Cryptos, far from the regulators’ glare

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The manner in which cryptocurrencies which began as innocuous playthings of geeks went on to become the most sought after asset class and a threat to traditional cross-border payment channels, while managing to stay beyond the reach of regulators, shows the challenges that digital innovation pose.

The original white paper on Bitcoin, put out by its founder, the anonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, described it as, “a purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash (that) would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”

Most regulators did not take it seriously then, since its usage appeared to be limited to a few rebels who wanted to express their displeasure against the traditional fiat currencies. But Bitcoin has cloned thousands of other cryptocurrencies, which are no longer innocent payment channels but have morphed into a highly speculative asset and conduits of illicit cross-border money transfers.

The experience with cryptocurrencies shows that fintech products and innovations need to be taken more seriously going ahead and quickly brought under the regulatory radar before they grow in to a many-headed monster. There are other similar digital innovations such as digital lending or algo trades that have grown surreptitiously in the shadows in a similar manner with the regulators struggling to frame rules them.

Digital lending entities

More than a decade ago, the usurious practices of microfinance companies charging exorbitant rates of interests, harassing and shaming borrowers had led to a spate of suicides making the RBI issue regulations to check the lenders in this space. The same sequence of events is now being repeated, but in digital space.

As the Covid-19 pandemic hit the livelihoods and small businesses, digital lending apps turned out to be a ready source of money to these small borrowers. While funds could be accessed for extremely short periods, ranging from 7 to 15 days, the rates of interest charged by the digital lenders were extremely high, ranging from 60 to 100 per cent, according to reports. These apps required the borrower to give them permission to access all the information on their smartphones under the garb of doing KYC checks. The problem started when the borrowers were unable to repay the loans. They were harassed, publicly shamed and even blackmailed leading to some borrowers even resorting to the extreme step of taking their lives.

The RBI had taken note of these malpractices and issued an advisory in December and had also opened a portal for registering complaints. It recently set up a working group to give recommendations on regulating these businesses.

The swiftness shown by the central bank in trying to bring digital lending entities under regulatory purview is laudable. It’s clear that there is demand for loans from such digital lenders and total clamp-down on this space is not a good idea. Weeding out the bad players and ensuring that the lending activities continue with sufficient protection to borrowers is the way forward.

But the point to note is the manner in which the miscreants were quick to find a regulatory gap and begin operations. This requires equal amount of agility from regulators as well.

Dealing with algo trading

Another instance of a digital innovation blind-siding regulators was seen in the proliferation of algorithmic or programmed trading in Indian stock exchanges. These trades that require little or no manual intervention, where computer programs shoot orders to the exchange servers at lightning speed, currently account for over 60 per cent of turnover in derivatives section and 50 per cent in cash segment of the NSE.

There was a lot of furore about these algo trading around 2012 when it was first revealed that programmed trading, especially from colocation sites located close to exchange servers, are ahead of the small investors in trade execution due to their proximity to the exchanges. Further, the high-frequency-trading programs and other rogue programs were gaming the market to stay ahead of other traditional traders.

But no one could explain how or when algo trading had started on Indian exchanges and how they had become so widespread by 2012. The market regulator was in a fix then, since banning algos would have resulted in depriving liquidity from market and making FPIs turn away. SEBI decided to embrace algos and regulate them by issuing guidelines to exchanges, intermediaries and investors about dealing with algos.

We had dealt with this logjam in https://www.thehindubusinessline. com/opinion/columns/lokeshwarri-sk/ learn-to-live-with-algo-trading/ article22995759.ece

Regulating cryptos will be tricky

With fintech adoption growing at a break-neck speed in the country with growing smart phone and data accessibility, it is clear that innovative products that fox regulators and at times border on the illegal will keep cropping up. Regulators need to be on their toes and increase the strength of their digital surveillance team which has the skills to understand these products.

But, while innovations like digital lending and algo trading can be regulated and streamlined by regulators, cryptocurrencies will be much more challenging. This is because — one, it is hard to categorise cryptocurrencies as either currency or asset. So determining the regulator for them is quite difficult. Two, the creation or mining of the cryptocurrencies takes place globally and hence cannot be controlled. While trading can be banned in India, it will continue in other global trading platforms which can be easily accessed by Indians. Three, the investors of these crypto assets are mostly not the investors of traditional asset classes.

Hence it may not be possible for issuing reactive regulations for these crypto assets and absorb them into the mainstream as done for other tech innovations. A global consensus on crypto mining and trading could be the way forward, with uniform rules and regulations framed for crypto trading platforms in all countries. While the contours of the Cryptocurrency Bill to be presented in Parliament is awaited, the last word has not yet been said on taming this beast.

The last two decades have seen rapid innovation in fintech with these digital entities seeping into spaces hitherto occupied by traditional banks, insurance companies, stock brokers, investment advisories, and so on. Some of these entities have tried pushing the boundary between the acceptable and unacceptable, ethical and unethical, legal and illegal and, in many instances, regulators have been caught sleeping at the wheel. Regulators will have to upskill and increase the manpower equipped to deal with fintech entities so that they are not caught off-guard, once too often.

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Crypto exchange WazirX disrupted by the rush to buy Shiba Inu coins

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A record-breaking rally and frantic trading in meme-themed crypto currency Shiba Inu has disrupted crypto exchange WazirX, which is headquartered in Mumbai.

Shiba Inu has rallied more than 100 per cent in the past 24 hours on the back of a petition to get it listed on global stock trading brokerage platform Robinhood. Disruption hurts many people as WazirX has more than 9 million users, sources told BusinessLine.

Shiba Inu has been on a dream run since Vitalik Buterin, the founder of the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency Ethererum, donated around $1 billion (₹7,324 crore) worth of Shiba Inu coins to India’s Covid Crypto Relief Fund. This fund was set up by Indian cryptocurrency entrepreneur Sandeep Nailwal on April 24. Buterin is a Russian-Canadian programmer and writer who is known to be close to maverick businessman and Tesla promoter Elon Musk.

Last month, Shiba Inu witnessed a rally as Musk tweeted a photo of his puppy dog that resembles the meme coin. Shiba Inu was founded in 2020 by an anonymous person going by the Japanese name Ryoshi who put it on the blockchain network to decentralise its operations.

Indian cryptocurrency market likely to reach up to $241 million by 2030: Nasscom

In the last 24 hours, the rally in Shiba Inu was due to three lakh people signing petitions on Change.org to get it listed on Robinhood. This led to disruption on WazirX on Wednesday. Crypto exchanges trade for 24 hours 365 days. Little known individual Tristan Luke had started the petition to list Shiba Inu on Robinhood and has received more than lakh signatures. The Dogecoin inspired meme coin Shiba Inu is the 11th largest cryptocurrency with a market cap of $32 billion. It is listed exclusively on WazirX in India.

“We are investigating the delays in the WazirX app and website. Team is working on scaling the systems and will update you as soon as it is fixed. Sorry for the inconvenience,” WazirX told its clients in a communication. It also lists scores of other crypto currencies on its platform but has not given any reason for the tech disruption.

NFTs gaining traction in India as celebrities lead the way

Opaque process

According to traders on WazirX, even though the money was transferred from the bank, their orders could not get executed or the orders once placed could not get cancelled. Also, those who traded on Wednesday had no way to know details of their transactions till Thursday morning. Those buying and selling on WazirX platform have to mainly use Mobikwik pay wallets to transfer their money from bank accounts to and fro. Since Wednesday, Mobikwik, too, had been witnessing payment issues, clients told Business Line.

Crypto exchanges are yet to prove themselves on the technology front and clients say that sometimes buying and selling on them and money transfers are tedious. Yet, due to the hype of crypto trading these exchanges now claim to have more traders registered with them than the mainline stock exchanges like the BSE.

Experts say that WazirX and scores of other crypto exchanges should detail their technology and various other details like inventor profile and checks and balances followed by them in handling client money. The total market capitalisation of the global crypto market is nearly $2.6 trillion, which is the same as India’s gross domestic production.

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Bitcoin and why its value has rocketed once again

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Bitcoin’s journey into mainstream finance has reached another major milestone – and another record price.

The cryptocurrency was trading at $66,975 (₹50,22,689) following the launch of an exchange traded fund (ETF) in the US which has dramatically increased bitcoin’s exposure to investors.

ETF fund

The fund, which opened on October 19, allows investors to speculate on the future value of bitcoin without actually owning it. It is the first time investors have been able to trade an asset related to bitcoin on the New York Stock Exchange, and was preceded by much media attention and hype in financial markets.

It began trading at $40 (₹3,000) a share and finished the day up 5 per cent with some $570 million (₹4274.62 crore or ₹42.7462 billion) of assets, making it the second most heavily traded new ETF on record (the first was set up by BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset management company).

Also see: Bitcoin edges off all-time high

And the impact on the price of bitcoin has been extraordinary. It soared past its all-time high of $64,895 to the new record of $66,975 and at the time of writing, was hovering around $65,000. This is a big change from mid-July 2021, when bitcoin hit a 2021 low of under $30,000, reflecting its huge volatility.

Crypto trading on a regulated market

Many financial institutions have previously tried to get approval for bitcoin ETFs without success. Until now, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the US government agency which protects investors, has been reluctant to approve any. This was partly due to the intense volatility of bitcoin, as well as broader concerns about the unregulated industry of cryptocurrencies.

But Gary Gensler, Chair of the SEC, said the commission would be more comfortable with “future-based” ETFs because they trade on a regulated market. This is a significant change of direction for the SEC which has happened since Gensler arrived at the helm in April 2021.

ETFs trade like any normal stock, are regulated, and anyone with a brokerage account can trade them. This new fund, named the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (or BITO for short), is the first to expose mainstream investors to the highs and lows of bitcoin’s value, without them having to go through the complex process of purchasing the coins themselves.

Also see: CoinDCX launches crypto trading facility for institutional investors

Although US investors could already buy bitcoin futures directly from the regulated Chicago Mercantile Exchange and unregulated exchanges such as BitMEX (as well as bitcoin directly from unregulated exchanges), the launch of an ETF opens up the market to a wider variety of investors, including pension funds — and adds to the growing acceptance of bitcoin in the financial markets.

Diverse opinions

Some are still sceptical of bitcoin due to its link with criminal activity, although a recent report suggests this seems to be diminishing. And Jamie Dimon, the CEO of investment bank JP Morgan, claims bitcoin is “worthless” and that regulators will “regulate the hell out of it”. Nevertheless, JP Morgan gave its wealth-management clients access to cryptocurrency funds in July 2021.

Banking blockbuster Eric Balchunas, a senior analyst at Bloomberg, is not surprised by the price appreciation and described the ETF launch as “a blockbuster, smash, home run debut (which) brings a lot of legitimacy and eyeballs into the crypto space”.

BITO and cryptocurrency

But what impact will BITO have on the cryptocurrency space? As a new product, it has already exposed more investors to the ups and downs of bitcoin’s value in a regulated market. Many of these are likely to have previously felt uncomfortable buying cryptocurrencies from unregulated exchanges and having to store the asset themselves.

Also see: Crypto users see the light at the end of the tunnel

Other investment funds with an interest in cryptocurrencies will be no doubt be encouraged by BITO’s success, and keen to list ETFs of their own which are exposed to bitcoin and its rivals. Several other ETF providers are likely to launch their bitcoin ETFs in the days following ProShares’ debut, including Invesco, VanEck, Valkyrie and Galaxy Digital.

It is a development which is bound to make investing in cryptocurrencies easier and more common — and an important stepping stone for their adoption into mainstream finance.

Author Credit: Andrew Urquhart, Professor of Finance & Financial Technology, ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading, London

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SGX Nifty up 10 points; here’s what changed for market while you were sleeping, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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After back-to-back record closings, domestic stocks may take a breather on Wednesday. Asian stocks were trading lower in early trade, tracking a fall in US stocks overnight. Dollar was hovering near a three-week low. At home, all eyes were on the two mainboard IPOs opening today. Here’s breaking down the pre-market actions:

STATE OF THE MARKETS

SGX Nifty signals a flat start
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 12 points, or 0.07 per cent, higher at 17,137.50, signaling that Dalal Street was headed for a muted start on Wednesday.

  • Tech View: Nifty50 on Tuesday took out the 17,100 level in style but analysts said the index could take a breather near 17,000 level after seven days of relentless buying.
  • India VIX: The fear gauge jumped over 9 per cent to 14.52 level on Tuesday over its close at 13.32 on Monday.

Asian stocks mostly lower in early trade
Asian markets opened mostly lower Wednesday following falls on Wall Street overnight as investors shifted their focus to US employment data. Barring Japan, mostly Asian markets were trading in the red. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down by 0.39 per cent.

  • Japan’s Nikkei jumped 0.83%
  • Korea’s Kospi declined 0.20%
  • Australia’s ASX 200 shed 0.60%
  • China’s Shanghai slipped 0.03%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.32%

US stocks ended lower after choppy trade
Wall Street finished marginally lower on Tuesday, although the slightly subdued ending to August failed to detract from a strong monthly performance by its three main indexes, in what is traditionally regarded as a quiet period for equities.

  • Dow Jones shed 0.11% to 35,360.73
  • S&P 500 declined 0.13% to 4,522.68
  • Nasdaq retreated 0.04% to 15,259.24

Dollar nears three weeks low
The dollar traded near its lowest point in nearly three weeks versus major peers on Wednesday, with investors focused on a key US jobs report due on Friday for clues on when the Federal Reserve might begin paring stimulus.

  • Dollar index steady at 92.751
  • Euro gained to $1.18015
  • Pound edged up to $1.3756
  • Yen slipped to 110.18 per dollar
  • Yuan gained to 6.4626 against the greenback

FPIs buy shares worth Rs 3881 crore
Net-net, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) turned buyers of domestic stocks to the tune of Rs 3881.16 crore, data available with NSE suggested. DIIs, turned sellers to the tune of 1872.4 crore, data suggests.

Two IPOs to open today
The Rs 1,895.04 crore IPO by diagnostics chain Vijaya Diagnostic Centre will be sold in Rs 522-531 price band while the Rs 570 crore IPO by speciality chemical maker Ami Organics will be sold in Rs 603-610 band. Both the issues will close on Friday, September 3.

MONEY MARKETS

Rupee: The rupee strengthened further by 29 paise to close at a nearly 12-week high of 73.00 against the US dollar on Tuesday, marking its fourth straight session of gain following a firm trend in domestic equities and foreign fund inflows.

10-year bond: India 10-year bond yield eased 0.16 per cent to 6.22 after trading in 6.21 – 6.23 range.

Call rates: The overnight call money rate weighted average stood at 3.21 per cent on Tuesday, according to RBI data. It moved in a range of 1.95-3.40 per cent.

DATA/EVENTS TO WATCH

  • IN Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG (10:30 am)
  • US Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG (7:15 am)
  • US Construction Spending MoM JUL (7:30 am)
  • EA Unemployment Rate JUL (2:30 pm)
  • EA Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG (1:30 pm)
  • GB Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final AUG (2 pm)
  • GB Nationwide Housing Prices AUG (11:30 am)
  • CN Caixin Manufacturing PMI AUG (7:15 am)
  • AU GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 (7 am)
  • AU GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ Q2 (7 am)

MACROS

Q1 GDP grows 20.1% on low base effect
India’s economy expanded at its fastest ever in the June quarter, helped by the low base of the year-earlier record contraction and a strong rebound in manufacturing and construction, data released on Tuesday showed.

Fiscal deficit at 9-year low
Fiscal deficit narrowed to a nine-year low of 21.3% of annual budget estimate as of July end at Rs 3.21 lakh crore, helped by a rise in revenues and decline in non-interest revenue expenditure, official data showed on Tuesday.

13 million plus jabs given in a day
India administered a record 13.1 million Covid vaccines on Tuesday with Bihar alone inoculating over 2.3 million. This is the second instance of daily jabs crossing 10 million in August.

India’s valuation premium at decade-high
The valuation premium of Indian equities compared with emerging market counterparts has risen to a decade high. According to Bloomberg data, the MSCI India index, a measure used by global fund managers to gauge the performance of Indian equities denominated in dollar terms, trades at 80% premium to the MSCI EM index, which represents the emerging market (EM) equities.

Supply chains under stress
Discounts and consumer promotion offers on cars, smartphones, televisions, laptops and refrigerators will be among the lowest ever in the upcoming festive season. Manufacturers expect demand to outstrip supply as they scramble to improve inventory levels amid component shortages and skyrocketing freight rates. Executives of several leading brands said discounts have moderated since July-August and were low even during the Independence Day sales.

Maruti likely to make 60% fewer cars this month
The country’s largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki on Tuesday said production across the company’s facilities in Haryana and at contract manufacturing unit Suzuki Motor Gujarat (SMG) is likely to be 40% of normal levels in September due to chip shortage. Owing to a supply constraint of electronic components due to the shortage of semiconductors, the company expects an adverse impact on vehicle production in September, the company told the bourses.



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Investors’ interest in 2030 G-Sec wanes

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Bond market players seem to have lost interest in the so-called 10-year benchmark Government Security (G-Sec) as the central bank has accumulated a chunk of this paper, reducing its attractiveness for trading.

The number of trades in the 2030 G-Sec (carrying 5.85 per cent coupon rate) has shrunk drastically from 993 on May 28 to 31 on June 29.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been mopping up this paper via Special Open Market Operations (OMO) and G-Sec Acquisition Programme (G-SAP).

This is aimed at keeping G-Sec yields on a leash as the government has a huge borrowing programme of ₹12.10 lakh crore in FY22. RBI has been focussed on buying this paper to ensure a stable and orderly evolution of the yield curve.

New benchmark

Given that the central bank is holding almost three-fourth of the ₹1.20 lakh crore outstanding amount in the 5.85 per cent 2030 G-Sec and liquidity has dwindled in this paper, market experts say it’s time the government introduced a G-Sec maturing in 2031, which will become the new 10-year benchmark.

They emphasised that at the weekly auctions of the 5.85 per cent 2030 G-Sec over the last one month or so, RBI has either devolved it on primary dealers (PDs) or rejected all the bids as investors want to buy it at a lower price (or higher yield).

Referring to the tug-of-war between institutional investors and RBI, experts say investors want the yields to go up, but the central bank wants to suppress the yields to ensure that the government can borrow at a cheaper rate.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, said: “They (Government) may float a new 10-year G-Sec after a week or two. Nobody has interest in the 5.85 per cent 2030 G-Sec.

“About three-fourth of this paper is with RBI and the rest is with nationalised banks. So, who will trade in it? There is no tradability in this paper.”

Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist, CARE Ratings, observed that the market is still demanding more (in terms of yield) from the government given the large borrowing programme as well as the rising inflation trend.

Since the 5.85 per cent 2030 G-Sec was first introduced on December 1, 2020, its price has declined by ₹1.455 to Rs 98.67 on Tuesday, with its yield rising about 20 basis points to about 6.04 per cent. Bond price and yields are inversely related and move in opposite directions.

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PayPal introduces digital Foreign Inward Remittance Advice

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PayPal, a global digital payments company, has introduced an automated process for receiving Foreign Inward Remittance Advice (FIRA) — a key document for Indian MSME exporters and freelancers that establishes proof of receipt of export proceeds in foreign currency from outside the country.

At zero-cost, merchants will now be able to download their monthly digital FIRA issued by the bank, by simply logging into their PayPal account. This FIRA was otherwise coming at a cost close to ₹2,000 for every 20 international transactions. This initiative is aimed at empowering Indian MSME exporters to seamlessly grow their business internationally.

New exporters

“When we help the exporters, we help ourselves. Through this FIRA automation, our merchants get a better experience. We are hoping this will be one of things that will help us attract new exporters. It helps our existing base and in acquiring new exporters as well,” Nath Parameshwaran, Director, Corporate Affairs, PayPal India told BusinessLine.

He highlighted that the pandemic has significantly accelerated digital adoption especially amongst small sellers and freelancers. At zero-cost, digital FIRA process not only reduces time, saves money and removes friction but also eliminates the need to visit branches and thereby reducing the chances of the Covid-19 infection, he added.

This has eliminated a huge number of steps for the MSME exporter and freelancers who are using PayPal. In 2020, despite the pandemic headwinds, PayPal enabled exports worth ₹10,000 crore for 3.6 lakh small exporters with a majority driven by tribal, artisan and women led enterprises, according to Parameswaran.

What is FIRA?

Foreign Inward Remittance Advice (FIRA) is a document that acts as a proof for all inward remittances and payments received from abroad. This is issued by banks in India and is required by exporters of all sizes individual or a business, such as a limited company, partnership firm, sole proprietorship firm etc.

Previously, Indian sellers and freelancers had to send a manual request to PayPal’s partner bank and also pay a fee for the service. The bank would then issue FIRA as a physical statement which could take up to 10 days and required the seller to visit the bank to collect the same.

This latest PayPal initiative comes on the heels of its partnership last month with FlexiLoans.com, a digital lending platform, to provide freelancers, women entrepreneurs, sole proprietors in MSMEs with collateral free business loans.

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Bloomberg, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bank of America Corp cut some of its staff in the global banking and markets division this week, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday.

Employees in sales and trading, research, investment banking and capital markets were affected by the move, the report said, citing two people familiar with the matter. (https://bit.ly/3dNCO5M)

The staff reduction is part of Wall Street’s typical practice of staffing changes around this time of the year after bonuses are distributed, the report added.

Bank of America did not immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment.

Last year, the bank had said it would not cut any jobs in 2020.

(Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Amy Caren Daniel)

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Axis Bank, promoter United India Insurance settle non-disclosure case with Sebi, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Axis Bank has paid Rs 41.4 lakh to Sebi to settle its case of non-disclosure of information relating to offloading of the bank’s shares by its promoter United India Insurance Company(UIIC).

The non-life insurer also paid Rs 10.1 lakh to the regulator to settle the same case.

Sebi said it noted in the investigation that during the period from October 01, 2017 to September 30, 2018, the value of trades by UICC in the securities of the private lender on each trading day was more than Rs 10 lakh.

Under Sebi rules, Axis Bank was required to disclose the same to the stock exchange within two trading days of the receipt of the disclosure from UIIC.

“However, the same was disclosed by the applicant (Axis Bank) to the stock exchange only on October 16, 2020, only with a delay of 1072 – 1080 days,” Sebi said in its order on Tuesday.

The regulator said in five instances the disclosures made by UIIC to Axis Bank was with a delay of 10-17 days. It was required to disclose the same within two working days.



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