Global banks face Bear Stears, Lehman like impact in Archegos default, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The forced liquidation of more than $20 billion in holdings linked to Bill Hwang’s investment arm is drawing attention to the covert financial instruments he used to build large stakes in companies.

Much of the leverage used by Hwang’s Archegos Capital Management was provided by banks including Nomura Holdings and Credit Suisse Group through swaps or so-called contracts-fordierence (CFDs), according to people with direct knowledge of the deals. It means Archegos may never actually have owned most of the underlying securities — if any at all.

Archegos troubles

While investors who build a stake of more than 5 per cent in a US-listed company usually have to disclose their position and future transactions, that’s not the case with stakes built through the type of derivatives apparently used by Archegos. The products, which are made to exchanges, allow managers like Hwang to amass stakes in publicly traded companies without having to declare their holdings.

The swift unwinding of Archegos has reverberated across the globe, after banks such as Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley forced Hwang’s arm to sell billions of dollars in investments accumulated through highly leveraged bets. The selloff roiled stocks from Baidu to ViacomCBS, and prompted Nomura and Credit Suisse to disclose that they face potentially significant losses on their exposure. One reason for the widening fallout is the borrowed funds that investors use to magnify their bets: a margin call occurs when the market goes against a large, leveraged position, forcing the hedge fund to deposit more cash or securities with its broker to cover any losses. Archegos was probably required to deposit only a small percentage of the total value of trades.

Massive unwinding

The chain of events set off by this massive unwinding is yet another reminder of the role that hedge funds play in the global capital markets. A hedge fund short squeeze during a Reddit-fueled frenzy for Gamestop Corp. shares earlier this year spurred a $6 billion loss for Gabe Plotkin’s Melvin Capital and sparked scrutiny from US regulators and politicians.

The idea that one firm can quietly amass outsized positions through the use of derivatives could set o another wave of criticism directed against loosely regulated firms that have the power to destabilize markets. While the margin calls on Friday triggered losses of as much as 40 per cent in some shares, there was no sign of contagion in markets broadly on Monday.

Rescues galore

Contrast that with 2008, when Ireland’s then-richest man used derivatives to build a position so large in Anglo Irish Bank it eventually contributed to the country’s international bailout. In 2015, New York-based FXCM Inc. needed rescuing because of losses at its UK ailiate resulting from the unexpected depegging of the Swiss franc. Much about Hwang’s trades remains unclear, but market participants estimate his assets had grown to anywhere from $5 billion to $10 billion in recent years and total positions may have topped $50 billion.

CFDs and swaps are among bespoke derivatives that investors trade privately between themselves, or over-the-counter, instead of through public exchanges. Such opacity helped to worsen the 2008 financial crisis and regulators have introduced a vast new body of rules governing the assets since then.



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Global banks warn of possible losses from hedge fund default

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Credit Suisse didn’t identify the ‘significant’ hedge fund or the other banks affected, or give other details of what happened. (Representative Image)

Swiss bank Credit Suisse said Monday it may have suffered a “highly significant” loss from a default by a US-based hedge fund on margin calls that it and other banks made last week, while Japan’s Nomura said it could face a loss of USD 2 billion due to an event with a US client.

Credit Suisse didn’t identify the “significant” hedge fund or the other banks affected, or give other details of what happened. News reports identified the hedge fund as New York-based Archegos Capital Management. “Following the failure of the fund to meet these margin commitments, Credit Suisse and a number of other banks are in the process of exiting these positions,” the company said.

The Financial Times reported that Archegos had large exposures to ViacomCBS and several Chinese technology stocks and was hit hard after shares of the US media group fell last week. A margin call is triggered when investors borrow using their stock portfolio as collateral and have to make up the balance required by banks when the share prices fall and the collateral is worthless.

Credit Suisse said that “while at this time it is premature to quantify the exact size of the loss resulting from this exit, it could be highly significant and material to our first-quarter results, notwithstanding the positive trends announced in our trading statement earlier this month.” Credit Suisse said that it plans to issue an update “in due course.”

Nomura said that on Friday “an event occurred” that could subject one of its US subsidiaries to a loss of USD 2 billion based on market prices on Friday. It didn’t identify the client. The bank said, “there will be no issues related to the operations or financial soundness” of Nomura or its US subsidiary.

The Archegos website was not immediately available.

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Credit Suisse says it faces a ‘significant loss’

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Swiss bank Credit Suisse said Monday that it may face a “highly significant” loss resulting from a default by a US-based hedge fund on margin calls that it and other banks made last week.

In a brief statement, Credit Suisse didn’t identify the “significant” hedge fund or the other banks affected, or give other details of what happened.

“Following the failure of the fund to meet these margin commitments, Credit Suisse and a number of other banks are in the process of exiting these positions,” the company said.

“While at this time it is premature to quantify the exact size of the loss resulting from this exit, it could be highly significant and material to our first-quarter results, notwithstanding the positive trends announced in our trading statement earlier this month,” it added. Credit Suisse said that it plans to issue an update “in due course.” A margin call is triggered when investors borrow using their stock portfolio as collateral and have to make up the balance required by banks when the share prices fall and the collateral is worth less.

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A couple of Indian fintechs likely to approach public markets this year: Credit Suisse

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Credit Suisse sees a couple of Indian fintechs approaching public markets this year.

According to Ashish Gupta, Head of Asia Financials Securities Research and Head of India Securities Research, Credit Suisse, said: “The number of fintechs in public markets are limited… We expect that to change in the current year itself. We expect a couple of fintechs to come to public markets this year,” said Ashish Gupta, Head of Asia Financials Securities Research and Head of India Securities Research, Credit Suisse, at a virtual press briefing during the 24th Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference.

Responding to a query on how foreigners can invest in the growing Indian fintech ecosystem. Gupta said foreigners can invest in both private as well as public market fintechs.

“Indian fintech companies have attracted $10 billion of capital and are now at the forefront of India’s start-up ecosystem. Digital payments are primarily leading the fintech scale-up in India and have grown 10 times over the last five years, now having a 30 per cent share totalling $450 billion,” he added.

In tandem

Gupta highlighted that fintech growth in India is not just happening as a challenge to incumbents. “It is happening in partnership with the incumbents and we are seeing incumbents also rapidly digitising. As much as 50-70 per cent of the business of incumbents come through digital channels, which are proprietary or in partnership with fintechs.

“We should not think fintechs as disruptors or competition for the incumbents. We believe the fintech growth in India is going to increase the overall penetration of financial services and, therefore, the pie grows bigger rather than getting sliced into smaller pieces.”

A recent Credit Suisse report, has highlighted highted that an unprecedented pace of new-company formation and innovation in a variety of sectors resulted in a surge in the number of highly valued and as-yet-unlisted companies. Against 336 listed companies with a $1-billion market capitalisation, there are now 100 unicorns in India with a combined market capitalisation of $240 billion.

Neelkanth Mishra, Co-Head of Equity Strategy, Asia Pacific and India Equity Strategist at Credit Suisse, said: “Our research found 100 unicorns in India in a diverse set of industries, including technology and tech-enabled sectors, such as, pharmaceuticals/biotech and consumer goods, benefiting from formalisation and accelerating digital adoption. Fast-growing and innovative (unlisted) firms are sprouting up in new sectors as well as locations across India, rapidly gaining scale as they ride unique growth opportunities from digital public infrastructure and partnerships.”

The sectoral split is highly diversified for these 100 unicorns, in addition to the largely expected e-commerce, financial technology, education technology, food delivery, and mobility companies. Furthermore, there is a rapidly growing number of firms in industries such as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), gaming, new-age distribution and logistics, modern trade, biotech, and pharmaceuticals. Even fast-growing consumer brands have benefited from accelerating internet penetration and formalisation of sectors.

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