Tag: GSAP

RBI Gov hints on ‘gradual’ unwinding of exceptional liquidity measures

Banking & Finance

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Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday dropped ample hints on unwinding of the exceptional liquidity measures announced over the last one-and-a-half years, stating that the process has to be gradual, calibrated and non-disruptive, while remaining supportive of the economic recovery.

Given the liquidity overhang of more than ₹13-lakh crore, Das underscored that the RBI will continue to absorb surplus liquidity via the 14-day variable rate reverse repo (VRRR) auction.

Further, the Central bank will discontinue the Government Security Acquisition Programme (G-SAP) operation, which is aimed at providing liquidity to banks so that they subscribe to Government Securities at primary auctions and yields are kept under check. The Governor said, “As we approach the shore, we don’t want to rock the boat. We want to go beyond the shore.”

Das said as the economy shows signs of emerging from the Covid-19 inflicted ravages, a near consensus view emerging among market participants and policy makers is that the liquidity conditions emanating from the exceptional measures instituted during the crisis would need to evolve in sync with the macroeconomic developments to preserve financial stability

Keeping in view the market feedback, it is proposed to undertake the 14-day VRRR auctions on a fortnightly basis in the following manner: ₹4-lakh crore today as already notified; ₹4.5-lakh crore on October 22; ₹5-lakh crore on November 3; ₹5.5-lakh crore on November 18; and ₹6-lakh crore on December 3.

Further, depending upon the evolving liquidity conditions – especially the quantum of capital flows, pace of government expenditure and credit offtake – the RBI may also consider complementing the 14-day VRRR auctions with 28-day VRRR auctions in a similar calibrated fashion.

“Let me reiterate and re-emphasise that the VRRR auctions are primarily a tool for rebalancing liquidity as part of our liquidity management operations and should not be interpreted as a reversal of the accommodative policy stance. The RBI will ensure that there is adequate liquidity to support the process of economic recovery. The Reserve Bank will continue to support the market in ensuring an orderly completion of the borrowing programme of the government,” Das said. Further, RBI’s focus on orderly evolution of the yield curve as a public good also continues.

G-SAP

Das emphasised that given the existing liquidity overhang, the absence of a need for additional borrowing for GST compensation and the expected expansion of liquidity in the system as government spending increases in line with budget estimates, the need for undertaking further G-SAP operations at this juncture does not arise.

The Reserve Bank, however, would remain in readiness to undertake G-SAP as and when warranted by liquidity conditions and also continue to flexibly conduct other liquidity management operations including Operation Twist (OT) and regular open market operations (OMOs), he added.

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Indian bond yields spike to near 4-month highs; crude surge hurts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

Personal Finance

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MUMBAI – Indian bond yields jumped on Tuesday as a rally in global crude oil prices raised worries about higher imported inflation, while a selection of papers for this week’s bond buyback by the central bank also disappointed investors.

The most-traded 6.64% 2035 bond was up 6 basis points at 6.79%, while the second-highest traded 5.63% 2026 paper rose 7 bps to 5.83%. Both bonds were trading at levels last seen in mid-March.

The 10-year bond, which is likely to be soon replaced as the benchmark paper, was up 6 bps at 6.15%, its highest since April 16.

HDFC Bank said rising oil prices and lack of liquid papers in this week’s government securities acquisition programme (GSAP) or a form of quantitative easing programme of the Reserve Bank of India, is weighing on bond prices.

“The market was hoping for the inclusion of the 5-year paper in the upcoming debt purchase given the recent devolvement of the paper by the RBI.” HDFC economists wrote.

Underwriters to the auction or the primary dealers had to buy 104.95 billion rupees ($1.41 billion) worth of the 5.63% 2026 bonds at the debt sale last week.

The central bank is scheduled to sell 260 billion rupees worth of bonds on Friday, including 140 billion rupees worth of a new 10-year paper.

RBI announced a buyback of bonds worth 200 billion rupees on Thursday under the GSAP but traders said most securities it has proposed to buy are illiquid and would not necessarily help tame yields and offset the impact of high global crude oil prices.

Oil prices hit some of their highest levels since 2018 after OPEC+ discussions were called off, heightening expectations that supplies will tighten further just as global fuel demand recovers from a COVID-19-induced slump.

India imports more than two-thirds of its oil requirements and higher prices usually translate to higher inflation.

The central bank has voiced to keep rates low to support the economic recovery but rising inflation could force its hand, traders fear.

“Another added pressure for the short end of the curve is the additional borrowing for GST (goods and services tax) compensation shortfall that is likely to be done starting July by selling bonds at shorter tenures (less than 7 years).”

In late May, the government said it will borrow an additional 1.58 trillion rupees to compensate states for their shortfall in revenues.



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