HDFC Securities , BFSI News, ET BFSI

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HDFC Securities has reduce call on Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. with a target price of Rs 20. The current market price of Ujjivan Small Finance Bank is Rs 21.

Time period given by analyst is one year when Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. price can reach defined target.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd., incorporated in the year 2016, is a banking company (having a market cap of Rs 3638.10 Crore).

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Interest & Discount on Advances & Bills, Income From Investment, Interest On Balances with RBI and Other Inter-Bank Funds for the year ending 31-Mar-2021.

Financials
For the quarter ended 30-09-2021, the company reported a Standalone Total Income of Rs 691.93 Crore, down -3.40 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 716.29 Crore and down -15.41 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 818.01 Crore. The bank reported net profit after tax of Rs -273.79 Crore in latest quarter.

Investment Rationale
Ujjivan SFB reported yet another quarter of loss at INR2.74bn as the stressed pool remained persistently elevated. While the aggregate stress pool (PAR>0) declined sequentially from 31% to 19%, the excessive stress suggests normalisation would be delayed beyond FY22. Restructured book increased from 5.5% to 10.2% sequentially, with loan loss coverage at 75% (including INR0.25bn of COVID provisions), driven by accelerated provisioning at ~10.4% of gross advances. Business momentum was revived with disbursals of INR31.2bn (near pre-COVID levels) and a declining share of MFI loans (70%). With limited visibility of RoA reflation and a stubborn stress pool, it downgrades Ujjivan SFB from ADD to REDUCE with a revised TP of INR20 (earlier INR34) and downgrade Ujjivan Financial Services from BUY to ADD with a revised TP of INR189 (earlier INR322).

Promoter/FII Holdings
Promoters held 83.32 per cent stake in the company as of 30-Sep-2021, while FIIs owned 0.56 per cent, DIIs 0.76 per cent.



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M-cap of 8 of top-10 most valued cos jump Rs 2.32 lakh cr; Reliance Industries lead gainer, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Eight of the top-10 most valued companies together added a whopping Rs 2,32,800.35 crore in market valuation last week in-tandem with rally in the broader market, with Reliance Industries and Tata Consultancy Services emerging as the biggest gainers. Last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark rallied 1,293.48 points or 2.20 per cent. The benchmark soared past the 60,000 level on Friday.

The market valuation of Reliance Industries zoomed Rs 93,823.76 crore to reach Rs 16,93,170.17 crore.

Tata Consultancy Services added Rs 76,200.46 crore taking its valuation to Rs 14,55,687.69 crore.

The valuation of Infosys jumped Rs 24,857.35 crore to Rs 7,31,107.12 crore and that of Bajaj Finance gained Rs 12,913.91 crore to Rs 4,66,940.59 crore.

The market capitalisation (m-cap) of HDFC Bank rallied Rs 10,881.09 crore to Rs 8,87,210.54 crore.

ICICI Bank added Rs 7,403.24 crore to Rs 4,87,388.37 crore in its valuation.

The valuation of State Bank of India jumped Rs 5,310.14 crore to Rs 4,08,479.47 crore and that of HDFC gained Rs 1,410.4 crore to Rs 4,91,841.14 crore.

In contrast, the valuation of Hindustan Unilever Limited diminished by Rs 14,614.46 crore to Rs 6,20,362.58 crore.

Kotak Mahindra Bank’s market valuation also tumbled Rs 11,697.38 crore to Rs 3,83,866.29 crore.

Reliance Industries was leading the chart of the top-10 most valued companies list followed by Tata Consultancy Services, HDFC Bank, Infosys, Hindustan Unilever Limited, HDFC, ICICI Bank, Bajaj Finance, State Bank of India and Kotak Mahindra Bank. PTI SUM ANS ANS



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Analysts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With no major domestic macroeconomic data announcement this week, equity markets would keenly track the US Fed interest rate decision and other global trends to decide its further movement, analysts said. Equity benchmarks surged to their fresh lifetime peaks on Friday.

Analysts said positive economic data and government reforms in telecom, banking and automobile sectors helped in boosting market sentiments.

“This week is going to be critical for the Indian market after a recent outperformance because there is some weakness in global markets where the outcome of FOMC’s meeting, which is scheduled for September 21-22, will be a critical factor.

Other than the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan will also come out with its monetary policy on September 22, said Santosh Meena, head (research) at Swastika Investmart Ltd.

The movement of the dollar index and US bond yield will play a key role in the behaviour of emerging markets like India, Meena added.

“We are in a roaring bull market and I believe it may continue for the next 2-3 years but after a long time, I am sounding a little cautious as there are some signs which indicate that a short-term correction is around the corner,” Meena said.

During the last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark jumped 710 points or 1.21 per cent. Market benchmark Sensex scaled the 59,000-mark for the first time on Thursday.

“Nervousness would be seen in the market this week ahead of the US Federal Reserve meeting,” said Siddhartha Khemka, head (retail research) at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Shrikant Chouhan, head (equity research-retail) at Kotak Securities Ltd, said the Federal Reserve will kick off a two-day meeting on September 21, and the global markets will watch for an update on their bond-buying programme.

According to a note by Samco Research, “Investors across the world will be eyeing the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting for more clarity on the outlook for both tapering as well as interest rate timelines.”

Markets would also track foreign institutional investors movement, rupee-dollar trend and Brent crude.

Vinod Nair, head (research) at Geojit Financial Services, said that this week, the global focus will be on the policy meetings of a few central banks including the Fed.



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Yes Securities , BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Yes Securities has buy call on Axis Bank with a target price of Rs 822. The current market price of Axis Bank Ltd. is Rs 783.75.

Time period given by analyst is Intra Day when Axis Bank Ltd. price can reach defined target. Axis Bank Ltd., incorporated in the year 1993, is a banking company (having a market cap of Rs 240332.38 Crore).

Financials
For the quarter ended 30-06-2021, the company reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 20285.41 Crore, down -3.53 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 21028.45 Crore and up 4.23 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 19461.77 Crore. The bank reported net profit after tax of Rs 2356.91 Crore in latest quarter.

Investment Rationale
The stock has resumed the uptrend after breaking out of a Triangle pattern resistance on good volumes. Technical indicator RSI has turned upwards after forming a positive divergence, confirming the bullishness.

Promoter/FII Holdings
Promoters held 11.4 per cent stake in the company as of June 30, 2021, while FIIs held 53.7 per cent, DIIs 23.7 per cent and public and others 11.3 per cent.



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Centrum Broking , BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Centrum Broking has add call on Ujjivan Small Finance Bank with a target price of Rs 31. The current market price of Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. is Rs 25.9.

Time period given by analyst is one year when Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. price can reach defined target. .
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd., incorporated in the year 2016, is a banking company (having a market cap of Rs 4484.98 Crore).

Financials
For the quarter ended 30-06-2021, the company reported a Standalone Total Income of Rs 716.29 Crore, down -2.56 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 735.14 Crore and down -7.57 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 774.98 Crore. The bank reported net profit after tax of Rs -233.47 Crore in latest quarter.

Investment Rationale
Provision spike could impact FY22 PAT by 76% while overall stress accretion would lower FY22/23 ABV by 20%/13%. MFI/MSE loan exposure at 80% is affecting Ujjivan, leading to rise in delinquencies and protracted recoveries. Lower multiple to 1.8x FY23ABV (earlier 2.1x), revise TP to Rs31 from Rs42. Change rating from BUY to ADD. Risks: higher provisions.

Promoter/FII Holdings
Promoters held 83.3 per cent stake in the company as of June 30, 2020, while FIIs held 5.1 per cent, DIIs 4.2 per cent and public and others 7.3 per cent.

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D-Street investors’ wealth jumps by Rs 2.19 lakh cr in 2 days, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: Investors’ wealth has jumped by Rs 2.19 lakh crore in two days of market rally, with the market capitalisation of BSE-listed companies reaching a fresh record of Rs 2,31,74,726 crore.

Gaining for the second straight session, the 30-share BSE Sensex closed 395.33 points or 0.75 per cent higher at 52,880 on Monday. The benchmark had closed 166.07 points higher on Friday.

Following the buoyant sentiment, the market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms zoomed Rs 2,19,283.79 crore in two days to its all-time high of Rs 2,31,74,726 crore.

“Overall sentiment were positive on account of fall in COVID-19 infections and indications of more availability of vaccines. Hopes of a sustained reopening of the economy led to buying in sectors which were most affected by COVID,” said Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

In Monday’s trade, State Bank of India was the biggest gainer in the 30 frontline companies pack, gaining 1.92 per cent, followed by Tata Steel, L&T, Bajaj Finserv, Larsen & Toubro and Axis Bank.

In contrast, Tech Mahindra, Dr Reddy’s, HCL Tech, Titan, Bharti Airtel and TCS were the laggards, falling up to 1.34 per cent.

In the broader market, the BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices gained up to 0.78 per cent.

From sectoral indices, only power closed lower, while realty topped the chart with a gain of 2.84 per cent, followed by metal at 1.49 per cent.



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Nifty hits all-time high as heavyweights HDFC twins, RIL lift D-Street, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Domestic equity benchmarks began Friday’s session on a strong note with the Nifty50 benchmark scaling a record high amid strong buying interest in heavyweights such as HDFC twins, RIL and ICICI Bank.

The S&P BSE Sensex index rose as much as 361.83 points to touch 51,477.05 in the first few minutes of trade, and the broader NSE Nifty 50 benchmark climbed to a record high of 15,455.55, up 117.7 points from its previous close.

HDFC was the top performer in the Sensex universe, trading 1.25 per cent higher in early deals. HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, ICICI Bank, RIL and SBI were among other gainers.

On the other hand, Sun Pharma was the top laggard, down 3 per cent. Dr Reddy’s, M&M, Nestle and Bajaj Auto were among other blue-chip losers.

Analysts awaited more Q4 earnings from India Inc for cues. M&M, REC, Ipca Laboratories, Sundaram Finance, Max Healthcare and Glenmark Pharma are among the companies slated to report their financial results later in the day.

Equities in other Asian markets cheered in the early session in line with global markets as strong US economic data solidified hopes of continuing recovery. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.40 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei 225 soared 1.95 per cent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.46 per cent and South Korea’s Kospi 0.42 per cent.

Overnight on Wall Street, equity benchmarks finished higher following more signals that the economy is continuing to recover. Investors were encouraged to see that weekly unemployment claims fell to another pandemic low. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.41 per cent, the S&P 500 0.12 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite ended flat.

In the oil market, prices pushed higher supported by firm US economic data and expectations of a strong rebound in global fuel demand in the third quarter. Concerns eased about the impact of any return of Iranian supplies. Brent crude futures for July gained 0.2 per cent to $69.62 per barrel.



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As meme stock mania fizzles, Wall Street sees ‘big reckoning’, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Bailey Lipschultz

The day-trading Reddit crowd turned the first quarter of 2021 into one of the wildest periods of stock market mania in modern history. Books — plural — will undoubtedly be dedicated to the topic in years to come.

But after these small-time speculators banded together to drive up dozens of obscure stocks by hundreds or even thousands of percent — and in the process burned a few hedge-fund barons betting on declines — the movement appears to be petering out. An index that tracks 37 of the most popular meme stocks — 37 of the 50 that Robinhood Markets banned clients from trading during the height of the frenzy — is essentially unchanged over the past two months after soaring nearly 150% in January.

Talk to Wall Street veterans and they’ll tell you that this flat-lining is the beginning of what will be an inexorable move downward in these stocks.

It’s not so much about the poor fundamentals of the companies. At least not in the short term. The day-trading zealots have shown a surprising ability to ignore those facts. It’s more that as the pandemic slowly winds down and the economy starts to open up, many of them will leave their homes and start going back into offices and out to restaurants and embarking on trips near and far. And as they do, they may stop obsessing about their Robinhood accounts.

Their collective sway on the meme-stock universe, in other words, will wane.

As meme stock mania fizzles, Wall Street sees ‘big reckoning’“People are going to be doing other things,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. There will be a “big reckoning” at some point, he said. “There’s no question in my mind.”

Of course, the Wall Street set has, broadly speaking, misread the Reddit crowd for weeks earlier this quarter, and it’s possible their analysis is wrong again now. Preliminary data, though, suggests they’re right.

Recent reports suggest vaccinated Americans are planning long-awaited vacations with searches for “Google flights” reaching a peak popularity score of 100 this week, according to a Google Trends tracker. The opposite is being seen for terms like “stock trading” and “investing” which have plunged, Google Trends shows.

“The stimulus check impact on retail trading is waning,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Many Americans are looking to go big on attending sporting events, traveling across the country, vacationing, visiting family and friends, and revamping wardrobes before going out to restaurants, pubs and returning to the office.”

Gamestop Juggernaut
Video-game retailer GameStop Corp. became the poster child for retail traders looking to rage against the hedge fund elite. However, the stock’s 2,460% roller coaster alongside other favorites touted on Reddit’s WallStreetBets thread caused as much pain as it did joy.

The stock’s more than 900% surge this year has drawn a wary eye from the Wall Street analysts that follow it. The average 12-month price target implies the stock will lose more than three-quarters of its value from current levels. Only Jefferies holds a price target near Thursday’s $191.45 close and that call came with the warning that shares are “subject to volatility beyond fundamentals.”

As meme stock mania fizzles, Wall Street sees ‘big reckoning’But any sense of GameStop trading on fundamentals has been ignored since it first captivated Wall Street and Reddit users in the back half of January. Bulls are more than happy to tout their bets on forums as a move to stick it to short sellers as they buy into a company rebirth delivered by activist investor Ryan Cohen.

Given AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.’s position as a movie theater many Americans went to at some point, it’s not a complete surprise as to why Reddit users rushed to the company’s aide. #SaveAMC trended on Twitter and amateur investors appeared more than happy to fight against Wall Street’s skeptics despite most movie theaters being closed due to the ongoing pandemic.

The chain’s latest rally came amid plans to continue reopening cinemas, however, Wall Street is skeptical. None of the nine analysts tracking the company rate it a buy and the average price target implies the stock will lose 63% of its value in the coming year.

As meme stock mania fizzles, Wall Street sees ‘big reckoning’Retail euphoria leaked over to a broader range of securities from cult-favorites like Bitcoin, Tesla Inc., and the ARK Innovation ETF to smaller companies like the clothing retailer Express Inc. Chinese tech company The9 Limited is among the group’s best performers this year with an 860% surge.

The company’s rally has been fueled by recent moves to ride the Bitcoin wave alongside peers like Future FinTech Group Inc. and Ault Global Holdings Inc.

Zomedica Corp., a small-cap animal health company, has become a cult favorite among retail investors chasing stocks with low share prices. The Ann Arbor, Michigan-based company started the year worth less than a quarter, but had soared as high as $2.91.

Trading volume of the company has accelerated this year with an average of 174 million shares changing hands per session, more than four times the average over the course of 2020. A mention from Tiger King’s Carole Baskin helped it go viral in mid-January.



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After best-ever start to a year, $49 billion Asia IPO boom likely to taper off, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Julia Fioretti

As in the U.S., initial public offering activity out of Asia has had its strongest-ever start to a year. That frenzy for new shares is likely to taper off as demand falls back to earth in the next few months.

Asian companies, like their global peers, notched their best first quarter for listings ever, thanks to a flood of liquidity during the pandemic, super-low interest rates, and rallying stock markets. The firms raised $49.3 billion through first-time share sales at home and abroad — a 154% jump over the same period in 2020, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

IPOs globally raised an unprecedented $215 billion, with almost half of that haul coming from the record wave of issuance by special-purpose acquisition companies in the U.S.

Now, a global rotation out of highly-valued tech and health-care stocks that have dominated market activity, as well as fading excitement around SPACs in the U.S., is clouding the outlook for new deals.

“Inevitably, there is a mark to market of comparable valuations,” said William Smiley, co-head of equity capital markets at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan. “In terms of our pipeline, there hasn’t been any significant impact from the recent rotation, but opportunistic issuance may have decelerated.”

Asia’s IPO space faces an added challenge: the travails of Chinese tech firms, which dominate fundraising in the region. These companies are facing a crackdown against monopolistic practices at home and are also in focus as U.S.-China tensions keep rising. Last month, for instance, the U.S. moved forward with a law that could result in Chinese firms that don’t comply with U.S. auditing standards being kicked off American exchanges.

The red flags are already there, with the investor mania seen earlier this year for deals like the one by Chinese TikTok rival Kuaishou Technology starting to die down.

Chinese fintech company Bairong Inc., which raised $507 million, delivered the worst debut in three years among $500-million-plus Hong Kong IPOs when it fell 16% on Wednesday. U.S.-listed Chinese search giant Baidu Inc. and video-streaming service Bilibili Inc. raised a combined $5.7 billion through secondary listings in Hong Kong in March but had lackluster debuts.

In contrast, investors were seen scrambling for a piece of Kuaishou’s $6.2 billion Hong Kong IPO, the biggest listing globally so far this year, and Korean e-commerce giant Coupang Inc.’s $4.6 billion float.

Healthy Shakeout
That said, muted investor appetite for listings isn’t affecting the queue of hopefuls.

Online music company Tencent Music Entertainment Group, micro-blogging service Weibo Corp. and online travel service Trip.com Group Ltd. are among U.S.-traded Chinese companies seeking so-called “homecoming” listings in Hong Kong. These secondary listings, seen as a hedge against Sino-American tensions, raised $17 billion in Hong Kong last year and have amassed $6.4 billion so far in 2021.

“The secondary listing trend will continue but what should be interesting to see is whether new issuers who ultimately want to get to a dual listing, perhaps consider seeking a dual primary listing in Hong Kong and the U.S. from the start rather than doing a primary U.S. listing, waiting two years and then coming to Hong Kong for the secondary listing” said Francesco Lavatelli, head of equity capital markets for Asia Pacific at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Tech and health-care firms make up the bulk of the listing pipeline in Asia, say bankers, even without the “homecoming” cohort, many of whom opted for U.S. listings because of the American investor base’s greater familiarity with new economy stocks. Among them: health-care startup WeDoctor, which is planning a multi-billion dollar Hong Kong IPO and China’s Uber-like startup Full Truck Alliance, which is looking into a $1 billion U.S. listing.

“The pipeline remains quite robust but is centered around tech and growth stocks, which are obviously seeing a little bit of a re-rating,” said Tucker Highfield, co-head of equity capital markets for Asia Pacific at Bank of America Corp. “The thesis of good companies being able to buck the trend of volatility will continue and there’s capital available.”

Ultimately, less frothy markets and a cooling of the IPO investor mania may actually be welcome.

“Entering a more balanced market environment isn’t a bad thing. It can extend the issuance cycle and work to keep excesses in check,” Smiley said. “If there is going to be correction, you want it to be fast – a prolonged downturn kills issuance.”



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