Tag: pvbs

ICRA, BFSI News, ET BFSI

Banking & Finance

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Gross non-performing assets (NPAs) and net NPAs of banks are likely to decline to 6.9-7 per cent and 2.2-2.3 per cent, respectively, by the end of March 2022 as compared to 7.6 per cent and 2.5 per cent, respectively, as of March 31, 2021, according to a report by rating agency ICRA.

GNPAs and NNPAs stood at 8.6 per cent and three per cent, respectively, as on March 31, 2020. “The GNPAs and NNPAs are expected to further decline to 6.9-7 per cent and 2.2-2.3 per cent by March 2022, which will continue to be a relief for the bottom-line (profit) of lenders,” the credit rating agency said in the report.

The fresh NPA generation rate (or slippages) remained elevated during the second wave in absence of regulatory relief such as moratorium, it said.

The gross fresh slippages during the April-June 2021 quarter stood at Rs 1 lakh crore (annualised slippage rate of 4.1 per cent) compared with Rs 2.5 lakh crore or 2.7 per cent during FY2021.

Fresh bank NPAs to stay elevated in Q2, but fall in second half: ICRA

Fresh NPAs

The agency expects this to remain elevated at Rs 0.7-0.8 lakh crore (2.8-3.2 per cent) during Q2 FY2022 but moderate to Rs 1.1-1.2 lakh crore (2-2.4 per cent) during H2 of this fiscal as the impact of the second wave wanes.

Of the total restructured loan book of Rs 2 lakh crore for the banks as on June 30, 2021, the restructuring under the first coronavirus wave is estimated at 51 per cent of the total restructuring of Rs 1 lakh crore, while restructuring under the second wave is estimated at 31 per cent of the total restructuring or Rs 0.6 lakh crore, it said.

Considering that 30-40 per cent of the loan book was under moratorium during Q1 FY2020 across most banks, the loan restructuring at two per cent of advances after the second wave is a positive surprise and much lower than our earlier estimates.

Bank capitalisation

As per ICRA’s estimates, the public sector banks (PSBs) may not need the capital budgeted by the government for FY2022 even with enhanced capital requirements. However, it provisions for any unforeseen events and shall provide confidence to banks as well as investors and credit growth.

It said large private sector banks (PVBs) also remain well-capitalised though few mid-sized PVBs could need to raise capital.“We continue to maintain our credit growth estimate of 7.3-8.3 per cent for banks for FY2022 compared to 5.5 per cent for FY2021,” it said.

Despite expectations of moderation in gains on bond portfolios because of expectations of rising bond yields in FY2022, the return on equity for banks is likely to remain steady at 4.4-7.6 per cent for PSBs (5.1 per cent in FY2021) and 9.5-9.9 per cent for PVBs (10.5 per cent in FY2021), the report said.



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PSB business correspondent outlets in villages shrink as private banks grow biz, BFSI News, ET BFSI

Banking & Finance

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The business correspondent outlets of public sector banks in villages have shrunk during 2016 and 2020 while private banks have shown positive growth.

“PSBs dominated the number of BC outlets in villages, but during the review period, on account of consolidation, their BC outlets showed negative growth,” according to an RBI study said.

PSBs’ share in BC village outlets has dropped marginally to 57 per cent in 2020 from 60 per cent in 2016.

The growth in BC outlets in villages was also negative for regional rural banks.

The share of PSBs in BC outlets in rural areas has remained consistently above 60% over the years, being the highest among the bank groups.

Western region

For both rural branches and BC outlets in villages, PSBs continue to account for maximum share in the western region. However, for BC outlets in villages, share of PSBs has dropped from 68% in 2016 to 45% in 2020. At the same time, PVBs have increased their share progressively across regions, with manifold increase in BC outlets in villages in NER, eastern and southern regions.

Private banks shine

As PSBs continued to maintain their hold, PVBs too registered a higher growth in both access and usage indicators during the review period. There was a growth in BC outlets in villages for PVBs with the growth being significantly high for the north-eastern, eastern and central regions, surpassing the growth of PSBs and RRBs together.

PVBs also significantly improved their tally of urban BC outlets during the five years with their share growing from 77 per cent in 2016 to 97 per cent in 2020. On similar lines, contribution of PVBs in the total number of BC agents too grew exponentially from 37 per cent in 2016 to 80 per cent in 2020.

The BC model grows

“From being an alternate delivery model, the BC model is emerging as the predominant delivery model. While the growth in number of rural branches remained subdued during the review period, there was a significant growth in BC outlets in both villages and urban pockets providing formal financial services at the doorstep of large number of unserved/underserved population,” the study said.

The study noted that about 56 per cent of total Basic Savings Bank Deposit Accounts (BSBDAs) and 65 per cent of General Credit Cards (GCCs) were channelled through BCs. While BCs of public sector banks (PSBs) dominated the deposit space, private sector banks (PVBs) accounted for a major share in GCCs through BCs.

During the review period, the total transactions routed through BC outlets increased considerably both in terms of volume as well as value, it said.

Credit-related transactions

During 2016-20, credit-related transactions at BC outlets grew for PVBs and RRBs at a CAGR of 66.91 per cent and 31.81 per cent, respectively. This was in line with the trend of increment in the number of BC agents for PVBs over the five-year period. However, during the same period, the ICT-BC Credit/OD transactions for PSBs declined marginally by 1.86 per cent.

Similarly, share of PVBs in credit/ OD transactions at BC outlets rose progressively from 82 per cent in 2016 to 97 per cent in 2020, while the share of PSBs and RRBs reduced significantly.

The number of ICT-BC Credit/OD transactions through BCs recorded an overall CAGR of 60.27 per cent over the review period, with all regions registering a positive growth. The eastern region recorded the highest growth courtesy significantly higher numbers being reported by select PVBs.



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