Medium industries show a sharp 72% jump in credit growth in July, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With the easing of restrictions of movement and economy, credit offtake is also rising.

The credit growth in the last two months is being led by is led by MSMEs, agriculture and retail even as corporate lending stays tepid.

Lending to MSMEs, agriculture and retail picked up sharply in July this year over previous year’s levels, data on sectoral deployment of bank credit released by the Reserve Bank of India showed.

Credit to agriculture and allied activities expanded 12.4% in July 2021 as compared with 5.4% in last July. But credit to medium industries rose at a much faster pace – by 72% – in July 2021 as compared to a contraction of 1.8% a year ago.

Hinterland growth

Much of the growth has accordingly come from urban, semi-urban and rural areas. Weighted average lending rates on outstanding and fresh loans are down 91 basis points (bps) and 80 bps, respectively, since the pandemic-induced lockdown in March 2020.

Credit to micro and small industries rose 7.9% in July 2021 as compared to a contraction of 1.8% a year ago.

Retail loans, too, expanded at a faster pace of 11.2% in July 2021 as compared to 9% a year ago, primarily due to higher growth in ‘loans against gold jewellery’ and ‘vehicle loans’ growth of 1.4% a year ago.

Credit growth to the services sector slowed to 2.7% in July 2021 from 12.2% in

July 2020, mainly due to slowdown in bank lending to ‘NBFCs’, and ‘commercial real estate.

In June

Loans to agriculture and allied activities showed an accelerated growth of 11.4 per cent in June 2021 as compared to 2.4 per cent in June 2020.

Retail loans, covering housing and vehicles, among others, registered an accelerated growth of 11.9 per cent in June 2021 compared to 10.4 per cent a year ago.

The overall credit growth in the industrial segment fell by 0.3 per cent in June 2021 from growth of 2.2 per cent a year ago.

Credit to medium industries rose by 54.6 per cent in June 2021 compared to a contraction of nine per cent a year ago.

Credit growth to micro and small units rose to 6.4 per cent in June 2021 compared to a contraction of 2.9 per cent in June 2020.



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Balance transfers lead home loan growth of 26% in H1 as rates hit rock bottom, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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As the economic situation recovers from the pandemic lows last year and interest rates are at all-time low levels, demand for home loans in India rose 26 per cent during the first half of 2021, compared to the preceding six months.

However, there is a catch. About 42% rise in borrowers opting for balance transfers in the first half of the calendar 2021 as compared to the preceding six months of

July-December.

According to a Home Loans Consumer Study, the balance transfer requests have increased because of a dip in interest rates.

“The soaring demand has been triggered largely by the fact that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has kept the repo rate unchanged at a constant 4%, allowing many banks to offer interest rates of less than 7% for home loans. This has also been a key driver in augmenting the demand for home

buying,” the report said.

Low rates

Borrowers opt for a balance transfer when they feel that they can bring down their interest rates by switching to a new contract. An increase in the number of balance transfer requests also reflects a growing level of awareness. “Almost 50% of the borrowers opt for tenures less than 15 years. With factors like low interest rates, stable prices and attractive payment plans, we are hopeful that the pent-up demand would soon translate into sales,” said Magicbricks CEO Sudhir Pai.

In terms of the demand for balance transfers, New Delhi, Bengaluru, Mumbai, Pune and Hyderabad were the top five tier-1 cities. Among tier-2 cities, Ghaziabad, Noida, and Visakhapatnam were the top five.

Other loans grow too

In addition to growth in loans for new home purchases and balance transfers, loans against property has also seen a growth of 20% because of the low rates.

For loans against property, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Chennai, New Delhi and Pune saw the most demand across tier-1 cities, and Gurgaon, Jamshedpur, Patna, Faridabad and

Lucknow for tier-2 cities. Another finding from the report is Bank of Baroda, Indian Bank, SBI, HDFC and ICICI Bank are the most searched lenders on Magicbricks’ platform.



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Here is a beginner’s guide to ‘FIRE’

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‘Freedom to retire early’ — the biggest aspiration of the BL Portfolio Survey respondents — strikes a chord with the ‘FIRE’ or ‘Financial Independence, Retire Early’ movement in the US.

At its core, ‘FIRE’ is all about building a nest egg and hanging up your boots much before the traditional retirement age. We take a closer look at this trend.

What is it

The origin of FIRE is vaguely traced to the 1992 book ‘Your Money or Your Life’ by Vicki Robin and Joe Dominguez. The book encourages one to reassess one’s relationship with money, pointing out that ‘we are sacrificing our lives for money, but it is happening so slowly that we barely notice’. Salary/money is something that an individual earns for time spent. Having a clear understanding of relationship with money would ensure an optimum trade-off between time and money (implying, money earned which in turn gets spent or saved).

The FIRE movement, which started gaining traction soon after the global financial crisis of 2007, requires following a disciplined approach of saving aggressively and starting to invest from a young age in a prudential manner.

Proponents recommend even saving as high as 75 per cent of one’s income to retire very early. The objective is to reach a level of savings that will yield sufficient returns in the form of dividends, interest income or rental income with which one can meet living expenses comfortably. At this point, one has the freedom to choose whether one wants to work, or take up only gigs that give one happiness or are in sync with one’s passion.

Some withdrawal from the capital ie the principal amount can also be factored to meet living expenses. This, however, comes with risks in today’s world where average life span is getting extended, and one should not run the risk of falling short of financial resources at a later stage in life, when one might not be able to work.

Ideal corpus

Based on current living standards and investment return prospects in the US, those in the FIRE bandwagon there follow something known as the ‘4 per cent rule’. One’s total yearly living expenses is multiplied by 25; if it is possible to earn a 4 per cent annual yield on that from investments, then one can quit their job, according to their mantra. A yield below 4 per cent with rest withdrawn from principal also might be fine, according to some proponents, since some of the corpus might appreciate over time, but this comes with risks.

When it comes to planning for a similar objective for a FIRE aspirant in India, two important factors imply the multiple applied to yearly living expenses may need to be higher than 25 — high inflation and low yields.

India has historically had much higher inflation than the US, which means one’s savings erode faster over a period of time. India goes through periods of negative real interest rates (inflation higher than interest rate) like in the last year, denting the real income of retirees preferring safe investment options. Hence, a yield of higher than 4 per cent may be needed on savings.

Besides, rental yields and dividend yields in India are much lower than that in developed markets (Nifty 50 dividend yield at 1 per cent versus Dow Jones Index dividend yield at near 2 per cent). Hence, focussing entirely on capital appreciation and withdrawing from principal to make up for the lower yield presents a risky proposition, warranting a higher multiple to yearly expenses.

Hence, other factors such as frugal living and wise investing may be required to get this dream of early retirement closer to reality.

Takeaways

Finally, if you want to be on the FIRE bandwagon, here are three things that you can do, which also form the core of the FIRE movement:

One, spending only on what is essential — not indulging in excessive consumerism and thereby devaluing your own effort. It was your effort that earned you the money and spending that money without much thought devalues the effort. Tempering down on consumerism also comes with positive consequences for the environment which appears be a cause important to millennials.

Two, saving wisely — investing in a prudential and judicious manner that can grow your corpus optimally and also give you comfort, confidence, and peace of mind .

Three, valuing the time that you spend at work — when one realises that money is a by-product of how one spends his/her time, then one gets more conscious of making use of that time more productively. Following the first two principles would help you choose a job you may like. At the same time, when you realise that your savings and spends which will help you reach your goal is a function of your time at work, you will also begin utilising that time more effectively.

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Sanjiv Chadha, Bank of Baroda, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The CASA ratio moved up from 39% to nearly 40% over last 12 months. That is one abiding benefit for the bank, not only in terms of margins for this quarter but also going ahead, said Sanjiv Chadha, MD & CEO, Bank of Baroda. Edited excerpts:

Congratulations on a healthy quarter in a tough environment. What has led BoB back to profits with low slippages in the first quarter, as well as lower credit cost on a sequential basis?
There are two major aspects which I think have had CASA improve things. One is on the structural side where we have had very tight discipline both in terms of managing liability franchise and also on the asset side. So, on the liability side, when you have abundant liquidity, it is very impossible that you allow deposit growth to run too far ahead of loan growth which creates pressure on margins. We have tried to be disciplined, make sure that our deposits grow in line with our loan growth.

Because we were choosy there, we have been able to make sure that most of the growth has come from CASA deposits. So, the CASA ratio moved up within a year from 39% to nearly 40% over last 12 months. That is one abiding benefit for the bank, not only in terms of margins for this quarter but also going ahead. Similarly on the asset side, there is a lot of liquidity sloshing around, pressure on margins. We are trying to be disciplined there also.

While both slippages as well as credit cost has been lower sequentially, what is the kind of slippages as well as credit cost that you expect? Where do you see gross net NPAs settle at for the financial year close?
We had guided even before the second wave that we would expect slippages to be below 2% and credit cost to be between 1.5% to 2% and bearing towards the lower end of that scale. We believe that despite the second wave we should be able to deliver on the guidance.

Your overall exposure to NCLT accounts is a little over Rs 48,000 crore and the PCR is 94%. To what extent of this amount do you see resolution? What are the overall recoveries and upgrades you expect for the whole bank and from these NCLT accounts as well?
The NCLT accounts tend to be the very highly provided; upwards of 90%. In terms of you might say anticipating in which quarter would it happen is always very difficult and so we do look forward to the resolutions of NCLT accounts. We are making sure that in terms of our recovery efforts and in terms of our recovery budgeting, we are looking beyond the NCLT accounts also. It is very tough to say what will come in which quarter, but I would believe that there are some accounts which probably will happen within this year and they will contribute significantly to the recoveries.

What is your exposure funded and non-funded to Vodafone Idea, how much you have provided for and what is the provision you expected to make?
Our exposure is relatively small, so it is not something which could significantly impact the improvement in the corporate credit cycle we have knocked off.

Let us talk about return ratios and profits from a two-year perspective. What is the improvement that you can expect on those two fronts and how do you see yourself competing with the modern day players that are coming in and making waves in the space?
The question might have two segments, one in the terms of the improvement in the profitability. I think that is something which is likely to be sustained over the next two years simply because we have built strengths in terms of the business both on the asset and liability side. On the liability side in terms of a CASA ratio, which now pretty much compares with the best in the business. Or on the asset side in terms of retail growth, which again have been better than market. So, we are very positive in terms of the structural story.

As we discussed, the improvement in the corporate credit cycle is likely to sustain over the next two years despite the second wave. We have seen even in this quarter the impact on corporate has been very marginal, therefore we can be fairly confident that the improvement that we have seen should continue going ahead.

The structural improvements in the balance of the bank, the earning power that has accrued to the bank from new businesses, and also the cyclical story should again help us have sustainable improvement and get back to return ratios which are very respectable. Coming back to the second part, in terms of the challenge of fintechs, I think it is an opportunity for banks and it is a great opportunity for us to collaborate with fintechs to create new businesses. Even as we speak, we have a very significant digital initiative which is being rolled out where we are collaborating with a large number of fintechs.

We expect that a large part, particularly on the retail side, should be digitised over the next 12 to 18 months and all of this will happen in collaboration with fintechs who would be our partners. I do not see any competition with fintechs as a zero-sum gain which is at the cost of banks, I think it is a great opportunity for the banks to in fact become much more efficient.



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Indian bankers in talks as court rulings threaten over $6 billion in loans

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Informal talks are taking place to deal with the fall-out from two rulings by the Supreme Court that threaten the repayment of loans totalling nearly ₹500 billion ($6.73 billion) to some of India’s largest banks, bankers close to the matter say.

Any failure to recoup the money adds to stress in the banking sector, which is already dealing with an increased level of bad loans and reduced profits because of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Biyani-Ambani deal in trouble as Supreme Court rules in favour of Amazon

Last week, the Supreme Court effectively blocked Future Group’s $3.4-billion sale of retail assets to Reliance Industries, jeopardising nearly $2.69 billion the retail conglomerate owes to Indian banks.

That ruling was delivered days after the Supreme Court rejected a petition to allow telecom companies to approach the Department of Telecommunications to renegotiate outstanding dues in a long-running dispute with Indian telecom players.

Following SC ruling, NCLT to pause hearing on Future-Reliance deal

That raises concerns, bankers say, over whether Vodafone Idea will repay some ₹300 billion ($4.04 billion) it owes to Indian banks and billions of dollars more in long-term dues to the government.

Future of Future?

Two bankers, speaking on condition of anonymity, said negotiations were taking place to try to limit potentially severe consequences.

Loans to Future worth nearly ₹200 billion were restructured earlier this year, giving it more time to come up with repayments due over the next two years, but that was on the premise that Reliance would bail it out, the bankers said.

Future group did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Should Future be taken to a bankruptcy court, bankers say they are concerned they will have to take haircuts on the loans of more than 75 per cent.

“The immediate apprehension is that the restructuring deal will fall through for banks by December,” said a banker at a public sector bank that has lent money to Future.

Future’s leading financial creditors include India’s largest lender State Bank of India, along with smaller rivals Bank of Baroda and Bank of India.

Bank of India, the lead bank in the consortium lending to Future, did not immediately respond to an emailed request for comment.

Vodafone Idea

Banks have also started discussing Vodafone’s debt to lenders of nearly ₹300 billion. Top lenders to Vodafone include YES Bank, IDFC First Bank and IndusInd Bank, as well as other private and state-owned lenders.

Vodafone, YES Bank, IDFC First Bank and IndusInd did not immediately respond to a request seeking comment.

“Even though banks have the option of restructuring loans in case the company defaults, it will only make sense if there is clear cash flow visibility, which is not the case right now,” a senior banker at a public sector bank said on condition of anonymity.

Already, at the end of March, Indian banks had total non-performing assets of ₹8.34 trillion ($112.48 billion), the government has said. It has yet to provide more updated figures.

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CEO, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: The merger of Vijaya Bank has given Bank of Baroda a lead in retail lending, particularly loans against jewellery, which rose 35% to be one of the fastest-growing segments last year. Bank of Baroda has also recorded nearly Rs 1,000 crore of savings following the three-way merger and is in line to achieve savings of Rs 10,000 crore over five years.

Bank of Baroda MD & CEO Sanjiv Chadha told TOI the lender completed the integration of 2,898 branches of erstwhile Vijaya Bank and Dena Bank with itself in December last year. Since then the bank has got the benefits of economies of scale and branch rationalisation. “There were 1,300 branches that were closed where there was an overlap, expenses on account of rent and taxes have come down in absolute terms,” said Chadha. He added that the merger has also reduced the need for fresh hiring.

Another cost-saving has been in interest expenses. “The ratio of low-cost current and savings account (CASA) deposits of the merging banks was lesser than that of standalone Bank of Baroda. As a result of the merger, BoB’s CASA dropped from 40% to 36%. We have not only retrieved what we have lost but moved ahead with a CASA ratio of 43%,” said Chadha. While Vijaya Bank’s business has given Bank of Baroda a leg up in retail, Dena Bank has consolidated its position in Western India particularly Gujarat.



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Corporate lending by major PSBs declines

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In what could be a matter of concern in rekindling the Covid-hit economy, corporate lending by major public sector banks has been on the wane.

The Q1 data of banks show a significant decline of corporate advances compared to the year-ago period.

For instance, State Bank of India’s domestic corporate advances decreased 2.23 per cent at ₹7,90,494 crore in the quarter ended June 30, 2021, compared to ₹8,09,322 crore in the same quarter last year. However, in the first quarter of FY21, SBI reported 3.41 per cent growth in corporate advances.

According to SS Mallikarjuna Rao, Managing Director and CEO, Punjab National Bank: “Corporate growth was almost muted or negative” during the quarter. For PNB, corporate advances marginally decreased by 0.57 per cent at ₹3,264,66 crore in June 2021 compared to ₹3,28,350 crore in the year-ago period.

For Union Bank of India, the share of industry exposure in domestic advances fell to 38.12 per cent at ₹2,40,237 crore from 39.4 per cent at ₹2,47,986 crore in the year-ago period. The same is the case with Indian Bank which saw a 3 per cent dip in the corporate loans during the period under review.

According to a senior SBI official, the last one year saw the complete ‘impact’ of the pandemic on some key investment decisions of the industry.

“In fact, banks, including SBI, have been proactively supporting the industry wherever possible. Assuming that there will be no third wave, we can see greenshoots, going forward,” he added.

As per RBI data, up to May, the gross loans to large industries declined by 1.7 per cent on a year-on-year basis.

Demand low

There has also been lower demand from corporates in general as many adopt a wait-and-watch approach on investments, say bankers. Obviously, there has been a more rigorous due diligence on the part of the banks.

However, banks are optimistic about the future as far as corporate lending is concerned. Even though the corporate lending growth was muted in the first quarter, PNB is bullish. “We are looking at a good amount of growth, whereas corporate growth was almost muted or negative. But we are looking at a good amount of growth that will to be disbursed over a period of time,” said Mallikarjuna Rao in a recent earnings call.

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Bank of Maharashtra launches Retail Bonanza-Monsoon Dhamaka

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Bank of Maharashtra (BoM) has waived processing fees on its gold, housing and car loans till 30 September, 2021, under its ‘Retail Bonanza-Monsoon Dhamaka’ offer.

The Pune-heaquartered public sector bank said in a statement that it is offering home loans and car loans at interest rates starting from 6.90 per cent and 7.30 per cent respectively.

Retail loans have features such as two free Equated Monthly Installments on regular repayment of home loans, loan facility up to 90 per cent in the case of home and car loans, and no pre-payment / pre-closure / part payment charges, the statement added.

The bank also revamped its gold loan scheme, whereby customers can get loans up to ₹20 lakh at 7.10 per cent interest. Further, there is no processing fee for gold loans up to ₹1 lakh.

BoM said it has set up ‘Gold Loan Points’, dedicated counters in select branches, to facilitate gold loans within 15 minutes.

Hemant Tamta, Executive Director, Bank of Maharashtra, said customers will benefit from lower rates and waiver of processing fee under the Dhamaka offer this festive season.

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Canara Bank restructures loans worth Rs 13,000 crore, MSME, retail worst hit, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Public sector lender Canara Bank has restructured loans of over Rs 13,000 crore as MSME and retail loans took a beating due to the second Covid wave. Fresh slippages came at Rs 4,253 crore which fell sharply on a sequential basis, 19% of the slippages came from the retail segment and 56% came from MSMEs. The bank also restructured loans worth Rs 13,234 crore under the Covid 2.0 recast scheme, out of this Rs 7,610 crore worth of loans were recast from the retail sector while Rs 3,331 crore came from MSMEs. Special mention category loans or which are due beyond 0-90 days stood at Rs 23,985 crore.

“For the retail and MSMEs borrowers who we have assisted with the Covid recast scheme a part of them have started to pre-pay and we are hopeful that as business momentum recovers a large part of these accounts will normalise,” said L.V. Prabhakar, MD, Canara Bank. “As of June 30, our collection efficiency is 91%, which means instalments are coming. There was stress which was duly addressed by giving them recast benefit.”

Profits nearly tripled to Rs 1,177 crore at the end of the June quarter as fee income and treasury gains grew sharply. The lender had reported profits of Rs 406 crore in the corresponding period last year. Though it’s net interest income was flat at Rs 6,147 crore from Rs 6,096 crore in Q1FY21.

Non-Interest Income which includes fees and treasury gains was up by 67.47% to Rs 4,438 crore in the June quarter versus Rs 2,650 crore a year ago.

The bank reported improvement in asset quality metrics. It’s GNPA ratio came at 8.50% for the quarter under review from 8.84% a year ago. Net NPA ratio was at 3.46%.

Total provisions rose nearly 18% to Rs 4574 crore at the end of the June quarter versus Rs 3880 crore a year ago. This included a one time income tax provision of Rs 845 crores. The bank also holds Covid related provisions of Rs 842 crore.

It’s total loans grew by 5.94% to Rs 6.6 lakh crore, out of which retail loans grew at 9.57% while agriculture loans rose 17.03%. The bank said it is targeting an annual credit growth rate of 7-8%.

Net Interest Margin for the reporting quarter fell to 2.71 per cent for Q1FY22 as against 2.84 per cent for Q1FY21.

The bank’s asset quality profile improved with gross non-performing assets down to 8.5 per cent in June 2021 from 8.84 percent during Q1FY21. The net NPA also dipped to 3.46 per cent during the quarter from 3.95 per cent in June 2020.



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Anarock, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: Banks and other financial institutions have an exposure of $100 billion to real estate sector, of which 67 per cent are safe while the remaining loans are under pressure or severely stressed, according to real estate consultant Anarock.

“At least 67 per cent (or approximately $67 billion) of the total loan advances ($100 billion) to Indian real estate by banks, NBFCs and HFCs is currently completely stress-free,” Anarock Capital, a subsidiary of Anarock, said in a statement on Monday.

Another 15 per cent (about $15 billion) is under some pressure but has scope for resolution with certainty on at least the principal amount.

“$18 billion (or 18 per cent) of the overall lending to Indian real estate is under ‘severe’ stress, implying that there has been high leveraging by the concerned developers who have either limited or extremely poor visibility of debt servicing due to multiple factors,” the statement said.

Anarock Capital said the overall contribution of non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies (HFCs), including trusteeships, towards the total lending to Indian real estate is at 63 per cent.

Individually, banks have a share of 37 per cent, followed by HFCs at around 34 per cent, and NBFCs 16 per cent.

Around 13 per cent loans have been given under trusteeships.

According to Anarock Capital, banks and HFCs are much better placed with 75 per cent and 66 per cent of their lending book in a comfortable position.

“Not surprisingly, nearly 46 per cent of the total NBFC lending is on the watchlist,” the statement said.

About 75 per cent of the total lending to Grade A developers is safe.

“This presents a comfortable outlook because out of the total loans given to real estate, more than USD 73 billion is given to Grade A builders,” the statement said.



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