Role reversal: India Inc ‘lending’ to banks via AT-1 bonds

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A role reversal seems to be happening in the Indian financial markets, with India Inc lending to banks instead of borrowing from them.

High returns on investments in Additional Tier-I (AT) bonds issued by public sector banks is proving to be attractive for large corporates even as bank credit to them has declined.

This development comes amid mutual funds avoiding AT-1 bonds (Perpetual Debt Instruments) due to SEBI restrictions.

Given that corporates have substantially deleveraged over the last few years and are sitting on the fence when it comes to fresh capital expenditure, they are channelising their surplus funds parked with banks and mutual funds into AT-1 bonds, according to a fund manager with an MF.

Bank credit to large industries contracted by 1 per cent in September 2021 against a contraction of 0.2 per cent a year ago, per latest RBI data.

Opportunistic investment

The investment by corporates in PSBs’ AT-1 bonds is opportunistic. Banks are offering relatively higher interest rates on these bonds to attract investors after SEBI’s March 2021 circular on “investment in instruments having special features and valuation of perpetual bonds” discouraged MFs from investing in them.

Union Bank of India recently raised ₹2,000 crore via AT-1 bonds at a coupon rate of 8.70 per cent. The PSB had earlier mopped up resources via AT-1 bonds twice — ₹1,000 crore (coupon: 8.64 per cent) in early January 2021 and ₹205 crore (8.73 per cent) late the same month.

Though AT-1 bonds are perpetual in nature, banks usually exercise the call option at the end of five years from the date of issuance. So, a corporate can earn higher returns by investing in these bonds than by parking in a five-year term deposit which fetches about 5.50 per cent.

PSBs are raising resources through AT-1 bonds as they have call options due in the current fiscal and the next on the bonds they had issued earlier. Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank and Punjab National Bank are among the PSBs believed to be considering raising resources via AT-1 route.

MFs shrink away

Among the reasons for MFs to keep away from these bonds is that their maturity is treated as 100 years from their date of issuance for the purpose of valuation as against the current practice of valuing them based on the time left for the next call option date.

So, MFs fear mark-to-market losses due to this change in the valuation norm, for if interest rates rise, the price of longer tenure bonds will depreciate much more than the short-to-medium term instruments.

By ICRA’s estimates based on industry data, MFs held 30 per cent of the outstanding Tier-I bonds and 14 per cent of the outstanding Tier-II bonds as on February 2021.

The credit rating agency assessed that the holding of Basel III compliant AT-I and Tier-II instruments is estimated at 8 per cent of the assets under management of MF schemes holding these instruments, thereby limiting the headroom for incremental investments.

ICRA, in its outlook for the banking sector for FY22, had estimated the Tier-I capital requirements for PSBs at ₹43,000 crore, of which ₹23,000 crore is on account of call options falling due on AT-I bonds, while the balance is estimated as the equity.

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How to financially prepare for a home loan interest rate hike in the future, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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As mentioned earlier, the chances of further rate reduction are very low. However, home borrowers should not ignore the chance of rates going up from current levels. Since the rate transmission is smooth now, any rate increase by RBI will immediately reflect in their home loan rate. Any increase in the home loan rates will increase the EMI (or loan tenure) and could mess up your financial planning.

For instance, the EMI for a 20-year home loan of Rs 1 crore will be Rs 75,739 @6.7%. The same will go upto Rs 81,787 @7.7% and jump to Rs 88,052 @8.7%. The best thing to do in situations like this is to go for fixed-rate loans. However, the options are very limited and only a few options offer fixed rates that too for a limited period. More importantly, these partially fixed-rate home loans also charge higher interest rates.

Partially fixed loans will cost you more
Consider the additional costs before going for partial fixed loans.
While these rate increases are not in your hand, you can be prepared for that by assuming a higher rate of interest. “Instead of the very low rates now, assume a reasonable home loan rate of around 8.5% and invest the remaining EMI somewhere else systematically,” says Aparna Ramachandra, Founder & Director, Rectifycredit.com. For instance, the EMI for a 20-year home loan of Rs 1 crore is Rs 86,782 @8.5% and will be Rs 75,739 @6.7%. You should invest the difference of Rs 11,043 in a short-term debt fund every month. This corpus will act as a backup if the rates go up. You will be in a better position even if the rate doesn’t go up because this money will be getting into savings instead of spending.



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Govt to earn more from deposits by opening business to pvt banks

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There is already a bidding system in place, but it has so far been restricted to PSBs.

The government is set to earn more from its deposits as it enters into business with a larger set of private banks that can offer higher interest rates, industry experts said. At the same time, public sector banks (PSBs) may be forced to shell out more than they historically have for government deposits.

Mrutyunjay Mahapatra, former MD & CEO, Syndicate Bank, said that the cost of deposits for the banking system as a whole is likely to rise because the private sector banks will now compete for government deposits. There is already a bidding system in place, but it has so far been restricted to PSBs.

“Public sector banks used to get away with a slightly lower rate because they have a larger savings account and rural fund base, whereas the private banks are very hungry for deposits. So, they might create an enhanced interest rate regime to garner these funds because there has to be transparency for government funds,” Mahapatra said, adding that the government will benefit from the process.

He also pointed out that there may have been an understanding between the government and private banks that in exchange for the embargo being lifted, private banks will have to participate in social sector activities like PSBs. The participation of private banks in financial inclusion projects, rural banking and agri lending would help ensure a level playing field between the two sets of banks.

There could also be other teething pains for private banks entering government business, analysts said. A report by Kotak Institutional Equities (KIE) said that PSBs will try to defend their turf. Further, adding a bank to the government payment system is likely to be time-consuming and would require continuous interaction with the government. “Fee income streams have a higher probability of declining in the event of higher competition.

However, it remains to be seen if the float income would offset any pressure that is likely to come on account of lower fee margins,” analysts at KIE said. They expect government deposits to be an important funding source when liquidity is tight or rates are high.

A Nomura report on Thursday said that while the top three private banks have been undertaking government agency business for the last 20 years, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank have managed to step ahead of HDFC Bank in obtaining authorisation for undertaking pension payments for the defence sector.

“Railways’ pension is a potential area which is still lying with SOE (state-owned) banks. Incidentally, in tax collections, HDFC Bank almost had a 15% market share as of FY19/20,” the report said.

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