UBS expects record IPO year for India despite Covid-19 crisis, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Baiju Kalesh

India’s sharp surge in Covid-19 cases will not prevent the country’s markets from setting a record for initial public offerings in 2021, as a cohort of technology companies make their much-anticipated debuts later in the year, according to UBS Group AG.

Last year companies amassed $4.6 billion from IPOs, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, and Anuj Kapoor, head of investment banking at UBS India, believes the figure will be easily eclipsed.

“I would say we will surpass twice the money we raised in 2020 through IPOs,” Kapoor said.

Before the arrival of the coronavirus pandemic’s second wave, India’s markets were full of optimism. So far in 2021, IPOs in India have raised nearly $3 billion, the best start to the year since 2018, the data show. The activity was aided by ample liquidity, with foreign investors as well as retail stock-pickers looking for new ideas to invest in, Kapoor said.

The latest outbreak of Covid-19 cases has had a serious impact on the equities market, and there has been a decoupling of Indian versus global markets since March, Kapoor said. The benchmark Sensex index has risen 2.2% this year, compared to the 9.3% gain year to date in the MSCI World index.

Overseas investors sold $1.4 billion worth of Indian stocks in the month to April 29, the biggest monthly outflow since March last year when the nation imposed one of the strictest lockdowns in the world to curb the spread of the pandemic.

“We will see a few more tough weeks ahead before Covid-19 plateaus and starts declining,” said Kapoor, who is also on the board of UBS India. “Hopefully, this should not linger beyond June.”

Kapoor expects tech companies to start hitting the market in the second half of the year. He predicts fewer than five will list this year, however that figure could more than double in 2022.

Online food delivery startup Zomato Ltd. recently filed its initial prospectus with the regulator for an IPO that could raise as much as 82.5 billion rupees ($1.1 billion). Other tech-based businesses waiting in the wings include cosmetics retailer Nykaa E-Retail Pvt and insurance aggregator Policybazaar, Bloomberg News has reported.

On the mergers and acquisitions front, Kapoor sees more deal activity from local companies and foreign players buying Indian firms than in domestic firms targeting assets overseas.

Global private equity funds have a strong interest in the health-care and pharmaceutical sectors, he said. Last year saw KKR & Co. buy a majority stake in J.B. Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. in a $371.3 million deal that completed in November. A month earlier, Carlyle Group Inc. closed a transaction to acquire a 20% interest in Piramal Pharma Ltd. for $466 million.

Locally, some of the largest investors in tech companies will push the firms toward consolidation.

“We are going to see this theme play out as business models mature,” he said. He also sees combinations occurring in areas such as financial services.

Kapoor’s bullishness stems from his unit’s performance in 2020, UBS’s best year ever in India by revenue, driven primarily by equities activity, he said. The firm added new junior banker roles in March, and will recruit talent judiciously, he said.

“This year we will have a healthy mix of capital markets and M&A,” he said. “2021 should be better for deal activity than 2020.”



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After best-ever start to a year, $49 billion Asia IPO boom likely to taper off, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Julia Fioretti

As in the U.S., initial public offering activity out of Asia has had its strongest-ever start to a year. That frenzy for new shares is likely to taper off as demand falls back to earth in the next few months.

Asian companies, like their global peers, notched their best first quarter for listings ever, thanks to a flood of liquidity during the pandemic, super-low interest rates, and rallying stock markets. The firms raised $49.3 billion through first-time share sales at home and abroad — a 154% jump over the same period in 2020, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

IPOs globally raised an unprecedented $215 billion, with almost half of that haul coming from the record wave of issuance by special-purpose acquisition companies in the U.S.

Now, a global rotation out of highly-valued tech and health-care stocks that have dominated market activity, as well as fading excitement around SPACs in the U.S., is clouding the outlook for new deals.

“Inevitably, there is a mark to market of comparable valuations,” said William Smiley, co-head of equity capital markets at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan. “In terms of our pipeline, there hasn’t been any significant impact from the recent rotation, but opportunistic issuance may have decelerated.”

Asia’s IPO space faces an added challenge: the travails of Chinese tech firms, which dominate fundraising in the region. These companies are facing a crackdown against monopolistic practices at home and are also in focus as U.S.-China tensions keep rising. Last month, for instance, the U.S. moved forward with a law that could result in Chinese firms that don’t comply with U.S. auditing standards being kicked off American exchanges.

The red flags are already there, with the investor mania seen earlier this year for deals like the one by Chinese TikTok rival Kuaishou Technology starting to die down.

Chinese fintech company Bairong Inc., which raised $507 million, delivered the worst debut in three years among $500-million-plus Hong Kong IPOs when it fell 16% on Wednesday. U.S.-listed Chinese search giant Baidu Inc. and video-streaming service Bilibili Inc. raised a combined $5.7 billion through secondary listings in Hong Kong in March but had lackluster debuts.

In contrast, investors were seen scrambling for a piece of Kuaishou’s $6.2 billion Hong Kong IPO, the biggest listing globally so far this year, and Korean e-commerce giant Coupang Inc.’s $4.6 billion float.

Healthy Shakeout
That said, muted investor appetite for listings isn’t affecting the queue of hopefuls.

Online music company Tencent Music Entertainment Group, micro-blogging service Weibo Corp. and online travel service Trip.com Group Ltd. are among U.S.-traded Chinese companies seeking so-called “homecoming” listings in Hong Kong. These secondary listings, seen as a hedge against Sino-American tensions, raised $17 billion in Hong Kong last year and have amassed $6.4 billion so far in 2021.

“The secondary listing trend will continue but what should be interesting to see is whether new issuers who ultimately want to get to a dual listing, perhaps consider seeking a dual primary listing in Hong Kong and the U.S. from the start rather than doing a primary U.S. listing, waiting two years and then coming to Hong Kong for the secondary listing” said Francesco Lavatelli, head of equity capital markets for Asia Pacific at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Tech and health-care firms make up the bulk of the listing pipeline in Asia, say bankers, even without the “homecoming” cohort, many of whom opted for U.S. listings because of the American investor base’s greater familiarity with new economy stocks. Among them: health-care startup WeDoctor, which is planning a multi-billion dollar Hong Kong IPO and China’s Uber-like startup Full Truck Alliance, which is looking into a $1 billion U.S. listing.

“The pipeline remains quite robust but is centered around tech and growth stocks, which are obviously seeing a little bit of a re-rating,” said Tucker Highfield, co-head of equity capital markets for Asia Pacific at Bank of America Corp. “The thesis of good companies being able to buck the trend of volatility will continue and there’s capital available.”

Ultimately, less frothy markets and a cooling of the IPO investor mania may actually be welcome.

“Entering a more balanced market environment isn’t a bad thing. It can extend the issuance cycle and work to keep excesses in check,” Smiley said. “If there is going to be correction, you want it to be fast – a prolonged downturn kills issuance.”



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