Moody’s upgrades Yes Bank’s ratings, changes outlook to positive

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Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded Yes Bank’s ratings and changed its outlook to positive, reflecting its expectations of a further improvement in the lender’s credit profile due to clean-up of legacy stressed assets and improvements to its capital and profitability.

The rating agency has upgraded Yes Bank’s foreign currency issuer rating and long-term foreign and local currency bank deposit ratings to B2 from B3, it said on Wednesday.

Also see: Yes Bank launches co-branded card with BankBazaar.com

Further, it has also upgraded Yes Bank’s Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) and Adjusted BCA to B3 from Caa2 and has changed the outlook on the bank’s ratings where applicable to positive from stable.

Liquidity improves

“Moody’s has upgraded Yes Bank’s issuer rating to B2 from B3 because its funding and liquidity have substantially improved in the past year, which have strengthened depositor and credit confidence in the bank,” it said, adding that the rating action also reflects the fact that despite the significant economic challenges since the onset of the pandemic, Yes Bank’s asset quality has deteriorated only modestly while its capital has remained stable.

Asset quality remains weak

It, however, noted that the private sector lender’s asset quality remains weak and continues to pose risks to its profitability and capital.

Given the positive outlook, Moody’s could upgrade Yes Bank’s ratings if the bank’s asset quality and/or capital materially improve. However, the agency could downgrade the bank’s ratings and BCA if its capital deteriorates significantly because of a strain on its asset quality, or if its funding and liquidity deteriorate.

Also see: Moody’s upgrades outlook for Indian banking system

For the quarter ended September 30, Yes Bank had reported a 74.3 per cent jump in its standalone net profit to ₹225.5 crore from a year ago.

Gross NPAs was at 14.97 per cent of gross advances as on September 30, 2021 versus 16.9 per cent a year ago.

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Moody’s affirms ratings of 9 Indian Banks, changes outlook to stable, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Global rating firm Moody’s has affirmed the long-term local and foreign current deposit
ratings of Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, ICICI and State Bank of India at Baa3, following sovereign rating action. At the same time, their rating outlooks have been changed to stable from negative.

This rating action is driven by Moody’s recent affirmation of the Indian government’s Baa3 issuer rating and change in outlook to stable from negative.

Moody’s also affirmed the long-term local and foreign currency deposit ratings of Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, Punjab National Bank and Union Bank of India. The rating outlooks of these banks has also been changed to stable from negative.

“The affirmation of Axis, ICICI, HDFC Bank and SBI’s deposit ratings and change in outlook to stable follows the change in outlook on the sovereign rating to stable,” Moody’s said in a statement. “The mail previous negative outlook on the sovereign rating drove the negative
outlook on these banks, because of strong linkages to the sovereign credit profile.”

The rating agency highlighted that the affirmation of state-run banks, reflect the fact that despite the significant economic challenges since the onset of the pandemic, their asset quality has only deteriorated modestly while capital has improved.

“Corporate asset quality has improved as legacy issues have been resolved while deterioration in retail asset quality was relatively moderate,” the agency said. Asset quality will further improve if economic activity continues to normalise.”



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Cyber attacks on banks can trigger more rating action, warns S&P, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The banking sector is becoming more exposed to cybercrime after the Covid pandemic accelerated digitalisation and remote working, which can impact ratings, S&P Global Ratings said on Tuesday.

Cyber attacks can harm credit ratings mainly through reputational damage and potential monetary losses, the ratings agency said in a report titled ‘Cyber Risk In A New Era: The Effect On Bank Ratings.’

Banks and other financial institutions are attractive targets for cyber criminals because they possess valuable personal data and play a critical role in servicing particular financial or economic needs and segments.

“Cyber attacks have had only a limited effect on bank ratings to date but can trigger more rating actions in the future as cyber incidents become more frequent and complex,” said Credit Analyst Irina Velieva.

Weak governance

Institutions with weak risk governance are less prepared for, and therefore more vulnerable to cyber attacks, it said.

“Although it is crucial to learn from previous attacks and strengthen cyber-risk frameworks in real time, the appropriate detection and remediation of attacks takes precedence because the nature of threats will continue to evolve,” S&P said cyber defence will become an increasingly important part of entities’ general risk management and governance frameworks, in need of increasing spending and more sophisticated tools.

“We acknowledge, however, that this might not be straightforward for many entities, especially the ones with weaker risk-control frameworks and insufficient budget allocated for cyber defence.”

Threats to banks

According to RBI’s annual report for 2019-20, the amount involved in banking frauds grew 2.5 times to Rs 1.85 lakh crore in 2019-20 compared with Rs 71,500 crore in 2018-19.

The internet banking system works through a wide set of applications, networking devices, internet service providers, and many other entities. All of these are potential entry points for attackers.

Several banks and financial establishments use third-party services from other merchants and fintechs. If those outsider merchants don’t have appropriate security set up, the bank could land in a soup.

Under spoofing, hackers find a way to imitate a financial institutions’ website’s URL with a website that looks and functions the same. When customers enter their login data in an impersonated website, the data is then taken by the cybercriminals to utilise it later.

Cybercriminals can utilise a person’s personal and financial data and commit fraud. A privacy breach in a bank can also lead to the information of the bank’s customers being sold or purchased on the dark web by other cybercriminals.



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Ind-Ra, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Government’s plan to privatise two public lenders could lead to a material negative migration of long-term issuer ratings, as well as ratings on Tier-II instruments of the banks, specifically amongst the weaker non-consolidated ones, said India Ratings (Ind-Ra). The ratings agency said the government’s outline of privatising, rather than divesting, could translate to ceding both the majority shareholding as well as control over the banks – which have not been formally identified yet.

“The agency believes ceding of control should make the proposal attractive for potential investors and may make it more viable to attract a large quantum of capital that this exercise may require,” said Ind-Ra in its assessment.

The ratings agency said it had a long-term issuer rating floor of IND AA, for government majority owned banks, which factored along timely government intervention and thus, minimal default probability. Hybrid instruments, such as AT-1 instruments, were rated on their standalone profiles – which factored in ordinary support from the government, largely due to the terms of Hybrid instruments which could prevent government support. “Ind-Ra’s rating of AT1 instruments for weaker government banks could be multiple notches below the long-term issuer rating, factoring the inherent weakness of the institutions along with discretionary nature of the security which could impact its ability to service the instrument,” noted the agency.

Ind-Ra, citing the example of IDBI Bank, the only lender the government has thus far ceded majority control in, said it would as per its criteria place the ratings on a rating watch, and accordingly take rating calls based on the ‘final contours’ of the transaction.



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