Will the lender report another quarter of blockbuster earnings?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: ICICI Bank is expected to have another quarter of strong earnings performance aided by its cards and retail lending operations.

The private sector lender is likely to report a 19.7 per cent year-on-year growth in net profit to Rs 5,086.7 crore for the quarter ended September. The bank is expected to report a 20 per cent on-year rise in net interest income to Rs 11,227 crore for the reported quarter.

ICICI Bank will report its September quarter earnings on Saturday.

The lender’s provisions in the quarter are expected to decline on a sequential basis, although, they will increase on a year-on-year basis. Analysts suggested that the bank could dip into its COVID-19 provisions created in prior quarters to accommodate a likely increase in slippages in the quarter.

“We are building slippages of 2.1% (Rs 4,000 crore) but we see a solid commentary on recovery to normalized levels of their loan book from an asset quality perspective,” said brokerage firm Kotak Institutional Equities.

On the lending front, brokerage firm Sharekhan expects the bank to report a 20 per cent year-on-year growth in loans during the quarter. The growth is likely to be led by the company’s retail loans operations and credit cards business.

ICICI Bank’s operating performance will continue the recent strength as analysts see a 13.6-14.8 per cent year-on-year growth in pre-provision operating profit for the lender in the reported quarter. The net interest margin is also expected to remain stable at 3.8-3.9 per cent.

Besides the earnings, investors will keenly await the management’s commentary on the lending business, especially, in the backdrop of a robust economic recovery post the second wave of the pandemic.



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Analysts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The RBI interest rate decision, macroeconomic data and global trends would dictate the equity market, which is showing some signs of correction after a stellar run, this week, analysts said. Besides, investors will also track the movement of the dollar index and US bond yields this week, they said.

“The market will have an eye on the global data to get further direction. On the domestic front, we don’t have many negative cues but it will be important to listen to the commentary of RBI governor in the upcoming policy scheduled on 8th October where what he says about inflation will be important,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd.

On October 8, TCS will announce its Q2 earnings, Meena said.

The movement of the dollar index, US bond yields will also play an important role in the direction of global markets while crude oil prices will have a major impact on Indian markets, he added.

“This week, the RBI is scheduled to announce its monetary policy. India’s service PMI is also due to be released this week,” Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services said.

During the last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark plunged 1,282.89 points, or 2.13 per cent. Market benchmarks faced losses for the fourth straight session on Friday.

Markets would also track movement of the rupee, Brent crude and FPI investments.

“The September correction in the US markets does highlight some developing risks – a surge in global inflation, oil and commodity prices, rising interest rates, Fed taper and the recent developments on the China front – which could create intermittent disruption in investor sentiment.

“Indian markets are currently richly valued and therefore not immune from some of these headwinds. However, given the strong earnings outlook trajectory, any meaningful correction in the equity markets can serve as an entry opportunity for long-term investors with a sufficiently long investment horizon,” said Unmesh Kulkarni – Managing Director Senior Advisor, Julius Baer India.



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