India’s forex reserves increase USD 1.9 bn to USD 642 bn, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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India’s forex reserves have increased by USD 1.919 billion to USD 642.019 billion for the week ended October 29 on a healthy increase in the currency assets and value of gold, the Reserve Bank said on Friday. The overall reserves had declined by USD 908 million to USD 640.1 billion at the end of the previous reporting week.

Foreign currency assets, a major part of the overall reserves, increased by 1.363 billion to USD 578.462 billion for the reporting week, the RBI said in the weekly data.

Expressed in dollar terms, the foreign currency assets include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US units like the euro, pound and yen held in the foreign exchange reserves.

Value of the gold reserves increased by USD 572 million to USD 39.012 billion in the reporting week, the data showed.

The special drawing rights (SDRs) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) rose by USD 17 million to USD 19.304 billion. The country’s reserve position with the IMF increased by USD 1 million to USD 5.242 billion in the reporting week, the data showed.

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“India’s merchandise exports in October 2021 was USD 35.47 billion, an increase of 42.33 per cent over USD 24.92 billion in October 2020 and an increase of 35.21 per cent over USD 26.23 billion in October 2019,” as per an official statement.

At the interbank forex market, the rupee opened strong at 74.64 against the greenback and later gained strength to settle at 74.46, a level not seen since October 5. The local unit moved in a range of 74.46 to 74.64 in the day trade.

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India’s Forex reserves rise by $2.04 billion to $639.51 billion, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The country’s foreign exchange reserves rose by $2.039 billion to $639.516 billion in the week ended October 8, according to RBI data. In the previous week ended October 1, the reserves had dipped by $1.169 billion to $637.477 billion. The reserves had surged by $8.895 billion to a lifetime high of $642.453 billion in the week ended September 3.

During the reporting week ended October 8, the rise in the reserves was on account of an increase in the Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs), Reserve Bank of India‘s (RBI) weekly data released on Friday showed.

FCA rose by $1.55 billion to $577.001 billion in the reporting week, as per the data.

Expressed in dollar terms, FCA include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US units like the euro, pound and yen held in the foreign exchange reserves.

Gold reserves were up by $464 million to $38.022 billion in the reporting week.

The Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) rose by $28 million to $19.268 billion.

The country’s reserve position with the IMF declined by $3 million to $5.225 billion in the reporting week, the data showed.



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Hard choices loom for finance chiefs and their climate pledges, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Washington, Oct 15, 2021 -In speeches and communiques from top finance officials at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank this week, one word was ubiquitous: climate.

Leaders of the institutions and government ministers pledged action to meet the global climate goals of keeping warning below 1.5 degrees Celsius and reaching net zero emissions by 2050, with an eye towards next month’s COP26 climate change summit.

“I’m afraid it is time to roll up our sleeves and detail our plan of actions,” Britain’s Prince Charles said at a World Bank event Thursday.

“With action on climate change, biodiversity loss and a just transition more urgent than ever, I can only encourage us all to get to work and solve this problem.”

But behind the rhetoric lies the harsh reality of the extent of the work left to do to meet the goals, and the rancor around the issue.

Washington leaned on multilateral lenders worldwide to step up financing of climate friendly projects, even as activists launched a salvo at the World Bank president.

Meanwhile, the world’s largest asset manager warned that expensive investments are necessary to prevent catastrophe.

“Rich countries must put more taxpayer money to work in driving the net-zero transition abroad,” BlackRock chief Larry Fink wrote in The New York Times on Wednesday.

Reaching the net-zero emissions goal will require $1 trillion a year in investments aimed at poor countries, which Fink estimates would need $100 billion in yearly subsidies to be viable.

“While the figure seems daunting, especially as the world is recovering from the Covid pandemic, a failure to invest now will lead to greater costs later,” he said.

– ‘Personnel is policy’ – The meetings held semi-virtually in Washington came amid growing alarm over what unchecked climate change will do to the planet.

The World Bank last month in a disturbing report warned that reduced agricultural output, water scarcity, rising sea levels and other adverse effects of climate change could cause up to 216 million people to leave their homes and migrate within their own countries by 2050.

An IMF study estimated that direct and indirect subsidies of fossil fuels added up to $5.9 trillion or about 6.8 percent of global GDP in 2020, and helped undercut climate goals by keeping gas cheap.

While officials at the two Washington-based multilateral lenders insisted they are razor focused on climate change, not all were convinced.

On Thursday, 77 advocacy groups asked for World Bank President David Malpass to step aside.

Malpass has emphasized the World’s Bank’s climate investment and said it provides half of all multilateral lending towards such projects — a huge change from years past when the development lender financed controversial projects, criticized for their environmental impact.

But the groups said that since the 2015 Paris climate accord, the institution has steered $12 billion towards fossil fuel.

“Personnel is policy: The World Bank needs leadership that will support countries with real green and inclusive development pathways,” said Luisa Galvao of Friends of the Earth US, which signed the petition.

– Leaning on international banks – The actions of the United States during the meetings were closely watched, since Washington hold the most voting power at the organizations, but the world’s largest economy also is a major carbon emitter.

President Joe Biden however has promised a government-wide offensive to tackle climate change.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week convened leaders of several multilateral lenders — including the World Bank and developments banks in Europe, Latin America, Asia and Africa — and pressed them to dedicate more capital towards projects intended to mitigate climate change.

She also announced that her department would study how climate change is affecting communities and households in the United States, which this year alone has seen deadly winter storms strike Texas and the Midwest, wildfires roast California and successive hurricanes pummel the East Coast.

But while the White House now has a greater emphasis on addressing what Yellen called an “existential threat,” agreement among the greater US political class on what to do about it remains elusive.

Biden has proposed two spending bills in Congress that could direct historic sums of money towards improving the country’s climate resiliency and cutting emissions, but they are mired in the rancorous and divided US Congress.

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IMF gets briefing on probe into China rankings at World Bank

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The International Monetary Fund said Monday its board of directors has been briefed by attorneys from the law firm whose investigation found that current IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and other officials pressured World Bank employees to alter data affecting the business rankings of China and other nations.

The IMF said the 190-nation lending agency’s board of directors met with representatives of the WilmerHale law firm as part of an on-going review of the issues raised by the firm’s investigation into the World Bank’s “Doing Business 2018” report.

The Doing Business report evaluated a country’s tax burdens, bureaucratic obstacles, regulatory system and other business conditions, and its rankings was used by some governments to try to attract investment.

The IMF said in a statement that the board board would soon meet with Georgieva as part of its review of the matter. The statement said the IMF’s board “remains committed to a thorough, objective and timely review” of the issues raised by the report.

The investigation prompted the World Bank to end the annual Doing Business reports. The report found that Georgieva, then the chief executive of the World Bank, and other senior World Bank leaders had pressured the bank’s economists to improve China’s 2018 ranking at a time when she and other officials were attempting to persuade China to support a boost in the World Bank’s funding resources.

The incident has led to calls for Georgieva to resign from the IMF’s top job. It has also served to underscore complaints that China has too much influence over global financial institutions.

Georgieva has denied all wrongdoing. “Let me be clear. The conclusions are wrong. I did not pressure anyone to alter any reports,” she said in a statement issued after the report came out last month.

Georgieva said she was looking forward to meeting with the IMF board to brief them on her actions.

The controversy is coming ahead of the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank, which will take place next week in Washington. (AP) MRJ

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China’s hidden debt, a major problem for borrowers, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Different countries owe at least USD 385 billion amount of debt to China which has slipped through scrutiny of international lenders such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The “hidden debt” is due to an increasing number of deals struck not directly between governments through central banks but through often opaque arrangements with a range of financing institutions, hence “the debt burdens were kept off the public balance sheets,” Radio Free Asia reported citing a four-year study by AidData.

“Chinese debt burdens are substantially larger than research institutions, credit rating agencies, or intergovernmental organizations with surveillance responsibilities previously understood,” the study said.

The study also added that nearly 70 per cent of China’s overseas lending “is now directed to state-owned companies, state-owned banks, special purpose vehicles, joint ventures, and private sector institutions in recipient countries” rather than sovereign borrowers which are central government institutions, Radio Free Asia reported.

Meanwhile, China is also using confidentiality clauses barring borrowers from revealing terms and conditions of the engagement or even the existence of the debt itself.

International Forum for Right and Security (IFFRAS), reported that recent joint research by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Kiel Institute for the World Economy and the Centre for Global Development & Aid Data concluded that it uses these contracts to debt-trap the borrowing nations.



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CBDCs are designed to be very stable: IMF

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“About 80–100 Central Banks around the world, including in G20 nations, are exploring central bank digital currencies (CBDC) and are in some sort of pilot or testing stages,” said Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director – Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF at the Global FinTech Fest.

The three-day Fest, which concluded on September 30, was attended by over 26,000 delegates from 121 countries. Policymakers, technocrats, investors, founders, economists, bankers, participated in the Fest. The event was organised by National Payments Council of India (NPCI), Fintech Convergence Councill (FCC), and Payments Council of India (PCI) of Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI).

Differ from bitcoin

“CBDCs are designed to be very stable, stable in value, with a low transaction cost and backed by the Central Bank for added consumer confidence, very different from bitcoins which fluctuate in value and are more like an investment asset,” Tobias Adrian said.

Also see: The time for central bank digital currencies has come

There could be a lot of innovations in Central Bank issued digital currencies, especially across payments and lending platforms.

“CBDCs could indeed be somewhat similar, not necessarily the same, to bitcoin assets, could be based on blockchain technology, could be available in wallets. It depends on whether the design is based on existing payment systems or using very powerful blockchain technologies,” he added.

Drawbacks

Meanwhile, he warned that cybersecurity could be a major challenge for CBDCs. “You need to make sure that the system is resilient against cyberattacks.” It’s not the technology alone, but the intersection of technology and human.

Also see: Central bank digital currency can boost innovation in cross-border payments: RBI Deputy Governor

Secondly, CBDCs might undermine existing banks so banks need to upgrade their technologies to compete.

Finally, the lack of universal cellphone access may limit CBDC penetration.

On expensive cross-border payments, Adrian envisioned that cross-border transfers would be a lot cheaper for a small amount of payments. There are some wallet exchanges available that allow one to convert US dollar into rupee stable coin, with an implicit fee that is cheaper. However, there are a lot of discussions going on between Central Banks of various countries to make cross-border payments cheaper.

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Crypto assets pose financial stability challenges: IMF report

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The rapid growth of the crypto ecosystem presents new opportunities, the IMF has said, but also cautioned that the digital currency assets pose financial stability challenges. Cryptocurrencies are digital or virtual currencies in which encryption techniques are used to regulate the generation of units and verify the transfer of funds, operating independently of a central bank.

“The rapid growth of the crypto ecosystem presents new opportunities. Technological innovation is ushering in a new era that makes payments and other financial services cheaper, faster, more accessible, and allows them to flow across borders swiftly,” it said in a chapter of its latest report Global Financial Stability Report.

Innovative financial services

Crypto asset technologies have potential as a tool for faster and cheaper cross-border payments. Bank deposits can be transformed to stable coins that allow instant access to a vast array of financial products from digital platforms and allow instant currency conversion, said the IMF in its chapter titled The Crypto Ecosystem and Financial Stability Challenges.

Decentralised finance could become a platform for more innovative, inclusive, and transparent financial services, it added.

Volatile currency

“Despite potential gains, the rapid growth and increasing adoption of crypto assets also pose financial stability challenges,” the IMF said.

In a recent interview with PTI, Tobias Adrian, the Financial Counsellor and Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department of IMF, said that Bitcoin could lead to instability because it is extremely volatile. It was trading above 65,000 earlier this year, and then it came down to below 30,000.

“It might go back up, it might go back down. So if you’re a merchant, and you’re quoting in Bitcoin, you’re exposed to this massive volatility. It is much more volatile than equities or commodities or even exchange rates. It’s a very, very volatile asset, and that is introducing instability,” he said.

“It’s fine as an investment asset. But as a monetary aggregate, it just doesn’t have the right properties,” he added.

Also see: Indian cryptocurrency market likely to reach up to $241 million by 2030: Nasscom

“And let me just add two more problems with that. One is that transaction costs can be fairly expensive and compared to digital money, as it’s the case in India for example, where you have a real-time gross settlement payment system, it’s actually slow because it’s a distributed ledger, and to know that the transaction has gone through, it has to be verified on all of these different computers. So, it’s not that instantaneous, and it can be expensive to transact and it’s extremely volatile. It doesn’t have the properties that you want money to have,” Adrian said.

Destabilise capital flows

The IMF in its report said that challenges posed by the crypto ecosystem include operational and financial integrity risks from crypto asset providers, investor protection risks for crypto-assets and DeFi, and inadequate reserves and disclosure for some stable coins.

“In emerging markets, the advent of crypto assets has benefits but can accelerate cryptoisation and circumvent exchange and capital control restrictions. Increased trading of crypto-assets in these economies could destabilise capital flows,” it said.

Need for regulation

“Policymakers should implement global standards for crypto-assets and enhance their ability to monitor the crypto ecosystem by addressing data gaps. As the role of stable coins grows, regulations should correspond to the risks they pose and the economic functions they perform. Emerging markets faced with cryptoisation risks should strengthen macroeconomic policies and consider the benefits of issuing central bank digital currencies,” the report said.

Also see: China declares all cryptocurrency transactions illegal

In a joint blog post, three IMF officials Dimitris Drakopoulos, Fabio Natalucci, and Evan Papageorgiou wrote that as crypto assets take hold, regulators need to step up.

“Crypto-assets offer a new world of opportunities: Quick and easy payments. Innovative financial services. Inclusive access to previously “unbanked” parts of the world. All are made possible by the crypto ecosystem,” they wrote. “But along with the opportunities come challenges and risks,” it added.

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World Bank kills ease of doing business report after probe cites undue pressure on rankings, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The World Bank Group on Thursday said it ended publication of its “Doing Business” report on country investment climates after a probe of data irregularities cited “undue pressure” by top bank officials, including then-Chief Executive Kristalina Georgieva, to boost China‘s ranking in 2017.

The World Bank said in a statement said that the decision came after internal audit reports had raised “ethical matters, including the conduct of former Board officials as well as current and/or former Bank staff” and a board investigation conducted by the law firm Wilmer Hale.

The Wilmer Hale report cited “direct and indirect pressure” from senior staff in the office of then-World Bank President Jim Yong Kim to change the report’s methodology to boost China’s score, and said it likely occurred at his direction.

It also said that Georgieva, now the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, and a key adviser pressured staff to “make specific changes to China’s data points” and boost its ranking at a time when the bank was seeking China’s support for a big capital increase.

China’s ranking in the “Doing Business 2018” report published in October 2017, rose seven places to 78th after the data methodology changes were made, compared with the initial draft report.

The Doing Business report assesses regulatory environments, ease of business startups, infrastructure and other business climate measures.

“I disagree fundamentally with the findings and interpretations of the investigation of data irregularities as it relates to my role in the World Bank’s Doing Business report of 2018,” Georgieva said in a statement issued by the IMF. She added that she had met with the IMF’s executive board to discuss the matter.

The WilmerHale report also cited irregularities in the data used to determine rankings for Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan in the “Doing Business 2020” report published in 2019, but found no evidence that any members of the bank’s Office of the President or executive board were involved in these changes.

“Going forward, we will be working on a new approach to assessing the business and investment climate,” the World Bank said in a statement.



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SDRs boost India’s forex reserves by over $16 bn, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai, An exponential rise in India’s Special Drawing Rights allocation aided in the accural of over $16.663 billion into India’s foreign exchange reserves during the week ended August 27.

In financial parlance, SDRs are international reserve assets which are created by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and are periodically allocated to its members in proportion to their quotas.

The SDR balances are equivalent to liquid balances in convertible currencies in almost every aspect.

Accordingly, the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) forex reserves increased to $633.558 billion from $616.895 billion reported for the week ended August 20.

Earlier in the week, the RBI said that IMF has made an allocation of SDR 12.57 billion which is equivalent to around $17.86 billion at the latest exchange rate to India on August 23.

“The total SDR holdings of India now stands at SDR 13.66 billion (equivalent to around $19.41 billion at the latest exchange rate) as on August 23, 2021.”

As per the RBI’s weekly statistical supplement, India’s forex reserves comprise foreign currency assets (FCAs), gold reserves, SDRs, and the country’s reserve position with the IMF.

However, on a weekly basis, FCAs, the largest component of the forex reserves, edged lower by $1.409 billion to $571.600 billion.

On the other hand, the value of the country’s gold reserves rose by $192 million to $37.441 billion.

Similarly, the SDR value rose. It increased by a whopping $17.866 billion to $19.407 billion.

In addition, the country’s reserve position with the IMF rose by $14 million to $5.110 billion.



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IMF allocates 12.57 billion SDRs to India

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has made an allocation of Special Drawing Rights (SDR) 12.57 billion (equivalent to around $17.86 billion at the latest exchange rate) to India on August 23, 2021.

This allocation is about 2.75 per cent of the overall 456.5 billion SDRs general allocation made to the Fund’s member countries. IMF has a membership of 190 countries.

SDR is an interest-bearing international reserve asset created by the IMF in 1969 to supplement other reserve assets of member countries. SDR holdings is one of the components of the foreign exchange reserves (FER) of a country.

Following the allocation, India’s total SDR holdings now stand at SDR 13.66 billion (equivalent to around $19.41 billion at the latest exchange rate) as of August 23, 2021, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in a statement. This increase in SDR holdings will be reflected in the FER data that shall be published for the week-ended August 27, 2021, it added.

IMF makes the general SDR allocation to its members in proportion to their existing quotas in the Fund.

RBI said that the board of Governors of the IMF had approved a general allocation of about SDR 456 billion on August 2, 2021 (effective from August 23, 2021) of which the share of India is SDR 12.57 billion.

The SDR is based on a basket of international currencies comprising the US dollar, Japanese yen, euro, pound sterling and Chinese Renminbi. It is not a currency, nor a claim on the IMF, but is potentially a claim on freely usable currencies of IMF members.

According to IMF, an SDR allocation is a way of supplementing its member countries’ FER, allowing them to reduce their reliance on more expensive domestic or external debt for building reserves.

IMF general allocation

IMF said the general allocation of SDR 456.5 billion (equivalent to about $650 billion) implemented on August 23, 2021, addresses the long-term global need for reserves, builds confidence, and supports a sustainable and resilient global recovery.

SDR benefits all member States and helps emerging markets and low-income countries struggling to cope with the impact of the Covid-19 crisis.

The Fund noted that this general allocation, by far the largest to date, is a prime example of an international cooperative response to the Covid-19 pandemic.

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