Public sector banks losing market share in loans to private sector rivals

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The proposed privatisation of two public sector banks (PSBs) in FY22 could accentuate the already declining market share of PSBs in loans, with the share of private sector banks (PvSBs) expected to go up further.

A realignment of market share in loans has been happening in the banking space over the last four years.

PSBs’ (or state-owned Banks) market share in loans declined to around 59 per cent (of all scheduled commercial banks’ outstanding credit) in December 2020 against around 65 per cent in December 2017.

However, during this period, PvSBs market share rose to around 36 per cent from around 30 per cent, going by Reserve Bank of India data.

The aforementioned development comes in the backdrop of PSBs turning cautious on loan growth in the face of stress in their balance sheets and IDBI Bank getting classified as a PvSB following the Life Insurance Corporation of India becoming its promoter with management control in January 2019.

Consolidation exercise

PSBs loan growth also slackened as some of them focussed their energies on streamlining operations following mega-mergers within the grouping.

Dena Bank and Vijaya Bank got amalgamated with Bank of Baroda with effect from April 1, 2019.

The aforementioned consolidation exercise was followed by mega-mergers in PSB space in FY20-21.

With effect from April 1, 2020, Oriental Bank of Commerce and United Bank of India merged with Punjab National Bank; Syndicate Bank merged with Canara Bank; Andhra Bank and Corporation Bank merged with Union Bank of India; and Allahabad Bank merged with Indian Bank.

During the last four years, PvSBs pressed ahead with loan growth. Many larger and mid-sized PvSBs were neither constrained by capital nor weighed down too much by bad loans.

Realignment & privatisation

Now, if the Government makes good on its Budget announcement of privatising two PSBs in FY22, the market share of State-owned banks could shrink further by about 3-4 percentage points, with the share of PvSBs correspondingly going up.

In 2018, Uday Kotak, Managing Director & CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank, observed that private sector banks’ market share will go up significantly and be on a par with that of public sector banks in the next five years.

“…This major mega trend in the redefinition of the industry structure is something which is playing out as we talk,” Kotak then said.

Banking expert V Viswanathan assessed that PvSBs are focussing on credit to small and medium enterprises (which offer collateral), wholesale trade, home loans and related top-up loans, loan against property, auto loans and personal loans, among others, in a big way.

Meanwhile, small finance banks have grown their market share in loans to about 1 per cent in December 2020 from about 0.22 per cent in December 2017. Foreign banks’ share came down to 3.98 per cent from 4.44 per cent.

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Market share of banks in individual housing loans up: NHB report

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The market share of banks in individual housing loans has gone up from 62 per cent in 2017-18 to 67 per cent in 2019-20, while that of housing finance companies (HFCs) has come down from 38 per cent to 33 per cent.

According to the National Housing Bank’s latest Trend and Progress of Housing in India report, the pace of growth of banks remained higher than that of HFCs, partly supported by portfolio buyouts, leading to increase in their market share in individual loans.

In 2018-19, the market share of banks and HFCs in individual housing loans (IHLs) was at 64 per cent and 36 per cent, respectively. The overall growth in IHLs of banks and HFCs combined stood at 10 per cent in 2019-20 compared to 16 per cent in 2018-19.

The report said: “The real estate and Housing Finance Sector in India began to witness a moderation in growth after the IL&FS crisis in September 2018. However, with proactive measures and various other initiatives of the Government, RBI and NHB, the sector started to gain momentum.”

The total outstanding IHLs of HFCs and banks combined was around ₹20-lakh crore as at the end of March 2019-20 compared to around ₹18-lakh crore in 2018-19.

Outstanding IHLs of Banks and HFCs registered year-on-year growth of 8.5 per cent and 3 per cent, respectively, NHB said.

Slab-wise analysis

Slab-wise analysis of total IHLs of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) and HFCs combined shows that around 44 per cent of the total IHL as on March 31, 2020 (against 47 per cent as on March 31, 2019) was towards 124 lakh housing units (119 lakh as on March 31, 2019) within IHL slab of ₹25 lakh.

Fifty six per cent of the total IHL (53 per cent as on March 31, 2019) was towards 30 lakh housing units in the IHL slab of over ₹25 lakh, the report said.

Referring to growth in the number of housing units financed within IHL slab of ₹25 lakh, NBH observed that affordable housing continues to grow on account of robust demand and various support measures towards this segment.

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