Bank loans to industrial sector shrink during Modi rule, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The share of banks in loans to the industrial sector dropped massively during 2014-2021 even as credit to the retail sector, including home loans, saw a boom.

As per the data, industrial credit fell to 28.9% by March 2021 from 42.7% at the end of March 2014.

“Over recent years, the share of the industrial sector in total bank credit has declined whereas that of personal loans has grown,” the Reserve Bank of India said in its Financial Stability Report.

The environment for bank credit remains lacklustre in the midst of the pandemic, with credit supply muted by persisting risk aversion and subdued loan demand and within this overall setting, underlying shifts are becoming more evident than before, it said.

Loans to the private corporate sector declined from 37.6% in 2014 to 27.7% at the end of March 2021. During the same period, personal loans grew from 16.2 to 26.3%, in which housing loans grew from 8.5% to 13.8%.

Fiscal 2021

Bank credit growth to the industrial sector decelerated 0.8% year-to-date as of May 21, 2021, due to poor loan offtake from the corporate sector.

Growth in credit to the private corporate sector, however, declined for the sixth successive quarter in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal and its share in total credit stood at 28.3 per cent. RBI said the weighted average lending rate (WALR) on outstanding credit has moderated by 91 basis points during 2020-21, including a decline of 21 basis points in Q4.

Overall credit growth in India slowed down in FY21 to 5.6 per cent from 6.4 per cent in FY20 as the economy was hit hard by Covid. and subsequent lockdowns.

Credit growth to the industrial sector remained in the negative territory during 2020-21, mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and resultant lockdowns. Industrial loan growth, on the other hand, remained negative during all quarters of 2020-21.”

The RBI further said working capital loans in the form of cash credit, overdraft and demand loans, which accounted for a third of total credit, contracted during 2020-21, indicating the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

Shift to bonds

The corporate world focused on deleveraging high-cost loans through fundraising via bond issuances despite interest rates at an all-time low. This has led to muted credit growth for banks.

Corporates raised Rs 2.1 lakh crore in December ended quarter and Rs 3.1 lakh crore in the fourth quarter from the corporate bond markets. In contrast, the corresponding year-ago figures were Rs 1.5 lakh crore and Rs 1.9 lakh crore, respectively.

Bonds were mostly raised by top-rated companies at 150-200 basis points below bank loans. Most of the debt was raised by government companies as they have top-rated status.

For AAA-rated corporate bonds, the yield was 6.85 per cent in May 2020, which fell to 5.38 per cent in April 2021 and to 5.16 per cent in May 2021.



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India plans stimulus package for sectors worst affected by second wave, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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India is preparing a stimulus package for sectors worst affected by a deadly coronavirus wave, aiming to support an economy struggling with a slew of localized lockdowns, people familiar with the matter said.

The finance ministry is working on proposals to bolster the tourism, aviation and hospitality industries, along with small and medium-sized companies, the people said, asking not to be identified as the deliberations are private. The discussions are at an early stage and no timeline for an announcement has been decided, they said. A finance ministry spokesman declined to comment.

The latest wave of Covid-19 infections has made India the global hotspot for the pandemic and has decimated travel since the second wave picked up in March even though Prime Minister Narendra Modi has refused to implement a strict nationwide lockdown like last year’s. With high daily cases, many local governments — including Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, India’s most industrialized states — have imposed curbs against the spread of the virus.

That’s prompted many economists to cut their forecasts for the financial year that began April 1, as rising unemployment and dwindling savings among consumers dim the chances for double-digit growth. While the International Monetary Fund expects India’s economy to expand 12.5% this year to March — and will be revisiting the forecast in July — the country’s central bank projects 10.5% growth.

Flagging growth prospects put the onus on policy makers to support activity, especially once the virus caseload eases. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, who said last month she’s monitoring the economy in a “very detailed fashion,” has held discussions with economists in recent days about a stimulus package, the people said.

In April, the finance ministry eased rules for capital expenditure by government departments to try to boost spending in the economy.

Pressure also is building on the central bank — which serves as the banking sector regulator — to ease loan repayment rules, especially for sectors badly hit by this virus wave.

–With assistance from Anirban Nag.



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RBI Governor to deliver an unscheduled speech at 10 a.m.

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Reserve Bank of India said Governor Shaktikanta Das will make a speech Wednesday, an unscheduled appearance as ferocious new coronavirus wave devastates the country.

The address will be broadcast at 10 a.m. local time, the RBI said on Twitter, without providing further details.

The Covid-19 wave that has slammed India in recent weeks will probably worsen before it starts to taper off sometime later this month, forecasters warn. Pressure from industry groups has begun mounting on Prime Minister Narendra Modi to impose lockdowns to stem its spread, a move he has so far resisted to avoid the economic damage suffered last year.

The RBI has augmented fiscal support measures from Modi’s government with loan holidays and cash injections, as well as by cutting interest rates. It has pledged to keep monetary policy loose though its room to act has been constrained by inflation concerns.

Das has been meeting with with bankers and shadow lenders since last month to discuss topics including the current economic situation, potential stress to balance sheets, credit flows and liquidity. CNBC reported Tuesday that bankers have requested relief, including payment moratoriums, citing banking sources.

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