H1FY22 report: Poor corporate loan growth, thin margins hit big banks’ NIIs

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The PNB management attributed the drop in NII to the one-off impact of a judicial embargo on bad-loan recognition during the September quarter of FY21.

As loan growth in the corporate segment slowed and low interest rates put a lid on margins, most large banks saw their net interest incomes (NII) growing slower during the first half of FY22. Some public sector banks (PSBs) even saw their NIIs fall on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis during Q2FY22.

Deposit rate cuts have been less frequent so far this year and with lending rates continuing to trend down, NIIs have come under pressure, bankers said.

Punjab National Bank (PNB), Yes Bank, Indian Bank and Canara Bank were among the lenders who saw their NIIs fall during the September quarter. PNB’s NII was down 25% y-o-y, with the net interest margin (NIM) falling 30 basis points (bps) sequentially and 80 bps y-o-y.

The PNB management attributed the drop in NII to the one-off impact of a judicial embargo on bad-loan recognition during the September quarter of FY21.
Also, the Delhi-based bank said it had to price loans in the corporate and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) segments downwards.

SS Mallikarjuna Rao, MD & CEO, PNB, told investors that the lender has reduced the pricing in the MSME segment aggressively from August onwards. “So two months of an impact was roughly around Rs 150 crore in action. Then there was an aggressive repricing in the short-term corporate book where people take WCDL (working capital demand loans). So that book is more than `50,000 crore, where repricing aggressively has taken place,” Rao said.

Private banks put up a relatively better show on the core income front without bucking the overall downward trend. Axis Bank’s NII grew 7.8% y-o-y in Q2FY22, as against 20% in Q2FY21 and 11% in Q1FY22.

HDFC Bank, which saw its NII growth improve to 12% y-o-y in Q2FY22 from 9% in the previous quarter, still undershot its year-ago growth rate of nearly 17%. The largest private lender’s management said the change in its loan mix in favour of a larger wholesale book was responsible for the muted NII growth.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan, chief financial officer and group head – finance, HDFC Bank, said that certain segments where the bank grew over the last 18 months were low-risk segments. “That means with a lower price that comes with it,” he said, adding that the contribution of retail loans is now on the rise. “…even in this quarter while we have had the retail growth coming up, …[it] will take a couple of quarters for the average to catch up with the overall base,” he said.

Kotak Mahindra Bank registered an NII growth of 3.2%, slower than 5.8% a quarter ago and 16.8% a year ago, as the lender saw loan growth picking up only around the end of the July-September quarter. “While at the period-end, you see the loan growth happening, a large part of it is seen around the end of the quarter. So it doesn’t really bring me NIIs for this period,” said Jaimin Bhatt, president & group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank.

Moreover, a lot of the incremental credit growth during the last year has happened in home loans and other secured loan segments, where yields are lower. “If you look at the higher-yielding loans, like unsecured personal loans or credit cards or some of the agri loans, they’ve actually de-grown. So some of the mix change has also impacted the NII,” Bhatt said.

As the busy season progresses in the second half of FY22, banks expect their core earnings to improve. Both PNB and Kotak Mahindra Bank said that their NII performance will be better in the next quarter as earnings from festive-season business start to flow in. The central bank’s liquidity withdrawal exercise could also help banks price credit better.

“I’m expecting improvement in the next quarter because … as the liquidity is slowly being removed by the RBI and I’m expecting them to bring it down from Rs nine lakh crore to Rs 2.5 lakh crore by December second week,” PNB’s Rao said. “So our pricing will be moving in a better manner in Q3 and Q4,” he added.

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Banks attract more home loan customers during this festival season

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Banks seem to be showing a distinct preference for growing their home loans within retail loans during the ongoing festive season, going by the recent interest rate cuts effected by them.

Most of the banks have announced reduction in home loans interest rates, which are now at an all time low, but interest rates on other loans such as vehicle loans and unsecured personal loans have been left more or less unchanged.

Among the banks that have announced home loan rate cuts during the ongoing festive season include Kotak Mahindra Bank (from 6.65 per cent to 6.50 per cent), State Bank of India (from 6.80 per cent to 6.70 per cent), Bank of Baroda (from 6.75 per cent to 6.50 per cent), Punjab National Bank (from 7.10 per cent to 6.60 per cent on home loans above ₹50 lakh), and Union Bank of India (from 6.80 per cent to 6.40 per cent).

Depending on a prospective borrower’s credit score, the banks would add credit spread to the aforementioned rates.

This cut in home loan rates comes even as industry experts believe there could be a dampening effect on the demand for cars (and in turn for loans to buy them) due to manufacturers passing on increase in raw material prices to customers in the last few months and rising fuel prices.

Also read: Healthy growth in home loans, may consider extending festive offer: Kotak Mahindra Bank

Bankers are also wary of the possibility of stress building up in the unsecured personal loans portfolio.

Further, banks no longer enjoy the advantage they had over gold loan companies (GLCs) last year (between August 6, 2020 and March-end 2021), when the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) allowed the former to offer loans for up to 90 per cent of the value of gold ornaments and jewellery to mitigate the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on households, entrepreneurs and small businesses.

Now, with a level playing field having been created (both banks and GLCs can offer loans up to 75 per cent of the value of gold ornaments and jewellery), nifty GLCs can attract the customers they lost to banks during the aforementioned period.

Low risks

Banks consider housing loans as the best bet to grow their retail loan portfolio due to the relatively low risk of default, lower risk weights (whereby the minimum capital that needs to be set aside to mitigate default risk has been brought down up to March 31, 2022) and availability of strong collateral, according to banking expert V Viswanathan.

As per the monetary policy report, in respect of fresh rupee loans linked to the policy repo rate, the spread – weighted average lending rate (WALR) over the repo rate – charged by domestic banks during August 2021 was the lowest in the case of housing loans and the highest in the case of other personal loans, in line with their risk profiles.

In the case of home loans linked to external benchmark, the spread of WALR over the repo rate during August 2021 was 3.19 per cent for domestic banks. The aforementioned spread in the case of vehicle loans and other personal loans was at 3.60 per cent and 4.98 per cent, respectively.

Repo rate is the interest rate at which banks draw funds from RBI to overcome short-term liquidity mismatches. Currently, this rate is at 4 per cent.

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MSME loans risky even as banks transmitted rate cuts the most, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Even as banks have transmitted rate cuts most to the MSME sector and education loans during pandemic, they are still perceived to be risky. The spread over one year benchmark lending rate is highest for such loans, according to a study by RBI economists

Spreads of weighted average lending rates (WALRs) on fresh rupee loans over 1-year marginal cost of funds-based lending rate (MCLR) for loans to MSME was 179 basis points (bps- one bps is 0.01 per cent) in May, factoring the median WALR at 7.28 per cent even as banks transmitted 132 bps of policy rate cuts during the pandemic between April 2020 and May 2021, analysis by the economists in a study published in the latest monthly bulletin showed. Such spread for education loan was 219 per cent and the banks transmitted 162 basis points. Put simply, even though these loans are risky, lending rates were lowered to revive activities.

“Despite the restructuring, however, stress in the MSME portfolio of PSBs remains high” noted RBI’s latest financial stability report (FSR). ” Given the elevated level of debt of the stressed cohort, the implications of business disruptions following the resurgence of the pandemic could be significant.”

” (The spreads) were uneven across sectors reflecting their varied credit risk profiles and business strategies followed by banks” the study noted. The spread was among the lowest in respect of housing loans, reflecting lower defaults and the availability of collaterals and highest for personal loans . “Personal loans (other than housing and vehicle loans) are mostly unsecured and involve higher credit risk and hence, the spread charged was the highest for other personal loans”. But in terms of transmission, personal loans were lower by only around 100 bps points during the period.

Boosted by The Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) disbursements to eligible categories, net credit flow to stressed MSMEs during March 2020-February 2021 rose to Rs 50,535 crore with the shares of public sector banks and private sector banks at 54 per cent and 35 per cent, respectively, according to the latest Financial Stability Report. The Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme provides 100% guarantee to banks for loan portfolio of up to Rs. 3 lakh crore to eligible MSMEs.

“Going forward, close monitoring on asset quality of MSME and retail portfolios of banks is warranted” the financial” the FSR noted.

Rating agencies have warned of balance sheet implication for banks. “The reduced dent on the balance sheet of financial institutions over the last year may deepen further in case the regulator withdraws its supportive stance to eligible segments under the retail, agriculture and MSME industry” said the July review by Brickwork Ratings.



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