‘Have a long-term view, nothing happens overnight’: Hiren Ved of Alchemy

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Born in a family with a very strong ‘equity culture’, it was but natural that Hiren Ved, CEO, Director, and CIO, Alchemy Capital Management would gravitate towards the stock market. Hiren started his equity market career in 1991. He joined Alchemy to spearhead its asset management business in 2000 as the 4th partner along with Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Lashit Sanghvi and Ashwin Kedia. Today, he manages/advises funds worth nearly a billion dollars across domestic and offshore mandates. BL Portfolio caught up to understand his personal finance philosophies, investing journey highlights and crucial lessons over three decades.

What does money mean to you?

Money is just a means, not the end goal. You need a basic amount of money to take care of your needs and comforts and a little bit for luxury. Money is obviously one of the parameters that people use to determine how successful a person has been. Though, in my opinion it’s not the most important parameter for success. Fortunately, in my profession, money is the by product of doing what I do with passion, and it gives me happiness.

When did you start investing?

My dad has been investing now for decades together. When I was still in school, he would take me to these AGMs and make me listen to Rahul Bajaj, Dhirubhai Ambani or HT Parekh. In college, I actually carried forward that interest. We teamed up with accounting professors and ran a stock market game. We were given paper money basically. We all used to report our trades to our professor and he would keep a log of it. While I was in college, during the vacations, I worked with a market research firm called IMRB. That was the first time I earned my own money and then I started to invest that money in the market during college time.

Do you remember your first investments?

Yes. I bought a share of Ponds, which then became part of Hindustan Unilever. I had invested in ITC. I don’t remember but I also invested in one or two very small companies, which finally went bankrupt, or didn’t go anywhere. So, that’s how I learned slowly and steadily. Whatever savings that I could gather, I used to always invest. Because our family had a long history of investing, for us the only avenue to put all your savings was in the stock market. I understood the power of compounding money very early.

There is a custom in our family now that whenever a new baby is born, the standard operating procedure is that you deposit the money to be gifted to the child in some stocks. Even if they can afford to buy one share or two shares, they would buy them. My dad and my uncle started this practice where they would gift some shares to a newborn, instead of giving cash.

Tell us about your portfolio allocation.

I keep a very small amount of money in money bank for any exigencies. But otherwise, I have no fixed deposits. I have no other fixed income.

Don’t you feel afraid that all of your savings is in the stock market?

Yes, many ask me this. ‘It’s all paper money, one fine day it can go down to half. Like it happened in 2008?’ I say no. I was thrown into the proverbial water at a very small age. So, I learned how to swim and not to be afraid of the water. The very concept that one needs to understand is that prices can fluctuate, but value in a good company keeps increasing. Compounding, like any other skill, has to be learned and I grasped it much earlier in life.

How did Alchemy happen for you?

When I started, I wanted to understand how investing works, how to do research, how to pick companies etc. In those good old times, there were very few brokers who were actually doing fundamental research. Kisan Ratilal Choksey was one such firm. I worked there for four and a half years. Then, I got an opportunity to work with Prime Securities, it was a very different setting. After 8-9 years, I thought now I know quite a bit of how this is done. It’s now time to become an entrepreneur, and do it yourself. And, we got talking, and at that time, Lashit Sanghvi, Ashwin Kedia, who are also other co-founders. They were very good friends. And also, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala.

Start-ups are a big thing today but in those days weren’t you apprehensive?

At that time, again, there were not too many PMS houses, so there was not too many professional people who were managing money for other people. We always thought that there would be a need to do something. And it was also a passion for us to find stocks and invest. So we said, why not invest for other people who don’t know how to do it? Or for those who need professional help? It was a bold move at that time. There was no concept of start-ups at that time. But yes, it was a startup in many senses. We literally started in a small office with with just one back-office person and and myself. Obviously, we’ve grown significantly since day one when we had five crores and seven clients

What are the financial goals that drive you today as an individual?

Well, I don’t have a any particular number in mind. I think I have enough to live a decent life. But beyond the point, the goal is more about the fun in the process. I want to make as much money as I can in my lifetime. And the beauty of the investing business is that there is no age bar. And as long as you are sane in the head, conviction in your gut, you can just keep adding.

I just want to keep growing my investments and obviously, I will use a little bit of it for me and my family. I also give back to society. Some of the money will go to my son as inheritance. I will only give him that much that he doesn’t become too lazy. So, that he uses it more as a backup and, and takes risks, like I did at some point in time in my life, and build something on his own.

You are fully invested into equities, but many are afraid to get into stocks now due to valuation concerns. Is that fear justified?

Many investors have this feeling that the markets are too high and they are trying to correlate what is happening on the ground because of Covid. They think markets are in their own world. But, the reality is something different.

There is this constant fear, because there is something which is called as the recency bias. Because you saw the Nifty at 7500 and in a year’s time plus you’re seeing it at 16,000 it’s not something that people can digest very easily. These valuations are not very excessive, if you look at where we are in the long-term profit cycle.

These days all the conventional valuation metrics seem to be out of sync when it comes to IPO valuations. How do you view new-age IPOs?

It’s good that the IPO market is doing well. A thriving IPO market always gets new investors to the market who then stay back as they then graduate from being pure IPO investors to secondary market investors. So, it increases the pool of participants. Start-ups and high growth businesses such as Zomato need to be valued differently as their current profitability may not be optimal because they are sacrificing near term profits for achieving rapid scale in a very short period of time. Having said that the end goal after a few years for these companies will also be the same as any healthy enterprise. They will have to improve their unit economics and generate sustainable cashflows and generate a decent return on capital invested. So, valuing these businesses require more ingenuity, vision and insight into how these businesses will unfold.

How can investors keep a level head be it bull markets or bear markets?

One, have a long term view. Nothing happens overnight.

Two, understand well what you own. If you understand what you own you will have the conviction to hold it.

Three, do what makes you comfortable. Don’t try to emulate others, no matter how great or successful the investor. You need to come to terms with your own personality and obviously work on building an aptitude for investing.

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Why you need to know yourself to succeed at stock investing

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With friends and colleagues minting money in stocks, many investors write to us today asking how they should make a start on equity investing. I’d like to do SIPs in a dozen high-dividend yield stocks to become rich, can you suggest some? What are the books or blogs to learn technical and fundamental analysis? Should I buy smallcases instead of SIPs in mutual funds? These questions show that, while the person asking them is keen to invest in stocks, he or she isn’t quite sure why they’re doing it. It’s hard to succeed at equity investing without being crystal-clear about your objectives. Before taking the plunge, here are the questions to ask yourself.

Holding period

How much time are you willing to give for your stock holdings to deliver? In a trending bull market, it is easy to believe that a year or two is all you need to double or treble your money in stocks. But stocks that double or treble in a few months when the momentum is strong can fall 50-60 per cent equally quickly if the sentiment turns. To create durable wealth from stock investing, you need to view it as owning a piece of a business. If you own companies that compound their earnings over long periods of 5 to 10 years and markets recognise this, that’s when you have multi-baggers on your hands.

To know whether a company is capable of compounding its profits, you need to understand its business (fundamental) drivers.

A fundamental investor must be willing to commit to a 7-10 year holding period to earn good returns.

If your intention is just to make the most of market momentum over a 2-3 year period, knowing how to read technical charts and momentum indicators is a must. If you’re doing the latter, allocate only a small portion of your net worth to equities and don’t carry too many open positions at a time.

Return expectations

Are you happy with a FD-plus return from equities or are shooting for a 20 per cent plus CAGR? This will decide whether you should attempt direct stock investing or go for a diversified portfolio via mutual funds. If you are investing in equities to get a 9-10 per cent CAGR and beat inflation, there’s no need for you to invest time or effort in stock picking.

Index funds that mimic bellwether indices at low costs are good enough to get you to that return over the long run. If your return aspirations are at 20-25 per cent, then diversified portfolios such as mutual funds may not deliver it and you may need to acquire skills for direct stock picking.

If you have in-between expectations, actively managed flexicap/midcap/small equity funds or smallcases can be your choice.

Risk appetite, mode of returns

Equity investing brings with it the risk of losing your principal, so how much of your capital are you willing to lose? If you can be philosophical about losing half of your investment value in a trice, you are cut out for short-term trading investing.

Your appetite for risk will also decide if you should invest directly in stocks or bet on a diversified equity fund.

In a correction, a portfolio of direct stocks is likely to fall much more than the NAV of a diversified equity fund.

Are you looking for your equity portfolio to deliver sizeable dividend income to supplement your earnings over time? Or are you a growth investor, seeking capital appreciation first and foremost?

This will decide the kind of filters you use to pick stocks. Stocks offering high dividends often hail from slow-growing sectors and mature businesses that can afford to pay out a large part of their profits and don’t need it in the business. For this reason, high dividend yield stocks seldom deliver bumper capital appreciation in the long run.

If capital appreciation is your primary objective and you aren’t looking to dividends, you should identify companies in sectors with high growth potential, high profit margins and the ability to deliver high return on equity without frequent recourse to equity or debt fund-raising.

Companies in growth businesses like to plough back their profits into the business rather than pay out high dividends to their shareholders.

Time and skill

Building a good direct stock portfolio that can make a difference to your net worth is a highly time-consuming exercise.

It requires you to study sectors and companies, identify their key drivers of success, track stock prices closely and identify good entry and exit points based on valuation.

As most of your time in building a sound stock portfolio is spent in patiently holding stocks, you’ll need to remain on top of corporate actions, quarterly results and regulatory developments that affect the company’s earnings to decide whether to hold or bail out.

Investing in readymade portfolios such as smallcases also requires a fair degree of knowledge about businesses, market themes and sectors, as these portfolios can be quite concentrated. Being a short-term investor/trader requires even more intensive tracking of price action, corporate actions and macro and other drivers that can affect the liquidity in a stock.

Most successful stock traders are full-time. If you don’t have the time, knowledge or passion to devote to such tracking, you should prefer mutual funds for your equity investing.

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Should you invest in curated investment portfolios?

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If you are one of those investors who wish to invest directly in stocks/ETFs but don’t have the time or skill to do the required analysis, here is help. You may consider the readymade equity portfolios such as smallcases by Smallcase, Stockbaskets by Samco Securities, One Click Equity by ICICI Direct, Theme Investing by Fyers and Intelligent Advisory Portfolio (IAP) by Motilal Oswal. Here, we look at a few of these products.

How it works

Readymade portfolios are a basket of stocks/ETFs that may reflect a particular investment theme, idea or sector. So, a dividend-yield basket from Smallcase may be made up of stocks that have increased their dividend payout consecutively for the last 10 years and a small-cap basket from Motilal Oswal could have a few stocks of pint-sized firms that are high risk-high return. ICICI Direct provides short term portfolios such as Quant Breakouts 2.0, which is based on quant indicators and F&O (futures and options) data reading. The investing strategies employed to build readymade stock portfolios have been created by SEBI-licenced professionals such as brokers and research analysts, who use fundamental, technical, quantitative models and algorithms.

Few platforms such as Smallcase and Fyers give flexibility to the investors to add/remove stocks or change the weight of the stock. However, baskets by Samco Securities and ICICI One Click does not provide such flexibility for the research-recommended portfolios. Paras Matalia, Head of StockBasket, Samco Securites believes that if flexibility is given to users to deviate from the researched portfolios, it may lead to desired returns.

For example, Motilal Oswal’s IAP on large-cap rebalances the portfolio on a quarterly basis and on corporate governance issues in any company. This will be intimated to the investor through an e-mail or SMS. However, iDirect’s One Click baskets do not undergo rebalancing. Pankaj Pandey, Head Research at ICICI Securities, says that once the target price of the created basket is achieved, the firm recommends an exit from the basket.

To invest in these portfolios, you need a demat account with these platforms. The minimum investment amount may vary depending on the stocks that make up a basket and varies with the prices of constituents in the basket. All the baskets mention the investment strategy, minimum amount and the historical returns of the basket.

Once a basket is chosen, you can invest a lumpsum or run a systematic investment in it.

Smallcase, in addition to providing baskets on its platform, also provides their infrastructure to all leading brokerages including Zerodha, HDFC Securities, Kotak Securities, Axis Direct, Edelweiss and Angel Broking. The smallcases on most of these brokerages are those built by a subsidiary of Smallcase, Windmill Capital; while some brokerages have curated their own in-house smallcases as well.

Costs involved

In case of Smallcase and Fyers, a flat fee of Rs 100 is charged for one smallcase or a theme. Besides, brokerage and other statutory fees are applicable for all orders. The fee is also levied when the portfolio gets rebalanced and the investor chooses to amend the portfolio.

There are certain smallcases created by managers other than Smallcase’s subsidiary – Windmill – such as Weekend Investing, Green Portfolio and Aurum Capital, which charge subscription fee for a specific period that could be either a fixed amount (between Rs 1,200 to Rs 60,000 per year) or a percentage of the investment value (0.25 per cent to 2.5 per cent annually). The pricing varies across the mangers associated with the Smallcase.

In case of StockBasket, the main charge is also research subscription fee in addition to brokerage charges. This would be about 1.2-1.5 per cent of the minimum investment amount. The firm charges a cancellation fee if you exit or cancel the basket before five years. The firm also returns the subscription fee in case the basket fails to make the target corpus for a tenure of 5 years. Motilal Oswal’s products too work on the same basis of subscription fee which depends on the investment advisor. While brokers such as ICICI Direct do not charge any cost for its products – which are created in-house, they charge the applicable brokerage.

Be cautious

When choosing pre-packaged baskets, the returns may include a backtest period. Since most of these baskets have been created only recently , backtested returns are included to show the longer track record (including the period before the inception of the basket).

Mind you, your return from the invested basket could be different from those shown. This will depend on the price and time of your entry and exit. Also, deviations can occur whenever the basket is rebalanced, and you don’t opt for it.

For investors who understand the stock market reasonably well and don’t want to pay for the services of a mutual fund manager, readymade portfolios offer a good alternative. Also, these platforms make investing convenient by automating the process. You also get to follow and invest in portfolios created by some of the famed money managers.

However, if you opt for baskets where you need to pay research subscription fee, compare it with the other similar MF products. Though the choice of portfolio that fits your risk profile and return requirement is left to you.

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