MNC banks to RBI, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Large multinational banks have impressed upon the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) the need to open a ‘dollar placement window’ to absorb sudden foreign currency inflow, and extend forex trading hours with the T-plus-One (T+1) settlement in stock exchanges and the expected inclusion of GoI securities in global bond index next year.

These banks, which act as custodians for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), fear a dollar pile-up could cause a breach of regulatory exposure limits if they are unable to convert the foreign currency that FPIs bring in. The matter was discussed between bankers and senior RBI officials in two meetings over the past few weeks, two persons familiar with the issue told ET.

Shortening the stock settlement cycles from T+2 to T+1 would require arranging funds a day earlier. It’s believed if the forex market issues are not addressed, India could become a pre-funded market, which would raise the cost for FPIs. After several representations, custodian banks and FPIs have managed to buy some time with stock exchanges deciding to introduce the new settlement cycle in a staggered way. FPIs, according to the rollout plan, will have to deal with the T+1 mechanism around mid next year.

  • IN FOREX: market, cash deals happen till 3/3:30 pm
  • CONVERTING $: From FPIs to INR is tough in the evening
  • SO BANKS WANT: RBI to offer a window to accept $ from banks
  • A WINDOW FROM RBI will also enable banks selling $ to meet CRR

A T+1 settlement would require conversion of dollars (from FPIs operating in different time zones) into rupees well after the normal market hours. While the forex market is open 24/7, custodian banks would find it difficult to sell the dollar (and generate rupees) in the evening when very few banks trade and liquidity dries up. Besides equities, there could be bouts of dollar inflows into debts once government debt papers are part of a global bond index and restrictions on foreign investments in sovereign securities are loosened.

Regulatory Cap on Exposure
Under T+1, the dollar would have to be converted into the local currency on the same day as trade confirmation and payment of margin or the full deal amount (an FPI buying equities must pay) has to be given to the clearing corporation by 7.30/8 pm. If the custodian bank can’t find a buyer for the dollar, it would park the dollar with its head office or an overseas branch. And this could raise its exposure beyond the regulatory limit.

Under the RBI rule that restricts a bank from taking an exposure of more than a quarter of its tier-1 capital (i.e, equity and free reserves) to a single counterparty, the India branch of a foreign bank and any of its overseas offices are considered as two distinct entities. So, the extra, unsold dollars a foreign bank’s Mumbai branch places with its London or New York office is counted as the local branch’s exposure to the overseas branch.

“Of course, the situation can change dramatically if US rate hikes result in large outflows. But as a medium term strategy, it could make sense for the central bank to offer a dollar window. It would also make the forward premia less volatile. A dollar deposit facility may require regulatory changes. As far as extending cash (forex) market timing goes, it’s up to the banks to decide. But there is a need for a more active market beyond regular hours,” said a senior banker.

“While the T+1 issue is some months away, banks have initiated discussion with RBI after realising that Sebi and the ministry want to go ahead with it. Today, cash forex trades (where the conversion happens the same day) take place till 3/3.30 pm. Even if you extend it and change the Dollar/INR clearing timings, banks have to meet the CRR (cash reserve ratio) requirement. So, it will be easier if a bank can sell the dollar to the central bank under a special window as well as give the extra cash to fulfil CRR requirement. Stock preferred by FPIs would come under T+1 only in the second half of next year. But before that, many in the market expect Gsecs to be included in the bond market,” said another person.



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MNC banks to RBI, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Large multinational banks have impressed upon the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) the need to open a ‘dollar placement window’ to absorb sudden foreign currency inflow, and extend forex trading hours with the T-plus-One (T+1) settlement in stock exchanges and the expected inclusion of GoI securities in global bond index next year.

These banks, which act as custodians for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), fear a dollar pile-up could cause a breach of regulatory exposure limits if they are unable to convert the foreign currency that FPIs bring in. The matter was discussed between bankers and senior RBI officials in two meetings over the past few weeks, two persons familiar with the issue told ET.

Shortening the stock settlement cycles from T+2 to T+1 would require arranging funds a day earlier. It’s believed if the forex market issues are not addressed, India could become a pre-funded market, which would raise the cost for FPIs. After several representations, custodian banks and FPIs have managed to buy some time with stock exchanges deciding to introduce the new settlement cycle in a staggered way. FPIs, according to the rollout plan, will have to deal with the T+1 mechanism around mid next year.

  • IN FOREX: market, cash deals happen till 3/3:30 pm
  • CONVERTING $: From FPIs to INR is tough in the evening
  • SO BANKS WANT: RBI to offer a window to accept $ from banks
  • A WINDOW FROM RBI will also enable banks selling $ to meet CRR

A T+1 settlement would require conversion of dollars (from FPIs operating in different time zones) into rupees well after the normal market hours. While the forex market is open 24/7, custodian banks would find it difficult to sell the dollar (and generate rupees) in the evening when very few banks trade and liquidity dries up. Besides equities, there could be bouts of dollar inflows into debts once government debt papers are part of a global bond index and restrictions on foreign investments in sovereign securities are loosened.

Regulatory Cap on Exposure
Under T+1, the dollar would have to be converted into the local currency on the same day as trade confirmation and payment of margin or the full deal amount (an FPI buying equities must pay) has to be given to the clearing corporation by 7.30/8 pm. If the custodian bank can’t find a buyer for the dollar, it would park the dollar with its head office or an overseas branch. And this could raise its exposure beyond the regulatory limit.

Under the RBI rule that restricts a bank from taking an exposure of more than a quarter of its tier-1 capital (i.e, equity and free reserves) to a single counterparty, the India branch of a foreign bank and any of its overseas offices are considered as two distinct entities. So, the extra, unsold dollars a foreign bank’s Mumbai branch places with its London or New York office is counted as the local branch’s exposure to the overseas branch.

“Of course, the situation can change dramatically if US rate hikes result in large outflows. But as a medium term strategy, it could make sense for the central bank to offer a dollar window. It would also make the forward premia less volatile. A dollar deposit facility may require regulatory changes. As far as extending cash (forex) market timing goes, it’s up to the banks to decide. But there is a need for a more active market beyond regular hours,” said a senior banker.

“While the T+1 issue is some months away, banks have initiated discussion with RBI after realising that Sebi and the ministry want to go ahead with it. Today, cash forex trades (where the conversion happens the same day) take place till 3/3.30 pm. Even if you extend it and change the Dollar/INR clearing timings, banks have to meet the CRR (cash reserve ratio) requirement. So, it will be easier if a bank can sell the dollar to the central bank under a special window as well as give the extra cash to fulfil CRR requirement. Stock preferred by FPIs would come under T+1 only in the second half of next year. But before that, many in the market expect Gsecs to be included in the bond market,” said another person.



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FPIs can buy debt securities issued by InvITs, REITs: RBI

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The Reserve Bank of India on Monday said foreign portfolio investors can acquire debt securities issued by Infrastructure Investment Trusts and Real Estate Investment Trusts.

Within the limits

Such investments shall be reckoned within the limits and subject to the terms and conditions for investments by FPIs in debt securities under the respective regulations of Medium Term Framework and Voluntary Retention Route, said an RBI circular.

The RBI, on March 31, had left the limits for FPI investment in corporate bonds unchanged at 15 per cent of outstanding stock of securities for FY22, with the limit for the second half (October 2021 till March 2022) pegged at ₹6,07,039 crore against ₹5,74,263 crore for the first half (April-September 2021).

An announcement was made in the Union Budget 2021-22 that debt financing of InvITs and REITs by FPIs will be enabled by making suitable amendments in the relevant legislations. The decision is in line with the announcement, it said.

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Fresh tax notices to FPIs over capital gains, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The I-T department has asked multiple foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) to cough up more taxes on their capital gains after denying set-off and tax treaty benefits, people aware of the development said. The notices were issued by the Centralised Processing Centre (CPC) of the I-T department under Section 143(1) of the Income-tax Act.

The intimation under Section 143(1) informs taxpayers about initial assessments carried out by the tax department and points out discrepancies in tax filings, and demands additional taxes, if any.

Intimations demanding additional taxes primarily cited three reasons, the sources said. Either the FPIs have been disallowed to set off long-term capital gains against short-term capital losses, or the tax department has not taken tax treaties into consideration, or, in some cases, it has categorised short-term capital losses incurred by FPIs as gains, they claimed.

Many tax experts suspect that this could just be a technical glitch in the system, but even so the FPIs will now have to approach either the Commissioner of Income Tax (Appeals) or litigate the matter.

“The law allows long-term capital gains to be set off against short-term capital losses,” said Rajesh H Gandhi, partner at Deloitte India. “If such set-offs are denied, it could result in significant tax demands for FPIs, requiring them to litigate the matter. Hopefully this is a technical glitch and would be rectified soon.”

In other cases, the tax department has not taken tax treaties into consideration while demanding tax from FPIs. All FPIs that are covered by India’s bilateral tax treaties and attract much lower taxes – of 10% to 15% – than if they are not protected through tax treaties.

In several other cases, the tax department has categorised short-term capital losses incurred by FPIs as gains, sources said. So, instead of getting deductions on such amounts, they have been asked to cough up taxes.

“Taxpayers have raised concerns with respect to the Centralised Processing Centre erroneously treating short-term capital loss as short-term capital gains and taxing the same,” said Sameer Gupta at EY India. “There have been other issues, too, around gains which were subject to tax at 50% of the domestic tax rate,” he said.

“The remedial measures adopted by taxpayers for the above include filing of rectification application and also parallelly seeking recourse through an appellate process,” Gupta said. ET could not independently verify whether the tax notices were a result of a technical glitch or change in stance or any other issue related to FPIs. An email query sent to the CBDT and the FM did not elicit any response as of press time Thursday.



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FPIs pull out Rs 19,000 cr from banking, financial stocks in H1; stay cautious in H2, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Amid the euphoria in the stock markets, the Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have pulled out close to Rs 19,000 crore from the banking and financial sectors in the first six months of the current fiscal.

On the other hand, they have raised their exposure on stocks in the defensive sectors such as consumer goods, IT, pharma and telecom.

According to sector-wise FPI flow data compiled from depositories, FPIs pulled out Rs 18,700 crore from the financial services sector between April and September. Of the total outflows, Rs 13,872 crore went from the banking sector while Rs 4,827 crore was pulled out from ‘other financial services’, which covers financial institutions, non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies (HFCs).

Nifty Bank lagging far behind vis-a-vis Nifty 50 return on a YTD basis, while the leaders are Nifty Metals, Nifty Realty and Nifty IT.

Banking sector

Within the banking sector, the equity segment witnessed an outflow of Rs 12,964 crore during the April-September period while Rs 1,014 crore went out of the debt segment during H1. On the other hand, the other financial services category witnessed an inflow of Rs 1,159 crore in equities and outflow of Rs 5,797 crore from debt in the first six months of the current fiscal.

“A stand out feature of FPI flows in recent weeks is the outflows from banking and inflows into IT. Even though IT is highly valued, this segment is attracting increasing flows since earnings visibility is high in the segment while banking is struggling with poor credit growth and rising asset quality concerns, V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, said.

Defensive sectors

FPIs have been investing in defensive sectors due to rising volatility with the ‘household & personal products’ sector witnessed the highest FPI inflows in the last six months at Rs 6,725 crore followed by consumer durables ( Rs 6,580 crore), retailing (Rs 6,340 crore), telecom (Rs 5,773 crore) and insurance ( Rs 2,881 crore).

Though the economy has recovered in the second half, the market participants are having a cautious outlook as there has been no big jump in loan growth and concerns on NPAs remain.

Going forward, volatility in the global markets as well as global slowdown may impact foreign flows moving into Indian shores.

Also, any direction by US Fed towards tapering of the stimulus measures would make FPI flows into emerging markets volatile and at the same time it would be crucial in dictating the direction of foreign flows into Indian equities.



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FPIs pull out net Rs 6,105 cr from Indian capital mkts so far this fiscal, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pulled out a net Rs 6,105 crore from the Indian capital markets so far in the ongoing financial year amid the pandemic and resultant restrictions in many parts of the country. The equity benchmark BSE Sensex has jumped 3,077.69 points or 6.21 per cent during April-July this fiscal.

Reflecting an upbeat sentiment in the market, the benchmark had reached its all-time high of 53,290.81 on July 16, 2021. It closed at its lifetime high of 53,158.85 on July 15.

According to the depositories data, Rs 6,707 crore were withdrawn on a net basis from equities during the initial four months of this fiscal.

At the same time, a net sum of Rs 602 crore was invested in the debt segment.

This took the total net withdrawal to Rs 6,105 crore during the period under review.

The data showed that FPIs were net sellers in all the months barring June when they had invested Rs 13,269 crore.

The net outflow stood at Rs 9,435 crore in April, Rs 2,666 crore in May and Rs 7,273 in July.

“What is encouraging during the first four months is the fact that the number of new investor registrations in India is up 2.5 times year on year as per data released by the NSE,” said S Ranganathan, head of research at LKP Securities.

Market experts noted that the financial year started with a surge in COVID-19 cases and the consequent restrictions imposed by various states which dented investors’ sentiment.

June witnessed a gradual opening up of the localised lockdown and improved investor sentiments on the back of consistently falling coronavirus cases in the country, hopes of an early opening of the economy along with good quarterly results as per Himanshu Srivastava, associate director – manager research, Morningstar India.

“FPIs started to turn cautious towards Indian equity markets from mid of June and continued with the same stance through July. US Fed‘s hawkish statement that it might raise interest rates much earlier than assumed was the precursor for the change in their stance,” Srivastava added.

He further said that there are outflows but they are not exorbitantly high and this signifies that foreign investors are adopting a cautious stance towards Indian equities rather than turning negative on it.

Going forward, on the back of US Fed monetary policy which is keeping its benchmark policy rate unchanged, while indicating that they have begun talking about scaling back bond buying, and rising crude oil prices, FPI flows in the domestic market is expected to remain volatile, said Shrikant Chouhan, executive vice president, equity technical research at Kotak Securities.



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FPIs turn net buyers in Jun; invest Rs 12,714 cr in Indian markets, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi: After remaining net sellers for two months in a row, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in June turned net buyers by pumping in a net Rs 12,714 crore into Indian markets. Prior to this, overseas investors had pulled out Rs 2,666 crore in May and Rs 9,435 crore in April.

According to depositories data, FPIs invested Rs 15,282 crore in equities between June 1 and 25.

At the same time, FPIs withdrew Rs 2,568 crore from the debt segment.

The total net inflow stood at Rs 12,714 crore during the period under review.

Bajaj Capital Joint Chairman and MD Sanjiv Bajaj said the inflow in June is on account of “favourable global cues and improving outlook for the Indian economy amidst a sharp fall in the number of COVID-19 cases easing of lockdown restrictions in some parts and a pick-up in vaccination.”

India can witness ‘V’-shaped growth revival amid forecast of a normal monsoon, supportive monetary policy, a deleverage balance sheet of the corporate sector and a well-capitalised banking system, he added.

Geojit Financial Services Chief Investment Strategist V K Vijayakumar said, “High delivery volumes in IT (information technology) and metal stocks indicate strong institutional buying.”

Kotak Securities Executive Vice-President (Equity Technical Research) Shrikant Chouhan said that overall, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained nearly 1.49 per cent this week.

Except for India and Indonesia, all key emerging and Asian markets have seen FPI outflows this month to date, he further noted.

Indonesia saw month-to-date FPI inflows of USD 363 million. On the flip side, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand and Philippines saw month-to-date FPI outflows of USD 2,426 million, USD 1,218 million, USD 124 million and USD 64 million, respectively, he said.

Morningstar India Associate Director (Manager Research) Himanshu Srivastava said, “From the long-term perspective, India would attract foreign investments as the macroeconomic environment improves and the domestic economy starts treading on the recovery path.”

So far, the ultra-loose monetary policy stance by central banks globally to support the economy in the aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic had opened flood gates of foreign money into emerging markets like India, he added.

However, the US Federal Reserve‘s hawkish statement dented sentiments and prompted foreign investors to turn cautious, he said.



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FPIs bet big on private insurers

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Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are going strong on the Indian insurance sector. Bolstered by a strong growth in new business premium and profitability besides sensing a huge scope for insurance penetration, FPIs have been substantially increasing their stake in listed private insurers over the last 2-3 years.

Between FY19 and FY21, FPIs pumped in ₹52,527 crore into the sector.

Explosive growth

“Insurance industry in India is on the cusp of explosive growth. Even now insurance penetration (insurance premia as percentage of GDP) in India is abysmally low at 3.72 percent,” VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, said. “The upcoming five years are expected to witness 13-15 percent growth of the industry. Eying this opportunity, all investors – FIIs, DIIs, HNIs – have been scaling up investments in the sector,” he added.

Of the record FPI inflows worth ₹2.74-lakh crore in FY21, insurance attracted the second largest chunk after the private sector banks, Vijayakumar noted.

Prayesh Jain, Lead Analyst – Institutional Equities at YES Securities said that both life and general insurance are highly under-penetrated in India and have the potential to see a 15-18 per cent growth in premium CAGR over the next few years.

“Unlike other countries where insurers went bankrupt due to default in their investment papers, Indian insurers did not face any such situation due to strong regulations; their underwriting and claim settlement are quite impressive. All these factors make Indian insurance space more attractive for the foreign investors,” Jain added.

FPI holdings

Among private insurers, FPI holding in SBI Life more than doubled to 30.51 per cent as of FY21 from 14.06 per cent in FY19.

Similarly, foreign investors’ holding in HDFC Life jumped to 25.67 per cent (10.52 per cent) while their holding in ICICI Prudential Life went up to 16.51 per cent (10.08 per cent) during this period.

Stake dilution by promoters in these companies over the last two years to meet the regulatory guidelines have also helped FPIs to lap up their stocks in these companies.

“SBI Life has seen amongst the highest increase in APE market share for private players from 9 per cent to 11 per cent over the last one year. New Business Premium market share for the company has also improved more than 100bps to 7.4 per cent,” said Siji Philip, Senior Research Analyst at Axis Securities.

He also added that while HDFC Life had a commendable improvement in APE market share over the last one year from 6 per cent to 8 per cent, ICICI Prudential’s market share was largely flattish at 5.9 per cent.

“Overall, the industry performance is expected to improve in FY22 driven by a revival in ULIPs, improvement in non-par pension, annuity products, and demand pick-up which generally happens post a pandemic, besides the benefit of the low-base effect,” Philip added.

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FPI holding in Axis Bank hit record high in December quarter, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW DELHI: Foreign portfolio investors’ stake in Axis Bank hit an all-time high of 51.02 per cent in the December quarter, according to shareholding data released on Tuesday.

FPI holding in the private lender stood at 49.24 per cent in the September quarter, and had last hit a high of 50.75 per cent in the quarter ended September 2016.

As per the data, Axis Bank had 991 FPIs as of December 31, including Europacific Growth Fund, which owned a 1.9 per cent stake in the bank, Government of Singapore (1.06 per cent), Fidelity Investment Trust (Fidelity Series Emerging, 1.12 per cent), Oakmark International Fund (1.70 per cent), Dodge and Cox International Stock Fund (2.78 per cent), Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund (1.10 per cent), Government Pension Fund Global ( 1.21 per cent) and BNP Paribas Arbitrage (1.16 per cent).

On Tuesday, shares of Axis Bank were trading 0.4 per cent higher at Rs 669.85 on BSE.

The scrip has rallied 135 per cent over its 52-week low of Rs 285.

Emkay Global said in its results preview that Axis Bank’s growth remains moderate, but an already high provisioning buffer should lead to reasonable profitability in the third quarter.

Slippages could remain elevated including proforma for Q2, it said, suggesting that one should watch out for corporate stress.

The bank is seen reporting a 7.1 per cent rise in net profit to Rs 18,82 crore, compared with Rs 1,757 crore in the year-ago period. Net interest income (NII) is seen growing 16.5 per cent YoY to Rs 7,515 crore from Rs 6,453 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. Net interest margin is seen flat at 3.6 per cent.

YES Securities said it expects the bank’s provisioning to be lower in Q3 than Q2, given the substantial buffer held by the bank. It expects growth on the back of retail and SME segments.

Motilal Oswal expects credit cost to stay elevated for the lender. Restructuring, and the BB and below pool will remain under watch, it said.

The bank will announce its third quarter results on January 27.



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