This Banking Stock can Gain 41%, “Buy” Says Motilal Oswal

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Asset quality improves

Union Bank of India reported healthy earnings, supported by recovery from the DHFL resolution. According to Motilal Oswal, fee income trends improved, while domestic margins declined; muted loan growth affected NII growth.

“Union Bank reported net profit of Rs 15.3 billion (+195% YoY), supported by higher recoveries from written-off accounts of INR17.6b, including recovery of Rs 16.5 billion from the resolution of the DHFL account. 1HFY22 NII/PPoP/PAT grew 9%/19%/219% YoY,” the brokerage has said.

Buy with a price target of Rs 65

Buy with a price target of Rs 65

According to Motilal Oswal, the management indicated asset quality would continue to improve, aided by moderation in the slippage trend and higher recoveries from stressed asset resolutions. Furthermore, SMA-2 overdues declined to 2.3% of loans, while the restructured portfolio increased

to 3.7% of loans.

“Thus, we estimate credit costs at 2.2%/1.9% for FY22/FY23E and RoA/RoE at 0.8%/14.2% by FY24E. We maintain Buy, with revised Target Price of Rs 65 (0.7x Sep’21 ABV),” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stock is picked from the brokerage report of Motilal Oswal. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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3 Multibagger Stocks That Yielded Up To 14850% Return In The Last 1-Year

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1. Flomic Global Logistics Ltd.:

This is an IATA recognized air freight service provider. The company’s range of services include ocean freight, domestic transportation by air/ rail, reefer container, exhibition and event logistics among other. The country with over 30 years of existence caters to as many as 84 plus nations.

The 1-year return of the scrip of Flomic has been a staggering 14850 per cent from a price of just above Rs. 1 to now at Rs. 167.45. The stock is not traded on the NSE. The stock’s latest m-cap stands at Rs. 120 crore.

2. HCP Plastene Bulkpack/ Gopala Polyplast:

2. HCP Plastene Bulkpack/ Gopala Polyplast:

HCP Plastene Bulkpack … Gopala Polyplast (GPL) is engaged in the manufacturing of HDPE/PP Woven sacks with an installed capcaity of 7925 tons and diversified into. textile woven labels (inst. cap. : 59 mln pa) at a total cost of Rs 13.17 cr..Textile woven labels find their application in readymade garments (shirts, trousers, dresses), hosiery, terry towels, leather shoes, knitwear, etc.

The scrip in the last 1-year moved up from Rs. 5.72 as on November 5, 2020 to currently quote at Rs. 629.4, giving an outstanding return of 10903 percent return in the last 1-year. Know more about how this stock gave such outstanding returns.

3. Xpro India:

3. Xpro India:

This Birla group company is a diversified multi-divisional, multi-locational enterprise in the polymer processing sector. The packaging company’s latest m-cap is Rs 816 crore.

Product portfolio of the company includes BOPP films, Coex cast films, coex sheets among others.

The company enjoys leadership position when it comes to manufacturing packaging material for capacitors in India being only the single entity in the space. The surge in the stock price as detailed in a report is on the government’s supportive measure in relation to electronic manufacturing and hence given this the company has begin to see some profits for the last some quarters. So with improvement in cash flow, the company is on the path of cutting down its debt.

The stock of Xpro during the last 1-year has registered gains to the tune of 3145.54 percent. The stock last closed at a price of Rs. 691.3 per share. The upside in the stock price is likely to continue given the now scope of electric vehicles. Furthermore, as the government has corrected the inverted duty structure for the segment, there is expected more resilience into the space.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

The stocks mentioned herein are just to provide an idea of how these stocks fared in the last one year. Note equities are highly expensive currently and one can take a buy on dip take on 5 percent correction in the future course.

GoodReturns.in



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Govt looks at Rs 1.5L cr GST mop-up in coming months, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With economic activity stabilising, especially services, the government is hoping that monthly GST collections would stabilise around Rs 1.5 lakh crore over the next few months, helping the overall revenue situation at the Centre and the states.

This would mean that the mop-up will be higher than the record collections of Rs 1.4 lakh crore in April before it slipped to Rs 92,900 crore in June on account of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. Collections in October (for sales in September) were pegged at Rs 1.3 lakh crore, the second highest monthly mop-up.

“Spending has gone up and the collections for October and November are expected to stay strong, if not better than the numbers we just saw,” said a government source. Officials in the indirect tax wing said that it is time for the government to now initiate the next set of measures to bolster collections, suggesting that the current mechanism has nearly reached full capacity.

A group of ministers has already been set up to look at rationalisation of rates, among other things, and officials suggested that some drastic measures, including an increase in rates for some of the items in the 5% bracket was required, if not move the first slab upwards to 6-7%. Besides, they said, there were a whole set of items in the exempted category, which needed to be reviewed as there were several instances where the sellers were misusing the exemptions.

Further, officials suggested that it was time for the finance ministers at the Centre and the state level to look at merging the 12% and 18% slabs and may settle for 16-17% as the standard rate. A couple of years ago, the RBI had estimated the weighted average GST rate at 11.6%, against the estimated revenue-neutral rate of 15-15.5%. In the past, state finance ministers have avoided discussing the revamp plan and it is unlikely that any decision will be taken until crucial assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh and Punjab, among other states, are over.



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Bankers of McLeod Russel sign ICA for resolution on debt recast, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bulk tea major McLeod Russel India on Friday said its bankers have signed an Inter Creditors Agreement (ICA), a precursor to a resolution plan for debt restructuring, that rekindled hope of revival of the once largest tea producer of the world. After the promoters of McLeod reach a settlement with a financial creditor, Techno Electric & Engineering, the company could be out of National Company Law Tribunal‘s insolvency process.

The trigger for the insolvency application by Techno was a loan agreement for providing Rs 100 crore inter-corporate deposit (ICD).

“We hope to reach a satisfactory resolution shortly with the bankers on debt recast,” a McLeod official told PTI.

“All the banking lenders have signed/executed an Inter Creditors Agreement (ICA) to provide for ground rules for finalisation and implementation of Resolution Plan in respect of borrower/Company”, McLeod Russel said in a stock exchange filing.

There are nearly 8-10 lenders including a combination of private and public-sector banks, such as Axis Bank, UCO Bank, Allahabad Bank, Indusind Bank and ICICI Bank.

The outstanding debt including interest will be around Rs 2100-2300 crore, company officials estimated which is not sustainable for the tea major.

Till March 2018, McLeod had 52 estates in the country producing 67 million kg of tea with a total saleable production of 89 million kg. By FY20, its total saleable quantity had dropped by nearly 53 per cent to 42 million kgs with the company selling estates to square off debts.

A slew of ICDs – unsecured borrowings from other entities – extended to some of the other BM Khaitan group companies, hurtled the tea major into a serious crisis. PTI BSM NN NN



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DEA Official, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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As of October 2021, about 44 crore beneficiary accounts under the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) have been integrated with ‘JAM’ (Jan Dhan-Aadhaar-Mobile) trinity thereby helping the government improve the targeting of its programmes by addressing the right section of people, a top official in the Union Finance Ministry said.

“Earlier when I was handling the National Food Security Act, the problem was that a lot of benefits were going from the government, but we were not sure whether they were reaching the right people or not,” said Manisha Sensarma, Economic Adviser, Department of Economic Affairs (DEA), Ministry of Finance.

“Knowing that resources are limited and need to be used in a judicious manner, what we have now tried to attempt through use of technology and leveraging Aadhaar is that intended benefits should reach the eligible and identified beneficiaries so that there is no leakage of resources,” she said.

Sensarma added that in absence of this infrastructure, while facing the challenges of the pandemic it would have been very difficult for the Government to deliver the way the delivery mechanisms were put in place had the PMJDY accounts not been in place.

“During the Covid, there were many benefits that were provided directly into beneficiaries’ accounts via the DBT system,” said Sensarma.

Noting that women are a major component in PMJDY accounts, she said, “In the package that was announced after March 2021, an amount of Rs 500 per month for initial three months for women could be transferred in a very seamless manner because of the existence of PMJDY accounts.”

She added that these benefits which were announced during the Covid pandemic could seamlessly reach the beneficiaries because of the infrastructure that had been created for the downtrodden and those at the bottom pyramid of the population. “For instance, some of the benefits which were transferred during pandemic, it included cash transfers to the vulnerable sections, insurance coverage for health workers, employment provisions and measures for migrant workers, besides, wage component was also increased under Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MNREGA).”

Sensarma further said that in order to bridge the gaps by focusing on MSMEs and NBFCs there were relief-based measures as various announcements were made during the pandemic and regulatory compliance measures were announced during this period, so as to streamline the processes.

She said that in an all-India debt and investment survey conducted by NSSO in 2019 whereby about 2,000 rural villages and 4,000 urban blocks were covered, it was found that about 95 per cent of households had at least one financial asset viz., be it a savings account, retirement account, risk free product, insurance account, some savings scheme. “So even the vulnerable sections are getting covered under financial inclusion, that in itself is a pointer that we intend to cover the bottom pyramid of population.”

Talking about the Mudra Scheme – categorised in three parts viz., Shishu, Kishor and Tarun, launched to provide credit to MSMEs as term loans or meeting their working capital requirements, particularly in manufacturing, trading and services sectors she said, “We are happy to record that out of total disbursements, roughly about 87 per cent of the loan disbursements are under Shishu category providing loans up to Rs 50,000. So small entrepreneurs are being addressed and catered to by this scheme. Simultaneously it addresses women entrepreneurs as they account for two-third of beneficiaries covered under Mudra Loans.”

She also said that digital payments have become very resilient and the kind of response being received is very-very encouraging. “As of September 2021, 259 banks had joined the digital space, so technology is helping simplify procedures and make our lives easier including for small vendors.”

She also sought cooperation of all stakeholders including private sector, industrial associations, civil society to further promote financial inclusion, a major enabler to take the country forward.

In his address, Sudatta Mandal, deputy MD, Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI) said that open-based lending is one of the initiatives which SIDBI is going to take.

“We are in the process of working out a pilot scheme for providing unsecured, invoice-based financing through the open network,” said Mandal.

He also said that cash-flow based lending is going to be the trend going forward. “We have to move forward from traditional balance sheet based lending to cash-flow based lending, for that access to alternate data is very important.”



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India’s forex reserves increase USD 1.9 bn to USD 642 bn, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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India’s forex reserves have increased by USD 1.919 billion to USD 642.019 billion for the week ended October 29 on a healthy increase in the currency assets and value of gold, the Reserve Bank said on Friday. The overall reserves had declined by USD 908 million to USD 640.1 billion at the end of the previous reporting week.

Foreign currency assets, a major part of the overall reserves, increased by 1.363 billion to USD 578.462 billion for the reporting week, the RBI said in the weekly data.

Expressed in dollar terms, the foreign currency assets include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US units like the euro, pound and yen held in the foreign exchange reserves.

Value of the gold reserves increased by USD 572 million to USD 39.012 billion in the reporting week, the data showed.

The special drawing rights (SDRs) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) rose by USD 17 million to USD 19.304 billion. The country’s reserve position with the IMF increased by USD 1 million to USD 5.242 billion in the reporting week, the data showed.

Also Read:

“India’s merchandise exports in October 2021 was USD 35.47 billion, an increase of 42.33 per cent over USD 24.92 billion in October 2020 and an increase of 35.21 per cent over USD 26.23 billion in October 2019,” as per an official statement.

At the interbank forex market, the rupee opened strong at 74.64 against the greenback and later gained strength to settle at 74.46, a level not seen since October 5. The local unit moved in a range of 74.46 to 74.64 in the day trade.

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Australia’s banking regulator looks into CBA’s jump into crypto, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Paulina Duran

SYDNEY, – Australia‘s banking watchdog said it was examining the regulatory implications of Commonwealth Bank‘s’s planned introduction of bitcoin trading to unsophisticated retail investors – the first bank in Australia to do so.

CBA says it would welcome a clear regulatory framework for crytpocurrencies, which are not formally regulated in Australia.

On Wednesday CBA broke banking industry ranks to match offerings from fintech firms by announcing it will become the first main-street bank in the developed world to offer a platform for retail customers to trade cryptocurrencies.

The move is forcing financial watchdogs in Australia to immediately focus on the volatile $2 trillion crypto trading industry that many argue has no intrinsic value and relies on users’ complete trust in different types of software.

A spokesman for the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) told Reuters the country’s largest lender had made the regulator aware of its plans and the authority was “examining regulatory issues that this raises”.

After a staged pilot for 2,000 people, CBA will give easy access to crypto trading in 10 assets to about a third of Australian adults already using its industry-leading mobile banking app, which also offers energy retailers discounts and carbon emission trackers.

CBA’s crypto trading service will be provided in partnership with Gemini Trust Company, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges that was created in 2014 by the Winklevoss brothers, famous for accusing Facebook’s founder of stealing their idea.

The anti-money laundering watchdog the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre said that it was “engaging … in relation to this new product offering” with both CBA and Gemini.

CBA says it would welcome regulatory clarity in the space, and that its product was designed with risk-mitigation and regulatory concerns front of mind for both the bank and to ensure people feel safe when using the product.

“We would really welcome regulatory clarity for crypto assets. We think it would improve the market, enhance trust and it would raise the bar in terms of customer protection,” said Sophie Gilder, Commonwealth Bank’s head of Blockchain and the bank’s project leader.

CBA’s offering will be a “a closed loop” connected to a CBA bank account, that would be monitored with cryptocurrency anti-money laundering services from Chainalysis for any potential suspicious activity.

“We’ve got complete transparency as to customer activity and can report on that to regulators when necessary,” Gilder said, which includes customary reporting to the taxation authority.

“We will not, as soon as the pilot ends, open it to everyone. It will be a more gradual process than that, which I think is appropriate considering the volatility of crypto.”

(Reporting by Paulina Duran in Sydney; Editing by Michael Perry)



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Muthoot Finance logs 8% increase in net profit to Rs 1002.9 crore

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The finance company, which also operates home loan, micro-finance and insurance broking subsidiaries, said net profit of the gold loan division increased 11 % YoY to Rs 994 crore ,and the share in the consolidated profit stands at 99%.

NBFC Muthoot Finance on Thursday reported a 8% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in its second quarter consolidated net profit to Rs 1002.9 crore, mainly driven by good performance of the gold loan division.

The Kerala-based lender had reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 930.7 crore in the year-ago period and a net profit of Rs 978.6 crore in the preceding first quarter..

The finance company, which also operates home loan, micro-finance and insurance broking subsidiaries, said net profit of the gold loan division increased 11 % YoY to Rs 994 crore ,and the share in the consolidated profit stands at 99%.

Consolidated loan assets under management of Muthoot increased 5% on a sequential basis to Rs 60,919 crore.

MD George Alexander Muthoot said, “The demand environment remains strong and as we enter the festive season we remain optimistic about growth momentum in gold loan over the second half of FY22. We are optimistic about growing our gold loan book further and maintain 15% growth guidance for FY22. We are witnessing improved collections across micro finance, vehicle finance and home loans. In the last quarter we had consciously decided to go slow on non-gold lending business, we continue to remain conscious and monitor the space for emerging opportunities. We will continue to follow the strategy of balanced growth while maintaining overall asset quality.”

Loan assets of the gold loan division for the quarter stands at Rs55102 crore compared to Rs 5,2394 crore in the comparable quarter of the previous year, which is 5% y-o-y growth.

Average gold loan per branch has increased by 18% YoY to Rs 11.84 crore. Total weight of gold pledged with the company stands at 178 tonne at the end of the second quarter as against 163 tonne in the corresponding period of last fiscal year. Average loan ticket size has increased by 2 % YoY to touch Rs 62,054 as against Rs 60,642 in the year-ago period. Number of loan accounts of the NBFC has also increased 88 lakh, an increase of 16 % YoY.

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Dhanlaxmi Bank Q2 net plunges 74% as bad assets rise

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In value terms, gross NPAs increased to Rs 604.15 crore from Rs 448.72 crore in the year-ago period.

Dhanlaxmi Bank on Friday reported a 74% year-on-year (Y-o-Y) decline in its net profit to Rs 3.66 crore for the quarter ended in September 2021 as provisions rose due to a spike in bad loans. The Thrissur-based lender had reported a net profit of Rs 14.01 crore in Q2 of FY21 and Rs 6.79 crore in the preceding quarter.

Provisions and contingencies have increased by 422% to Rs 22.40 crore, as against Rs 4.29 crore in the year-ago period.

The asset quality has worsened with gross NPA as a percentage of gross advances rising to 8.67% for the quarter under review, against 6.36% in the second quarter of last fiscal and 9.27% in Q1 of FY22.

The net NPA ratio was reported at 4.92%, compared to 1.66% reported in the year-ago period and 4.58% in the first quarter of the current fiscal.

In value terms, gross NPAs increased to Rs 604.15 crore from Rs 448.72 crore in the year-ago period.

The total income for Q2 of FY22 was higher by 6.7% YoY to Rs 266.59 crore, while the bank’s interest income falling to Rs 229.01 and other income increasing to Rs 37.58 crore from Rs 5.69 crore in the comparable period of last fiscal.

The provision coverage ratio (including technical write-off) as of September 30, 2021, was 74.18% and the capital adequacy ratio stood at 13.64%.

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Banks make higher-than-required provisions for Srei Group exposure

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Large public sector banks (PSBs) have proactively made substantially higher provisions, ranging from 40-100 per cent, towards their exposure to the Kolkata-based Srei Group against the usual regulatory requirement of 15 per cent.

Forensic audit

This is due to the uncertainty over what a forensic audit of the account may reveal and the haircut lenders may have to take under the corporate insolvency resolution process (CIRP) initiated against the group.

The Reserve Bank of India’s norms require banks to make a general provision of 15 per cent on their total outstanding exposure to a substandard asset. Unsecured substandard assets attract an additional provision of 10 per cent.

Bankers say they don’t want any surprises on the provisioning front in the coming quarters vis-a-vis the Srei account, which comprises Srei Infrastructure Finance Ltd (SIFL) and its wholly owned subsidiary Srei Equipment Finance Ltd (SEFL).

Moreover, recovery from the resolution of DHFL and healthy profit in the second quarter have given them the elbow room to increase the provisions.

The banks that have made higher upfront provisions towards their exposure to the Srei Group include State Bank of India (SBI, 100 per cent), Union Bank of India (UBI, 65 per cent), Bank of India and Central Bank of India (BoI, CBoI 50 per cent each), and Punjab National Bank (PNB, 40 per cent). PNB has an exposure of ₹2,600 crore to the Srei group, UBI ₹2,558 crore, BoI ₹1,024 crore in direct exposure and ₹970 crore via pooled route, and CBoI ₹1,149 crore. SBI’s exposure is believed to be over ₹2,000 crore.

₹26,476-crore borrowings

As at March-end 2021, the consolidated borrowings of the Srei Group stood at ₹26,476 crore. This includes term loans, working capital facilities, collateral borrowings and unsecured loans. Liabilities in the form of debt securities and subordinated liabilities stood at ₹2,441 crore and ₹2,785 crore respectively.

Governance concerns

RBI had, on October 4, 2021, superseded the Board of Directors of SIFL and SEFL. The central bank, in a statement, said it took this action owing to governance concerns and defaults by these companies in meeting their various payment obligations.

It appointed Rajneesh Sharma, Ex- Chief General Manager, Bank of Baroda, as the Administrator of the aforesaid companies.

The central bank’s applications for initiation of CIRP against SIFL and SEFL under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), 2016, read with Financial Service Providers Insolvency Rules were admitted by the Kolkata Bench of the National Company Law Tribunal on October 8.

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