Assets under management likely to grow 15% in 3-5 years, BFSI News, ET BFSI
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This would be on the back of the rise in disbursements and improved affordability.
“Factors such as low interest rates, stamp duty cut, benign real estate prices, etc. have improved affordability to own a house. ‘Work from home’ has kindled incremental housing demand. Construction too was not adversely impacted during the second wave,” the brokerage said.
Home loan growth fell to 8% over the previous three financial years as compared to 17-18% earlier while disbursements fell to Rs 5.3-5.5 lakh crore due to the pandemic. However, now risen to a run-rate of Rs 7-8 lakh crore.
Segment-wise
The Rs 2.5-7.5 lakh ticket size, or prime segment, has grown in the mid-teens, while the affordable housing segment has grown in mid-single digits over the past two to three years.
The extent of loans disbursed in the prime segment has also been significant, as per the brokerage.
Among housing financiers, the likes of Housing Development Finance Corp and LIC Housing Finance are returning to double digits for retail loans. In the case of banks, the home loan portfolio has stayed put since March. “Neither did they decline in the initial two months of this fiscal, nor was the momentum build-up witnessed in June-July. Year-on-year growth, thereby, sustained at around 9%. Now banks are fiercely competing with cut-throat pricing,” ICICI Securities said.
The Kotak offer
The competition among banks in home loan space is growing.
Kotak Mahindra Bank is offering home loans at a lower rate of 6.50 per cent is a festive period offer available only for two months till November 8, and the lowest offering is for those having highest credit scores coming from the salaried segment.
In the past, its rivals which include HDFC and SBI, have responded to rate cuts by slashing their own offering. The rate cut comes at a time when demand for home loans is falling in the country and may spark similar offers from rivals.
Large banks like the State Bank of India already offer home loans at as low as 6.65 per cent and 6.75 per cent, respectively, while the interest rates for HFCs is between 7.45 per cent and 10 per cent.
Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities said in a note, “The demand momentum seen in housing loans last year has tapered off and organic growth for the housing finance industry has been softening,” the brokerage house said. The organic growth in the home loan segment for large banks has been slowing over the last 45-50 days.
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