Gold loans business is not a bed of roses, say Muthoot Finance Chief

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Gold loans business is not a bed of roses, opined George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director, Muthoot Finance Ltd (MFL), referring to a few large non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) taking the plunge in this line of business to diversify their loan book.

In an interaction with BusinessLine, Muthoot, who oversees consolidated assets under management of about ₹61,000 crore (of which about 90 per cent is gold loans), observed that more players getting into the gold loans business means that they see good prospects. He emphasised that this also vindicates MFL’s business model, honed over the last eight decades.

Excerpts:

Many lenders have jumped on the gold loan bandwagon. How are you fortifying your business?

We have a steady business. We have not changed our focus. The gold loans business has good prospects. The market is huge. There is space for everybody. And whoever is focussed will undoubtedly get good business.

All the entities that have entered the gold loans business will face a lot of operational challenges going forward and shift focus. This is what happens usually.

The business is operationally very intensive — taking the gold, its safekeeping, returning it, tackling frauds, etc.

New players are going to experience operational challenges. We have been through business cycles. This business is not a bed of roses.

So, you don’t see competition as a dampener?

We do not look at competition as a business dampener. It will only prompt serious players to intensify their focus on the business. More people getting into this business means they see good prospects. That means what we have been doing all along has been vindicated. The competition will be there. It will only widen the market.

I also feel is that customers who were earlier reluctant to take a gold loan are also interested in this product now. They see it as an alternative borrowing avenue.

Given that the 1st quarter was a washout due to the second Covid-19 wave, will you be able to achieve the 15 per cent year-on-year AUM growth target?

Our standalone AUM is around ₹55,000 crore. We have given a guidance of 15 per cent growth. In the first quarter, we were not able to do much. In the second quarter, we were able to achieve about 5 per cent quarter-on-quarter growth. So, in the third and fourth quarters, we should be able to make up and reach at least 15 per cent growth.

We will continue to grow at a 15 per cent pace over the next three-four years. This is a reasonable rate because the base is also going up.

Three years back, our average loan ticket size was about ₹35,000. Today, it is about ₹60,000. This increase is directly proportional to the gold price and the overall appetite for gold loans

As RBI has whittled down the regulatory arbitrage between banks and NBFCs, will you consider converting into a bank?

In the last three-four years, we have been closely monitored by RBI as we are a Systemically Important Non-Deposit-Taking NBFC. All the regulations applicable to banks are almost applicable to us. There is very little regulatory arbitrage between banks and NBFCs.

But then, what is the advantage of becoming a bank? What is the big advantage in getting low-cost deposits? Going by our rating, we can also raise cheap resources. We may not have the luxury of zero interest rate current accounts and low-interest rate SBI accounts etc. But the differential rates of interest on resources between NBFCs and Banks is actually narrowing.

As on date, we don’t see any advantage (on converting into a bank). But the board has not taken any decision as yet. Overall, in the last several years, the Board has not thought about it.

Given that you have projected your business to grow at 15 per cent yoy, are you planning to augment your capital?

As on September-end 2021, our capital adequacy ratio was at 27.60 per cent…The current level of capital will be adequate to support business growth for three-four years. But accumulated profit (retained earnings) is also there. So, the capital could last longer.

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Buy This Midcap Infra Stock For 30% Potential Upside: Axis Securities

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Q2FY22 results of PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL)

According to the brokerage “PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL) reported a healthy set of Q2FY22 numbers driven by its superior execution and a robust order book. The company reported revenue of Rs 1,615 Cr (up 53% YoY), EBIDTA of Rs 222 Cr (up 56% YoY), and APAT of Rs 135 Cr (up 95% YoY). It registered EBITDA Margins of 13.7% in Q2FY22 (our estimate: 13.6%) as against 13.5% in Q1FY21. The company reported APAT margins of 8.4% against 6.6% in Q1FY21 while also maintaining its growth momentum.”

The brokerage has said that “PNCIL has an order book of Rs 13,178 Cr (as of 30th Sep 2021), indicating revenue visibility for the next 2 years. With a robust bidding pipeline in EPC and HAM projects along with water projects going forward, we believe PNCIL is well-placed to capture growth opportunities in the sector. With robust order book and better execution prowess, we expect the company to post Revenues/EBITDA/PAT growth of 17%/18%/28% CAGR respectively over FY21-24E.”

Key highlights for future performance of PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL) according to Axis Securities

Key highlights for future performance of PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL) according to Axis Securities

Orderbook stands at Rs 13,178 Cr as of Q2FY22 end: Order book break up is as follows: 24% from the roads (Others), 48% from the roads (HAM), and balance 28% (Water projects).

Overall margins improve: The company’s overall margins improved on YoY/QoQ, driven by better execution and normalising economic activities. The company reported EBITDA and APAT margins of 13.7% and 8.4% against 13.5% and 6.6% YoY.

Focus on road projects: The company continues to sharply focus on road projects (both EPC and HAM). However, it intends to continue diversifying to augment revenue and the dirisk its business model further. The company expects good growth from water projects under the Jal Jivan Mission of the government. Currently, the company has 18 projects comprising EPC, HAM, BOT, OMT, and water projects. It has received PCOD in four HAM projects and the balance of 7 projects are under construction.

Buy PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL) with a target price of Rs. 430

Buy PNC Infratech Ltd (PNCIL) with a target price of Rs. 430

Axis Securities Limited has said in its research report that the “Road sector is witnessing significant development on the back of increased government thrust on infrastructure investment as well as due to the unveiling of the Gati Shakti Plan which will provide further momentum to the execution and avoid unnecessary delays. With the ongoing development in the entire infra space, a strong and diversified order book position, efficient execution prowess, asset monetization plan and a clean balance sheet, we expect the company’s Revenues/EBITDA/APAT to grow at a CAGR of 17%/18%/28% respectively over FY21-24E. We maintain a BUY on PNCIL and value EPC business at 13 x FY24E EPS and HAM portfolio at 1x book value to arrive at a target price of Rs 430, implying an upside of 30% from CMP.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stock has been picked from the brokerage report of Axis Securities. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Sebi tweaks guidelines for processing of draft schemes filed with exchanges, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi: Sebi on Thursday clarified on guidelines for processing of draft schemes pertaining to mergers and demergers filed by listed companies with the stock exchanges. Under the rule, listed entities desirous of undertaking a scheme of arrangement are required to submit certain documents to the exchanges.

Listed entities will be required to submit no objection certificate (NOC) from the lending scheduled commercial banks/financial institutions as well as debenture trustees, Sebi said in circular issued on Thursday.

This circular is an addendum to the one issued on Tuesday.

On Tuesday, the regulator said that such entities will be required to submit NOC from the lending scheduled commercial banks or financial institutions.

Apart from this, the listed entities are required to submit certain documents to the exchange, which includes a valuation report.

As per the revised guidelines, this report needs to be accompanied by an undertaking from the listed entity, stating that no material event impacting the valuation has occurred during the intervening period of filing the scheme documents with exchange and period under consideration for valuation.

“These amendments are aimed at ensuring that the recognised stock exchanges refer draft schemes to Sebi only upon being fully convinced that the listed entity is in compliance with Sebi Act, Rules, Regulations and circulars,” Sebi said.

Besides, the entities need to submit a declaration on any past defaults of listed debt obligations of the entities forming part of the scheme.

“The fractional entitlements, if any, shall be aggregated and held by the trust, nominated by the Board in that behalf, who shall sell such shares in the market at such price, within a period of 90 days from the date of allotment of shares, as per the draft scheme submitted to Sebi,” the regulator noted.

The listed company has to submit a report from its audit committee and the independent directors certifying that the listed entity has compensated the eligible shareholders.

Both the reports will be submitted within 7 days of compensating the shareholders. Sebi has also asked the exchange to ensure compliance with the guidelines and the non-compliance, if any, has to be submitted to the regulator on a quarterly basis.

Any misstatement or furnishing of false information will make the listed entity liable for punitive action. The guidelines will be applicable for all the schemes filed with the stock exchanges from the date of the circular.

There are certain requirements that need to be fulfilled before the scheme of arrangement is submitted for sanction by the National Company Law Tribunal. This includes that listed entities choose one of the stock exchanges having nationwide trading terminals as the designated stock exchange to coordinate with Sebi.

Scheme of arrangement is a court-approved agreement between a company and its shareholders or creditors.



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Industry players welcome RBI Working Group report on digital lending

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Industry players have welcomed the report of the Working Group set up by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on digital lending and have said it would ensure higher standards of ethical behaviour and code of conduct for the digital lending platforms, and ensure consumer protection from unethical lenders.

“Self-regulatory organisation is the call of the hour in order to structure the industry and to set the rules for the fintech members and customers. Fintech Association for Consumer Empowerment (FACE) members have always abided with the disclosure of all relevant information including the interest rates, as it believes that transparency and proactive commitment to consumers builds brand trust. Data privacy is of utmost importance and should be strictly adhered to,” said FACE.

Recommendations

Gaurav Chopra, Founder and CEO, IndiaLends and founding member of Digital Lending Association of India, noted that recommendations such as auditable logs for every action that a user performs on the app will demolish many existing loan sharks and curb unfair practices.

Also read: RBI calls for public comments on digital lending

“Moreover, the recommendation for digital lenders to provide a key fact statement in a standardised format including the annual percentage rate will give a better perspective to borrowers about the high percentage rate they are willing to bear. Overall, the report seeks to safeguard consumers from unregulated digital lenders who have the potential to exploit borrowers with unfair or predatory terms,” he noted.

As a founding member of DLAI, IndiaLends abides by the strict code of conduct as implemented in May 2020, which is in alignment with the suggestions of the Working Group, he further said.

The RBI had on November 18 released the report of the Working Group on digital lending including lending through an online platform and mobile apps, which has called for legislation against illegal digital lending activities as well as a verification process for these lenders and a self-regulatory organisation (SRO). It has sought public comments by December 31, 2021.

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2 Stocks To Buy From The Small And Midcap Space According To Sharekhan

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Finolex Cables

Current market price Rs 583.95
Target Rs 735
Gains 26.00%

Finolex Cables Ltd is India’s largest and leading manufacturer of electrical and telecommunication cables. Besides a wide variety of Wires & Cables, the Company is also manufacturing lighting products, electrical accessories, switchgear, fans and water heaters.

According to Sharekhan, Finolex Cables reported strong out performance on both revenue and OPM fronts in Q2FY2022. Working capital days reduced q-o-q, while cash rose.

Target price on the stock 26% higher than current levels

Target price on the stock 26% higher than current levels

“We believe the company is expected to see healthy growth to continue, led by pick up in real estate, auto sector, and traction in FMEG products. Further, COVID-19 led impact on unorganised players allows the company to increase its market share. Finolex’s debt-free balance sheet and net cash position provide comfort in the present environment.

Further, the government’s push for optical fibre cable will aid business and boost demand for telecom cables for the company. The stock is trading at a valuation of 18.5 times P/E its FY2024E earnings. With improving growth visibility, we retain our Buy rating on the stock with a revised SOTP-based target price of Rs. 734 (17.5x its P/E on FY2024E standalone EPS and 20% holding company discount for its stake in Finolex Industries),” the brokerage has said.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd

Va Tech Wabag Ltd

Current market price Rs 356
Target Rs 435
Gains 22.00%

Sharekhan sees an upside of at least 22% on the stock of Va Tech Wabag Ltd and has recommended to buy the stock. The company is among the leading players in providing water solutions like drinking water treatment, water desalination, waste water treatment, operation and maintenance, water reclamation etc.

According to Sharekhan Va Tech Wabag reported broadly in-line consolidated revenue at Rs. 684 crore, up 12.4% y-o-y, as the company increased net debt and reduced payables to expedite project execution and protect operating margins (rise in commodity prices along with COVID-19 led project delays).

Price target of Rs 435, “Buy the stock”, says Sharekhan

Price target of Rs 435, “Buy the stock”, says Sharekhan

According to the brokerage firm, Va Tech Wabag is on a strong earnings growth trajectory going ahead with concerns of high leverage, led by increasing working capital now behind it.

“A well-funded strong order book provides comfort on execution and collections going ahead. Further, the government’s focus is expected to remain on water-related investments, providing healthy order intake tailwinds for the company going ahead. At the CMP, the stock trades at P/E of 10x its FY2024E earnings, which we believe is attractive considering its strong net earnings growth outlook and strengthened balance sheet. Hence, we maintain Buy with an unchanged price target of Rs. 435,” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in equities poses risks. All readers and investors should note that neither Greynium nor the author of the articles, would be responsible for any decision taken based on these articles. Please consult a professional advisor. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates, and authors do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in



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Reserve Bank of India – Tenders

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Item Supply, Installation, Testing and Commissioning of Cooling Towers at Bank’s Main Office Building, Nagpur
e-Tender no RBI/Nagpur/198/21-22/ET/266
Mode Of Tender e-Procurement System
(Online Part I – Techno-Commercial Bid and Part II – Price Bid through (www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi)
Date of NIT available to parties to download From 11:00 AM of November 19, 2021
Tender Fees Rs – Nil
Pre-Bid meeting Online(Webex) 11:00 hrs on December 02, 2021 ***
Earnest Money Deposit Rs. 36254/- by
1) NEFT, RBI A/c.No.-8714295, IFSC Code: RBIS0NGPA01 (5th &10th digit is zero) or
2) D.D.in favour of Reserve Bank of India, Nagpur
3) Irrevocable Bank Guarantee
Last date of submission of EMD Till 2:00 PM on December 16, 2021
Date of Starting of e-Tender for submission of on line Techno-Commercial Bid and price Bid at www.mstcecommerce.com/eprochome/rbi 4:00 PM of November 19, 2021
Date of closing of online e-tender for submission of Techno-Commercial Bid & Price Bid 2:00 PM of December 16, 2021
Date & time of opening of Part-I
(i.e. Techno-Commercial Bid)
Part-II Price Bid: Date of opening of Part II i.e. price bid shall be informed separately
3:00 PM of December 16, 2021
Transaction Fee Rs.1000.00 plus GST @18%
Payment of transaction fee through MSTC payment gateway/NEFT/RTGS in favour of MSTC LIMITED
*** Tenderers desirous of attending online WebEx meeting should inform or send queries by 16:00Hrs of December 01, 2021 to sunilphadke@rbi.org.in, mraprasad@rbi.org.in, estatenagpur@rbi.org.in.

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NFRA to hire CAs as ‘professionals’ on contractual basis

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Audit regulator National Financial Reporting Authority (NFRA) has decided to engage chartered accountants as “professionals” purely on a contractual basis.

As many as nine positions could be filled for which applications have been invited, sources said.

The contractual engagement will be for one year, which may be extended for another year, usually up to a maximum period of three years from the initial engagement.

Tasks that may be assigned to the selected candidates will include preparation of inspection and training manuals, the conduct of audit quality reviews, review of company financial statements, an inspection of complaints, financial reporting quality review, database for NFRA, court cases etc.

Selected candidates cannot practice as Chartered Accountants during their engagement in NFRA and will be required to surrender certificate of practice before joining NFRA.

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Buy This Small Cap Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 332: ICICI Securities

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Q2FY22 results of Techno Electric & Engineering

According to the brokerage “Techno Electric & Engineering (TEEC) has reported 193bps YoY increase in margins to 31%, offsetting the subdued 6.4% YoY revenue growth to Rs2.7bn. Order intake is likely to pick up in H2FY22E led by FGD and Power Grid ordering. The management is guiding Rs20bn worth of order intake in FY22E and is L1 in Rs4bn worth of orders. TEEC plans to enter data centre market with an investment outlay of Rs10bn over the next 2 years – it expects 23% RoE from the same.”

ICICI Securities has said in its research report that “During H1FY22, the company booked orders worth Rs5.7bn. The company is L1 in Rs4bn worth of orders, majority of which are close to finalisation. The management is guiding for Rs20bn worth of order intake in FY22E of which FGD is expected to be Rs12bn, Rs5bn from the transmission and Rs2bn from smart meters.”

Buy Techno Electric & Engineering with a target price of Rs 332

Buy Techno Electric & Engineering with a target price of Rs 332

According to the brokerage’s research report “Despite challenges, the company is confident of maintaining margins at ~15%. Given a healthy growth outlook and cashflow, we maintain BUY with a revised SoTP-based target price of Rs332. We believe the foray into data centre business will be positive in the long run as it gives an avenue to utilise the wind power efficiently and provides the company a foothold in a promising growth segment.”

“Using the SoTP methodology, we value the standalone EPC business at Rs211 (20x FY23E earnings), discounted cashflow from wind assets at Rs44, transmission assets at Rs10 per share and cash and equivalents at Rs66 per share” said ICICI Securities.

ICICI Securities claims that “Given the muted H1FY22 execution, we cut FY22E and FY23E consolidated earnings estimates by 10% and 22%, respectively. Given the strong balance sheet with cash and equivalents of Rs8bn, healthy order intake outlook and the recent foray into lucrative data centre segment, we maintain BUY on the stock with revised SoTPbased target price of Rs332 (previously: Rs411).”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stock has been picked from the brokerage report of ICICI Securities. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Large Private Sector Bank That Offers 7% Interest On FDs, Should You Invest?

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A look at interest rates of Yes Bank

Tenure Regular Senior citizens
7 to 14 days 3.25% 3.75%
9 Months to 1-year 5.25% 5.75%
1 year to 3 years 6.00% 6.75%
3 years to 10 years 6.25% 7

Should you invest in the fixed deposits of Yes Bank?

Should you invest in the fixed deposits of Yes Bank?

Yes, there have been problems at Yes Bank in the past and there was a moratorium on withdrawals as well. However, that looks like a thing of the past. The government, the public sector banks and private sector large banks have in the past taken over banks. We have cases like Global Trust Bank being amalgamated with Oriental Bank of Commerce, Centurion Bank of Punjab being taken over by HDFC Bank and Bank of Rajasthan being taken over by ICICI Bank. We are not saying that some of them were problematic, though Global Trust Bank was bailed out.

State Bank of India picking a stake in Yes Bank and the latter also raising funds by way of QIP, is some sort of comfort to depositors. We believe that Yes Bank looks safe at the moment for deposits. In any case what we suggest is that look to invest amounts less than Rs 5 lakhs, given that there is an insurance cover for deposits and savings accounting aggregating Rs 5 lakhs.

Go for the short term fixed deposits

Go for the short term fixed deposits

We suggest that investors look to invest in fixed deposits for a tenure that is 1 to 2 years. Our own belief is that interest rates are trending higher, given where inflation is at the moment. So, there is a high possibility that the Reserve Bank of India may hike interest rates going forward and there could be some upward movement in interest rates. However, the hikes could only be marginal and not very much in the next 1-2 years. Interest rates dropping from here, looks highly unlikely.

Investors can also look at other options like company fixed deposits, which are offering marginally higher interest rates. Interest rates on post office deposits have also dropped over the last few years, in line with the general downtrend of interest rates. For retired folk the options at the moment are not too many as government owned banks are offering interest rates of as low as 5.5%.



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All that is dubious about crypto currencies

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It is quite timely that the government and regulators are looking closely at cryptocurrency. The interesting part is that it does not come under SCRA and hence SEBI is not involved. It does not involve financial institutions and hence RBI is out. It has not been declared illegal by the Courts and hence the government cannot do anything as of now. It is a unique fad because it is prevalent across the world and more importantly it trades without there being any underlying value.

Crypto is a creation of the imagination which is protected by technology and brought on to several platforms which enables trading. Anyone can start their own crypto, but multitude of people need to believe in it and start trading. Not surprisingly even though there are over 7,000 such currencies not more than 10 are actively traded and command value. Clearly lots of people have tried floating their imaginary currencies and have failed. It runs on belief and trust with no regulators to lay down the rules.

Two things stand out here which needs to be answered by regulators.

First, is whether it is being used as a mode of transaction. Currently there is no information if people are buying and selling property and paying partly in crypto currency. If such things are happening, then it is something the RBI should be concerned about, because we cannot have parallel currencies in the country. It is illegal to carry out transactions in foreign currency in India and while barter exists in some pockets it is not the rule. If a crypto is allowed to become a currency for transactions, then it will undermine monetary policy and the entire system of payments will go for a toss. And finally in case there is a crash in value, the investors will lose money for which there is no recourse.

Also, there is need to know more on how these transactions take place. There are exchanges which allow one to trade; and it is still unclear whether the transactions are in rupees and remain in this currency or get converted to dollars. If it is in rupees and mimics what happens to the crypto globally then it is not serious, but if there are conversions into dollars then there would be a FEMA rule to contend with.

The exchanges which promote trading in crypto are transparent in terms of doing a KYC of all players. This aspect needs to be clear because if there is conversion into dollars at any stage it needs to be within the guidelines put by the RBI.

Investment option

The second aspect is the investment option. If cryptos are being used as an investment option by people, then the nature of debate changes. The exchanges vouch that there is KYC done for every customer and that all taxes are paid on the gains. It is still not clear if the gains come under short or long term and the I-T Department will have to decide on this issue.

The broader issue is that if one can trade in imaginary currencies it does tantamount to gambling which is partly permitted in the country. Horse racing and the bets that go along with this avocation is legitimate as are lotteries. Casinos can operate in some States. If trading in cryptos fall in this category, then as an extension it can be argued that people should be allowed to gamble on cricket matches too and there should be a level playing field.

Therefore, there is need to do a deep dive analysis into this entire issue of crypto currency as the level of interest is high and increasing. Part of the reason is that people want to make quick money and the present avenues of savings — bank deposits which give a paltry return — makes these alternatives alluring. Allowing such investments also risks savings getting diverted for speculative purposes which is not good for an economy which normally has a big gap in savings and investments.

Besides people investing should know what they are up against. SEBI runs strong campaigns along with the stock exchanges to caution investors on trading as well as investing in mutual funds which all have ‘underlying’ products like shares, commodities or bonds. For something fictional, people need to know what they are up against, because when there is a crash there can be an issue. The price of bitcoin had risen from $8,527 on March 1, 2020 to a high of $62,986 on April 15, 2021 and then fell to $30,822 on July 20, 2021. It again crossed $67,000 on November 9. Intuitively it can be seen that there would be several gainers and losers in this game and those who are in the latter category could be the ones who have been lured by the lucre.

Threat for central banks

Globally this has become a wave which cannot be stopped. Some states in the US accept bitcoins for transactions as do some of the Nordic countries. It is not a good precedent for central banks which will see their power over monetary policy getting denuded. Interestingly, the concept of crypto emerged on the premise that central banks and governments mismanage money and make them worthless with loose policies. This made the concept of bitcoin enticing driving its popularity.

The fear of a backlash at some point of time is palpable and this concept can be likened to a Frankenstein which may be hard to push back once it grows roots in the system. Ideally a call should be taken for sure to make it illegal for transactions as this strikes the edifice of not just the financial system but also monetary policy. On whether it should be allowed as a form of gambling, there can be further debate.

The government need not be concerned over people who are aware of the downside of cryptos, but the less financially literate need to be educated just as it is done for sin products. Maybe a bold print saying ‘trading in crypto can be bad for your financial health’ can be the beginning.

The writer is an independent economist and author of: Hits & Misses: The Indian Banking Story. Views expressed are personal

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