‘The insurance sector and governments need to coordinate to hedge natural disaster risks’

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A public-private solution in the form of a National Disaster Pool, for hedging natural disaster risks, in close coordination with the insurance sector might offer many benefits over government-induced crisis loans and grants, according to Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Adviser, State Bank of India.

“If we consider 2020 floods in India, the total economic loss was of $7.5 billion (₹52,500 crore) but insurance available was only to the magnitude of 11%. If the government had insured it, then the premium for the sum assurance of ₹60,000 crore would have been only in the range of ₹13,000 to ₹15,000 crore,” Ghosh said in the latest edition of Ecowrap.

India recorded 756 instances of natural disasters (landslide, storm, earthquake, flood, drought, etc.) since 1900 with 402 events occurring during 1900-2000 and 354 during 2001-2021, indicating the preponderance of tail events off late. Since 2001, a total of 100 crore people have been impacted and nearly 83,000 people have lost lives due to these disasters. If the losses are adjusted with current prices, the losses comes out to a staggering ₹13 lakh crore i.e. 6% of India’s GDP. Also, there is huge gap in reporting of losses (loss data of only 193 events are available for India) and there are problems in existing estimation methodologies too.

Protection gap

Recently, the intensity and frequency of natural calamities, especially cyclones, have increased manifold in India. “In India, only around 8% of the total losses are covered, so, there is around 92% protection gap during the period 1991 to 2021. So, early intervention is needed to close the protection gap, which is in all lines (life & non-life) of insurance,” the report said.

Also read: SBI Ecowrap proposes 5 key agricultural reforms

Going by the 92% protection gap in India, an average Indian is only insured of roughly 8% of what may be required to protect a family from a financial shock following the death of the breadwinner. This means having savings and insurance of just ₹8 for every ₹100 needed for protection. Lack of awareness of what is an adequate life insurance cover for an individual increases the mortality protection gap.

“The insurance sector and governments need to actively engage and discuss how best to address the potential contingent liabilities from pandemic risk. This would also imply relooking at credit underwriting standards by incorporating outlier observations often ignored by modelling data. Meanwhile, we notice with elation that the level of insurance has indeed jumped post-pandemic indicating that the understanding of obtaining insurance cover is now increasing across the typical Indian households and we believe this percolates at the government level too,” Ghosh added.

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Will profitable PSUs need capital support from govt this year?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The government is likely to pump capital in public sector banks during the last quarter of the current financial year to meet regulatory requirements.

The government in Budget 2021-22 made an allocation of Rs 20,000 crore for capital infusion in the state-owned banks.The capital position of banks would be reviewed in the next quarter, and depending on the requirement, infusion will be made to meet the regulatory needs.

In the current fiscal so far, all 12 public sector banks have posted a profit, which is being ploughed back to bolster the balance sheet of the banks.

Going forward, the rise in stressed assets would determine capital requirement. If numbers are anything to go by, the financial health of public sector banks are showing gradual signs of improvement across the spectrum.

What Icra says

As per Icra’s estimates, public sector banks (PSBs) may not need the capital budgeted by the government for FY22, even with enhanced capital requirements.

However, banks are advised to keep provisions for any unforeseen events as it would provide confidence to banks, investors and credit growth. Icra said that large private sector banks (PVBs) also remain well-capitalised though few mid-sized ones could need to raise capital.

“We continue to maintain our credit growth estimate of 7.3-8.3 per cent for banks for FY2022 compared to 5.5 per cent for FY2021,” Icra said.

Despite expectations of moderation in gains on bond portfolios because of expectations of rising bond yields in FY22, the return on equity for banks is likely to remain steady at 4.4-7.6 per cent for PSBs (5.1 per cent in FY21) and 9.5-9.9 per cent for PVBs (10.5 per cent in FY2021), the report said.

PCA framework

Will profitable PSUs need capital support from govt this year?

Last month, the Reserve Bank of India removed UCO Bank and Indian Overseas Bank from its prompt corrective action framework, following improvement in various parameters and written commitment from them that would comply with the minimum capital norms.

The only public sector lender left under the PCA framework is Central Bank of India.

PCA is triggered when banks breach certain regulatory requirements such as return on asset, minimum capital, and quantum of the non-performing asset. These restrictions disable the bank in several ways to lend freely and force it to operate under a restrictive environment that turns out to be a hurdle to growth.

Last financial year, the government infused Rs 20,000 crore in the five public sector banks. Out of this, Rs 11,500 crore had gone to three banks under PCA — UCO Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, and Central Bank of India.

The government infused Rs 4,800 crore in Central Bank of India, Rs 4,100 crore in Indian Overseas Bank and Kolkata-based UCO Bank got Rs 2,600 crore. The government has infused over Rs 3.15 lakh crore into public sector banks (PSBs) in the 11 years through 2018-19.

In 2019-20, the government infused a capital of Rs 70,000 crore into PSBs to boost credit for a strong impetus to the economy.



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Government announces conversion of two G-Secs into six FRBs

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The government on Wednesday announced the conversion or switch of two Government Securities (G-Secs), both maturing in 2022 and aggregating ₹36,000 crore (face value) into six floating rate bonds (FRBs) maturing between 2028 and 2034.

Thus, the government does not have to redeem the aforementioned G-Secs on their maturity dates — April 13, 2022 (for the security carrying 5.09 per cent coupon rate) and August 02, 2022 (for the security carrying 8.08 per cent coupon rate). Redemption pressure on the government is alleviated to the extent of the face value of the securities being converted or switched.

Also see: A journey towards monetary normalisation

Marzban Irani, CIO – Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, said, “There are two reasons for going in for the conversion or switch of the two G-Secs into FRBs. Firstly, market participants have shown an appetite for this instrument as they expect interest rates to reverse (go up). Secondly, this move postpones the maturity of the G-Secs, thereby lessening the redemption burden on the government.”

Auction for conversion

RBI, in a statement, said the conversion or switch will take place through a multiple-price based auction, which has been scheduled on October 18.

In this auction, successful bids will be accepted at their respective quoted prices for the source and destination securities.

RBI started conducting auctions for the conversion of G-Secs on the third Monday of every month from April 22, 2019.

Bidding in the auction implies that the market participants agree to sell the source security/ies to the government, and simultaneously agree to buy the destination security from the GoI at their respective quoted prices.

Online portal

Market participants are required to place their bids through the e-Kuber portal, giving the amount of the source security and the price of the source and destination security expressed up to two decimal places.

Also see: RBI announcements roil the markets

The price of the source security quoted must be equal to the FBIL (Financial Benchmarks India) closing price of the source security as on the previous working day.

Bond price

Meanwhile, price of the 10-year benchmark G-Sec carrying 6.10 per cent coupon rate moved up about 8 paise to close at ₹98.445 (against the previous close of ₹98.36). Yield of this security thawed about a basis point to 6.3145 per cent against 6.3263 per cent.

Bond price and yield are inversely correlated and move in opposite directions.

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Govt accords ‘Maharatna’ status to Power Finance Corporation, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi, The government has accorded the ‘Maharatna‘ status to state-owned Power Finance Corporation (PFC), a move that will pave the way for the company’s greater financial and operational efficiency, according to a company statement. “Government of India accorded the prestigious ‘Maharatna’ status to state-owned Power Finance Corporation (PFC), thus giving PFC greater operational and financial autonomy,” the company said in the statement.

An order to this effect was issued on Tuesday by the Department of Public Enterprises, under the Ministry of Finance.

Incorporated in 1986, PFC is the largest infrastructure finance company dedicated to the power sector under the administrative control of the Ministry of Power.

The grant of ‘Maharatna’ status to PFC will impart enhanced powers to PFC’s board while taking financial decisions.

The Board of a ‘Maharatna’ CPSE can make equity investments to undertake financial joint ventures and wholly-owned subsidiaries and undertake mergers and acquisitions in India and abroad, subject to a ceiling of 15 per cent of the networth of the concerned CPSE, limited to Rs 5,000 crore in one project.

The board can also structure and implement schemes relating to personnel and human resource management and training. They can also enter into technology joint ventures or other strategic alliances.

Union Power and New & Renewable Energy Minister R K Singh congratulated and remarked that the “conferment of the ‘Maharatna’ status is the reflection of the government’s confidence on PFC’s strategic role in the overall development of the power sector and an endorsement of its sterling performance.”

He added that this new recognition will enable PFC to offer competitive financing for the power sector, which will go a long way in making available affordable and reliable ‘Power For All 24×7’.

PFC Chairman and Managing Director R S Dhillon said in the statement that PFC has received the ‘Maharatna’ status because of its exceptional financial performance during the past three years. “Despite COVID-19, PFC witnessed the highest-ever annual sanctions and disbursements to the power sector to the tune of Rs 1.66 lakh crore and Rs 88,300 crore during 2020-21, and the highest ever profit of Rs 8,444 crore in FY 2020-21.”

Dhillon added that with the enhanced powers of ‘Maharatna’, PFC will diversify its operations to further accelerate its business growth going forward and leverage its position for achieving the government’s objectives for the overall development of the power sector. PTI KKS HRS hrs



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FM Sitharaman on LIC IPO, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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While all eyes are on India’s biggest issue of the year, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said she’s yet to disclose the proportion being sold off in the IPO of Life Insurance Corp. (LIC). Sitharaman exclaimed, in an exchange with ET, that LIC did not have an ’embedded’ valuation mechanism.

ET asked her if she commits that the government stake would stay above 51% with general insurance companies to which she attested that she will have ‘government’s presence’ in that area and that it will obviously hold stake.

“We will have a fix obviously, but I will tell you only when I’m ready to tell you. The time which has been consumed for this is only to get the mechanisms put in place. You will know how unprepared public sector companies are for even facing their own realities. They (LIC) did not have an embedded valuation mechanism. Will you believe it!,” she replied on being inquired about there being a fix on how much stake the government will divest in LIC.

“Yes, it is an IPO,” validated Sitharaman on whether the government will maintain its stake at about 51% in case of the LIC IPO too.

‘Bare minimum’ presence of government will be there in all three segments of Insurance- life insurance, general insurance and reinsurance, the Finance Minister confirmed while adding that insurance is also a part of core and strategic sector listed items.

Companies that can’t either be merged or brought in for a bigger scale will be disposed of.

LIC IPO is important for the government to meet its yearly disinvestment target of Rs. 1.75 lakh crore. Government has plans to privatise two public sector banks and one insurance firm.

Rs 1.75 lakh crore is expected to come from selling of government stake in state-run banks and financial institutions. While Rs 75,000 crore is projected to flow in through CPSE disinvestment receipts.

The size of the share sale will be decided by a commission led by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. For the proposed IPO, the government has revised the LIC Act of 1956. The LIC has appointed Arijit Basu, the former MD of State Bank of India and former MD & CEO of SBI Life, as a consultant to help execute the IPO.



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Voda Idea lenders fret over ‘too big to fail’ telco giant, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Mumbai: A day after Kumar Mangalam Birla’s letter warning that Vodafone Idea (VIL) may reach an “irretrievable point of collapse” became public, banks are worried about the fate of the telecom major which, they say, is “too big to fail”.

Lenders, both Indian and global, have an exposure of Rs 1.8 lakh crore. A large part of this is in the form of guarantees. Some private lenders with a funded exposure have already started making provisions. However, the bulk of the exposure is to public sector banks.

If VIL fails to repay its dues to the government and these guarantees are invoked, it would immediately turn into debt and would soon be classified as a non-performing asset. The hit on public sector banks will not be as large as their exposure because in recent years, lenders have been demanding a substantially higher cash margin from Vodafone for their guarantees. IDBI Bank is understood to have up to 40% margins for the guarantees it has extended. But even then it will be large enough to wipe out profits for many.

For banks, recovery of debt is contingent on VIL remaining operational and retaining customers. While the company continues to have close to a fourth of the Indian market, its situation could change overnight if there is a default. According to bankers, the insolvency process can work only when there are buyers. In the case of VIL, the Rs 53,000-crore AGR (adjusted gross revenue) dues to the Centre are a deterrent. This is despite Birla being willing to write down his entire equity.

The government dues cannot be avoided as the Centre cannot make an exception for one company. Even in insolvency cases, the telecom department has claimed its dues to be that of a financial creditor although there have been attempts to mark them as operational creditors. The uncertainty over telecom department’s claims, which is already being experienced by lenders in the Reliance Communication insolvency case, would makes telecom resolutions a challenge. Lenders do not want to risk insolvency as this would result in the exit of customers which was the case with RCom.

Lenders say besides the company’s debt obligations being equal to 1.5% of the banking sector’s credit, VIL is a large telecom infrastructure provider. Several business applications run on their networks and the company is one of the largest providers of “internet of things” service. A bank executive said insolvency would be a worst-case scenario as there is a risk of customers migrating.



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PSU banks keep vigil over Cairn Energy raid on its overseas accounts, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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With UK’s Cairn Energy Plc looking to seize Indian assets to recover USD 1.2 billion it was awarded by an international arbitration tribunal, the Indian government has dug in heels and put banks on vigil for any such action.

Cairn Energy has said it taking necessary actions to access the USD 1.7 billion it was awarded by an international arbitration tribunal after overturning a retroactive tax demand slapped by the Indian government.

The Department of Financial Services has asked public sector banks to appoint a nodal officer amid increasing concerns that overseas assets or deposits of these lenders could be attached.

The department wrote a letter to public sector bank chiefs suggesting they immediately inform Sanjay Kumar, director – banking operations, if they receive ‘any intimation/notice/letter’ from Cairn Energy Plc and its subsidiary Cairn UK Holdings.

“Banks are advised to appoint a nodal officer in the case for any future correspondence, and share the name, designation and contact details of the official with us,” Jnanatosh Roy, under secretary, department of nancial services, nance ministry, wrote in the letter.

Cairn Energy and the government are locked in a legal battle over an arbitration order that requires India to pay $1.2 billion.

Withdraw funds

Last week, the central government has asked public sector banks to withdraw funds from their foreign currency accounts abroad, as New Delhi fears Cairn Energy may try to seize the cash after an arbitration ruling in a tax dispute.

A guidance was sent to state-run banks to withdraw funds from their nostro accounts.

A nostro account refers to an account a bank holds overseas at another bank in the currency of that jurisdiction. Such accounts are used for international trade and to settle other foreign exchange transactions.

While the Indian government has filed an appeal, the London-listed firm has started identifying Indian assets overseas, including bank accounts, that could be seized in the absence of a settlement, which Cairn says it is still pursuing.

The company has registered its claim against India in courts in the United States, Britain, France, the Netherlands, Singapore and Quebec, moves that could make it easier to seize assets and enforce the arbitration award.

The government was concerned courts abroad could order funds in their jurisdiction be remitted to Cairn.

Cairn said in February it was discussing several proposals with the government to find a solution.

India’s stand

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has earlier said that an international arbitration ruling on India’s sovereign right to taxation sets the wrong precedent, but said the government is looking at how best it can sort out the issue arising out of New Delhi being ordered to return $1.2 billion plus interest and cost to UK’s Cairn Energy Plc.

The government, which participated in an international arbitration brought by the Scottish firm against being taxed retrospectively, has appealed against The Hague based tribunal’s ruling asking the government to return the value of shares expropriated and liquidated, tax refunds withheld and dividend seized to recover a wrongly levied retroactive tax demand.

“We don’t believe in retrospective taxation,” she had said. “However, when issues are taken at arbitration… which question India’s sovereign right to taxation, we are worried that it sets a wrong precedent.” The Indian government argues that tax levied by a sovereign power should not be subject to private arbitration. Cairn had previously said the award is binding and it can enforce it by seizing overseas Indian assets.

Sitharaman, however, added that the government is looking to sort out the issue.

“I want to see how we can best sort this out,” she said, without elaborating.

The award

Cairn was awarded damages of more than $1.2 billion-plus interest and costs in December in a long-drawn-out tussle with the Indian government over its retrospective tax claims.

The Scottish firm invested in the oil and gas sector in India in 1994 and a decade later it made a huge oil discovery in Rajasthan. In 2006, it listed its Indian assets on the BSE.

Five years after that, the government passed retroactive tax law and billed Cairn Rs 10,247 crore plus interest and penalty for the reorganisation tied to the flotation.

The state then expropriated and liquidated Cairn’s remaining shares in the Indian entity, seized dividends and withheld tax refunds to recover a part of the demand.

Cairn challenged the move before an arbitration tribunal in The Hague, which in December awarded it $1.2 billion (over Rs 8,800 crore) plus costs and interest, which totals USD 1.725 billion (Rs 12,600 crore) as of December 2020.

The company has since then been in talks with the finance ministry to get the government to pay the award.



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Bank of India EGM next week to seek shareholders’ nod for preference shares to govt, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi, Apr 30 () State-owned Bank of India (BOI) has convened extraordinary general meeting (EGM) of shareholders next week to seek approval for issuance of equity shares to government for capital infusion of Rs 3,000 crore. EGM of the shareholders of Bank of India will be held on Wednesday, May 5, 2021 through video conferencing and other audio visual means, the bank said in a regulatory filing.

The board will seek consent of shareholders of the bank to issue and allot up to 42,11,70,854 equity shares for cash at Rs 71.23 per equity share including premium of Rs 61.23 aggregating up to Rs 3,000 crore on preferential basis to government, the bank said in a regulatory filing.

The government in March had sanctioned to infuse the capital in BOI as part of equity during the financial year 2020-21.

Bank of India said it has been growing very diligently and cautiously for the last many years and there is a constant requirement to augment capital.

In order to meet this growing requirement, bank needs long term capital, it added.

The lender said it will utilise the funds to shore up the capital adequacy of the bank and to fund the general business needs of the bank.

After the preferential issue of shares, government’s shareholding in bank will go up to 90.34 per cent from 89.10 per cent now.

Stock of the bank closed at Rs 66.35 apiece on the BSE, down 1.63 per cent from the previous close. KPM MKJ



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Covid-led delays for infra projects a worry for banks, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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It’s not just retail loans that banks may have to worry about.

The big infrastructure projects, which are already undergoing slow progress, may face more stress as the new Covid wave intensifies restrictions.

The government has unveiled an infrastructure push in the Union budget, which may be hit due to the renewed vigour of the pandemic.

Developers hit

Developers are facing issues of transporting labour and construction material to sites due to the new restrictions. With oxygen supply to steel and cement industries diverted to medical use dropping there may be bottlenecks in input supplies. Also, the government has indicated it may borrow more from the market, which would raise funding costs for the projects.

If the Covid wave continues for long, the infrastructure projects will face a setback and lead to their re-rating.

Cost overruns

Already projects are lagging even before the new Covid wave hit

As many as 448 infrastructure projects, each worth Rs 150 crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns totalling

more than Rs 4.02 lakh crore, according to a report. The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation monitors infrastructure projects worth Rs 150 crore and above.

Of the 1,739 such projects, 448 reported cost overruns and 539 were delayed. “Total original cost of implementation of the 1,739 projects was Rs 22,18,210.29 crore and their anticipated completion cost is likely to be Rs 26,20,618.44 crore, which reflects overall cost overruns of Rs 4,02,408.15 crore (18.14 per cent of original cost),” the ministry’s latest report for January 2021 said.

The expenditure incurred on these projects till January 2021 is Rs 12,29,517.04 crore, which is 46.92 per cent of the anticipated cost of the projects.

Project delays

However, the report said the number of delayed projects decreased to 401 if delay is calculated on the basis of the latest schedule of completion.

Further, for 941 projects neither the year of commissioning nor the tentative gestation period has been reported.

Out of 539 delayed projects, 106 projects have overall delays in the range of 1-12 months, 131 projects have delays of 13-24 months, 187 projects reflect delays in the range of 25-60 months and 115 projects show delays of 61 months and above. The average time overrun in these 539 delayed projects is 44.65 months. Reasons for time overruns as reported by various project implementing agencies include delay in land acquisition, delay in obtaining forest and environment clearances, and lack of infrastructure support and linkages.

Delay in tie-up for project financing, delay in finalisation of detailed engineering, change in scope, delay in tendering, ordering and equipment supply, and law and order problems, among others, are the other reasons, the report said.



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S Ramann appointed as chairman & managing director of SIDBI, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi: The government has appointed S Ramann as Chairman and Managing Director of Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI). The appointment is for a period of three years from the date of his assuming the charge or until further orders, a government statement said.

In December, Banks Board Bureau, the headhunter for state-owned banks and financial institutions, had recommended his name for the post.

Ramann, a 1991-batch Indian Audit & Accounts Service officer, is currently the CEO of National E-Governance Services Ltd, India’s first Information Utility.

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