Growth expectations of NBFCs moderated in Q1 FY22

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Growth expectations of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have moderated vis-à-vis the expectations six months earlier in view of the possible impact of Covid 2.0 on business in Q1 (April-June) FY2022, according to an ICRA survey.

The survey expects the asset quality related pain to persist in the current fiscal as well.

As per the survey across NBFCs, covering over 65 non-banks, constituting about 60 per cent of the industry assets under management (AUM), 42 per cent of the issuers now expect growth of more than 15 per cent in the AUM in FY2022, much lower than 56 per cent earlier.

The survey includes Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs), NBFCs, and housing finance companies (HFCs), excluding infrastructure finance companies and Infrastructure Debt funds.

ALSO READ NBFC-MFIs: Sector sees nearly 25% decline in FY21

Manushree Saggar, Vice-President, Financial Sector Ratings, ICRA, said: “While 42 per cent of the issuers (by number) are expecting a more than 15 per cent growth in AUM in FY2022, the proportion based on AUM weights is much lower at 8 per cent; indicating that larger players in the segment expect a relatively moderate growth in FY2022.

“With most of the lenders (74 per cent; in AUM terms) indicating an up to 10 per cent AUM growth, we expect the growth for the overall industry to be about 7-9 per cent for FY2022.”

The agency emphasised that within the non-bank finance sector, segments such as MFIs, SME-focused NBFCs and affordable housing finance would continue to record much higher growth than the overall industry averages; supported by good demand and lower base.

Notwithstanding the optimism on AUM growth, the non-bank finance companies are expecting the asset quality related pain to persist in the current fiscal as well, opined ICRA.

The agency said said overall, 87 per cent of issuers (by AUM) expect reported gross stage-3/NPAs to be either same or higher than March 2021 levels, which in turn will keep the credit costs elevated.

This is also reflected in over 90 per cent of lenders (by AUM) expecting the credit costs to remain stable or increase further over FY2021 levels.

ALSO READ RBI links NBFC dividend payout to capital, NPA norms

Restructuring

On the restructuring front, while lenders are expecting marginally higher numbers as compared to the last fiscal, the overall numbers are expected to be low, the agency said in a note.

Almost 73 per cent of lenders (in AUM terms) have indicated an incremental restructuring of up to 2 per cent of AUM and another 21 per cent are expecting a restructuring between 2-4 per cent of the AUM, under Restructuring 2.0.

Within the non-bank finance sector, relatively higher impacted segments such as MFIs, SME lending and vehicles are expected to undergo larger share of restructuring compared with the industry average., according to the note.

The housing portfolio is likely to remain largely resilient, in line with the trend seen in FY2021.

Raise capital

The agency assessed that 80 per cent of the issuers are expected to maintain or increase on-balance sheet liquidity to take care of market volatility. Further, despite the pressure in the operating environment, 94 per cent of the issuers expect higher or stable profitability in FY2022 vis-à-vis FY2021.

The number of issuers expecting to raise capital almost doubled to 56 per cent this year compared with earlier survey results.

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Bank loans to industrial sector shrink during Modi rule, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The share of banks in loans to the industrial sector dropped massively during 2014-2021 even as credit to the retail sector, including home loans, saw a boom.

As per the data, industrial credit fell to 28.9% by March 2021 from 42.7% at the end of March 2014.

“Over recent years, the share of the industrial sector in total bank credit has declined whereas that of personal loans has grown,” the Reserve Bank of India said in its Financial Stability Report.

The environment for bank credit remains lacklustre in the midst of the pandemic, with credit supply muted by persisting risk aversion and subdued loan demand and within this overall setting, underlying shifts are becoming more evident than before, it said.

Loans to the private corporate sector declined from 37.6% in 2014 to 27.7% at the end of March 2021. During the same period, personal loans grew from 16.2 to 26.3%, in which housing loans grew from 8.5% to 13.8%.

Fiscal 2021

Bank credit growth to the industrial sector decelerated 0.8% year-to-date as of May 21, 2021, due to poor loan offtake from the corporate sector.

Growth in credit to the private corporate sector, however, declined for the sixth successive quarter in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal and its share in total credit stood at 28.3 per cent. RBI said the weighted average lending rate (WALR) on outstanding credit has moderated by 91 basis points during 2020-21, including a decline of 21 basis points in Q4.

Overall credit growth in India slowed down in FY21 to 5.6 per cent from 6.4 per cent in FY20 as the economy was hit hard by Covid. and subsequent lockdowns.

Credit growth to the industrial sector remained in the negative territory during 2020-21, mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and resultant lockdowns. Industrial loan growth, on the other hand, remained negative during all quarters of 2020-21.”

The RBI further said working capital loans in the form of cash credit, overdraft and demand loans, which accounted for a third of total credit, contracted during 2020-21, indicating the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

Shift to bonds

The corporate world focused on deleveraging high-cost loans through fundraising via bond issuances despite interest rates at an all-time low. This has led to muted credit growth for banks.

Corporates raised Rs 2.1 lakh crore in December ended quarter and Rs 3.1 lakh crore in the fourth quarter from the corporate bond markets. In contrast, the corresponding year-ago figures were Rs 1.5 lakh crore and Rs 1.9 lakh crore, respectively.

Bonds were mostly raised by top-rated companies at 150-200 basis points below bank loans. Most of the debt was raised by government companies as they have top-rated status.

For AAA-rated corporate bonds, the yield was 6.85 per cent in May 2020, which fell to 5.38 per cent in April 2021 and to 5.16 per cent in May 2021.



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Personal loans keep banks afloat in FY21 as industrial credit demand sinks, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Credit growth to the industrial sector remained in the negative territory during 2020-21, mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and resultant lockdowns, RBI data showed on Tuesday. However, “personal loans continued to grow at a robust pace and recorded 13.5 per cent growth (Y-oY) in March 2021; industrial loan growth, on the other hand, remained negative during all quarters of 2020-21.”

The RBI further said working capital loans in the form of cash credit, overdraft and demand loans, which accounted for a third of total credit, contracted during 2020-21, indicating the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

Private banks

The data further revealed that private sector banks recorded higher loan growth when compared to public sector lenders. Their share in total credit increased to 36.5 per cent in March 2021 from 35.4 per cent a year ago and 24.8 per cent five years ago, it said.

However, the private sector banks’ loan growth slowed to 9.1 per cent in FY21, from 9.3 per cent in FY20. Public sector loans grew 3.6 per cent in FY21, down from 4.2 per cent in FY20. The lending by foreign banks shrunk by 3.3 per cent during 2020-21 as against a growth of 7.2 per cent a year ago.

Credit to the household sector rose by 10.9 per cent (Y-o-Y) and its share in total credit increased to 52.6 per cent in March 2021 from 49.8 per cent a year ago, as per the ‘Quarterly Basic Statistical Returns (BSR)-1: Outstanding Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs), March 2021’, released by the central bank.

Industrial credit

Growth in credit to the private corporate sector, however, declined for the sixth successive quarter and its share in total credit stood at 28.3 per cent. RBI said the weighted average lending rate (WALR) on outstanding credit has moderated by 91 basis points during 2020-21, including a decline of 21 basis points in Q4.

It also said bank branches in urban, semi-urban and rural areas recorded double-digit credit growth (Y-o-Y) in March 2021, whereas metropolitan branches, which accounted for 63 per cent of bank credit, logged 1.4 per cent growth.

Overall credit growth in India slowed down in FY21 to 5.6 per cent from 6.4 per cent in FY20 as the economy was hit hard by Covid. and subsequent lockdowns.



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Non-food credit growth of banks slackens to 5.9% in May

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Non-food credit growth of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) slackened to 5.9 per cent in May 2021 compared to 6.1 per cent in May 2020 due to deceleration in credit growth to industry and services sector.

Per the Reserve Bank of India’s statement on sectoral deployment of bank credit for May 2021, credit to agriculture and allied activities continued to perform well, registering an accelerated growth of 10.3 per cent in May 2021 as compared to 5.2 per cent in May 2020.

Credit growth to industry decelerated to 0.8 per cent in May 2021 from 1.7 per cent in May 2020, the central bank said.

Size-wise, credit to medium industries registered a robust growth of 45.8 per cent in May 2021 as compared to a contraction of 5.3 per cent a year ago.

Credit growth to micro and small industries accelerated to 5 per cent in May 2021 as compared to a contraction of 3.4 per cent a year ago, while credit to large industries contracted by 1.7 per cent in May 2021 as compared to a growth of 2.8 per cent a year ago.

Credit growth to the services sector decelerated to 1.9 per cent in May 2021 from 10.3 per cent in May 2020, mainly due to deceleration in credit growth to NBFCs, transport operators and commercial real estate, RBI said.

However, credit to the trade segment continued to perform well, registering accelerated growth of 12.4 per cent in May 2021 as compared to 7.7 per cent a year ago.

The central bank said personal loans registered an accelerated growth of 12.4 per cent in May 2021 as compared to 10.6 per cent a year ago, primarily due to accelerated growth in vehicle loans and credit card outstanding.

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Half of India’s working population credit active: Report

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Half of the country’s working population of 400 million people is credit active, having at least one loan or credit card, a report by a credit information company (CIC) said on Tuesday.

Credit institutions are fast approaching a saturation level in new customers as over half of the borrowers are from the existing customer base of a bank, the report by Transunion CIBIL said.

India’s overall working population was estimated to be at 400.7 million as of January 2021, while the retail credit market has 200 million unique individuals who are credit active, it said.

It can be noted that for long, there have been concerns about borrowers ending up in the traps of usurious money lenders who are not regulated and efforts have been mounted to deepen the access to finance.

Over the last decade or so, reverses faced on the corporate lending side made banks prefer retail credit but concerns are being raised over the segment’s resilience after the pandemic.

The data from the CIC said there is an addressable market of 400 million people aged between 18-33 years in rural and semi-urban areas, and pointed out that the credit penetration in this segment is only 8 per cent.

In the new to credit (NTC) universe, there is a higher preference for products including personal loans and consumer durable loans in the segments of under-30 years and ones residing outside tier-I cities, it said.

The composition of women, however, continues to be much lower in the NTC segment, it said, pointing out that the composition of female borrowers was only 15 per cent in auto loans, 31 per cent in home loans, 22 per cent in personal loans and 25 per cent in consumer durable loans.

The CIC’s data also suggests that NTC consumers demonstrate higher loyalty to the credit institution that has provided them their first credit opportunity, the report said.

Borrowers also tend to prioritise payment on the first credit facility over the second in times of financial stress, it said.

“Identifying emerging NTC consumers across segments and enabling access to financial opportunities for them is vital for driving economic resurgence and sustainable financial inclusion in our country,” the CIC’s Managing Director and Chief Executive Rajesh Kumar said.

He also added that lenders can assess credit risk associated with NTC customers as well with a product of the CIC for improving turnaround time and reducing cost of acquisition.

The ‘CreditVision NTC’ scoring model is based on an algorithm that uses application and enquiry information of the borrower to help better assess their eligibility.

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S&P revises rating outlook on ICICI Bank to ‘stable’

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S&P Global Ratings has revised its rating outlook on ICICI Bank to stable from negative.

It has affirmed its ‘BBB-’ long-term and ‘A-3’ short-term issuer credit ratings on the private sector lender as well as its ‘BBB-’ long-term issue rating on the bank’s senior notes.

“We revised the rating outlook to reflect our view that ICICI Bank will maintain strong capital position over the next 24 months. The bank will benefit from the sale of stake in subsidiaries and gradual normalisation of earnings, which should reduce risks associated with its capital position,” S&P Global Ratings said in a statement on Friday.

The agency expects ICICI Bank will maintain a risk-adjusted capital ratio of more than 10 per cent over the next 24 months. “Our expectation factors in 13 per cent to 14 per cent credit growth for the bank, an improvement in earnings, and sale of stake in insurance subsidiaries over the period,” it said.

Stressed loans to peak

The agency however expects ICICI Bank’s stressed loans (non performing loans and restructured loans) to remain high when compared to that of international peers.

It said the bank’s stressed loans may peak at 6 per cent of total loans by March 31, but it would be lower than its estimate of 11-12 per cent for the Indian banking industry.

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Flexmoney raises $4.8 million in Series A funding

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Flexmoney, a digital credit network platform for lenders and merchants, has raised $4.8 million in Series A funding, led by Pravega Ventures with participation from Silicon Valley-based Z5 Capital.

The round also saw participation from several marquee individual investors including Ben Davey, former Group Head of Strategy, Barclays Bank & CEO Barclays Ventures; Mike Smith, former Chief Product & Technology Officer, Barclays Ventures & Director, Amazon Core Display Ad Platform; Ambarish Malpani, successful serial entrepreneur and technologist and Rishad Byramjee, Group MD and CEO Casby Logistics & Board Member, Centrum Group.

Flexmoney aims to use the funds to scale its credit network footprint to more lenders and merchants, launch additional products and consolidate its position. Flexmoney had previously raised seed funding from multiple global and domestic angel investors.

Nanda Krish, General Partner at Z5 Capital, said: “InstaCred by Flexmoney is already the largest ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ platform in India, and the need and potential for this Internet credit infrastructure spans across even more global markets. We’re proud and excited to partner with Flexmoney to scale up and revolutionise the credit ecosystem in India and across the globe”.

Yezdi Lashkari, Founder and CEO of Flexmoney Technologies, said, “Flexmoney’s digital credit platform provides a seamless and secure ‘plug and play’ proposition for trusted lenders and merchants to offer the widest set of options for frictionless, secure, instant checkout finance to their customers and is transforming their purchase experience. With this funding, we are one step closer to achieving our vision of simplifying and democratising consumer credit in India”.

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Step-up working capital loans to street vendors: RBI nudges PSBs

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has impressed upon public sector banks (PSBs) the need to step up working capital loans up to ₹10,000 to street vendors, who have taken the brunt of the COVID-19 pandemic and consequent lockdowns.

Given that the livelihood of street vendors (SVs) has been adversely affected in the two waves of the pandemic, the central bank is keen that Banks mount a larger outreach under the PM Street Vendor’s AtmaNirbhar Nidhi (PM SVANidhi) scheme, said a top banker.

As on June 14, 2021, lenders (including Banks, non-banking finance companies, and microfinance institutions) received a total of 42,27,999 applications under the PM SVANidhi scheme, which was launched last year.

However, the ratio of the number of loans sanctioned and disbursed as a percentage of the total applications was only 58 per cent, as per Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs (MoHUA) data.

The ratio of the number of loans disbursed to loans sanctioned stood at 84.41 per cent. As a result, total loans approved and disbursed by lenders stood at ₹2,457.85 crore and ₹2,059.46 crore, respectively.

According to MoHUA data, the average days to sanction a loan to SVs was 20 days. About 60 per cent of loans disbursed were to male SVs, with the remaining disbursed to female SVs. The average age of the loan applicant was 41 years.

The banker quoted above said the scheme could be tweaked to ensure more coverage of SVs.

The number of SVs accepting digital payments stood at 19,31,272. These vendors received a cashback of ₹50.53 lakh

Street vendors selling vegetables, fruits, ready-to-eat street food, tea, cloth & handloom, beauty & fashion accessories, footwear, artisan products, etc., and barber shops, cobblers, paan shops, laundry services have suffered untold misery in the pandemic.

Covid-19 related lockdowns forced the aforementioned entities to shutter business either temporarily or permanently.

As per the PM SVANidhi scheme, the individual lending institution can form Joint Liability Groups (JLGs) of eligible vendors. The Common Interest Groups (CIGs) of street vendors, already formed by States, can be converted into JLGs by lending institutions.

The scheme has been designed to help formalise the street vendors and open up new opportunities to move up the economic ladder.

Total Applications

Sanctioned

Disbursed

42,27,999

24,63,301

20,79,392

AMOUNT

₹2,457.85 cr

₹2,059.46 cr

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Private sector banks increased share in deposits, credit at the cost of PSBs in FY21: RBI

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Bank credit growth decelerated while aggregate deposit growth accelerated in March even as the share of private sector banks in total deposits and credit of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) increased during 2020-21 at the cost of public sector banks, according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

Bank credit growth decelerated to 5.6 per cent year-on-year (yoy) in March from 6.4 per cent a year ago, according to RBI’s ‘Quarterly Statistics on Deposits and Credit of SCBs: March 2021’.

Public sector and private sector banks credit growth slowed to 3.6 per cent (4.2 per cent in March 2020) and 9.1 per cent (9.3 per cent), respectively, during 2020-21. Lending by foreign banks contracted 3.3 per cent vs 7.2 per cent growth

Combined credit by bank branches in top six centres (Greater Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad and Kolkata, which together accounted for over 46 per cent of total bank credit) declined marginally during 2020-21, the RBI said.

Deposit growth picks up

According to RBI data, credit by bank branches in metropolitan areas (includes all centres with population of 10 lakh and above) declined to 1.7 per cent in March 2021 from 4.8 per cent in March 2020. Bank branches in urban, semi-urban and rural areas, on the other hand, recorded 9.4 per cent (8.8 per cent in March 2020), 14.3 per cent (8.4 per cent) and 14.5 per cent (11.5 per cent) credit growth, respectively, during the year.

Aggregate deposits growth accelerated to 12.3 per cent yoy in March 2021 from 9.5 per cent a year ago.

Metropolitan branches, which account for over half of total deposits, recorded nearly 15 per cent growth during 2020-21 from 6.9 per cent a year ago. However, aggregate deposits of branches in rural and semi-urban areas declined to 6.9 per cent (15.5 per cent) and 9.3 per cent (12.3 per cent), respectively.

Aggregate deposits of branches in urban areas increased to 11.4 per cent (10.5 per cent).

RBI said the share of current account and savings account (CASA) deposits in total deposits increased to 44.1 per cent in March from 42.1 per cent a year ago.

Lower growth in credit vis-à-vis deposits led to decline in the all-India credit-deposit (C-D) ratio to 71.5 per cent in March from 76.0 per cent a year ago.

The central bank did not specify the market share gained by private sector banks in deposits and credit.

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FlexiLoans.com partners Vivriti Capital to disburse loans worth ₹300-cr to MSMEs

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Fintech platform FlexiLoans.com has partnered with Vivriti Capital to provide working capital financing of over ₹300 crore to Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) across the country.

MSMEs can apply for loans online and receive in-principal approval within 24-48 hours digitally without manual intervention.

The partnership will be powered by FlexiLoans.com’s technology and credit underwriting platform ‘BiFrost’, which has been integrated with Vivriti’s Co-lending platform ‘CredAvenue’The partnership is aimed at reaching out to more 10,000 MSMEs in the next 12-18 months, the company said in a statement.

Deepak Jain, Co-Founder, FlexiLoans.com said, “FlexiLoans has been scaling its co-lending platform since the IL&FS crisis a couple of years ago to service the wide range of ecosystem and boost assets under management growth. Vivriti has been our long-standing lending partner and its digital-first approach, deep lending expertise syncing perfectly with our co-lending ideology”.

Gaurav Kumar, Co-Founder, Vivriti Capital and CEO CredAvenue said, “The partnership is built on the combination of a deep technology integration via APIs and substantial capital base. We expect to unlock immense market potential and scale with it in the near future. CredAvenue’s co-lending platform has been specifically designed to enable scale-up of such partnerships for Banks, NBFCs and Fintech players vis automated discovery, underwriting, operations and reporting modules on one single portal”.

Since its inception in 2016, Flexiloans.com has disbursed more than ₹1,000 crore to over 30,000 customers across 1,500 cities in India. It receives over 1 lakh applications per month, largely from Tier-II, III and Tier IV cities.

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