Nifty and Sensex hit its fresh record highs in today’s market rally, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Nifty bank index traded Green at Rs 32,084 adding 0.40%, while BSE Bankex ended at 36,658 adding 0.46%. The rally in the market was broad-based as the Midcap and Smallcap indices clocked gains of about a percent.

Shares that contributed the most were- Bandhan Bank at Rs 419 adding 3.35% followed by HDFC Bank at Rs 1,431 (1.09%), Kotak Mahindra at Rs 1,970 (0.94%), Axis Bank at Rs 672 (0.24%), ICICI Bank at Rs 542 (0.18%). While all the other major indices remained green, Induslnd Bank at Rs 939 (-1.29%) and SBI traded lower at Rs 286 (-0.59%).

Nifty Financial Services ended at 15,511 adding 0.56%. Amongst the top gainer were Indiabulls HSG at Rs 241 adding 3.08%, followed by Bajaj finserv at Rs 9,171 adding 2.02%, Power Finance at Rs 120 (1.38%), Cholamandalam at Rs 431 (0.10%). HDFC Shares traded lower at Rs 2,657 (-0.14%).

Other key takeaways

India’s GDP to contract by 7.7% in 2020-21: Government
The central government projects the country’s economy to contract by 7.7 percent in the current fiscal year 2020-21, as per the first advance estimates of GDP released by the National Statistical Office on January 7.

“The movement of various high-frequency indicators in recent months, points towards broad-based nature of resurgence of economic activity. The relatively more manageable pandemic situation in the country as compared to advanced nations has further added momentum to the economic recovery,” the government said in a press release.

Bitcoin hit $40,000 for first time and falls by 5% a day later
Bitcoin topped $40,000 for the first time on Thursday, as it continues a rally that has seen the digital currency climb more than 700% from a March 12 closing low.

Bitcoin fell more than 5 percent on Friday, a day after topping $40,000 for the first time. The world’s most popular digital currency fell as low as $36,750 on Bitstamp exchange, after reaching an all-time high of $40,402.46 in the previous session

Rupee trades flat
Indian rupee erased early losses and traded flat around 73.32 per dollar, amid buying witnessing in the domestic equity market. It opened lower at 73.39 per dollar against Thursday’s close of 73.32.

Gold Updates
Gold prices traded down with COMEX spot gold prices fell below USD 1,890 per ounce on Friday losing more than 1 percent. Gold February future contracts at MCX were trading down to Rs 50,242 per 10 grams with fall in COMEX prices. Experts Expect gold prices to trade down with COMEX gold resistance at USD 1,910, support at USD 1,860. MCX Gold February support lies at Rs 49,700 with resistance at Rs 50,400.

Wall St ends higher:
Stocks on Wall Street hit record levels on Thursday as investors bet a Democrat-controlled Congress will deliver more stimulus spending to help the U.S. economy overcome a steep pandemic-induced downturn.

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all set new highs amid growing calls for President Donald Trump’s removal, one day after Trump supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol in a harrowing assault on American democracy.



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What’s better – Investing in equity mutual funds or investing directly in stocks?

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Amit has been investing in mutual funds for the last seven years. He is not happy with the returns, as they have been much below his expectations. He invested in a few small-cap stocks in March 2020. Some of those stocks have given more than 100 per cent returns in the last three-four months.

However, Amit did not really invest big amounts in those stocks. Hence, those investments have not made a meaningful difference to his portfolio.

Now, he wants to revisit his entire equity strategy. There is a sense of disillusionment with mutual funds and he is unsure if the mutual funds are worth investing in.

He wonders whether investing directly in stocks is a better approach than investing in mutual funds.

Flavour of the season approach

Amit has not focussed on allocation within various equity categories and has gone with the flavour of the season approach. He invested a lot of money in small-cap funds in 2017 when small-cap stocks were doing well. But the small-cap stocks have been under pressure since the beginning of 2018. While the broader equity markets have done not too well over the last couple of years, Amit’s portfolio has struggled even more due to higher allocation to small-cap funds.

Whether he invests directly in stocks or through mutual funds, the underlying exposure is to a volatile asset. Both the approaches have merits and demerits. If he gets his direct equity picks right, he can earn above-normal returns. However, if his bets go wrong, there can be serious wealth destruction. Mutual fund schemes have diversified equity portfolios and help hedge bets. While this reduces return potential, this also reduces risk.

Amit’s stock picks did very well over the past few months, and he deserves credit for his choices. However, he must not mistake luck for skill. Stock research requires time and skill. Four or five months of investing or getting two or three stock calls right does not establish skill. If he is very keen on investing a significant portion of equity portfolio in direct stocks, he must test his stock-picking skill and market judgement for a few years. Only then, should he allocate greater capital to direct stocks.

By the way, over the past four-five months, even some small-cap funds have returned more than 50 per cent. A rising tide lifts all the boats. Amit must remember that something similar happened in 2017 and he has experienced the subsequent pain. While no one can say with certainty whether the performance of the past few months will sustain or there will be a reversal, he must remain cautious.

At the same time, this does not imply that direct equity investing must be shunned completely. There is a middle ground. If Amit wants to take exposure to direct stocks, he must first set up a threshold for the direct equity exposure. For instance, he can limit direct equity exposure to say 20 per cent of the equity portfolio. Therefore, if his equity portfolio is ₹10 lakh, not more than ₹2 lakh should be in direct equity. This way, he can strike a balance between the two modes of equity investments.

Amit can set aside money for stocks that he has researched well and thinks offer potential for good returns. Mutual fund investments, if selected well, will diversify equity exposure. Therefore, this internal limit helps him retain upside potential of his stock picks. In addition, this helps him maintain discipline and not get carried away and take unnecessary risks.

If he is satisfied with the results of direct equity investments, he can increase the threshold after a few years.

Within the mutual fund portfolio, Amit can split investments across two-three funds. He can invest in a large-cap and a mid-cap fund. Or he can pick up a multi-cap fund. Remember four small-cap funds do not build a diversified equity portfolio. If he does not trust active fund management, he can simply invest in index funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs). There are now passive options across the market spectrum.

The word “diversify” has been used loosely when referring to equity mutual funds. Note that true diversification does not happen when you add different types of equity products to the portfolio. You diversify the portfolio by adding assets with low correlation. For instance, adding a fixed income product to an equity portfolio diversifies the portfolio.

Asset allocation is of vital importance. Sub-allocation within the equity portfolio is secondary.

(The writer is a SEBI-registered investment advisor at personalfinanceplan.in)

True diversification

Having assets with low correlation helps in true portfolio diversification

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