Interest waiver: PSU banks may have to take Rs 2,000 crore-hit

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Public sector banks may have to bear a burden of Rs 1,800-2,000 crore arising due to a recent Supreme Court judgement on the waiver of compound interest on all loan accounts which opted for moratorium during March-August 2020, sources said.

The judgement covers loans above Rs 2 crore as loans below this got blanket interest on interest waiver in November last year. Compound interest support scheme for loan moratorium cost the government Rs 5,500 crore during 2020-21 and the scheme covered all borrowers including the prompt one who did not avail moratorium.

According to banking sources, initially 60 per cent of borrowers availed moratorium and gradually the percentage came down to 40 per cent and even less as collection improved with ease in lockdown. In case of corporate, this was as low as 25 per cent as far as public sector banks were concerned.

They further said, banks would provide compound interest waiver for the period a borrower had availed moratorium. For example, if a borrower availed moratorium of three months, the waiver would be for that period.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 27 last year announced a loan moratorium on payment of instalments of term loans falling due between March 1 and May 31, 2020, due to the pandemic, later the same was extended to August 31.

The apex court order this time is only limited to those who availed moratorium so the liability of the public sector bank should be less than Rs 2,000 crore as per rough calculations, sources added.

Besides, they said, the order does not specify a timeframe for the settlement of compound interest unlike last time so banks can devise a mechanism of adjusting or settling it in staggered manner.

Meanwhile, Indian Banks’ Association (IBA) has written to the government to compensate lenders for interest on interest waiver.

The government would take a call depending on various considerations.

The Supreme Court last month directed that no compound or penal interest shall be charged from borrowers for the six-month loan moratorium period, which was announced last year amid the Covid-19 pandemic, and the amount already charged shall be refunded, credited or adjusted.

The apex court refused to interfere with the Centre and RBI’s decision to not extend the loan moratorium beyond August 31 last year, saying it is a policy decision.

Rejecting pleas for a complete waiver on interest the court opined that such a move would have consequences on the economy. The bench also said that interest waiver would affect depositors. Along with this, the court also rejected pleas for further relief in the matter.

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No interest on interest lockdown loan moratorium, rules SC; refuses to extend relief

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RBI had announced a loan moratorium on March 27 last year.
(Image: REUTERS)

The Supreme Court of India today ruled in favour of waiving compound interest, ie, interest on interest during the six-month moratorium announced by the Reserve Bank of India last year. The apex court said that banks will not charge compound interest or penal interest on any amount during the moratorium period for all borrowers, PTI reported. Along with this, the court has also rejected pleas by various trade associations to extend the loan moratorium that ended in August last year. Banking stocks on Dalal Street surged higher after the Supreme Court’s ruling and Bank Nifty jumped 1.4%.

The Supreme Court further directed banks to credit or adjust the amount already charged by them from borrowers. The court added that it cannot do a judicial review of the Centre’s financial policy decision unless it is malafide, arbitrary. The judgment was delivered by a Bench of Justices comprising Justice Ashok Bhushan, R Subhash Reddy and MR Shah. The bench had reserved the judgement on December 17.

Rejecting pleas for a complete waiver on interest the court opined that such a move would have consequences on the economy. The bench also said that interest waiver would affect depositors. Along with this, the court also rejected pleas for further relief in the matter.

“The Supreme Court judgment is very welcome,” said Mahesh Misra, CEO, IMGC (India Mortgage Guarantee Corporation). “Any other outcome would have created a potential moral hazard and also penalized conscientious borrowers. This creates the right precedent as well,” he added.

The decision to not waive off interest entirely is also being seen as a positive. “The apex court has also taken a very prudent view by not granting a complete waiver of interest which would have severely impacted the banking system,” said Siddharth Srivastava, Partner, Khaitan & Co. He added that interest on interest would have diluted the relief granted by the RBI.

Earlier the central government had told the apex court that waiving interest on all the loans and advances to all categories of borrowers for the moratorium period during the pandemic would result in Rs 6 lakh crore in foregone amount. The court was informed that waiving the amount would wipe out a substantial part of the net worth of banks.

The RBI had on March 27 last year announced a loan moratorium on payment of instalments of term loans falling due between March 1 and May 31, 2020, due to the pandemic, later the same was extended to August 31.

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Banks’ sigh relief as Supreme Court decides waiver of complete interest not possible, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The Supreme Court of India in the extension of loan moratorium case has provided its verdict and the uncertainty over the actual stressed assets in the banking system will become more clear.

The Supreme Court noted that the scope of judicial review on economic policy decisions and policy decisions with affect on economy has to be considered. The apex court also noted that if only some sectors are not satisfied, court cannot intervene in such matters of policy.

Considering the reliefs independently the court decided that the complete interest is not possible as banks also have to pay interest to account holders and pensioners.

The court also noted that the it cannot be said the centre has not taken steps in the aftermath of Covid-19 pandemic and therefore petitioners will not be eligible for waiver of interest on interest, or demand extension of moratorium or sector specific reliefs.

On the waiver of interest on interest for loans upto Rs 2 crore, the apex court believes there’s no justification on the same.

The court also said that there shall be no interest on interest or compensation interest during the moratorium period irrespective of loan amount the same amount collected shall be refunded. If refund doesn’t seems possible the interest on interest collection can be adjusted in the next installment payable.

(The copy will be updated once the final judgement is out)



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NPA risks easing for largest PSU banks but shortage of funds could hit credit growth

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State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Punjab National Bank, Canara Bank, and Union Bank of India, have all reported an improvement in their asset quality in the first nine months of the current fiscal year.

Risk of a sharp deterioration in the asset quality of five of the largest PSU banks now seems to be abating with the economic recovery picking up pace, said Moody’s Investors Service in a recent note. However, despite this, the rating agency cautioned that such public sector lenders are likely to remain starved of sufficient capital to absorb unexpected shocks and support credit growth. Banks were expected to see a sharp rise in NPAs last year when the pandemic slowed the Indian economy down but despite the economic slump, the asset quality of banks has seen mild improvement.

Risks reducing for banks

State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Punjab National Bank, Canara Bank, and Union Bank of India, have all reported an improvement in their asset quality in the first nine months of the current fiscal year. “The gross NPL ratios of the five banks declined by an average of around 100 basis point as of the end of 2020 from a year earlier,” Moody’s said. The estimates even account for loans that have not yet been declared NPAs owing to the Supreme Court order. Lenders are also drawing comfort from the provisions made by them against the expected jump in NPAs.

During the pandemic, various measures were undertaken to support borrowers. This, according to Moody’s has largely helped limited impact of the pandemic on the banks’ asset quality. These measures included loan repayment moratorium, loan restructuring, monetary easing, liquidity infusion, Capital infusion into public sector banks, lowering LCR, among others. “As of the end of December 2020, the five banks restructured 0.7%-2.6% of gross loans, less than our expectations, as the impact of the pandemic on borrowers was not as severe as we had anticipated,” the report said.

Dearth of capital to result in uneven recovery

Despite the green shoots, capital shortage remains a risk. “The banks will continue to face shortages of capital to both absorb any unexpected stress and support credit growth, with high credit costs continuing to suppress profitability,” they added. This shortage in the capital could result in an uneven recovery for the Indian economy with various vulnerable industries facing a setback. The banks’ asset quality can also deteriorate more than anticipated, with exposures to the MSMEs, in particular, posing risks, Moody’s said.

The government planned to infuse Rs 20,000 crore into public sector banks this fiscal year and another Rs 20,000 in the next financial year. While the capital infusions will help the banks meet Basel capital requirements, it will not boost credit growth, according to the report. This would result in some banks turning to the market. Canara Bank and PNB have already raised some capital from equity markets.

On the other hand, in an earlier note, Moody’s said that private sector banks have raised sufficient capital buffers to tide through any hiccups going forward. Asset quality of private lenders remains supported by the same measures that have aided their public sector peers.

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Credit growth lags as banks chase recoveries, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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In the quarter-ended September 2020, the GNPA ratio of scheduled commercial banks improved to 7.7% against 9.3% in the year-ago period. India’s banking sector did see a decrease in its gross non-performing assets (GNPA) owing to the moratorium offered by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and due to recoveries and higher write-offs by the multiple banks.

State Bank of India has recoveries worth of Rs 4,038 crore and written off loans to the tune of Rs 5,617 crore. Likewise, ICICI Bank has recovered Rs 1,945 crore, written-off Rs2,469 crore.

Bank Recoveries
SBI Rs 4,038 cr
Bank of India Rs 1,172 cr
Bank of Baroda Rs 1,642 cr
ICICI Bank Rs 1,945 cr
Yes Bank Rs 1,000 cr
Bank Write-off
SBI Rs 5,617 cr
PNB Rs 4,555 cr
BoB Rs 2,553 cr
ICICI Bank Rs 2,469 cr
Axis Bank Rs 1,812 cr

On an overall basis public sector banks accounting for 75% share of GNPAs of SCBs (scheduled commercial banks) experienced a drop in the GNPA ratio to 9.3% in the Q2FY21 against 11.6% in Q2FY20 and 9.8% in Q3FY20.

However, CARE Ratings in its latest report stated that the GNPAs would have been around 0.5% to 0.6% higher had moratorium accounts been classified as NPAs.

Even RBI in it’s Financial Stability Report for July 2020 had warned that the asset quality of the financial system could deteriorate sharply, caused by the lockdown-induced disruptions to both supply- and demand-side factors.

Will lending improve in 2021?
As per the RBI’s weekly bulletin, bank credit deployment has already started to witness a decline. The credit growth decelerated to 5.8% and 5.7% during the last two fortnights, compared to last year’s level of 8.0% and 7.9%, respectively (as of November 22, 2019 and December 06, 2019).

Banks have been very selective with their credit portfolios. Sectoral deployment of bank credit has witnessed a downward trend in some crucial industries and sectors. Growth in bank credit to NBFCs declined mainly because of the base effect and risk aversion in banking system due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As for MSMEs, they did secure loans but at higher rates.

In an interview to ET Now, Suresh Ganapathy of Macquarie said, “Bank credit growth continues to languish, with similar trends observed in the NBFC space. There has been a fall in consumption demand, especially in home loans, auto and service segments; and decline in industry credit, primarily on account of risk aversion on the part of banks to lend to MSMEs.”

CRISIL expects the bank credit growth to plummet to a multi-decadal low of 0-1%. Krishnan Sitaraman, senior director at CRISIL, told ETBFSI, “This crisis is unprecedented and so will its economic fallout be, such as lower capex demand as well as lower discretionary spends, to name some. This slowdown credit offtake is significant across segments in the current fiscal. The corporate loan portfolio, which constitutes almost half of total credit, is expected to be the worst-hit, and de-grow this fiscal.” Hence, if the denominator (credit) doesn’t grow the fresh slippages will add to the NPAs, and the GNPA ratio will increase.

There is an improvement in the economy. GST and GDP numbers have shown some growth. The banks are seeing a rise in the credit applications but they are cautious. B Ramesh Babu, MD & CEO, Karur Vysya Bank told ETBFSI, “No one wants to press an accelerator button right now. Because how is it going to pan out no one knows. The current growth is a short term or long term no one knows. So wait and watch mode is preferable.”

Real picture is still awaited
The liquidity surplus in the banking system has increased in the week ended January 1, 2021 to Rs 6.21 lakh crore from Rs 5.09 lakh crore in the week ago period. As per RBI data, banks have maintained a liquidity surplus for the last 19 months. “This can be attributed to the inflow of bank deposits surpassing the outflow of bank credit. The incremental bank deposits (over March 20) have grown by 6.7% till December 18, 2020 as against the bank credit growth of 1.7%. With bank deposits outweighing bank credit flows, the banking system would continue to see a sizeable liquidity surplus in the current week, too,” said Kavita Chacko, Senior Economist with CARE Ratings.

The various liquidity infusion measures being undertaken by the RBI — OMO purchases and, the LTRO and TLTRO — have also added to the liquidity surplus.

Experts view that the performance of financial sector would remain under pressure on account of lack of credit uptake, risk aversion, lower fee income and covid-related provisioning. With the overhang of stressed assets continuing, banks will continue to focus on improving their collection efficiency and an immediate turnaround in lending activity seems unlikely.



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Can switching home loan ease your EMI burden?

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Is your big-ticket home loan pinching you in this time of crisis? While continuing to pay your EMIs is advisable (rather than opting for the moratorium), it may be time to review your existing home loan to see if you can lower your monthly payout.

In its monetary policy last week, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its key policy repo rate at 4 per cent.

But that doesn’t matter.

A look at data across banks suggests that even now there is a wide difference between the lending rates on home loans linked to MCLR (marginal cost of funds-based lending rate) and that on those benchmarked against RBI’s repo rate.

In many cases, the difference is 30-50 bps within the same bank, which amounts to a sizeable difference in interest over the tenure of the home loan.

Basics

Home loans are broadly of two types — fixed and floating. Generally, fixed-rate home loans charge a substantially higher interest rate. Hence, it may be advisable to opt for floating-rate loans, particularly in a falling-rate scenario.

Now, under floating-rate loans, lending rates change depending on the interest-rate movements in the broader economy. Earlier (from April 2016), home loans were linked to a bank-specific benchmark — MCLR.

Here, while a repo-rate cut by the RBI leads to banks lowering their MCLR, it happens with a lag and varies widely across banks.

Also, generally, home loans are benchmarked against one-year MCLR and, hence, lending rates are reset only once every year. So, even when banks cut MCLR, the benefit of it is transmitted to borrowers only when the loans are reset.

To address these issues, the RBI had mandated banks to introduce repo-linked loans from October last year. Here, if the RBI cuts the repo rate, it gets reflected on your lending rates much faster (banks have to reset their repo-based benchmark rates at least once in three months).

This is a key reason why lending rates on repo-linked home loans are much cheaper than those on MCLR-linked loans within your own bank.

Effective rates matter

While comparing rates, the final effective lending rate is what matters and not the repo-linked benchmark. This is because banks charge a spread over the repo-linked benchmark rate to arrive at the final loan rate. For instance, at SBI, the repo-linked benchmark rate (EBR) is currently at 6.65 per cent.

For a ₹30-75-lakh loan, a spread of 60 bps (for salaried borrower) is charged on it, taking the effective lending rate to 7.25 per cent. At ICICI Bank, the repo-linked rate is currently 4 per cent, over which the bank charges a 3.2 per cent spread, taking the effective lending rate to 7.2 per cent.

Hence, while comparing rates to switch, you need to look at the final loan rate, including the spread, under both repo- and MCLR-linked loans.

Next, some banks also offer special rates for good borrowers with sound credit scores. For instance, at PNB, while the spread charged over the benchmark is 50 bps in case of a borrower with credit score of 750 and above, it is higher at 75-85 bps for those with a lower score. In the case of Bank of India, you can get loan at an attractive 6.85 per cent if you have a high credit score.

Once you have noted the underlying benchmark, the spread and the concession (if any), that determine the final lending rate, the next step is to do the maths.

Tidy savings?

Your decision to switch will broadly depend on three factors — difference in lending rates, remaining tenure of loan and outstanding loan amount.

Your savings by way of interest on the entire tenure (residual) of the loan will be the highest when all three are on the upper side — a wide difference between existing and new lending rates (under repo-linked), long residual tenure of loan and huge outstanding loan amount.

The accompanying table shows that if you have a home loan outstanding of ₹55 lakh and the remaining tenure is 23 years, sizeable savings kick in when the difference in lending rates is 50 bps (or over).

In such a case, you can straightaway make the move. But if the difference in lending rates is only 10 bps, the savings shrink substantially to about ₹1 lakh over the tenure of the loan.

While this is still notable, you may still want to weigh other charges before making the switch. For instance, if you are making the switch within the same bank, you may have to pay a one-time administrative fee.

For example, Bank of India charges an additional 0.10 per cent over normal lending rate if you intend to switch over from MCLR- to repo-linked loans, according to the bank’s website.

In case you are switching between banks, there may be a processing fee involved, which could be a percentage of loan amount (can go up to 2 per cent, subject to a minimum amount). Also, amid the ongoing restrictions owing to the Covid-19 pandemic, switching between banks may be procedurally tedious.

In any case, if you have a small loan outstanding and a short tenure remaining, it may not make sense for you to switch, even if the lending rates are widely different (see table). For instance, in the case of a ₹5-lakh outstanding amount with a residual tenure of four years, the savings will be quite low.

The other factor to take into account is that given that rates have fallen sharply over the past two years, a rate hike in the next two years could pinch you more under the repo-linked loans.

This is because lending rates can move up sharply and quickly. That is all the more reason for you to avoid making the switch if you have a short tenure of loan left.

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