Buy This Stock Of Capital Market, For +30% Return: Motilal Oswal Recommends

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Target Price

The Current Market Price (CMP) of ICICI Securities (ISEC) is Rs. 747. The brokerage firm, Motilal Oswal has estimated a Target Price for the stock at Rs. 970. Hence the stock is expected to give a +30% return, in a Target Period of 1 year.

Stock Outlook
Current Market Price (CMP) Rs. 747
Target Price Rs. 970
1 year 30.00%

Company performance

Company performance

In the past 6 quarters, ISEC’s Retail Brokerage revenue was in the Rs. 3-3.5 b range, in spite of strong growth in client addition. Considering allied revenue, which includes Prime subscription, Neo subscription, MTF, and other charges, the traction has been healthy, with total brokerage + allied revenue increasing to Rs. 5b in 2QFY22 from Rs. 3.5b in 1QFY21. The brokerage firm said, “We expect the momentum in Prime and Neo subscription to improve, with a targeted marketing approach. MTF revenue will have a linkage to market movement.”

Comments by Motilal Oswal

Comments by Motilal Oswal

According to Motilal Oswal, “With the management’s focus on customer addition, technology development, and increasing wallet share, its revenue traction should improve going forward. We have raised our estimates for Brokerage revenue to 8% CAGR from 5% CAGR over the next three years.”

About the company

About the company

ICICI Securities is one of the leading names in the Capital Market. Technology investments are at the core of the current transitional phase for ISEC. It is building a new app for trading, which will appeal to Gen Z and millennial customers.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

The above stock was picked from the brokerage report of Motilal Oswal. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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4 High Conviction Stocks To Buy From This Renowned Brokerage Firm

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Buy Eicher Motors Stock

Emkay Global has recommended buying the stock of Eicher Motors in its high conviction buy list. According to the brokerage firm, the order book is healthy at over 150,000 units, supported by Classic 350 and Meteor 350 models.

“Production levels are improving on a sequential basis, and Q3/Q4 volumes are likely to be higher than Q2 levels. Several new models are in the pipeline, and one new model or major refresh will be launched every quarter. All new products will have customization options.

The store count stands at 2,105 units now, with 1,053 large stores and 1,052 studio stores,” the brokerage has said.

According to Emkay Global, the Management expects to continue expansion with the addition of 300-400 stores annually to improve penetration. Export remains a focus area, with a presence in 149 exclusive outlets and 650+ multi-brand stores. Exclusive store count will be expanded to 175 by FY22-end.

“We expect a robust earnings CAGR of 42% over FY22-24E, supported by the sales upcycle, market share gains and margin expansion. We have a Buy rating on Eicher with a Dec’22 target price of Rs 3,100, based on 23x P/E for the 2W business,” the brokerage has said.

Buy ICICI Bank stock

Buy ICICI Bank stock

Emkay Global is also bullish on the stock of ICICI Bank. “We expect the overall asset quality experience for ICICI Bank in the current cycle has been far better than market expectations, given its better quality retail portfolio built largely around captive customers, and as the lumpy corporate NPA cycle is largely behind.

Healthy demand resolution, lower restructuring pool and higher provisioning buffers are added positives,” the brokerage has said.

“After long, ICICI Bank has credible and stable top management with unwavering focus on sustainable profitability vs. growth, which we believe deserves due recognition amid the spate of management rejigs in large peers. Valuations too look reasonable, thus we recommend strong Buy on ICICI Bank with a target price of Rs 950 (top pick in banking space),” the brokerage has said.

Buy Infosys stock, says Emkay Global

Buy Infosys stock, says Emkay Global

Emkay Global also has a buy call on the stock of Infosys. According to the firm, strong revenue momentum with stable margins, continued market share gains, strong deal intake, robust cash conversion and healthy payout (85% of FCF over a 5-year period) should support higher valuations.

“Revenue growth momentum and stable margins should drive 17.1% CAGR in earnings over FY21-24E. We expect ROE to improve from 27.1% in FY21 to 32.5% in FY24E. We have a Buy rating on Infosys with a Dec’22 target price of Rs 2,100 (30x Dec’23E EPS),” the brokerage has said.

Maruti Suzuki

Maruti Suzuki

Emkay Global also remains upbeat on India’s largest passenger car makers, Maruti Suzuki. “The order book is healthy at over 200,000 units. Production levels are improving on a sequential basis, and Q3/Q4 volumes are likely to be higher than Q2 levels. Led by improving macros, pending order book and new products, we expect a 19% CAGR in volumes over FY22-24E.

In the next 2-3 years, major launches could include new Brezza, Jimny UV, above 4m UV and new MPV, among others.

“We remain positive on Maruti Suzuki due to expectations of cyclical upturn, which generally lasts for at least 3 years. We have a Buy rating with a Dec’22 target price of Rs 8,750, based on 27x core P/E on Dec’23E estimates, backed by DCF model and net cash of Rs1,445 per share,” the brokerage has said.



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Anand Rathi Wealth IPO subscribed 1.60 times on Day 1 of offer, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi, The initial public offer of Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, part of Mumbai-based financial services group Anand Rathi, was fully subscribed on the first day of subscription on Thursday. The Rs 660-crore initial share-sale received bids for 1,36,00,818 shares against 84,75,000 shares on offer, translating into 1.60 times subscription, according to NSE data.

The category for Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) received 2.45 times subscription, non-institutional investors portion garnered 1.93 times subscription and Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) 1 per cent.

The company’s initial public offer is of up to 1,20,00,000 equity shares and is in a price range of Rs 530-550 a share.

Anand Rathi Wealth Ltd on Wednesday said it has raised Rs 194 crore from anchor investors.

Anand Rathi Wealth operates in the financial services industry with a focus on mutual fund distribution and the sale of financial products.

The offer will conclude on December 6.

The equity shares of the company will be listed on BSE and NSE.

Equirus Capital Private Limited, BNP Paribas, IIFL Securities Limited, Anand Rathi Advisors Limited are the book running lead managers to the offer. PTI SUM SUM SHW SHW



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2 Gold Rated Equity Mutual Funds From Morningstar For SIPs

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First, a caution before investing in equity mutual funds

Before we inform readers of the two mutual fund schemes, let us warn readers that these are equity mutual funds, so the risks remain high. The last 1-month has shown us immense volatility and the markets are now down, thanks to the spread of a new covid variant called the Omicron.

Having said that the markets are trading at a significant premium to long-term averages and are hence expensive. It is therefore our suggestion to just stick to SIPs, so even if the markets fall investors can average their acquisition of units, by buying at lower rates. We have been advocating SIPs only given that the markets have jumped sharply in the last 1-year.

Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund

Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund

This fund has a gold rating from Morningstar. Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund looks to generate for unit holders by investing in a diversified portfolio predominantly in equities and equity related securities of large cap and midcap companies at the time of investment.

A Rs 10,000 monthly SIP for 36-months would have generated a portfolio value of Rs 5.71 lakhs now. This means an investor would have invested Rs 3.6 lakhs, which would have generated a portfolio value of Rs 5.71 lakhs.

The net asset value under the growth plan for Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund is Rs 97.47. An SIP will not cost much for an investor and one needs only a sum of Rs 1,000 every month to start an SIP. Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund has holdings in stocks like ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Infosys, Axis Bank and State Bank of India.

Aditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund

Aditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund

This is another fund that has a gold rating from Morningstar. The fund has generated a 1-year returns of almost 35%, while the 3-year returns are 16.42% and the 5-year returns are 14.95% on an annualized basis. The assets under management of the fund is almost Rs 22,461 crores. Almost the entire portfolio is invested and there is very little cash and cash holdings currently with the fund.

Individuals can start an SIP in Aditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund with a small amount of Rs 100 every month. The fund has holdings in stocks of ICICI Bank, Infosys, HDFC Bank, Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel. The net asset value under the growth plans is Rs 339.42. Investors who wish to invest for a period of 3-5 years should consider the Aditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in equity mutual funds is risky and investors are advised caution. Invest only if you have an appetite to take risk. Please be informed neither Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd nor the author are liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Dividend Paying Stocks In December

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1. Bajaj Steel:

Nagpur based entity on June 29, 2021 announced a final dividend of 60 percent amounting to Rs. 3 per share for the Fy 21. For the said dividend the stock shall turn ex-dividend today i.e. December 2, 2021, while the record date is December 4.

The company has been consistently paying dividend and considering the last dividend and the current market price of Rs. 825 per share, dividend yield comes to be barely 0.36 percent.

Established in 1961, the Nagpur based company is the only company globally that is into manufacturing machineries for all of the cotton grinning technologies, all pressing technologies, Up Packing & Horizontal Packing, as well as Seed Cleaning, Delinting & Decorticating, other than general engineering fabrication, machining, intelligent electrical panel manufacturing and various other engineering activities.

2. Coal India:

2. Coal India:

The mining and minerals PSU major on November 23, 2021 announced an interim dividend for the FY22 of 90% amounting to Rs. 9 per share of the face value of Rs. 10. This is higher in comparison to Rs. 7.5 apiece announced last year. For the Fy21 considering the dividend pay-out of 160% (Rs. 16 per share) and current share price of Rs. 156.55, the scrip’s dividend yield turns out to be an impressive 10.22%. Since 2011, the company has declared dividend 19 times.

For the Fy22 interim dividend, the stock shall turn ex-dividend on December 6, while record date for it is December 7. “The date of payment of ‘Interim Dividend’ is ‘on and from 21st Dec’ 2021′”, said the company’s exchange filing.

Edelweiss and Motilal Oswal have signalled a ‘Buy’ on the scrip of Coal India for a price target of up to Rs. 210 per share.

The PSU entity is the biggest coal producing company globally. Other products of the company include non-coking coal as well as coking coal of different qualities for varied purposes. The company primarily caters to thermal power producing entities, steel and cement producers as well as other industrial organisations.

3. TT Ltd.:

3. TT Ltd.:

This textiles-hoisery and knitwear company informed that in its meeting held on December 1, the company’s board has approved interim dividend payment @ 10% i.e. Rs. 1 per share for the fiscal year 2022. Record date for the dividend is Decmeber 10, 2021. “The said interim Dividend will be credited / dispatched to all shareholders within 30 days from date of declaration”, added the release.

TT Ltd. Is the flagship company of th T.T. Group. The company from the knitwear segment was the first to go public. The company offers the complete range of textile sector including yarn, fabric, cotton, garments and accessories.

4. Oriental Aromatics:

4. Oriental Aromatics:

This chemicals company declared an interim dividend of 30 percent for the Fy 22. Ex-dividend and record date for the same is December 9 and December 10, respectively. The interim dividend amounts to Rs. 1.5 per share. Last fiscal year the company declared a dividend of Rs. 2.5 per share. The closing price of the scrip as on December 2, 2021 has been Rs. 769.20 per share. For the last several years, the company has been consistent in paying out dividends.

Formerly known by the name Camphor and Allied Products is the world’s top integrated companies with 4 major divisions within its business namely camphor, flavour, fragrance and aroma chemicals.

5. BNK Capital Markets:

5. BNK Capital Markets:

The company from the financial market space announced a final dividend of 25% amounting to Rs. 2.5 per share. Record date for the same is December 10, while the company shall go ex-dividend on December 9, 2021. The announcement in respect of the dividend was made on June.

The company has been consistent in paying dividend. BNK Capital is an NBFC firm engaged in financial activities such as investment banking, corporate finance distribution business and other advisory related services. Under its boutique based service oriented business model, the company’s offering encompass equity Broking ,Commodities Broking ,Currencies Broking ,Internet Based Trading in Securities, Commodities and Currencies ,Depository Services, Wealth Management Services, Distribution of Financial Products, Corporate Finance and Advisory and Research.

Should you be buying shares ahead of dividend declaration?

Should you be buying shares ahead of dividend declaration?

Though investors can be lured to buy into a stock ahead of its dividend declaration and sell it off after the dividend pay-out, the same is not recommended. However this in itself is a strategy referred to as ‘dividend stripping’. Herein investors stand to benefit by way of tax benefits. Notably, upon dividend pay-out, the company’s share price falls and for the investor who sells the scrip post the share price fall implies that he or she can book capital loss. And this can further be set-off against income and help lower down the investors’ net tax payable amount.

Further if not for taxation advantage, one needs to be diligent in picking dividend paying stocks as one can choose:

1. Dividend paying stocks with a dividend yield of over 3 percent.

2. Dividend pay-out should be over 40 percent i.e. the proportion of earnings that the company pays out to its shareholders.

3. Choose on a dividend paying scrip with a clearly drawn dividend policy.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

In the article we have just collated the stocks that will be making dividend in some time as their record date falls in the month of December. Remember from the record date it usually takes a month time for dividend to be credited into your account. As say for BPCL the record date was September 16 and the dividend of Rs. 58 per share was credited on October 25, 2021.

Further, note the story above listing stocks paying dividends in due time, should be considered as a call to invest in these stocks, investors need to engage in their own due diligence and research.

GoodReturns.in



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Experts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Ahead of the government’s bill on cryptocurrency, there is no clarity on whether the government plans to ban cryptocurrencies or regulate them.

The bill intends to ban all private cryptocurrencies, with certain exceptions, to promote the use of the underlying technology of cryptocurrency. The much-awaited bill also aims to provide a framework for the creation of an official digital currency to be issued by the Reserve Bank of India. The government has already made it clear it has no plan to make cryptocurrency a legal tender.

What if govt bans cryptos

In the event government plans to ban cryptocurrencies, experts said any crypto ban could cause investors to move underground and obtain cryptos and trade in them illegally. Moreover, the P2P transactions do not fall under any legal ambit and hence, decentralised exchanges would continue to thrive regardless of the ban. Banning cryptos would not only prove a technological challenge for the government but also mean huge capital funds moving out of the country.

The Blockchain and Crypto Assets Council, the association of crypto exchanges in the country, released a statement reiterating the futility of the ban. A blanket ban on cryptocurrencies will encourage non-state players, thereby leading to more unlawful usage of such currencies, it said.

“The Council has always argued in favour of prohibiting the usage of private cryptocurrencies as a currency in India by law since usage as currency is likely to interfere with monetary policy and fiscal controls. On the other hand, the council has advocated their use only as an asset. The council believes that a smartly regulated crypto assets business will protect investors, help monitor Indian buyers and sellers, lead to better taxation of the industry, and limit illegal usage of cryptos,” BACC said in a statement.

Grey areas

Also, the government needs to define the scope and meaning of the term ‘private cryptocurrencies.’ Almost all the cryptocurrencies would be private except significant cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum that the miners collectively own, if the definition concerns ownership rights or anonymity of transactions.

However, except like Bitcoin, not all cryptocurrencies are store of value with there being utility tokens like Ethereum, Cardano.

Experts said the exchanges could be asked to follow stringent KYC/AML procedures to dissuade money laundering and terror financing activities.



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HDFC Bank appoints Sandeep Sood as Sr. VP- Technology Risk, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Sandeep Sood has moved on from L&T Financial Services and joined HDFC Bank as Senior Vice President- Technology Risk. He will be based out of Mumbai.

HDFC Bank is one of India’s largest banks providing a wide range of financial products and services to over 43 million customers.

In the new role, Sood will be overseeing the bank’s various upcoming and ongoing digital transformation initiatives.

In his previous stint with L&T Finacial Services, Sood was Head-IT Infrastructure & Services. He was associated with the company for more than 4 years.

Sood has more than 26 years of professional experience and has worked with companies like NPCI, Reliance Jio Infocomm, HCL Comnet and Tatanet Services.

Throughout his career, Sood has been involved in various projects including Service Delivery, IT Management, Management, Outsourcing, Project Management, Business Process, Solution Architecture.

He completed his graduation in Telecommunications & Network from BITS Pilani. Sood also holds a certificate in Managing IT Projects from IIM-A.



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Dhanlaxmi Bank Part-Time Chairman G Subramonia Iyer resigns, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Dhanlaxmi Bank on Thursday said its Part-Time Chairman G Subramonia Iyer has resigned, on personal grounds. “G Subramonia Iyer, part-time chairman and independent director of the bank, has submitted his resignation from the board of directors of the bank vide his letter dated December 2, 2021,” the bank said in a regulatory filing.

His resignation is to be effective from December 31, 2021, it added.

“G Subramonia Iyer has informed that he was tendering his resignation owing to certain urgent and emergent domestic and personal reasons and there were no other material reasons for his resignation,” it added.

Shares of Dhanlaxmi Bank on Thursday closed at Rs 14.14 apiece on the BSE, down by 0.42 per cent from the previous close.

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Bank deposits contract in the post Diwali fortnight, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Banks deposits contracted by over a lakh crore in the post Diwali fortnight as investors applied in huge amounts for the big ticket IPOs lined up during the fortnight ended November 19

Aggregate deposits in the banking system dipped Rs 2.67 lakh crore during the fortnight ended November 19 to Rs 157.8 lakh crore, latest RBI data indicates. Both demand and term deposits contracted sharply during the fortnight by Rs 1.52 lakh crore and Rs 2.67 crore respectively.

Analysts attribute this largely to investors using the money parked in banks to apply for many big ticket IPOs during the fortnight. These included PayTM, Sapphire Foods and paisabazar.com among others. “The sharp contraction in deposits during the fortnight is probably driven by withdrawal for IPOs ” said an economist with a foreign bank. “There was a big jump in deposits in the previous fortnight.”

But on a long-term basis deposits continue to post a strong growth despite banks lowering interest rates earned on them. Weighted average term deposit rates have fallen by over 50 basis points-bps over the last one year. Yet, the year-on-year deposit growth is 9.8 per cent as of November 19, as bank deposits continue to be a risk free avenue of investment for savers. It is reckoned that bank deposits account for nearly half of household financial savings in India as they have been typically risk averse. But this mind-set is slowly changing, experts say.

As for credit, there was a modest pick-up of Rs 1,158 core during the fortnight. But on a long-term basis, banks are seeing a pick-up in loan demand as economic activity picks up following easing of lockdown induced restrictions. On a year-on-year basis, credit growth worked out to 6.9 per cent as of November 19, compared to less than 6 per cent a few years ago.

As per the latest data on sectoral deployment of bank credit, loans to large corporates rose 0.5 per cent (on a year-on-year basis) to Rs 22.7 lakh crore in October compared to a contraction of 1.8 per cent a year ago. All major segments except services including agriculture, industry and retail posted higher growth rates over previous year.



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Cautious banks drastically cut education loans as income, job losses rise, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The bank credit is ticking up for industry and allied sectors in line with the economic revival, but certain segments continue to stay in doldrums.

Credit to commercial real estate and education loans shrunk by 0.5% and 8.7% on year, respectively, in October.

According to RBI data on sectoral credit deployment, loans to the industry sector increased 4.1% on year to Rs 28,54,571 crore as on October 22. On the other hand, loans to commercial real estate fell 0.5% on year to Rs 2,53,582 crore while education loans credit deployment by banks by 8.7% to Rs 47,260 crore.

Experts say banks have sharply reduced exposure to unsecured credit and are focusing on secured home loans and working capital needs of high rated corporate borrowers. While they are focusing on growing the mortgage book, banks have reduced exposure to commercial real estate, given the uncertain times.

Education loan NPAs

Nearly 9.55% of education loans extended by PSU banks were labelled as non-performing assets (NPAs) as on December 31, 2020, with loans for engineering and nursing courses topping the chart.

Job and income loss and drop-out rates during the pandemic were key factors behind the surge in education loan NPAs.

Rising unemployment rate is posing major challenges to the banking system as the repayment ability of the borrowers are getting impacted accordingly.

About Rs 8,587 crore loans over 366,260 accounts have turned bad as of December 2020.

As on December 31, 2020, there are 24.84 lakh education loan accounts with an outstanding of Rs 89,883.57 crore across the country. Out of these, about 9.55% or 3.66 lakh accounts with an outstanding of Rs 8,587.10 crore have turned NPAs, the parliament was informed.

The highest defaults were in loans extended for engineering courses as Rs 4,041.68 crore spread over 176,256 accounts as on December 31, 2020.

COVID-led spike

Interestingly, the NPA rate has dropped to 7.61% in FY20 end from 8.11% in FY18. It stood at 8.29% in FY19. The category has witnessed higher NPAs than other categories of retail loans including housing, vehicle, that saw bad loans in the range of 1.52% and 6.91% in FY20 While NPAs in the housing, vehicle and other retail sector loans have remained below 2%, consumer durables NPAs have trebled to 6.91% as on March 2020 from 1.99% in March 2018.

Reserve Bank of India
Reserve Bank of India

Rising graph

Led by a rise in lending to micro and small, and medium industries, bank loans to the industry sector grew a 4.1% on year in October, sharply higher than 2.5% a month ago and contraction of 0.7% a year ago, according to the RBI data.

Loans to large corporates rose 0.5% (on a year-on-year basis) to Rs 22.7 lakh crore in October compared to a contraction of 1.8 % a year ago.

All major segments, except services including agriculture, industry and retail posted higher growth rates over the previous year. Overall bank credit rose 6.9% in October compared to 5.2% a year ago according to the latest data on sectoral deployment of bank credit released by the Reserve Bank of India.

Government schemes like emergency credit guarantee schemes targeted at such borrowers also seemed to have played a part in the pick-up in lending to these corporate borrowers during the festival season.

The 10.7% growth in gross capital formation in Q2’21-22 is driven primarily by public capital expenditure although there are also signs of a pickup in private capex in the current fiscal.



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