 million transactions worth Rs 28,986.93 crore in November. Amazon’s payment vertical Amazon Pay managed to process 40.53 million transactions worth Rs 3,508.93 crore in December down from 37.15 million worth Rs 3,524.51 in November.

Also read: Mukesh Bansal’s Cure.fit buys US-based personal trainer app Onyx to strengthen international offering

UPI transactions ended 2020 hitting the Rs 4-lakh-crore value mark in December involving 2.23 billion transactions, up from 2.21 billion transactions worth Rs 3.91 lakh crore in November. The annual growth in volume was 70 per cent from 1.30 billion transactions while the value was up 105 per cent from 2.02 lakh crore in December 2019. Also, the number of banks live on the UPI platform increased from 143 to 207 during the 12-month period.

PhonePe, Google Pay, and Paytm Payments Bank together had a lion’s share of 89 per cent (2 billion transactions) in terms of volume and 93 per cent share (Rs 3.89 lakh crore) in value. The UPI transaction volume and value have been able to grow faster during the Covid and lockdown phases as people increasingly transacted digitally. The volume jumped by 908.47 million transactions during the 10-month period from 1.32 billion transactions in February 2020, according to the analysis of NPCI data. However, in comparison, similar volume growth of 908.47 million transactions, before Covid, took 17 months (from September 2018) to reach the February 2020 level.

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Types Of Annuity Plans Valid Under NPS

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Exit rules under NPS

One can exit from NPS upon:

Superannuation: You will have to use at least 40 per cent of the accumulated pension fund to acquire an annuity that will offer a regular monthly pension until you hit the age of superannuation/attain 60 years of age. And as a lump-sum, you can even withdraw the outstanding corpus.

Death: The whole accumulated pension corpus (100 per cent) will be compensated to the nominee or the approved legal successor in the event of your death.

Premature exit: This means before you hit the age of 60, exiting from NPS. Considering the same it is important to use at least 80% of your accrued pension corpus for the procurement of an annuity which will include a regular monthly pension benefit. That being said, in a lump sum, the remaining 20 per cent of the funds can be withdrawn. Only after fulfillment of 10 years, one can take pre-exit under NPS.

Types of annuity plans available under NPS with ASPs

Types of annuity plans available under NPS with ASPs

Below are the four types of annuity plans which can be purchased under NPS:

Annuity for life: Only after retirement you can get the annuity across your life. Generally, payment of the annuity ends on the death of the annuity holder. Contributions made by you in the annuity allows you to get regular payments in respect of a pension.

Annuity for life with the return of the purchase price on demise: The payment of the annuity ends upon the annuitant’s death and the purchase price is handed back to the nominee.

Annuity payable for life and 100% annuity payable to the spouse on the demise of the annuitant or primary holder: During a lifespan, an annuity is paid to the spouse upon the death of the insured person. The annuity payment will terminate after the annuitant’s demise in case the spouse dies before the annuitant.

Annuity payable for life and 100 per cent Annuity given to spouse on the annuitant’s death and return on the annuity’s acquisition: The annuity will be compensated to the spouse during the lifespan of the annuitant’s demise and the purchase price will be returned to the nominee upon the spouse’s death.

Our take

Our take

It is not quite straightforward or convenient to follow annuity rates. Insurers’ annuity rates differ, and searching for deals before cashing in could be a smart idea. Similarly, tax status for annuities also has to be taken into consideration. For annuities, there is no tax benefit, since the annuity one earns is considered as income and charged at the slab rate of the subscriber. That being said, since at the period of maturity there is no option for NPS subscribers, they have to settle for an annuity at the time of withdrawal of 40 per cent of the corpus. In the lack of adequate options, an annuity fits for persons who are searching for a fixed and stable pension income. For several, the stable cash flow fits the aim and their other investments can be used to offset financial burden and other factors influencing their living standard. Your aim should be to gain income security over the foreseeable future rather than the increase of the principal by buying an annuity. An annuity might be the option to focus on if a guaranteed benefit is your objective in retirement.



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Investors given time till Feb 1 to submit final bids for PMC Bank

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Potential investors in the scam-hit Punjab and Maharashtra Co-operative (PMC) Bank have been allowed time till February 1, 2021 for submission of their final offer.

The potential investors include the Centrum Group-BharatPe combine and the UK-based Liberty Group. These investors had submitted their Expression of Interest (EoI) last month.

The bank’s Administrator AK Dixit, in a letter to customers and stakeholders, said: “As you are aware, the bank had issued EoI on November 3, 2020, inviting investors for revival/ reconstruction of PMC Bank.

Also read: RBI extends restrictions on PMC Bank to March

“Initially, four investors had shown their interest. Further process has been undertaken by three of them.”

The Administrator observed that the investors need to have a full understanding of the financial position of the bank before giving their final offer. Accordingly, they are at various stages of conducting detailed due diligence.

PMC Bank was placed under Directions by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) with effect from the close of business on September 23, 2019 due to its poor financial position and negative net worth.

The Directions were necessitated as RBI came across a nexus between borrowers (promoters of a real estate group) and some bank officials, with the alleged fraud/ financial irregularities pegged at about ₹4,355 crore.

The EoI was floated to identify a suitable equity investor/ group of investors willing to take over management control so as to revive PMC Bank and commence regular day-to-day operations.

As per the EoI, subsequent to commencement of the normal day-to-day operations, it will be open for the investor(s) to convert the bank into a Small Finance Bank by making an application to RBI.

“The investor(s) should ideally bring in the capital required for enabling the bank to achieve the minimum required capital to risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR) of 9 per cent.

“However, the investors may explore the option of restructuring a part of deposit liabilities into capital/capital instruments,” the EoI said.

Also read: Road ahead for co-operative banks

The bank may also approach DICGC for its support for payment up to ₹5 lakh (insured deposits) to depositors under the provisions of the DICGC Act, 1961, it added.

According to the EoI, PMC Bank had total deposits of ₹10,727.12 crore, total advances of ₹4,472.78 crore and gross non-performing assets (NPAs) of ₹3,518.89 crore as on March 31, 2020.

Further, the share capital of the bank was ₹292.94 crore. However, the bank registered a net loss of ₹6,835 crore during 2019-20 and has a negative net worth of ₹5,850.61 crore, as per the EoI.

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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Reserve Bank of India, in public interest, had issued Directions to United Co-operative Bank Limited, Bagnan, West Bengal in exercise of its powers vested in it under Sub-Section (1) of Section 35A read with Section 56 of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 (AACS) from the close of business on July 18, 2018, as modified from time to time which was last extended upto January 18, 2021. Reserve Bank of India has now, in public interest, further extended the Directions for a period of three months from January 19, 2021 to April 18, 2021. A copy of the Directive is displayed at bank’s premises for perusal of public.

The issue of the above Directions by Reserve Bank of India should not per se be construed as cancellation of banking licence. The bank will continue to undertake banking business with restrictions till its financial position improves. Reserve Bank of India may consider modifications of these Directions depending upon circumstances from time to time.

(Yogesh Dayal)     
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2020-2021/965

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Reserve Bank of India – Press Releases

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April 14, 2015





Dear All




Welcome to the refurbished site of the Reserve Bank of India.





The two most important features of the site are: One, in addition to the default site, the refurbished site also has all the information bifurcated functionwise; two, a much improved search – well, at least we think so but you be the judge.





With this makeover, we also take a small step into social media. We will now use Twitter (albeit one way) to send out alerts on the announcements we make and YouTube to place in public domain our press conferences, interviews of our top management, events, such as, town halls and of course, some films aimed at consumer literacy.




The site can be accessed through most browsers and devices; it also meets accessibility standards.



Please save the url of the refurbished site in your favourites as we will give up the existing site shortly and register or re-register yourselves for receiving RSS feeds for uninterrupted alerts from the Reserve Bank.



Do feel free to give us your feedback by clicking on the feedback button on the right hand corner of the refurbished site.



Thank you for your continued support.




Department of Communication

Reserve Bank of India


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HDFC Bank signals IT issues may not be fixed by March, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: HDFC Bank has indicated in its conference call with analysts that the lender might not complete fixing its back-end IT issues during the current fiscal. The bank said that its action plan relating to disaster recovery would take 12-18 months, while its immediate plans would take 10-12 weeks.

The country’s largest private bank had reported its Q3 results on Saturday — the first after the RBI pulled up the lender for repeated problems faced by customers in accessing digital banking. The bank had reported an 18% year-on-year growth in earnings. The bank’s share price rose by over 1% after the results on a day the sensex fell by nearly 1% after its record profit of Rs 8,758 crore.

According to Macquarie research analyst Suresh Ganapathy, the tech resolution will take time and could spill over to end of June. “They want to be very sure everything is in place, ramp up capacity and then call the RBI for due diligence… As of now, inability to give credit cards has not affected account openings … But if this continues beyond June, we can see some impact coming in the near term… Meanwhile, for others like ICICI and Axis, this is an opportunity to ramp up their credit card base,” said Ganapathy.

The RBI has barred the bank from launching digital initiatives and issuing credit cards until it fixes issues with its IT system and ensures that multiple outages of online services do not repeat. According to analysts, though it would take time to fix the issues, the bank was optimistic of getting permission from the RBI for a digital lending platform for auto loans. ICICI Securities said that the bank’s credit card portfolio was up 9% quarter-on-quarter despite the ban on acquiring new customers coming into effect from mid-December.



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Arun Alagappan resigns as Chola MD

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Arun Alagappan has tendered his resignation as managing director of Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company (Chola) as he wishes to move ahead to assume larger responsibilities within the Murugappa Group.

Alagappan will be relieved from the services of the Chola effective February 14, 2021, the company said in a stock exchange disclosure.

Alagappan, the then executive director Chola was elevated and appointed as the MD, in 2019 November for a period of five years.

Alagappan started his career with GE Capital Services India and after a two-year stint there, joined the Murugappa Group in 1999.

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Citi elevates Arjun Chowdhry as Head of Global Consumer Banking, India, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Citi India has elevated Arjun Chowdhry as its consumer banking business head managing the domestic retail banking, wealth management, credit cards, loans and mortgages.

Arjun Chowdhry, Consumer Business Manager (CBM), Global Consumer Banking, Citi India

He will join the Asia Consumer Leadership team to ensure alignment with global and regional priorities attracting the right talent to build world class teams.

Arjun will be reporting to Ashu Khullar, CEO, Citi India and Fabio Fontainha, APAC & EMEA Head of Retail Banking.

The appointment is effective January 8, the local unit of the American banking major said in a statement on Monday.

The bank said, “Chowdhry joined Citi as a management associate and has held diverse roles, starting with consumer operations, moving to wealth management, NRI (non-resident Indian) and deposit products, credit cards, loans and payments.”

Arjun holds a B.Sc. (Hons) degree from St Stephen’s College, Delhi, and a PGDM (MBA) from the Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Bangalore.

The bank said, “Citi follows a segment-led strategy with a clear focus on digitization of the entire banking life cycle, from acquisition through transactions and servicing, resulting in strong growth in new-to-bank clients, volume and wallet share. Citibank India continues to have the leadership in wealth management, being the largest foreign bank in terms of AUM. Citibank India has redefined digital engagement with a revamped Citi Mobile app. Digital is the most preferred channel for Citibank India’s consumer banking customer engagement, with about 75 percent of financially active customers accessing their accounts through the bank’s online portal and mobile app, over 96 percent transactions done via self-service.”



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Yes Bank rolls out Yes MSME offering funding, knowledge partnerships & digital solutions to MSMEs, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Yes Bank has rolled out Yes MSME, a comprehensive proposition enabling easy access to funding, knowledge partnerships and digital solutions.

The start-up programme offers collateral free loan up to Rs 5 crore, offers comprehensive micro-segmented services, facilitates easy access to capital with lower TAT and minimal documentation among other host of benefits with partnerships and technological opportunities.

The bank said in a release, “The YES MSME proposition focuses on supporting MSMEs in expanding their business, sustaining momentum and accelerating growth through solutions across lending, deposits, insurance, customized and segmented digital solutions for retail, manufacturing, wholesale, trade and service providers. This also includes special current account offerings for the self-employed segment.”
The bank has partnered over 700+ associations to take this ahead.

Nitin Gadkari, Union Minister for MSMEs and Road Transport and Highways, said, “The MSME sector is the backbone of the Indian economy and accounts for 30 per cent of the economy creating 11 crore jobs so far. Investment in the sector is the need of the hour and we are hopeful that concerted efforts by the industry and the Government will help expand it. I congratulate YES BANK for this new addition under their MSME sector initiative and the long-term plan to strengthen the ecosystem.”

Prashant Kumar, MD and CEO, YES BANK, said at the launch, “YES BANK remains committed to supporting the growth of this employment-intensive sector and contribute to the growth of the economy. The Bank’s enhanced value proposition will improve access to finance for MSMEs and support their technology upgrade, among other customer-focused measures. I am confident that our measures will have tangible outcomes and contribute to the collective vision of a self-reliant nation.”

The bank said, “The unique endeavour is yet another step for a meaningful push to increase the GDP contribution of the MSME sector – which came under strain in the aftermath of COVID-19 – from the current 30 per cent to 50 per cent, as the Government of India has envisioned.”



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