Moratorium likely to raise banks’ losses from unsecured loans, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With deteriorating financial conditions of borrowers, the performance of unsecured assets classes, including microfinance loans and unsecured business loans, is worsening.

“The performance of unsecured asset classes, such as microfinance loans, unsecured business loans and consumer loans, is worsening, given the borrower’s depleted financial cushions and the nature of these loans,” according to a report by India Ratings and Research.

The Reserve Bank of India‘s moratorium on repayment of loans has delayed the stress in these segments where delinquencies have not yet stabilised and higher loan losses are expected to materialise in FY22, it said.

Secured asset classes

For secured asset classes, the agency said, it has a stable performance outlook given the recovery in the economy in FY22.

The agency noted that vehicle loans — including loans for commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles and two-wheelers — have a stable asset performance outlook, given the pickup in economic activities witnessed in the second half of FY21.

“Secured business loans (principally loans against property) also has a stable asset performance outlook, due to the borrower’s higher propensity to repay,” the report said.

Digitisation

As per the report, digitisation initiatives are also expected to help with better portfolio monitoring and in reducing soft delinquencies. “The focus has shifted to building quality secured loan portfolios, upping process efficiency and automating customer follow-ups”.

It noted that recovery momentum and continued policy support in FY22 will be key for loan performance.

Indian securitisation transactions predominantly involve asset classes where the borrowers are either small and micro enterprises/ businesses, or belonging to low and middle-income households, it said.

Varied behaviour

Small business loans are expected to witness differentiated performances depending on the loan type, it said.

The report also said the severity of the impact of the pandemic on their income as well as the impact of the moratorium and fiscal measures on their credit behaviour is varied.

“Thus, the effectiveness and inclusiveness of government support schemes to improve the financial position of the end-borrowers is crucial and is a key monitorable,” it said.



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BoB reduces repo-linked rates by 10 bps to 6.75%, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: State-run Bank of Baroda announced a 10 basis points reduction in its repo-linked lending rate from 6.85 per cent to 6.75 per cent, effective from Monday. With this revision in Baroda Repo Linked Lending Rate (BRLLR), the lender is offering home loans at a rate starting from 6.75 per cent and car loans beginning from 7 per cent.

Mortgage loan rates will start at 7.95 per cent and education loans at 6.75 per cent, the bank said in a statement.

“This reduction in BRLLR makes our loans more affordable for customers. We hope that our efforts towards the digital processes help customers avail quick and smooth loans at the most competitive interest rates,” the bank’s General Manager (mortgages and other retail assets) Harshadkumar Solanki said. HV MR

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Goel quits Trifecta Capital as partner

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Aakash Goel, one of the partners of Trifecta Capital, which provides loans to start-ups, has decided to move on even as the company is preparing for the next growth cycle.

Goel, who has been a partner with Trifecta for last three years, communicated his decision to leave to Rahul Khanna and Nilesh Kothari, co-founders of the firm, said sources close to the development.

Also read: Trifecta Capital closes second venture debt fund, invests ₹900 crore

Prior to Trifecta, Goel was a principal with Bessemer Venture Partners, which had investments in online grocer BigBasket, PharmEasy and home services firm UrbanCompany.

Incidentally, Trifecta has also provided debt to all three firms and others such as car-selling portal Cars24, content start-up ShareChat, home furnishing firm Livspace and news aggregator Dailyhunt.

Trifecta recently raised ₹1,025 crore as its second venture debt fund. It also has plans to raise another ₹1,200-1,500 crore by the end of the year.

Last October, the company inducted Lavanya Ashok, former Managing Director (Private Equity) of Goldman Sachs as partner, to widen its scope and start pursuing equity transactions selectively, sources said.

Trifecta was started by Khanna and Kothari in 2015 and raised ₹500 crore in its first round of funding.

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Ten reasons why banks are reluctant to lend to big corporate houses, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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A few years back, big corporates were the cynosure of the banking sector and were given red carpet treatment while the small borrowers had to fret it out.

However, the ballooning of bad loans by big corporates and the opening up of other lending avenues have turned tables on India Inc.

Credit to industry contracted by 1.3 per cent in January 2021 as compared to 2.5 per cent growth in January 2020 mainly due to contraction in credit to large industries by 2.5 per cent (2.8 per cent growth in January 2020). The outstanding bank credit to large industries declined by Rs 59,610 crore on a year-on-year basis to Rs 22.78 lakh crore as on January 29, 2021, according to the latest RBI data.

So what makes banks shun large corporates?

1. The binding constraint for lending has not been liquidity or interest rates, but risk aversion by bankers, who have been burnt in episodes like DHFL, HDIL, where thousands of crores went kaput.

2. Indian banks are already saddled with one of the world’s worst bad-loan ratios, and are naturally reluctant to add to those risks.

3. Economic activity is still in the doldrums, though it is showing signs of improvement of late, which makes risk assessment difficult.

4. Fresh slippages in the December quarter have risen sequentially, with the top ten lenders by the size of their loan book, adding close to Rs 80,000 crore in slippages during the December quarter.

5. Banks have other avenues to lend. Disbursements under the emergency credit line guarantee scheme was at Rs 1.6 lakh crore, and banks deployed around at Rs 1.4 lakh crore through the targeted long-term repo operation and partial credit guarantee scheme, which served as credit substitutes. These credit is guaranteed by the government and less risky.

6. Fear of prosecution of bank officials if the credit decision goes wrong has also kept banks away from lending huge amounts to corporates.

7. Long gestation periods, the uncertainty of returns and cost overruns that saw fortunes of many top corporate houses dwindle is also keeping banks away.

8. Having burnt their fingers by lending astronomical amounts to large business groups, lenders such as YES Bank intend to stay away from large corporate businesses and rebuild loan book in the mid- and small-corporate segment.

9. Also, there are not enough opportunities as the corporate sector, which account for 49% of the overall bank credit, has put their capital expenditure plans on the back burner.

10. Success of the likes of HDFC Bank in building retail loans has drawn other banks to it. Retail loans are typically secured and risk is evenly spread.



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Indian Bank inks MoU with IISc arm for funding start-ups, MSMEs

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Indian Bank has entered into an MoU with Society for Innovation and Development (SID), an initiative of Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, for extending exclusive credit facility to start-ups and MSMEs.

SID is the forerunner in setting up joint R&D with industries and supporting start-up incubation and it provides support to the MSME sector by providing joint research and development arrangements, technical and financial support for incubation, acceleration of high-end technology products under its department named “TIME2.” (Technology Innovation for Midsized Enterprises).

Under the MoU, SID will identify the start-ups and MSMEs based on their credentials and past experience and will refer to the list of such members who require financial assistance to the Bank.

The initiative is a part of the bank’s scheme “Ind Spring Board for financing Start-ups” and will empower start-ups and MSMEs to realise their research efforts powered by financial support from the bank and backed by incubation facilities offered by SID.

The bank will extend loans of up to ₹50 crore to these start-ups for their working capital requirements or for purchase of machinery, equipment, etc. This initiative, which is mutually beneficial for the bank and IISc, will be the springboard for start-ups to realise their ambitions.

Indian Bank had also recently launched “MSME Prerana” programme to empower MSME entrepreneurs through skill development and capacity building workshops in local languages.

The MoU was signed by Sudhakar Rao (GM, MSME, Indian Bank) and Prof B Gurumoorthy, Chief Executive, SID. Representatives of Indian Bank. Rohit Rishi (FGM, Bengaluru), and P Lakshmi Narayana (ZM, Bengaluru) along with representatives of SID, Yatishwar Dravid (Head of TIME2) and Prathap Murthy (Manager, TIME2) was also present.

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NPAs to be nebulous owing forbearance dispensations, restructuring schemes: CARE

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Non-performing assets (NPAs) of Banks this year would tend to be a bit nebulous due to the various forbearance dispensations that have been given besides the restructuring schemes that have been introduced, according to CARE Ratings.

Banks, however, have been more proactive in terms of being cognizant of the regulatory environment and the fact that there could be an increase in quantum of NPAs once normalcy returns.

“This would affect not just corporate loans but also those pertaining to the SME (small and medium enterprise) segment and retail borrowers,” the credit rating agency said in a note.

Referring to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Gross NPA projection in its latest Financial Stability Report, CARE said even the baseline scenario, which also considers the withdrawal of the regulatory dispensation, is quite high. These stress scenarios will get reflected in a sharp increase in the slippage ratio, it added.

As per the latest (January 2021) FSR, GNPA ratio of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) could rise to 13.5 per cent by September 2021 from 7.5 per cent in September 2020 under the baseline scenario.

Cumulative provisions

Cumulative provisions made by Banks for the year (which includes for NPAs among others) was around Rs 1.78 lakh crore in these three quarters.

Per CARE’s assessment, the picture so far this year has been positive with a tendency for gross NPAs to move down both in terms of amount as well as ratio of outstanding credit.

“There was a contrarian movement in June after which there has been a decline. The decline in NPAs indicates negative slippage ratio — incremental NPAs to outstanding credit at the start of quarter,” the agency said.

GNPAs of 30 Banks rose from 7.94 per cent of gross advances as at March-end 2020 to 8.20 per cent as at June-end 2020. However, GNPAs declined to 7.72 per cent as at September-end 2020 and 7.01 per cent as at December-end 2020.

Referring to RBI’s Report, the agency said it had indicated that as of September 2020, the gross NPA ratio was above 20 per cent for gems and jewellery and construction sectors and above 15 per cent for mining and engineering. For industry it was 12.4 per cent.

“Retail had a ratio of 1.7 per cent which can be an area of concern going ahead. Further, large borrowers had a gross NPA ratio of 11.3 per cent,” it added.

Distribution of GNPAs

As per CARE’s analysis of the third quarter results of 30 Banks, only HDFC Bank had GNPA of less than 1 per cent. Eleven Banks had GNPA in the 1-4 per cent range and 7 banks had GNPAs in the 5-10 per cent range.

Five Banks had GNPAs in the 10-15 per cent range and 2 Banks had GNPAs in the 15-20 per cent range. Only one Bank had GNPA above 20 per cent.

The positive development is that all of them witnessed a decline in the gross NPA ratio during this period, the agency said.

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Plan bad bank to whittle down and not transfer bad loans, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bad loans which were 7.5% in September 2020 threatens to exceed 13% by September 2021 due to large scale disruption caused by COVID-19. The gravity of the situation is expected to unfold and surface once the suspension of IBC is lifted and later when loans liberally restructured or advanced to pandemic stuck companies become due for repayment .

Evidently, status -quo is not sustainable any more. The recent measures for infusion of capital in Punjab and Sindh Bank through questionable means i.e. issuance of government bonds to the bank – interest free and on -hold to maturity basis without actual cash flow and against accounting norms -is a pointer towards emerging grim situation.

Many countries world wide including US, UK, Germany have in the past successfully set up bad banks particularly post the financial crisis of 2008 ,to hold and manage bad loans till the underlying assets are restored to health and / or disposed off or liquidated .Notable amongst these is City Holdings which successfully managed bad assets worth $800 billion hived off from City Bank .The objective of the bad bank is undoubtedly laudable and experience world wide reassuring . It however needs to be subjected to the test of realism in the Indian context.

Managing bad loans is a different ball game then lending. However, without recovery of loans, the lending has no meaning. Lending activity has to be seen as a value chain in continuum till outstanding loan is recovered and if found necessary, through take over and realisation of underlying assets or businesses. The banks therefore need to create requisite capacity to manage bad loans by themselves . A bad bank in the normal course would therefore be a moral hazard incentivising banks to continue with their indiscreet lending practices.

The Indian Bankers Association justified a bad bank amongst others for the reason of lingering fear of enquiries and investigations in the minds of bank officials for the commercial decIsions taken for restoration of viability or disposal of bad loans. This argument is preposterous as the bad bank sponsored by the government, Asset Management Company (AMC) and Alternative Investment Fund (AIF) setup as a public private partnership may not either be able to escape external scrutiny for public accountability. The banks should be made to assume rather than abdicate their responsibility for managing bad loans.

As a sound management practice, banks should set up a Strategic Business Unit (SBU) as part of its core functions, designed to segregate bad loans and ring fence resultant risks on the balance sheet to focus on management of loans at SMA 2 or NPA stage. The SBU should for the purpose have commensurate autonomy, organisation structure, system and processes. Through SBU set up in 2003 as a part of Internal restructuring Dresdner Bank AG ,Germany ,was able to successfully resolve €35 billion portfolio. In case of banks with high level of NPAs ,the government can consider giving on- balance guarantee to protect the bank from loss on bad portfolios.

Pandemic has however created extraordinary situation with crippling effect on the economy in general and on solvency and liquidity of industry – across the board, in particular. It is akin to a force majeure event – not caused by actions of banks or the borrowers. The banks in order to ensure their continuing viability of operations and ability to meet financing needs of the trade and industry post pandemic need to be freed of burden of NPAs through on balance sheet or off balance sheet structures with the government support.

The Bad bank should better be set up as spin-off i.e. disposing bad loans into a legally separated entity and not as a special purpose vehicle used to off -load bad loans. On balance sheet structures though desirable may not be as efficacious given the urgency to tame and deal with the NPAs caused by the pandemic.

Further it would be advisable that government instead of setting up one monolithic bad bank , should set separate bad bank for infrastructure loans and for other loans. This would enable focused approach considering economic significance and specialised skill set required in nurturing, disposal or liquidation of underlying assets. Different bad banks can then be weaved in to a holding company structure for better governance and uniform approach, in managing bad loans. Transfer of bad loans should be at fair value for reflecting true financial health, and not at book value as mooted in some quarters. It would be imprudent to Tweak or overrule, through legal or regulatory diktat, internationally accepted accounting norms in this regard.

The government instead of setting up one monolithic bad bank , should set separate bad bank for infrastructure loans and for other loans .This would enable focused approach considering economic significance and specialised skill set required in nurturing, disposal or liquidation of underlying assets. Different bad banks can then be weaved in to a holding company structure for better governance and uniform approach.

The bad bank may offer a viable alternative structure as an extraordinary and onetime measure .It should however be confined to bad loans caused by pandemic the principle followed for granting moratorium for repayment of loans or suspension of IBC post pandemic.

Care should also be taken that the bad bank does not become a mere instrument of transfer of bad loan from one balance sheet to another. Learning from international experience the bad bank need to be fully autonomous, professionally managed and have systems and processes which facilitate initiatives and outcome oriented actions in a fair and transparent manner. This is a tall requirement in Indian context .However if not addressed before launch, the bad bank may remain bad causing irreparable distress in future.

Dr. Ashok Haldia, Fmr MD & CEO, PFS


The blog has been authored by Dr. Ashok Haldia, Former MD & CEO, PFS.

DISCLAIMER: The views expressed are solely of the author and ETBFSI.com does not necessarily subscribe to it. ETBFSI.com shall not be responsible for any damage caused to any person/organisation directly or indirectly.



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Fourth consecutive quarter of net profit brings IDBI closer to PCA exit, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) controlled IDBI Bank expects to come out of Reserve Bank of India‘s (RBI) stringent prompt corrective action (PCA) directions at the end of this fiscal year after meeting the central bank’s last remaining parameter, CEO Rakesh Sharma said.

RBI’s PCA framework imposed on banks wih high NPAs and modest capital position, restricts banks from certain lending activities and curbs expenses to conserve funds.

IDBI has been under PCA since May 2017. The bank reported its fourth consecutive quarter of net profit in December 2020 after 13 straight quarters of losses. Sharma expressed confidence that the bank will move out of RBI’s restrictive directions after it records a positve return on assets in the end of the current fiscal.

“We are above all indicators put forth by RBI and next quarter we expect to record a positive return on assets for the fiscal year which will help us exit PCA very soon. Against a requirement of 8% core equity capital we are currently at 12.2% and against a requirement of 6% net NPA we are at 2.74% including loans which are yet to be classified as NPAs. The RoA is reported at the end of the fiscal and we are confident that we will move out of PCA after we record a positive number in March,” Sharma said.

Results released today showed that the bank reported its fourth consecutive quarter of net profit riding on higher net interest income (NII) mainly as cost of funds fell. The bank reported a net profit of Rs 378 crore in the quarter ended December 2020 from a loss of Rs 5,763 crore a year earlier.

NII or the difference between income earned on loans and that paid on deposits increased 18% to Rs 1810 crore from Rs1,532 crore a year earlier. Net interest margin (NIM) or the difference between the yield earned on loans and that paid on deposits improved by 60 basis points to 2.87% from 2.27% a year ago. One basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

With 23.52% gross NPAs, the bank has among the highest stressed loans in the industry though down from 28.72% a year ago. However with a provision coverage of 97.08% it has covered for most of its stress.

“There was some apprehension that the loans under moratorium will be high post Covid with about 5 to 6% restructured but we have been able to keep it at 2.5% of our book. Similarly, loans that are not classified as NPAs due to the Supreme Court (SC) order are less than 2% of standard advances,” Sharma said.

If not for the SC order the bank’s gross NPAs would have been 24.33% of its loans.

The bank’s income rose despite a 7% year on year fall in loan book to Rs 1.59 lakh crore from Rs 1.72 lakh crore a year ago mainly because cost of funds fell 99 basis points to 4.39% from 5.38% last year.

IDBI has made a total of Rs 436 crore of Covid 19 related provisions and separately made Rs 340 crore for restructure loans under the RBI framework. Another Rs 369 crore has been made for accounts not classified as NPAs due to the SC stay including Rs 84 crore for reversal of interest.

“We have already restructured Rs 704 crore of loans and another Rs 2256 crore is in the pipeline. So the total restructured loans are at Rs 2960 crore or 2.42% of standard assets much lower than the 5% to 6% which was expected,” Sharma said.

Going forward the bank expects a recovery in retail loans led by mortgages. Sharma said he expects retail loans to grow at 10% to 12% in the next fiscal year up from the 4% to 5% growth likely this year.



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China-backed AIIB to support Covid vaccine rollout

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The Beijing-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) will follow other development banks in helping to finance the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, its president said on Wednesday, while its total lending in 2021 will be similar to last year’s.

“The World Bank and ADB (Asian Development Bank) have allocated resources to finance (purchases of) the vaccine, which is in my view very, very important, and we will certainly do the same,” said Jin Liqun, speaking at a news conference in Beijing, without detailing plans.

Covid-19: Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank to offer loan of $500 million to aid efforts

The World Bank, in October, approved $12 billion to help developing countries buy and distribute Covid-19 vaccines, tests, and treatments. The Asian Development Bank launched a $9-billion vaccine facility in December.

Jin said he expects the bank’s total loans this year to be on a similar scale to last year, when it set up a $13-billion funding facility to help public and private sectors fight the pandemic.

Jin Liqun re-elected AIIB President

“This year the scale of our lending will perhaps be around the same as that of 2020,” he said. The AIIB approved 45 loans worth a total of $9.96 billion that year, according to Reuters calculations.

Social infrastructure

The epidemic has shown the importance of so-called “social infrastructure,” particularly in health, and this will continue to be a part of AIIB’s investments, said Jin, who did not give details on how much funding would be devoted to such projects in the future.

The pandemic also forced the bank — whose staff of a few hundred is still tiny compared to that of other development banks — to slow recruitment.

“Once Covid-19 is brought under control we will resume recruitment to enhance our in-house capacity,” said Jin.

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Private banks in Karnataka lead in NPAs

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The non-performing assets (NPAs) of all banks, in Karnataka,from 28 lakh accounts was ₹57,070.02 crore as on September 30, 2020.

“Among the sectors with high NPAs was agriculture at ₹17,772.87 crore (from 12.20 lakh accounts), other priority sector advances was ₹11,470.07 crore (4.20 lakh accounts) and non-priority sector advances was ₹17,096.27 crore (7.73 lakh accounts),” a senior official at Karnataka State Level Bankers’ Committee (SLBC) said.

Among the private banks, NPAs in Lakshmi Vilas Bank was ₹2,979.10 crore from 15,190 accounts, while those from Yes Bank was₹4,675.23 crore from 946 accounts.

Among the lead banks category, Canara Bank’s total NPAs stood at ₹12,531.66 crore (with 3.41 lakh accounts), State Bank of India at ₹11,663.58 crore (7.37 lakh accounts). Punjab National Bank with ₹4,121.52 crore (12,735 accounts) and Bank of India ₹1,069.85 crore (19,477 accounts).

“SLBC has requested the Karnataka government to provide guidance and assistance for the recovery of bad loans,” the official said.

On the recovery front, banks in the State have recovered ₹460.87 crore so far under Sarfaesi, DRT and Lok Adalats Acts. The recoveries under Sarfaesi were ₹114.25 crore, Debts Recovery Tribunals (DRT) at ₹335.19 crore and Lok Adalat at ₹11.43 crore.

Poor loan disbursal

On September quarter, the banks have disbursed education loans of ₹650 crore, covering 30,102 students, as against the annual financial target of ₹7,725 crore under both priority and non-priority segments.

According to the official, “The performance of banks in lending under education loans, as the percentage of achievement v/s target, was 8.41 per cent. This poor loan disbursal was mainly due to the education sector getting affected due to the Covid-19 pandemic.”

“During the SLBC meet in December 2020, member banks were told to sanction more education loans to eligible students to achieve the target,” he added.

Due to record rains and flooding in the State, banks were asked to restructure loans in natural calamity-affected districts. After the revenue department submitted crop-wise loss data for September quarter, about 230 accounts amounting to ₹5.15 crore were re-structured.

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