Analysts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Fed interest rate decision, domestic macroeconomic data announcements and quarterly earnings will be the major sentiment drivers for the equity market in a holiday-shortened week ahead, analysts said. Investors will also take cues from the monthly auto sales numbers to be announced on Monday.

Equity markets will remain closed on Thursday for Diwali Laxmi Pujan and on Friday for Diwali Balipratipada. “Due to the festival of Diwali, markets will have a truncated three-day trading session this week.

“Key events to watch out for this week will be India’s PMI data for October and US Fed meeting which will provide some direction to the market,” Siddhartha Khemka, head (retail research) at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said. Selling by foreign funds, weak global markets and mixed earnings weighed on market sentiments last week.

“This is going to be a truncated week on account of Diwali where the market is heading this festival season with a mood of profit-booking. The week will start with auto sales numbers for October where expectations are low, while the market will also gauge the consumers’ sentiments on Dhanteras and Diwali,” Santosh Meena, head (research) at Swastika Investmart, said.

Important earnings are lined up this week including names like HDFC, IRCTC, Tata Motors, Bharti Airtel, HPCL, Sun Pharma, Eicher Motors and SBI, he added. Yesha Shah, head (equity research) at Samco Securities, said, “Although the trading week ahead will be shorter than usual, it can undoubtedly be eventful. The news flow and market sentiment may be largely dominated by the upcoming FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting.”

Shah added that Indian automakers will report their monthly sales figures. “Despite the advent of the festive season, shortages of semiconductors, rising freight and commodity prices may continue to squeeze margins and weaken sales,” Shah added. Last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark tumbled 1,514.69 points or 2.49 per cent.

“Markets are expected to remain bearish in the short term due to profit-booking across various sectors and weak global cues. The Q2 result season is in progress with the market getting mixed responses from companies declaring their results. Along with the corporate earnings, the market has to deal with macro numbers,” Rahul Sharma, co-founder of Equity99, said.

Vinod Nair, head (research) at Geojit Financial Services, said India’s manufacturing and services PMI data to be released this week will be a key indicator in determining the economic progress for October. “Additionally, decisions of the Fed in its meeting this week will be a major factor that will drive global equities in the coming days,” he added.

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SoftBank’s Vision Fund posts $2 bn profit, share weakness casts shadow, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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TOKYO: SoftBank Group Corp‘s Vision Fund unit on Tuesday posted a 236 billion yen ($2.14 billion) profit in the first quarter after gains from listing portfolio companies were offset by falling shares in firms like e-retailer Coupang Inc.

The Japanese conglomerate posted record annual profit in May with executives pointing to further upside from Vision Fund investments such as Chinese ride-hailing firm Didi Global Inc and “Uber for trucks” startup Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd.

Those companies listed in New York during the quarter but Chinese regulatory action has subsequently hammered valuations, underscoring SoftBank’s China risk even as the group seeks to reduce dependence on its largest asset, a stake in Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

While the crackdown has affected returns expectations, “our broader thesis in China is unchanged: It’s still a large, growing and compelling economic opportunity,” said Vision Fund Chief Financial Officer Navneet Govil.

The turmoil is clouding the outlook for the group, whose shares have slipped a third from two-decade highs in March amid the completion of a record 2.5 trillion yen buyback. Shares closed up 0.9% ahead of earnings.

“Having a large public portfolio introduces volatility but at the same time it allows us to continue to monetise in a very disciplined manner,” said Govil.

More than two-thirds of the portfolio of the first $100 billion Vision Fund is listed or exited. SoftBank has distributed $27 billion to its limited partners since inception.

Further upside will come from listings by Indian payments firm Paytm and insurance aggregator Policybazaar as well as Southeast Asian ridehailer Grab, which is due go public via a blank-cheque company merger, Govil said. SoftBank is also ramping up investing through Vision Fund 2, to which it has committed $40 billion of capital, with the unit making 47 new investments worth $14.2 billion made in the April-June quarter alone.

In the first quarter, Vision Fund unit gains included 310 billion yen from selling shares in investments including delivery firm DoorDash Inc and ridehailer Uber Technologies Inc.

First-quarter group net profit, however, fell 39% to 762 billion yen.

SoftBank has also been betting on publicly listed shares through its SB Northstar trading unit. It held stakes in firms worth $13.6 billion at the end of June with the portfolio no longer including Microsoft Corp or Facebook Inc listed three months earlier.



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