Role reversal: India Inc ‘lending’ to banks via AT-1 bonds

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A role reversal seems to be happening in the Indian financial markets, with India Inc lending to banks instead of borrowing from them.

High returns on investments in Additional Tier-I (AT) bonds issued by public sector banks is proving to be attractive for large corporates even as bank credit to them has declined.

This development comes amid mutual funds avoiding AT-1 bonds (Perpetual Debt Instruments) due to SEBI restrictions.

Given that corporates have substantially deleveraged over the last few years and are sitting on the fence when it comes to fresh capital expenditure, they are channelising their surplus funds parked with banks and mutual funds into AT-1 bonds, according to a fund manager with an MF.

Bank credit to large industries contracted by 1 per cent in September 2021 against a contraction of 0.2 per cent a year ago, per latest RBI data.

Opportunistic investment

The investment by corporates in PSBs’ AT-1 bonds is opportunistic. Banks are offering relatively higher interest rates on these bonds to attract investors after SEBI’s March 2021 circular on “investment in instruments having special features and valuation of perpetual bonds” discouraged MFs from investing in them.

Union Bank of India recently raised ₹2,000 crore via AT-1 bonds at a coupon rate of 8.70 per cent. The PSB had earlier mopped up resources via AT-1 bonds twice — ₹1,000 crore (coupon: 8.64 per cent) in early January 2021 and ₹205 crore (8.73 per cent) late the same month.

Though AT-1 bonds are perpetual in nature, banks usually exercise the call option at the end of five years from the date of issuance. So, a corporate can earn higher returns by investing in these bonds than by parking in a five-year term deposit which fetches about 5.50 per cent.

PSBs are raising resources through AT-1 bonds as they have call options due in the current fiscal and the next on the bonds they had issued earlier. Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank and Punjab National Bank are among the PSBs believed to be considering raising resources via AT-1 route.

MFs shrink away

Among the reasons for MFs to keep away from these bonds is that their maturity is treated as 100 years from their date of issuance for the purpose of valuation as against the current practice of valuing them based on the time left for the next call option date.

So, MFs fear mark-to-market losses due to this change in the valuation norm, for if interest rates rise, the price of longer tenure bonds will depreciate much more than the short-to-medium term instruments.

By ICRA’s estimates based on industry data, MFs held 30 per cent of the outstanding Tier-I bonds and 14 per cent of the outstanding Tier-II bonds as on February 2021.

The credit rating agency assessed that the holding of Basel III compliant AT-I and Tier-II instruments is estimated at 8 per cent of the assets under management of MF schemes holding these instruments, thereby limiting the headroom for incremental investments.

ICRA, in its outlook for the banking sector for FY22, had estimated the Tier-I capital requirements for PSBs at ₹43,000 crore, of which ₹23,000 crore is on account of call options falling due on AT-I bonds, while the balance is estimated as the equity.

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RBI’s retail direct scheme clocks over 12,000 registrations

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Saturday said its Retail Direct Scheme (RDS) has received ‘encouraging response’, clocking over 12,000 registrations since its launch on November 12. The scheme is aimed at facilitating investment in Government Securities (G-Secs) by individual investors.

“Encouraging response to RBI Retail Direct Scheme; 12,000+ registrations as of 2.30 pm on November 13, 2021,” tweeted the central bank.

According to central bank sources, investors in Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs), currently estimated at around 4.50 lakh, are expected to actively invest in G-Secs via RBI-RDS, which is envisaged as a one-stop solution for retail investments in G-Secs.

New investment avenue

Retail investors can invest a minimum of ₹10,000 and in multiples thereof in Central Government Securities (CG), State Government Securities (SG) and Treasury Bills (T-Bills) using the online portal (https://rbiretaildirect.org.in) by opening a Retail Direct Gilt (RDG) account with RBI. In the case of Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB), the minimum investment unit is 1 gram. The maximum investment limit per bid specified by RBI is ₹2 crore for CG/T-Bill and 1 per cent for SG.

Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management, said, “Indian fixed income markets have always been very shallow… From retail investors’ perspective, easy access to government securities was not available before. With the ability to buy the government securities through the RBI, retail investors shall now have the flexibility to invest from 1 year to 30-year periods in a completely risk-free environment.” Nath felt that the RBI should create a mechanism for buying back the G-Secs. If that happens, the portal will immediately attract a lot of interest.

Bond market players said Primary Dealers (PDs) are expected to provide buy-sell quotes so that retail investors can buy and sell G-Secs in the secondary market.

Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist, CARE Ratings, emphasised the importance of creating awareness among retail investors. According to the scheme, no fee will be charged for opening and maintaining RDG account with the RBI. Payments for transactions can be made using saving bank account through internet-banking or Unified Payments Interface (UPI).

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RBI Gov hints on ‘gradual’ unwinding of exceptional liquidity measures

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Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday dropped ample hints on unwinding of the exceptional liquidity measures announced over the last one-and-a-half years, stating that the process has to be gradual, calibrated and non-disruptive, while remaining supportive of the economic recovery.

Given the liquidity overhang of more than ₹13-lakh crore, Das underscored that the RBI will continue to absorb surplus liquidity via the 14-day variable rate reverse repo (VRRR) auction.

Further, the Central bank will discontinue the Government Security Acquisition Programme (G-SAP) operation, which is aimed at providing liquidity to banks so that they subscribe to Government Securities at primary auctions and yields are kept under check. The Governor said, “As we approach the shore, we don’t want to rock the boat. We want to go beyond the shore.”

Das said as the economy shows signs of emerging from the Covid-19 inflicted ravages, a near consensus view emerging among market participants and policy makers is that the liquidity conditions emanating from the exceptional measures instituted during the crisis would need to evolve in sync with the macroeconomic developments to preserve financial stability

Keeping in view the market feedback, it is proposed to undertake the 14-day VRRR auctions on a fortnightly basis in the following manner: ₹4-lakh crore today as already notified; ₹4.5-lakh crore on October 22; ₹5-lakh crore on November 3; ₹5.5-lakh crore on November 18; and ₹6-lakh crore on December 3.

Further, depending upon the evolving liquidity conditions – especially the quantum of capital flows, pace of government expenditure and credit offtake – the RBI may also consider complementing the 14-day VRRR auctions with 28-day VRRR auctions in a similar calibrated fashion.

“Let me reiterate and re-emphasise that the VRRR auctions are primarily a tool for rebalancing liquidity as part of our liquidity management operations and should not be interpreted as a reversal of the accommodative policy stance. The RBI will ensure that there is adequate liquidity to support the process of economic recovery. The Reserve Bank will continue to support the market in ensuring an orderly completion of the borrowing programme of the government,” Das said. Further, RBI’s focus on orderly evolution of the yield curve as a public good also continues.

G-SAP

Das emphasised that given the existing liquidity overhang, the absence of a need for additional borrowing for GST compensation and the expected expansion of liquidity in the system as government spending increases in line with budget estimates, the need for undertaking further G-SAP operations at this juncture does not arise.

The Reserve Bank, however, would remain in readiness to undertake G-SAP as and when warranted by liquidity conditions and also continue to flexibly conduct other liquidity management operations including Operation Twist (OT) and regular open market operations (OMOs), he added.

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To purchase and simultaneously sale G-Secs on Sept 23: RBI

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Monday announced that will conduct open market purchase of Government Securities (G-Secs) under its “G-Sec Acquisition Programme (G-SAP) 2.0” along with a simultaneous sale of G-Secs on September 23.

So far, under G-SAP, the RBI has only conducted standalone G-Sec purchases. But this time round, it is simultaneously conducting sale of G-Secs in view of ample liquidity in the banking system.

RBI will purchase three G-Secs of seven to 14 years tenor, aggregating ₹15,000 crore, under G-SAP 2.0 on September 23.

Simultaneously, the Central bank will sell three short-term G-Sec, all maturing in 2022, aggregating ₹15,000 crore.

In the second quarter so far, the RBI has bought G-Secs aggregating ₹90,000 crore in four G-SAP auctions. After the September 23rd G-SAP auction, it may conduct one more auction for ₹15,000 crore.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC MF, said the simultaneous conduct of G-Sec purchase under G-SAP and sale of G-Sec will be liquidity neutral. However, it may push up short-term yields.

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Das emphasises importance of G-Sec market in RBI policy making

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) made it plain to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) that it will not yield ground when it comes to regulation of the government securities (G-Sec) market.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, on Tuesday, emphasised the importance of the central bank’s direct access and oversight of the government securities market, stating that it enables the management of stress in the foreign exchange and interest rate markets.

The Governor’s observation assumes significance as it comes in the backdrop of SEBI Chairman Ajay Tyagi seeking unification of the G-Sec and corporate bond markets, which could bring G-Sec under the market regulator’s ambit.

Critical market

Highlighting the criticality of the G-Sec market for effective discharge of RBI’s functions, Das underscored that the RBI’s regulation of it has a strong synergy with its role as the banking regulator as banks are the largest category of participants in these markets.

Unified regulation

He mentioned that this is also highlighted in the recent G30 report which identified the balkanized regulation of US Treasury markets as having adversely impacted market making.

In his address at the 21st FIMMDA-PDAI annual conference, Das highlighted that the current arrangement of the G-Sec repository residing with the RBI facilitates seamless conduct of liquidity operations and simultaneous settlement of G-Sec trading.

“This provides confidence to investors, removes custodial risk, and minimises transaction costs. Access to real time market intelligence arising from ownership or oversight of market infrastructure is critical for fine-tuning timely policy responses,” he said.

Das called attention to the fact that the current regulatory arrangement offers synergies in terms of a unified market for G-Secs, repo in G-Secs, liquidity and other monetary operations, exchange rate management, regulation for key derivative markets, public debt management, and prudential regulation of banks, the largest category among market participants.

Close coordination

He noted that the synergy between the RBI’s responsibility for key macro market variables – interest rates and exchange rates, which ensures overall financial market efficiency – and its obligation to ensure stability while keeping in mind the objective of growth is well-accepted.

“With the development of the domestic financial markets and deregulation of interest rates, effective transmission of monetary policy impulses relies on the G-Sec market being deep and liquid so as to create the intended impact on interest rates by linking expectations of future short-term rates to current long-term rates,” Das said.

Similarly, a well-functioning G-Sec market ensures efficient discharge of the public debt management function.

He also remarked that the public debt structure – quantity, composition and ownership of debt – also influences monetary conditions.

“In the wake of the pandemic, when fiscal response resulted in a sharp increase in government borrowing, the market operations conducted by the Reserve Bank not only ensured non-disruptive implementation of the borrowing programme, but also facilitated the stable and orderly evolution of the yield curve,” the Governor said.

Das stressed that monetary policy, G-Sec market regulation and public debt management, therefore, need to be conducted in close coordination, and the primary focus of such coordination is the G-Sec market.

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Will buy 4 G-Secs aggregating ₹20,000 crore, says RBI

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday said it will purchase four Government Securities (G-Secs) aggregating ₹20,000 crore under its G-sec Acquisition Programme (G-SAP 2.0) on July 22 to support the market.

Also read: 10-year G-Sec auction: RBI accepts bids at a higher cut-off yield of 6.10 per cent

RBI will purchase the G-Secs maturing between 2024 and 2029. This will be its second purchase of G-Secs under G-SAP 2.0. The first purchase of five G-Secs, maturing between 2027 and 2033, aggregating ₹20,000 crore was conducted on July 8.

Under G-SAP 2.0, RBI has committed upfront to a specific amount (₹1.20-lakh crore in the second quarter of FY22) of open market purchases of G-Secs to enable a stable and orderly evolution of the yield curve amidst comfortable liquidity conditions.

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‘Inflation spike seems transitory’ – The Hindu BusinessLine

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Government Securities’ (G-Sec) prices rallied on Thursday despite inflationary concerns from rising prices of petrol and diesel as the Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das observed that the inflation spike appears to be transitory.

The price of the widely traded 2035 G-Sec/GS (coupon rate: 6.64 per cent) rose 51 paise to close at ₹99.21 (previous close: ₹98.70) with its yield declining about 6 basis points to 6.73 per cent (6.79 per cent).

Bond prices and yields are inversely related and move in opposite directions. The price of the 5.63 per cent GS 2026 increased by 40 paise to close at ₹99.70 (₹99.30) with its yield declining about 10 basis points to 5.70 per cent (5.80 per cent).

Das, in an interview to a financial daily, said the current inflation spike appears to be transitory, driven largely by supply-side factors, and it is expected to moderate in the third quarter.

Financial stability report

The central bank’s latest financial stability report has cautioned that hasty withdrawal of policy stimulus to support growth before sufficient coverage of the vaccination drive can sap macro-financial resilience and have adverse unintended consequences. CARE Ratings Chief Economist Madan Sabnavis emphasised that the rising prices of petrol and fuel has spooked the market, which sees inflation climbing. This in turn has affected the bond market as the RBI has held on to the yield curve.

‘Bond market edgy’

“It (rising fuel price) enters transport costs which get embedded in the final prices of all commodities. The fact that fuel is not in the GST (goods and service tax) gives freedom to the government to increase taxes without any constraint.

“But allowing prices to increase has distorted inflation which in turn has kept the bond market edgy,” he said.

Sabnavis opined that the RBI’s resolve to manage the yield curve has caused a disconnection between monetary policy action and interest rate action.

Meanwhile, the first tranche of G-sec Acquisition Programme (G-SAP 2.0), entailing open market purchase of five G-Secs aggregating ₹20,000 crore, sailed through.

This sets the stage for banks and primary dealers to bid at Friday’s auction of three G-Secs, including a new 10-year GS.

The Government will be raising ₹26,000 crore via sale of these G-Secs. It will also have the option to retain additional subscription up to ₹6,000 crore against the securities being auctioned.

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RBI pays higher-than-expected price to buy 10-year G-Sec

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The Reserve Bank of India paid about 38 paise more to purchase the 10-year Government Security (G-Sec) under the third tranche of the G-Sec Acquisition Programme 1.0 in a bid to keep bond yields on a tight leash.

The central bank bought this G-Sec (coupon rate: 5.85 per cent) at ₹98.99 (yield: 5.991 per cent) against the previous close of ₹98.6075 (6.045 per cent).

The move to buy the aforementioned security at a higher price had the desired effect as it closed about 18 paise higher at ₹98.79 than the previous close, with the yield declining about 3 basis points to 6.0192 per cent.

Bond yield and price are inversely related and move in opposite directions.

Under G-SAP 1.0, the central has committed upfront to a specific amount (₹1-lakh crore in the first quarter of FY22) of open market purchases of G-Secs to enable a stable and orderly evolution of the yield curve amidst comfortable liquidity conditions.

Of the six G-Secs and State development loans of 12 States the central bank intended to buy aggregating ₹40,000 crore, it invested about 67 per cent of the amount (or ₹26,779 crore) in buying the 10-year paper.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, said: “the 10-year G-Sec is the most widely-traded security. It is the signalling rate. Most of the borrowing is in the belly (10-year to 15-year) of the curve.

“In the last two days, prices had fallen based on the upcoming Fed event and profit booking. So probably it was bought 38 paise up.”

He underscored that most of the float is with RBI in 10-year benchmark paper.

“Probably RBI gave an exit to investors holding this paper so that those they can participate in auctions going ahead and support the borrowing,” Irani said.

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