Index inclusion buzz lures foreign funds back into bonds

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Foreign funds are steadily increasing exposure to Indian debt amid growing expectations that inclusion of the nation’s bonds into global indexes is imminent.

Bond purchases by overseas investors under the uncapped Fully Accessible Route climbed to 35 billion rupees ($476 million) in August, the highest this year. They’ve bought 29.4 billion rupees of bonds so far this month, set for a fifth straight month of inflows, following outflows from January-April.

Global index provider FTSE Russell, which placed Indian bonds on the watchlist for possible inclusion in its debt index, is set to announce the result of its review September 30. JPMorgan Chase and Co. typically reviews its index this month. Morgan Stanley estimates India’s inclusion in global bond indexes will lure $40 billion of inflows in the next two years.

Also see: Govt receiving max FDI proposals in 3 depts from nations sharing land border with India

Authorities have been working toward making the nation’s bonds eligible for index inclusion to help fund infrastructure projects in Asia’s third-largest economy. Bloomberg LP said in 2019 that it would work with Indian authorities to help the nation gain access to global indexes.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said earlier this month that policy makers are making efforts to enable international settlement of transactions in government bonds, a move that would greatly increase the attractiveness of Indian debt and help in inclusion in global indexes. India has also been trying to sort out taxation issues with Euroclear to facilitate listing of Indian debt.

Most of the spadework is done and the nation’s bonds are expected to be included in the indexes by March, Sanjeev Sanyal, principal adviser to the finance ministry said Friday.

“We expect foreign-investor demand to improve, albeit in a measured way, drawing on falling hedging costs and prospects for index inclusion,” said Ashish Agrawal, rates strategist at Barclays in Singapore.

Following China

India’s inclusion would make it the last major emerging-market nation to join the global bond indexes after China, according to Morgan Stanley. China’s bonds are set to be added to FTSE Russell’s flagship World Government Bond Index in October in phases over three years. Analysts expect the move to prompt foreigners to pour $105 billion-$156 billion into China’s debt.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s administration last year opened up a wide swath of its sovereign bond market to overseas investors, its biggest step yet to secure access to global indexes. Still, the foreign investment in rupee bonds has been tepid due to elevated inflation and the government’s near-record borrowing plan.

Also see: ‘Companies accounting for 75% m-cap are audited by Big 4’

“Foreign ownership of Indian government bonds has been declining, but 2022 would be the turning point that could bring an acceleration of bond inflows,” Morgan Stanley strategists led by Min Dai, wrote in a note. The inclusion in global bond indexes should bring $18.5 billion in inflows every year over the next decade, compared to just $36.4 billion in the last ten years, the analysts wrote.

While expectations for index inclusion in this review are low, some including Morgan Stanley forecast it could happen as early as the first quarter of next year.

Goldman Sachs Group’s timeline is less optimistic. It sees India’s inclusion in JPMorgan’s GBI-EM Global Diversified Index likely by end-2022 or early 2023, and in the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index by end-2022 or 2023. India does not meet the country rating criteria for the FTSE World Government Bond Index, so it is not eligible at this juncture, it said.

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Indians invest record sums in global debt, equities and bank deposits, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Resident Indian individuals invested in overseas assets for a record sum since the central bank opened up the avenue through the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).

Indians have invested $1.53 billion in debt, equities and bank deposits through the LRS since the pandemic-induced lockdown in March 2020, the highest since 2004-05 when the window was introduced, data on outward remittances released by the central bank showed.

Investment advisors say this trend could accelerate with brokerages such as ICICI Direct and HDFC Securities facilitating direct investments, and mutual funds offering schemes that buy overseas stocks such as Facebook, Alphabet (Google) or Amazon.

“A combination of factors triggered interest among resident Indians to invest in global securities during the pandemic,” said Vijay Chandok, managing director at ICICI Securities. “While diversification of assets prompted them to look overseas, the growth story of new-age companies too was a draw-card. Moreover, investors drew comfort from the familiarity of investing into companies whose platforms they have been using or reading about – like Google, Facebook or Amazon.”

Under the LRS, all resident individuals, including minors, are allowed to freely remit up to $ 250,000 per financial year (April – March) for any permissible current or capital account transaction or a combination of both. These include capital account transactions such as investment in debt/equity instruments, deposits and purchase of properties. The permitted remittances also include most current account transactions like expenses on travel, studies, maintenance of relatives, gifts and donations.

“A lot of Indian brokers have started to offer the easy facility of investing abroad through tie-ups. The new class of investors post the pandemic beginning has seen the way tech stocks abroad (mainly US- Nasdaq) have performed and want to participate in that up-move,” said Deepak Jasani, head of retail research – HDFC Securities.

As global economic activity started picking up, so have the investments in equities and debt securities. They more than doubled to $171 million during April-June’21 compared to $84 million in the same period a year ago. Also, investments in deposits rose sharply during the period.

Financial players have launched technology initiatives to take outward remittance services to the country’s micro-markets. Emkay Global Financial Services recently tied up with Stockal – a global investment platform – to help its clients invest in US-listed stocks and securities.

“Diversification is critical as it reduces risk and helps optimise the gains,” said Ashish Ranawade, Head of Products, ‎Emkay Wealth Management. “The US markets, through equities and exchange-traded funds, offer one of the most interesting avenues to diversify.”



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Indians invest record sums in global debt, equities and bank deposits, BFSI News, ET BFSI

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Resident Indian individuals invested in overseas assets for a record sum since the central bank opened up the avenue through the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).

Indians have invested $1.53 billion in debt, equities and bank deposits through the LRS since the pandemic-induced lockdown in March 2020, the highest since 2004-05 when the window was introduced, data on outward remittances released by the central bank showed.

Investment advisors say this trend could accelerate with brokerages such as ICICI Direct and HDFC Securities facilitating direct investments, and mutual funds offering schemes that buy overseas stocks such as Facebook, Alphabet (Google) or Amazon.

“A combination of factors triggered interest among resident Indians to invest in global securities during the pandemic,” said Vijay Chandok, managing director at ICICI Securities. “While diversification of assets prompted them to look overseas, the growth story of new-age companies too was a draw-card. Moreover, investors drew comfort from the familiarity of investing into companies whose platforms they have been using or reading about – like Google, Facebook or Amazon.”

Under the LRS, all resident individuals, including minors, are allowed to freely remit up to $ 250,000 per financial year (April – March) for any permissible current or capital account transaction or a combination of both. These include capital account transactions such as investment in debt/equity instruments, deposits and purchase of properties. The permitted remittances also include most current account transactions like expenses on travel, studies, maintenance of relatives, gifts and donations.

“A lot of Indian brokers have started to offer the easy facility of investing abroad through tie-ups. The new class of investors post the pandemic beginning has seen the way tech stocks abroad (mainly US- Nasdaq) have performed and want to participate in that up-move,” said Deepak Jasani, head of retail research – HDFC Securities.

As global economic activity started picking up, so have the investments in equities and debt securities. They more than doubled to $171 million during April-June’21 compared to $84 million in the same period a year ago. Also, investments in deposits rose sharply during the period.

Financial players have launched technology initiatives to take outward remittance services to the country’s micro-markets. Emkay Global Financial Services recently tied up with Stockal – a global investment platform – to help its clients invest in US-listed stocks and securities.

“Diversification is critical as it reduces risk and helps optimise the gains,” said Ashish Ranawade, Head of Products, ‎Emkay Wealth Management. “The US markets, through equities and exchange-traded funds, offer one of the most interesting avenues to diversify.”



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