Know how banks, financials performed this week, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Indian equity market witnessed volatility during the week, with domestic benchmark indices ending in the red in four out of five sessions. The Nifty50 on Friday closed at 18,114, with more than 1% weekly loss, but investors were prompt to take corrections as a buying opportunity.

The Nifty Bank remained the star performer, crossing the 40,000-mark, with more upside to come in banks. Banks, including PSU banks, were the main sectoral gainers while FMCG, Metals, Realty, Pharma and Auto were the largest losers.

According to experts, immediate support for Nifty50 is coming near the 18,000-mark. If the index manages to hold above the mark, the market can expect a swift pullback. Meanwhile, resistance is seen near 18,250-18,350.

Festival demand outlook, Jul-Sep earnings data backed by recovery in economic activity, vaccination numbers crossing 1 bln mark, developments around Asian markets, healthy FPIs and exports data, strong industrial production data, developments around the US economy, inflation fears, global energy crisis, were key driving factors this week.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

Monday Closing bell: Market closes higher for seventh session, Nifty PSU Bank gaining nearly 4%

Extending their winning streak into seventh straight session, Indian indices ended with record gains on Monday, led by banks and financial stocks. The Sensex hit a record high of 61,963, while Nifty touched an all-time high of 18,525 intraday.

At the end of the day’s trade, the Sensex settled 0.75% higher at 61,765, while Nifty50 added 0.76% to close at 18,477. The broader market was positive, with midcap and smallcap stocks also clocking stellar gains.

The Nifty PSU Bank outperformed with nearly 4% gains to close at 2,824. The Nifty Bank index also ended the day with strong gains and ended 0.87% higher at 39,864, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.46% higher at 19,034. Most of the banking stocks had a good run on Monday after strong numbers posted by HDFC Bank.

Tuesday Closing bell: Dalal Street closes in red, snaps seven-day winning streak

Sensex, Nifty witnessed a volatile session on Tuesday, ending in the red after having touched fresh all-time highs earlier in the day. At the closing bell, S&P BSE Sensex finished 0.08% lower at 61,716, while NSE Nifty 50 ended the day at 18,418, down from an intraday high of 18,604.

Broader markets fared worse than the benchmark indices to end deep in the red as Nifty Midcap 50 closed 2.22% lower, while the Smallcap 50 was down 1.47%

The Nifty Bank index touched 40,000 intraday but closed 0.36% lower at 39,540, while Nifty Financial Services ended flat with positive bias to close 0.18% higher at 19,068. After gaining nearly 4% in the previous session, Nifty PSU Bank Index ended 3.74% lower on Tuesday.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

Wednesday Closing bell: Bears pull down benchmark indices, Bank Nifty close flat with marginal losses

Domestic equity indices continued to fall for the second consecutive session on Wednesday amid heightened volatility. S&P BSE Sensex 0.74% lower at 61,259, while the NSE Nifty 50 index fell 0.83% to settle at 18,266.

In broader markets, the BSE Midcap index shed 1.9% to close at 25,915, and the Smallcap index tumbled 2.3% to end at 28,879.

The trend remained largely negative, with only PSU bank indices closing in the green, up 1.54%. Bank Nifty closed flat with marginal loss of 0.6% at 39,518, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.58% lower at 18,957. SBI, IndusInd Bank, and Bajaj Finance were the top gainers on the Nifty50 index while Bajaj Finserv was among the top laggards.

Thursday Closing bell: Market ends flat with negative bias, banks and financials outperform

A flat recovery, led by select financial shares, helped key benchmark indices recoup some of their losses. BSE Sensex fell over from the day’s high to end below the 61,000-mark at 60,923. The Nifty50 also oscillated between 18,384 and 18,048 during the day before signing off at 18,178.

The broader markets moved in tandem, with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices falling 0.4% and 0.7%, respectively.

The Nifty Bank index, meanwhile, ended 1.3% higher at 40,030 after hitting a new record high of 40,200 intra day, while Nifty Financial Services gained 1.22%, closing at 19,188. Kotak Mahindra Bank rallied 6.5% to close as the top Sensex gainer, followed by HDFC, ICICI Bank and SBI.

Stealing the show, Nifty PSU Bank index added nearly 3%, led by Union Bank of India, Indian Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, UCO Bank, and PNB.

Friday Closing bell: Markets end in red for fourth session, banks and financials fare well

Bulls attempted to make a comeback during the early trade on Friday but failed to hold their ground, forcing Dalal Street to close in the red for the fourth day running.

At close, S&P BSE Sensex fell 0.17% to close at 60,821 while NSE Nifty 50 dropped 0.35% to end at 18,114. Midcap and small-cap indices fared worse than largecap peers, lossing more than 1% each.

Bank Nifty index continued to outperform , closing at 40,323, up 0.73%, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.59% higher at 19,302. Nifty PSU Bank ended the day with a loss of 0.47%.

HDFC was the top Sensex gainer, jumping 2.25%, followed by IndusInd Bank, and Kotak Mahindra Bank. PNB, Power Finance and Chola Invest were among top drags.

Banks and financial services- September quarter results

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

HDFC Bank: the bank on Saturday reported a standalone net profit of Rs 8,834 crore, up 18% from Rs 7,513 in the year-ago period. Core operating profits came at Rs 15,131.8 crore, up 18.24% YoY and 4.1% Q-o-Q.

HDFC Bank’s net interest income (NII) plus other incomes increased by 14.7% to Rs 25,085.2 crore. GNPAs were at 1.35% of gross advances as on September 30, 2021, as against 1.47% as on June 30, 2021.

Provisions came down 18.8% at Rs 3924.7 crore. The bank’s loans grew 15.5% from a year ago, about three times the banking sector’s rate.

Federal Bank: Private sector lender reported a near 50% jump in net profit for the September quarter on lower provisions and improvement in asset quality even as its total income shrunk.

The net profit stood at Rs 460 crore compared with Rs 308 crore in the year-ago period. Total income fell about 3 per cent at Rs 3,824 crore from Rs 3,937 crore.

Operating profit fell by about 9% at Rs 865 crore from Rs 947 crore over the same period. However, a 54% lower provisions at Rs 245 crore helped the net profit surge.

YES Bank: The bank today reported a 74.3% y-o-y growth in net profit to Rs 225 crore for the said quarter against analysts’ expectations of a Rs 31 crore net loss.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

The NII fell 23.4% y-o-y to Rs 1,512 crore. The healthy bottomline performance of the lender was thanks to a sharp decline in provisions. YES Bank’s provisions for bad loans declined 65% to Rs 377 crore.

GNPAs ratio fell to 15% from 15.6% in the previous quarter. Similarly, net NPA ratio came in at 5.5% as against 5.8% in the previous quarter.

Bank of Maharashtra: Net profit jumps 103 % to Rs 264 cr. The bank’s recovery from written-off accounts stood at Rs 340 crore, including Rs 258 from the DHFL resolution. Net interest margin (NIM) improved to 3.27%, GNPA declined 5.56% and Provision coverage ratio improved to 92.38%.

Banks’ recovery and up-gradation stood at Rs 645 crore from Rs 556 crore last year around the same time.

IDBI Bank: The bank on Thursday reported a 75% jump in net profit to Rs 567 crore from Rs 324 crore in the same period of the last fiscal. The NII grew 9% to Rs 1,854 crore, NIM improved to 3.02%, compared to 2.70% in the second quarter last fiscal.

Bank’s GNPAs declined to 20.92% against 25.08% a year ago. Net NPAs improved 1.62% from 2.67%. Provisions for bad loans and contingencies also rose to Rs 434 crore.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

HDFC Life Insurance: The life insurer on Friday announced a 15.9% fall in its consolidated net profit to Rs 274.16 crore in Jul-Sep, as against Rs 326.09 crore a year ago.

Total income, however, rose to Rs 20,478 crore against Rs 16,426 crore a year ago, while the net premium income increased by 52% to Rs 11,445 crore from Rs 10,056 crore, the insurer said in a regulatory filing.

Value of new business (VNB) recorded a robust 30% growth to Rs 1,086 crore over last year. Profit after tax on the other hand stood at Rs 577 crore for H1, 26% lower than H1 FY21.

LIC Housing Finance:
Net profit for the said quarter fell 69% at Rs 248 crore as compared with Rs 791 crore in the year-ago period. NIM for the quarter dipped to 2 per cent as against 2.20% in the June quarter.

The company’s total income for the quarter was lower at Rs 4,715 crore as compared to Rs 4,982 crore during the year-ago period. The NII was Rs 1,173 crore as against Rs 1,238 crore.

Its total loan portfolio stood at Rs 2.38 lakh crore registering an 1% y-o-y growth. During the quarter, total disbursements grew 29%. Retail home loan disbursements grew 38%.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

L&T Finance Holdings: The company on Wednesday reported a 10% decline in its consolidated net profit to Rs 223 crore. Total income fell to Rs 3,134.46 crore as against Rs 3,508.91 crore during the year-ago period.

Rural finance business saw the highest-ever Q2 disbursement at Rs 4,987 crore, a jump of 51% quarter-on-quarter. The total disbursements in the quarter stood at Rs 7,339 crore.

GNPAs stood at 5.74% during the quarter, amounting to Rs 4,796 crore. Debt-to-equity ratio stood at 4.40 in Q2FY22. Capital adequacy improved to 25.16%.



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Indian stocks rise on IT, financial boost, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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BENGALURU, – Indian shares rose on Tuesday to hit another record high, led by gains in information technology and financial stocks, with investors betting on strong corporate earnings for the September quarter.

The NSE Nifty 50 index was up 0.5% at 18,571, while the S&P BSE Sensex rose 0.63% to 62,156.48 by 0355 GMT.

The Nifty IT index rose 1.8% and was the top gainer among the sub-indexes.

Shares of information technology services provider Larsen and Toubro Infotech surged 10% after reporting strong September quarter results.

Consumer giant Hindustan Unilever is among a slew of companies that will report earnings later in the day.

The Nifty metals index rose 0.6% as global prices surged on fears of production and supply cuts.

The Nifty bank index was up 0.6%, while the finance index gained 0.7%.

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European equities climb at open on better-than-expected US recovery, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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European stock markets opened higher on Friday, with investors encouraged by a strong start to the US earnings season.

In initial trade, London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index won 0.4 percent to 7,234.69 points, compared with Thursday’s close.

In the eurozone, the Paris CAC 40 added 0.5 percent to 6,720.72 points and Frankfurt’s DAX rose 0.1 percent to 15,484.79.

“The US earnings seasons unfolding … has set a very positive tone so far,” said AvaTrade analyst Naeem Aslam.

“We have seen really healthy numbers out of the US banking sector this week. The remaining Wall Street giants will report their earnings today.”

Asian equities extended gains Friday as traders also cheered better-than-expected data indicating the US recovery remains on track — despite concerns over elevated inflation and the imminent end to cheap cash.



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Know how banks, financials performed this week, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Nifty50 index crossing the psychological mark of 18,000 on Monday and Sensex surpassing 61,000 for the first time ever on Thursday marks the most weekly gains since the week ended September 3, and continuation of the bull phase.

The rally is special as it was achieved despite a truncated week, tepid global clues, global energy crisis, inflation threats and muted FII participation.

The Nifty 50 Index closed the week at 18,339, with gains of 2.5% and formed a bullish candle on the weekly chart for the second consecutive week. According to experts, this positive momentum is likely to continue till 18,500 levels in coming sessions. Immediate support for Nifty 50 is seen at 18,200.

Festival demand outlook, Q2 earnings data backed by recovery in economic activity, healthy FPIs and exports data, weak jobs report from the US, inflation fears, global energy crisis, developments around Asian markets, strong vaccination numbers were key driving factors this week.

Monday Closing bell: Benchmark indices close at record highs, led by bank stocks

The Indian benchmark indices erased intraday gains after hitting fresh lifetime highs following weakness in global peers, but managed to close at fresh record levels on Monday, supported by banking and auto stocks.

Nifty50 and BSE Sensex had hit fresh record highs of 18,042 and 60,476, respectively. At close, the BSE Sensex was up 0.13% at 60,136, and the Nifty gained 0.28% to close at 17,946.

The Nifty Bank index hit a new lifetime high of 38,495 in intraday trade before closing 1.4% higher at 38,294 levels. Nifty Financial Services gained 1.39% to close at a fresh high of 18,527, and the Nifty PSU Bank index also gained 0.78%. State Bank of India, Kotak Bank, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, were among top index gainers.

Tuesday Closing bell: Another day of fresh record highs, PSU Bank index gains over 3%

Post a volatile session, BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 recorded closing highs on Tuesday. The 30-stock index Sensex gained 0.25% to end at 60,284, while the NSE Nifty 50 index settled just shy of 18,000, at 17,992.

In the broader market, the BSE Midcap index rose 0.54% to 26,700, while the BSE Smallcap index gained 0.46% to finish at 29,893.

Nifty PSU Bank was the top gainer, rising over 3%. The Nifty Bank Index gained 0.59% to close at 38,521, while the Nifty Financial Services index ended 0.33% higher at 18,589. SBI, Bajaj Finserv and Axis bank were among top Sensex gainers, while HDFC Life and ICICI Bank were top laggards.

Wednesday Closing bell : Benchmark indices up for third straight day, end at record highs

The domestic equity market sustained its upbeat mood, supported by a positive global market, and witnessed record breaking moves by the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday. At close, the BSE Sensex jumped 0.75% to end at 60,737, and NSE Nifty 50 index settled at 18,161, up 0.94%.

Nifty PSU Bank continued its winning streak to close 0.80% higher at 2,670. The Nifty Bank index gained 0.30% to close at 38,635, while Nifty Financial Services ended the day at 18,652 up by 0.34%. HDFC Bank emerged as one of the top Sensex gainers while SBI Life, Axis Bank and SBI were among the losers.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

Thursday Closing bell: Sensex surpasses 61,000 for the first time, Nifty closes above 18,300; banks, financials outperform

Benchmark indices extended the record rally in the sixth consecutive session, with Sensex and Nifty ending at fresh record closing high. At close, the Sensex surpassed the psychological level of 61,000 for the first time ever to close 0.94% higher at 61,305, and the Nifty surpassed 18,300 to close higher at 18,338 gaining 0.97%. BSE Midcap and Smallcap added 0.5% each.

The Nifty Bank index outperformed and closed 1.83% higher at 39,340, while Nifty Financial Services closed at 18,949 up by 1.58%. PSU Bank also finished higher at 2,716 gaining 1.74%.

Index heavyweights such as HDFC Bank rose the highest, up 2.9%, followed by ICICI Bank, HDFC, and State Bank of India, among others, contributed the most to the indices’ gain.

Key Takeaways

India may log close to double-digit growth this year, says FM Nirmala Sitharaman

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

India is looking at close to near double-digit growth this year and the country will be one of the fastest-growing economies, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said.

The minister also emphasised that she expects the economic growth next year to be in the range of 7.5-8.5 per cent, which will be sustained for the next decade.

“As regards the growth of India, we are looking at near to double-digit growth this year and this would be the highest in the world. And for the next year, on the basis of this year, (the) growth would definitely be somewhere in the range of eight (per cent),” Sitharaman said here on Tuesday during a conversation at Harvard Kennedy School.

Four Indian banks rise in Asian rankings on stock market boom

Four Indian banks have featured among the 20 largest banks in the Asia-Pacific region in terms of market capitalisation in the third quarter of 2021, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

HDFC Bank was ranked seventh with a market cap of $119 billion, a quarter on quarter increase of 6.7% while the next was ICICI Bank at 12th spot, with its market cap rising 11.2% quarter on quarter to $65.5 billion.

The State Bank of India rose two spots to 17th on the list as its market cap rose 8.1% to $54.5 billion. Kotak Mahindra Bank’s market capitalisation rose 17.5%, the highest on the list.

UCO Bank’s Atul Kumar Goel elected as IBA chairman: Sources

Atul Kumar Goel has been elected as the chairman for Indian Banks’ Association for 2021-22, sources said. Goel will be succeeding Rajkiran Rai G, who is also the managing director and chief executive officer of Union Bank of India.

Goel is currently heading UCO Bank as its MD & CEO. The government had extended his tenure for two years till November 1, 2023. His term was originally scheduled to end on November 1, 2021.

Last month, Banks Board Bureau recommended Goel for the managing director and chief executive officer position of Punjab National Bank, after interviewing 11 candidates.

Life insurance industry at risk of sharply rising rates: IMF

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week
The life insurance industry is at risk if there is a sharp rise in bond yields, with an extreme situation potentially causing insurers to liquidate investments reaching $1 trillion in the United States and Europe, the International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday.

Vulnerabilities have increased for life insurers, the IMF said in its Global Financial Stability Report, noting the industry is at the “center of fixed income markets” owning about 20% of global bonds and 30% of credit investments. Life insurers have long-dated liabilities and are a critical source of demand for bonds with long maturities, wrote the IMF’s Fabio Cortes and Deepali Gautam in the report.

NBFCs set to recover from Covid blues in Q2, post rise in loan demand, collections
Non-bank lenders and housing finance companies, which suffered during the first quarter of this fiscal, are likely to report a steady recovery in asset quality and demand for fresh loans along with improved payment collections in the September quarter.

“The first quarter of fiscal 2022 was impacted by the second Covid wave. Relative to 1QFY22, we expect disbursement volumes of 170-230% for most Affordable Housing/Vehicle Financiers. Impact on AUM growth is likely to be higher for short duration products like Vehicle loans as collections held up well in 2QFY22, Motilal Oswal Securities said in a note.

Banks set for a sharp earnings rise in Q2, may face asset quality jitters

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

Indian banks’ earnings are likely to pick up in the September quarter, led by a recovery in business growth, fee income and a gradual reduction in credit costs. ICICI Bank could deliver 16.6% year-on-year loan growth, while Axis Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank could grow over 9% each. SBI may post decline in bad loans.

However, they may be tempered by higher provisioning in the retail and small and medium enterprises (SME) loan segments that have seen higher delinquencies.



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Four Indian banks rise in Asian rankings on stock market boom, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Four Indian banks have featured among the 20 largest banks in the Asia-Pacific region in terms of market capitalisation in the third quarter of 2021, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

HDFC Bank was ranked seventh with a market cap of $119 billion, a quarter on quarter increase of 6.7 per cent while the next was ICICI Bank at 12th spot, with its market cap rising 11.2 per cent quarter on quarter to $65.5 billion.

The State Bank of India rose two spots to 17th on the list as its market cap rose 8.1 per cent to $54.5 billion. Kotak Mahindra Bank‘s market capitalisation rose 17.5%, the highest on the list.

S&P Global’s banking outlook

The global banking sector will continue to slowly stabilize as the economic rebound gains momentum and as support is gradually withdrawn. Should a re-intensification of risks occur, more support from authorities for the real economy would be required. This in turn would help banks maintain a stabilizing trajectory. Strategies and tactics to combat Covid vary enormously across banking jurisdictions. This includes the progress with vaccination campaigns that affects a range of factors, particularly trade and travel.

Corporate default rates will fall from their COVID-19 peak. However, problematic corporate lending and other exposure will likely continue to strain banks’ asset quality metrics, it said.

Some corporate sectors have experienced no credit deterioration, such as grocery and essential retail, and technology software, while other corporate sectors are recovering sooner than previously expected. Still other sectors, however, such as autos, hotels and airlines won’t likely recover until 2023 or beyond, S&P Global said.

With debt levels at or near record highs, some corporates and governments remain vulnerable to credit deterioration and defaults if income recovers more slowly than expected. This is especially if interest rates rise, S&P Global added.

Indian banks’ outlook

Banks are likely to post over 20 per cent jump in profit in the second quarter with analysts expecting a decent sequential improvement in almost all indicators from loan growth to gross bad loan ratios.

According to Bloomberg estimates, for the 19 lenders — five public sector and 14 private banks – profit would grow 21.7 per cent to Rs 32,075 crore in Q2 year on year.

Private banks are likely to report PPoP growth of 9% YoY (3.8% QoQ) and net profit growth of 14% YoY (17.3% QoQ). Earnings are likely to pick up, led by a recovery in business growth / fee income and a gradual reduction in credit costs.

“Loan growth would pick up, led by revival in economic activity and the opening up of the economy. Demand going into the festive season and commentary around the FY22 outlook would be key monitorables. Retail and SME segment is likely to show strong recovery; though growth in the Corporate segment is likely to remain soft and recovery within this segment would be another monitorable,” according to Motilal Oswal Securities.



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Analysts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The RBI interest rate decision, macroeconomic data and global trends would dictate the equity market, which is showing some signs of correction after a stellar run, this week, analysts said. Besides, investors will also track the movement of the dollar index and US bond yields this week, they said.

“The market will have an eye on the global data to get further direction. On the domestic front, we don’t have many negative cues but it will be important to listen to the commentary of RBI governor in the upcoming policy scheduled on 8th October where what he says about inflation will be important,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd.

On October 8, TCS will announce its Q2 earnings, Meena said.

The movement of the dollar index, US bond yields will also play an important role in the direction of global markets while crude oil prices will have a major impact on Indian markets, he added.

“This week, the RBI is scheduled to announce its monetary policy. India’s service PMI is also due to be released this week,” Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services said.

During the last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark plunged 1,282.89 points, or 2.13 per cent. Market benchmarks faced losses for the fourth straight session on Friday.

Markets would also track movement of the rupee, Brent crude and FPI investments.

“The September correction in the US markets does highlight some developing risks – a surge in global inflation, oil and commodity prices, rising interest rates, Fed taper and the recent developments on the China front – which could create intermittent disruption in investor sentiment.

“Indian markets are currently richly valued and therefore not immune from some of these headwinds. However, given the strong earnings outlook trajectory, any meaningful correction in the equity markets can serve as an entry opportunity for long-term investors with a sufficiently long investment horizon,” said Unmesh Kulkarni – Managing Director Senior Advisor, Julius Baer India.



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Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The week gone by remained choppy. In our previous weekly note, we had mentioned that Nifty is unlikely to see a runaway rise from here on, as the technical setup as well as options data were pointing to consolidation ahead. Nifty traded in a 490-point range over the past five sessions and stayed largely in the corrective mode.
The index consolidated in a broad but defined range, as it dragged the resistance points lower. Following a stable but corrective week, the headline index closed with a net loss of 321 points (-1.80 per cent).

From a technical perspective, Nifty has marked the 17,900-17,950 zone as an intermediate top. This also gets reflected in the Options data, which shows highest Call Open Interest at strike price 18,000 after heavy Call writing activities. The previous five days saw the formation of a broad trading range in the 17,400-17,950 area. Unless the market violates either of these two points, the index should continue to oscillate in this broad range. Any major slippage below the 17,400 level will be damaging for the market.

Following heavy Put writing at 17,400 and 17,500 levels, strike price 17,500 showed highest Put OI. The coming week is likely to see Nifty attempt to stabilise with a positive bias. The 17,650 and 17,750 levels will act as potential resistance points, while support will come in at 17,400 and 17,310 levels.

The weekly RSI stood mildly overbought at the 73.30 level. The RSI was neutral and did not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD continued to be bullish and traded above the Signal Line. A large Black Body emerged on the candles; it reflected the directional consensus among the market participants that prevailed during the week.

Pattern analysis showed Nifty was well above the upper rising trend line support. In the event of continued corrective activity, if Nifty tests this trend line support, the next support may emerge in the 17,350-17,400 area. This trend line is drawn from the low point of March 2020 and joins the subsequent higher bottoms.

All in all, it is largely expected that while defending the 17,350-17,400 zone, Nifty may stay in a defined range and continue to consolidate. The most recent price action saw Nifty’s supports being dragged lower to 17,800 from 17,950 level. So, the 17,800 level will be the most immediate resistance if Nifty attempts to gain some stability and pulls itself back.

Over the coming days, we expect a selective sectoral outperformance in the market. There are higher chances that select banks, auto, pharma and PSE stocks will continue to do well. Shorts should be avoided and purchases must be kept highly stock-specific in the coming week.

In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectoral indices against CNX500 (Nifty500 Index), which represents over 95 per cent of the free float market cap of all the listed stocks. The analysis showed a lot of inherent strength in the market. The IT and Realty Indices are placed inside the leading quadrant. Apart from this, Nifty Energy Index and the Bank Nifty have rolled inside the improving quadrant. This showed their likely relative underperformance against the broader market.

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Which sectors may lead and which ones may lag now
Along with this, Media, Private Banks, PSE, PSU Bank and Auto Indices are all trading inside the lagging quadrant. However, all these indices are showing a very distinct improvement in their relative momentum against the broader Nifty500 Index. All these groups are likely to put up a resilient show over the coming days. The Nifty Services Sector Index has rolled inside the improving quadrant, while Nifty Commodities and the Metal indices are inside the weakening quadrant. They show no sign of any improvement in their relative momentum. Some stock-specific isolated performances may be seen, but the indices are likely to relatively underperform the broader market.

Important Note: The RRG™ charts show the relative strength and momentum in a group of stocks. In the above chart, they show relative performance against the Nifty500 Index (broader market) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.

(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and is based at Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia)



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Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC IPO fully subscribed on Day-2, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The initial public offer of Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited was fully subscribed on the second day on Thursday. The Rs 2,768.25-crore initial share sale received bids for 2,99,46,460 shares against 2,77,99,200 shares on offer, translating into 1.08 times subscription, according to an update on the NSE.

The qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) category was subscribed 6 per cent, non-institutional investors 40 per cent and retail individual investors (RIIs) two times.

The initial public offer is of 3,88,80,000 equity shares.

The initial share-sale is entirely an offer for sale, wherein two promoters — Aditya Birla Capital and Sun Life (India) AMC Investments — will divest their stake in the asset management firm.

The price range for the offer is Rs 695-712 per share.

Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC on Tuesday said it has collected Rs 789 crore from anchor investors.

Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd, the investment manager of Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, is a joint venture between Aditya Birla Group and Sun Life Financial Inc of Canada.

Asset management firms like Nippon Life India Asset Management, HDFC AMC, and UTI AMC are already listed on the stock exchanges.

Kotak Mahindra Capital Company, Bofa Securities India, Citigroup Global Markets India, Axis Capital, HDFC Bank, ICICI Securities, IIFL Securities, JM Financial, Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Limited, SBI Capital Markets and YES Securities (India) are the managers of the offer. PTI SUM BAL BAL



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Shanti Ekambaram, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The primary market, which is the developer market, is also seeing movement. Maybe in the second phase of the pandemic, people were going for finished properties. Now, we are beginning to see demand even in the primary properties for very good quality builders, says Shanti Ekambaram, President – Consumer Banking, Kotak Mahindra Bank.

Going into the festive season, what is the mood vis-a-vis the revival in the real estate market? Banks like yours and SBI are trying to woo people who take home loans and personal loans.
July and August data show that consumption is coming back very strongly and this is across all categories — home loans and consumer durables or personal loans. Suddenly discretionary buying as well as specific consumption is back. Given the confluence of demand for home loans and availability of real estate — consumers have started going for the price that the developers are offering and people have the need and the ability to buy a larger home across cities — we decided to lower home loan interest rate for the festive season starting from September 10 till November 8. That is a win-win for the customer. Of course, now it is the Shradh period, but then the festive season of navratri, Dussehra and Diwali will take place. People were conservative last year, especially following Covid. But as business sentiment improves, the customer business is doing well and the jobs market is improving. So, there is a little bit of a feel good factor and we are supporting our customers by helping them to invest well. Their consumption is our business and we are seeing them consuming.

Home loan rate is at 6.5% and linked to credit worthiness. So, a consumer with a good credit score gets a better rate. What is the strategy at play? It’s Shradh right now you and home sales won’t take place. So what is the strategy?
The cities are really seeing demand, whether it is Bengaluru, Hyderabad or Pune. There is a demand in the IT sector and there is a demand for hiring in the technology space. We are seeing a lot of companies come back to the job market. The salaried are certainly a big area of focus. It is a much easier segment to perform. Second, there is a very large home loan stock in the market, still at reasonable high prices. We are looking for quality customers. The primary market, which is the developer market, is also seeing movement. Maybe in the second phase of the pandemic, people were going for finished properties. Now, we are beginning to see demand even in the primary properties for very good quality builders.

We are also focusing on the primary market. We want to build this business and we believe in a separate way to build a long term book as well as get quality customers to help us do many more things with those customers, We have a full strategy of getting the salaried people, getting the balanced transfer market, the primary market and of course we continue to look at other segments. We are going full steam on the distribution, of partnerships with developers and we hope that the demand in the next 60 days, as the festival season goes on, along with this very attractive rate will spur customers to make that investment on new homes.

Could you slice up the home loan demand for us and tell us where exactly is it coming in, what the ticket size of the loans are and if they are more or less comparable to what we have seen in the past? Is there anything that is standing out to you in terms of the home loans and also are people switching to Kotak Bank?
We are seeing demand in the whole space. We are seeing demand at the Rs 40-50 lakh level, we are seeing demand at the Rs 75 lakh level, we are also seeing demand at the Rs 5 crore and Rs 10 crore. People are buying bigger homes and in the cities of Mumbai and Delhi, the ticket size is obviously higher. But in the other cities — be it Ahmedabad, Pune, Bengaluru and Hyderabad, particularly Chennai, to a certain extent it is at around Rs 40-50 lakh, right up to Rs 2 crore.

So we are seeing expansion in demand in the entire price range. This is because right from salaried to business customers, different segments are recovering and we can see a slow uptick in the economy.

The primary market actually is the most interesting one because that is relatively under construction projects. Just coming out of Covid, even the second wave, people are preferring fully completed apartments. Even now, 50% plus prefer fully completed projects. But we are beginning to see a revival and that is good for developers in the segments where they are launching new projects.

Tell us about the other consumer segments like auto and consumer loans. Auto and white goods sellers say while volumes are a concern because of supply side issues, the value of products being sold is actually going up because of pent-up demand. Is that something that you are witnessing on the advances side as well?
The answer is yes. Along with home, we also see demand for goods within the house from existing and new buyers. In July and August, we started seeing the consumer finance space pick up quite significantly. Typically August, from Independence Day, right up to the end of the festive season sees a big rise in consumer finance or consumer durable finance. We saw that play out.

Interestingly, we saw it play out in July as well. It started in July. It picked up steam in August and for the Shraddha period in between, we will see a very good uptick. People are going in for better value and better products because maybe even work from home makes them want to have a better set up.

There is a demand for goods right across — whether it is laptops, washing machines, dishwashers or large format TVs, there is just a demand for a lot of goods and we have seen that uptick. So consumer finance has also started picking up and is a very interesting space.

Similarly personal loan which was a little muted has started picking up. I call it the consumption theme. Consumption has started and think there are many factors linked to it. Apart from just the job market, the general capital markets have been doing well. People have probably been making money, and the demand for consumption has started. That is a very interesting thing for retail financials particularly.

You are clearly targeting the good quality borrowers and that is why you are linking your rate with that score. How does that exactly work?
For the 6.5% home loan rate, we link it to credit score and by the way other banks have done it also. If you remember the corporate sector, the prime borrower rate is for prime customers. In the retail segment, a prime is what you call a score. The better your score, the better is the rate but it does not mean that you do not underwrite less than prime borrowers. There is an acceptable range of borrowers and we are not just going after that segment. We have a range of customers that we target and we structure those credits.

We are seeing demand from all kinds of segments but the prime rate is for the prime borrowers. Having said that, the differentials are not very much in the home loan industry, maybe 10 bps, 15 bps whatever. But we are seeing demand from right across the segment. We are seeing reasonably good credit flow across the customer segments.

The credit card market share of your bank is still low in relative terms. Are you looking at increasing the market share in this division? There are a couple of companies on the block as well.
The last two months have seen very strong spends by customers. The credit card business also grew after low spends by customers last year. We have seen a strong uptick in credit card spends. In the last 12 months we have done two big things. One we have actually introduced four new products in terms of making sure that we have the right product for the right customer right from the basic to the premium segment.

We have also upgraded our technology stack to the best in class. In the last two months, our credit card business has been growing month on month. This is a business we certainly intended to grow. We are ready for an uptick in the business.

The banking industry faced some issues in the retail MSME space due to Covid pressure placed on finances of individual borrowers. What is the approach in terms of quality for you in the near term? Will you continue to be cautious and are you sanguine about the quality of your book?
Covid has seen customers who were borderline in margin, facing trouble in the once in a century event. The quality of customers is far better. Also the collections data of the bank, the current demand efficiencies even during the second wave continue to remain good. The incremental quality of credit is reasonably good and so that is a good base to grow. MSME as a segment held out right through, thanks to the government’s liquidity scheme through ECLGS and it helped the customers during that time.

Take sector after sector, except for those badly hit by Covid which is travel and to a certain extent restaurants and pubs, etc, and hotel industry — most of the segments have bounced back and MSMEs are picking up the same demand and putting up capex. So the MSMEs thanks to the government’s initiatives, held a lot better in this period than the individual and the borderline cases.



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