Key factors driving the market, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bulls continued the upward momentum on Dalal Street on Tuesday as well, thanks to buying in bank and financial services stocks. However, gains were in check due to some weak global cues.

A clear trend in the market during the last several trading sessions is the outperformance of largecaps led by high-quality private sector financials. The underperformance of the mid- and smallcaps segment is a desirable and healthy trend since it is removing the froth in the segment, said an analyst.

“An area of concern in the market now is the frenzy in the IPO market where retail investors are applying for IPOs and OFSs without any consideration of fundamentals and future prospects. The goal is just to make money on the listing. Many retail investors are likely to lose money in the future from some of these issues,” said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

How are the bluechips doing?
After opening in the green, benchmark indices climbed further. At 9.32 am, BSE flagship Sensex was up 207 points or 0.40 per cent to 54,610. NSE benchmark Nifty advanced 52 points or 0.32 per cent to 16,310.

“Nifty closed higher after testing our turnaround point of 16,174, which is encouraging, but not an outright signal towards directional upsides. We would pin our hopes on the 16,246/33 region to hold early dips and attempt a push towards 16,320 or 16,400. However, even such an up move would still be within our broadening wedge expectation. In other words, volatility would continue to dominate,” said Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

In the 50-share pack Nifty, HDFC was the biggest gainer, up 1.57 per cent. Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank, HDFC Life Insurance, Reliance Industries and IndusInd Bank were among other gainers.

Shree Cement was the top loser in the pack, down 3.50 per cent. Power Grid, Hero MotoCorp, Grasim, Nestle India, Bajaj Auto, Wipro, Britannia, Indian Oil and ITC were other losers in the pack.

FACTORS DRIVING MARKETS
Good news
US job data: Job openings, a measure of labour demand, shot up by 590,000 to a record high of 10.1 million on the last day of June, the US Labour Department reported. This signifies improving economic conditions.

Bad news:
Bond yields, dollar rise: The dollar index firmed near more than two-week high. US Treasury yields rose to a more than three week high as record-high job openings on top of stronger-than-expected employment gains in July added to the narrative of an improving labour market.

Rate hikes?: Two Federal Reserve officials said on Monday that the US economy is growing rapidly and that while the labour market still has room for improvement, inflation is already at a level that could satisfy one leg of a key test for the beginning of interest rate hikes.

Virus scare: Persistent concerns over the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus dented sentiment and triggered falls in metals and oil prices.

Broader markets
Broader market indices were trading mixed, underperforming their headline peers in morning trade. Nifty Smallcap was down 0.04 per cent, while Nifty Midcap rose 0.45 per cent. Broadest index on NSE, Nifty 500 was up 0.32 per cent.

Birlasoft, IOL Chemicals and Pharma, Future retail, Hindustan Aeronautics, GSPL and Escorts were gainers from the space, while Vodafone Idea, Prestige Estates, IDFC First Bank, Happiest Minds, Caplin Point and BASF were under selling pressure.

Global markets
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan declined 0.4 per cent, with Korea’s KOSPI index down 0.56 per cent, while China’s blue chip index CSI300 shed 0.33 per cent.

Japan’s Nikkei was UP 0.9 per cent while Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX200 was 0.2 per cent higher on the back of strong earnings results.



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Index publisher MSCI looking at launch of crypto indexes, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Global securities index publisher MSCI is looking at launching indexes for cryptocurrency assets, according to Chief Executive Henry Fernandez, in what would be another step towards mainstream acceptance for digital currencies and the companies trading in them.

Fernandez, speaking at a Clubhouse event organized by venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz earlier this week, said MSCI has been talking to experts and is aiming to launch crypto indexes.

He gave no details on what assets any index would focus on nor any timeline for their introduction and MSCI later declined a Reuters request to elaborate on his comments.

Companies including Bank of New York Mellon Corp, Mastercard, Visa and Goldman Sachs have taken small steps towards supporting cryptocurrencies but they are still little used in day-to-day life.

In May, the S&P Dow Jones Indices unveiled new cryptocurrency indexes, bringing bitcoin and ethereum to the trading floors of Wall Street. The new indexes, S&P Bitcoin Index, S&P Ethereum Index and S&P Crypto Mega Cap Index, will measure the performance of digital assets tied to them.

Crypto exchange Coinbase Global, of which Andreessen Horowitz is the biggest shareholder, also successfully listed on the tech-heavy NASDAQ in April, as bitcoin hit a record peak.

MSCI has been looking to expand its offerings, with Fernandez saying on Clubhouse the areas of private credit and environmental, social and governance (ESG) held opportunities for the company.

In April, the company launched 20 thematic indexes to help investors bet on “megatrends” in China that are aligned with the Chinese government’s policy goals.

The company publishes popular indexes for global equities and other securities, used by asset managers and investors to guide the allocation of $14.5 trillion in assets globally as of the end of 2020.

Inclusion in its indexes tends to open the door to more funds investing in the asset in question.



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As Coinbase lists, Indian crypto bourses see a boom, await clarity in rules, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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As Coinbase, the biggest exchange in the US, has a spectacular listing that valued it at $100 billion, crypto exchanges in India await clarity over the rules amid fears that the government may ban virtual currencies.

The future for crypto trading in India is highly uncertain after the central bank and government’s expression of concern fueled speculation that an outright ban of private coins may come into force.

Indian exchanges cheer

Indian crypto exchanges are gung-ho on Coinbase listing and see boost to local exchanges.

The massive response to Coinbase IPO shows the demand for Crypto exchanges globally. This is a positive sign for Indian Crypto startups as it shows the potential for building large crypto companies in India. At WazirX our aim is to build an iconic Crypto brand from India, said Nischal Shetty, CEO, WazirX, an Indian crypto exchange.

“Coinbase’s listing on Nasdaq is the first of its kind and will mark a historic moment for the industry. It is a big step as it formalizes the process which essentially helps crypto enter the mainstream market. Any breakthrough and adaptive step towards mainstream will have a cascading effect with other players and countries adopting a similar trend,” said Sumit Gupta, Co-founder & CEO, CoinDCX.

Indian exchanges have created products keeping in mind the Indian investor sentiment, safety, and regulatory processes of the land. Bringing this technology to the mainstream is a welcome sign as this will encourage many crypto enthusiasts both within the country and abroad, he said.

“More importantly, at this juncture, this will help gauge the valuable attention of the government, central bank, other agencies. Hence we have been engaging with the government along with other stakeholders hoping to develop a more conducive and better-regulated crypto market within India. Globally too investment firms, banks, and governments are all warming up to it,” Gupta said.

The government plan

The government plans to introduce Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill, 2021, in the current parliament session.

The bill, one of the world’s strictest policies against cryptocurrencies, would criminalise possession, issuance, mining, trading and transferring crypto-assets.

The measure is in line with a January government agenda that called for banning private virtual currencies such as bitcoin while building a framework for an official digital currency. The bill would give holders of cryptocurrencies up to six months to liquidate, after which penalties will be levied.

If the ban becomes law, India would be the first major economy to make holding cryptocurrency illegal. Even China, which has banned mining and trading, does not penalise possession.

However, there are indications that India will allow it as a well-regulated asset class, rather than as a transaction mechanism keeping in mid the growing number of investors.

Business booming

However, the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies is seeing a rise in the number of crypto exchanges in the country.

Coinsbit, Europe’s largest cryptocurrency trading platform, on April 9 announced its India unit. the exchange organised what it claimed was India`s Biggest Airdrop Ever where users were awarded $200 worth of CIN Tokens for signing up and completing their KYC.

ZebPay, India’s oldest exchange for trading cryptocurrencies aims to double monthly transactions after an explosion in demand, despite

concerns of looming curbs from the nation’s authorities.

ZebPay, a platform with about 4 million customers, expects to churn $2 billion worth of trades per month, which is still less than one-fifth of trades handled by top US-based exchange Coinbase Global Inc.

“India holds less than 1% of the world’s cryptocurrencies and its potential investor base is 100 million.

In India, despite government threats of a ban, transaction volumes are swelling and 8 million investors now hold Rs 10000 crore in crypto-investments, according to industry estimates.

2018 experience

Even when the RBI briefly banned banks from dealing in crypto in 2018, exchanges such as Zebpay saw an increase in deposits. Even as the platform rushed to return everyone’s rupees before the banks cut their services, investors offered up more money to invest in cryptocurrencies. The banking ban on crypto didn’t cause many to give up on the asset class. Instead, he said, they simply moved to peer-to-peer (P2P) crypto platforms such as WazirX. since P2P was for a while the only way for Indians to buy or sell crypto after the banking ban, it helped WazirX grow rapidly.

Those who continue to trade in crypto either aren’t too concerned about negative regulation or may have figured out some safeguards.



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Coinbase wows in Nasdaq debut amid cryptocurrency frenzy, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase made a dramatic stock market debut Wednesday amid frenzied interest in bitcoin and other virtual currencies despite concerns about a bubble.

The enterprise, the first company devoted entirely to cryptocurrency to enter the US stock exchange, debuted on the market well above its reference price and quickly rocketed higher before pulling back somewhat.

The premier “went successfully,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. “We’ll have to see how this plays out and then see if this particular publicly traded stock is as volatile as the cryptocurrencies that it transactions.”

Coinbase opened on the Nasdaq at $381 per share, 52 percent above its reference price and rising as high as $429.54 before finishing the day at $328.28.

The company ended the day with a market value around $86 billion after topping $100 billion earlier in the session.

Coinbase chose a direct listing, which does not allow it to raise new funds but does offer current shareholders — founders, employees and historical investors — the opportunity to sell their shares on the market.

Spotify, Slack, Palantir and Roblox have also used this method for their Wall Street debuts.

Coinbase has benefited from bitcoin’s meteoric rise over the past year, with the crypto asset’s price rising from $6,500 last April to new records of as high as $64,000 Wednesday before retreating somewhat.

Other virtual currencies — such as ether, Litecoin or Stellar Lumens — have also surged in line with bitcoin.

The Coinbase entry “is potentially a watershed event for the crypto industry,” said Daniel Ives at Wedbush Securities.

“Coinbase is a foundational piece of the crypto ecosystem and is a barometer for the growing mainstream adoption of bitcoin and crypto for the coming years, in our opinion.”

– Bitcoin success – Founded in 2012 in San Francisco by Brian Armstrong and Fred Ehrsam, the platform allows users to buy and sell about 50 cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin and ether.

Coinbase claims 56 million total users and more than six million people making transactions each month, according to estimates from its first-quarter results, released in early April.

“With bitcoin already having more than doubled in the last six months and cryptocurrencies becoming more popular with more mainstream investors, it can certainly be argued that crypto has become more mainstream in the last 12 months,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK.

As a result of this craze, Coinbase’s revenue has increased almost tenfold in the course of a year to $1.8 billion in the first quarter, according to company estimates.

Its profit increased 25-fold, in the range of $730 million to $800 million.

The success of Coinbase and cryptocurrencies in general has given some rivals ideas: the head of the California-based cryptocurrency exchange platform Kraken told CNBC last week he hopes to take his company public next year, also via a direct listing.

– Headwinds? – If the situation seems favorable to Coinbase, questions remain the order of the day among observers, who recall the company’s dependence on the price of virtual currencies, which tend to be volatile.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sounded a cautious note Wednesday, calling cryptocurrencies “really vehicles for speculation” during an appearance at the Economic Club of Washington.

“No one is using them for payments for example like the dollar,” Powell said. “It’s a little bit like gold… for thousands of years, human beings have given gold this special value that it doesn’t have from an industrial standpoint, but nonetheless for thousands of years they’ve done so.”

Before its spectacular rise in recent months, bitcoin had experienced setbacks, particularly in 2018 when it kept falling.

Some also are drawing attention to the distrust of lawmakers in several countries who are concerned about cryptocurrencies being used for illicit purposes.

“The bigger question is whether any valuation is sustainable, particularly given how many governments aren’t particularly enamored of cryptocurrencies,” Hewson said.

“Future regulation is likely to be a clear and present danger and a probable headwind” in the long term.

Armstrong acknowledged Wednesday that regulation is one of the biggest risks facing the cryptocurrency business.

“Especially now that Coinbase is a public company, we’re gonna increasingly be having scrutiny about what we’re doing and people want to understand the implications of it,” Armstrong told CNBC.

“We’re very happy to engage,” Armstrong told the network. “We’re very excited and happy to play by the rules… We want to be treated on those level playing field with traditional financial services at the very least and not have any kind of punishment for being in the crypto space.”

Coinbase was recently charged by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission with “reporting false, misleading, or inaccurate” information about cryptocurrencies and manipulating the market between 2015 and 2018.

In a settlement, Coinbase paid a $6.5 million fine, and the company was forced to push back its listing date on Wall Street.

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Coinbase

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Bitcoin hits record high before landmark Coinbase IPO

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Bitcoin hit a recordof $62,741 on Tuesday, extending its 2021 rally to new heights a day ahead of Coinbase’s initial public offering.

The largest US cryptocurrency exchange’s listing on the Nasdaq on Wednesday is considered a landmark victory for cryptocurrency advocates.

The world’s biggest cryptocurrency, which has growing mainstream acceptance as an investment and a means of payment, rose as much as 5 per cent on Tuesday. Smaller rival Ethereum also reached a record high of $2,205.

Major firms including BNY Mellon, Mastercard Inc and Tesla Inc are among those to have embraced or invested in cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin topped $60,000 early last month, fuelled by Tesla’s move to buy $1.5 billion of the digital currency for its balance sheet. For the past two weeks, it had traded in a tight range.

“When bitcoin markets create new highs the price often range-trades and we witness a round of profit-taking,” saidJames Butterfill of digital asset manager CoinShares.

“During this most recent period have witnessed a similarprofit-taking round, which now looks to have run its course.”

The multi-fold rise in cryptocurrencies is also driven byinvestors seeking high-yielding assets amid low interest rates.

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Wall Street drops as big banks fall after results, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Devik Jain and Medha Singh

Wall Street‘s main indexes dropped on Friday, weighed down by losses in major U.S. lenders after their earnings reports, while incoming President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan also sparked fears of an increase in corporate taxes.

Shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co, Citigroup Inc and Wells Fargo & Co, which had seen a strong rally in the run-up to earnings, were all down even as the banks posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter profits.

JPMorgan fell 2.2% following a seven-day winning streak that had pushed the stock about 12% higher.

The S&P 500 banks index shed 3.3%.

Wall Street’s main indexes are set to wrap up the week lower after climbing to record highs recently on bets of a hefty fiscal package and optimism about vaccine distribution.

Also weighing on markets was a Washington Post report that said COVID-19 vaccine reserve was already exhausted when the Donald Trump administration vowed to release it this week, dashing hopes of expanded access. (https://wapo.st/2MZoiwa)

“It’s a concern of the vaccine and maybe, to a lesser extent, the Biden spending plan that he outlined last night,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management in Chicago.

“It’s more of a healthy correction to some of the advances that we’ve seen in the market.”

Biden’s stimulus proposal, unveiled on Thursday, includes some $1 trillion in direct relief to households and has sparked fears that the government would need to hike corporate taxes to fund the spending.

“Biden’s concern is not the stock market, his concern is Main Street and that’s a good thing … but that tells you there’s going to be an increase in corporate taxes,” said Dennis Dick, proprietary trader at Bright Trading LLC in Las Vegas.

Meanwhile, data showed a further decline in U.S. retail sales in December – the latest sign the economy lost considerable speed at the end of 2020.

Nine of the 11 major S&P sectors fell, with energy, financials and industrials posting the steepest declines after leading markets higher in the recent rally.

The defensive utilities and real estate were the only sectors trading higher.

At 11:39 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 135.21 points, or 0.44%, to 30,856.31, the S&P 500 lost 18.40 points, or 0.48%, to 3,777.14 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 60.55 points, or 0.46%, to 13,052.08.

Earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to decline 9.5% in the final quarter of 2020 from a year ago, but are expected to rebound in 2021, with a gain of 16.4% projected for the first quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Exxon Mobil Corp fell 3.6% after a report said the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission launched an investigation of the oil major, following a whistleblower’s complaint that the company overvalued a key asset in the prolific Permian shale oil basin.

Spotify Technology SA dropped about 5% after Citigroup downgraded its shares to “sell”.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co rose 1% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the enterprise software maker’s stock to “overweight”.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 2.8-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.9-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 180 new highs and eight new lows.



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