‘Focus on growth will continue’

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The six-member monetary policy committee decided to maintain status quo on the policy repo rate to support growth, which has been laid low by the second Covid-19 wave , and to tackle inflationary pressures arising from rising global commodity prices, especially crude oil, and logistics costs.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das and Deputy Governors MK Jain, MD Patra, M Rajeshwar Rao, and T Rabi Sankar fielded questions from the media. Excerpts:

Why is RBI focussed only on supporting the 10-year benchmark Government Securities (G-Secs) in its market interventions?

Das: We focus on the entire yield curve, across maturities, and not just the 10-year G-Secs. Somehow there is a perception about the RBI being focussed only on 10-year G-Sec. For example, in the last G-SAP (G-Sec Acquisition Programme) auction, we had G-Secs across the maturity profile for purchase. The bond yields look inverted because there is abundant liquidity. So, naturally, the short-end (G-Secs) rates fall more than 10-year or 14-year rates. Therefore, the curve looks steep. But it is not so. If you look at the 10-year or the 14-year segments, the rates haven’t really gone up.

Whether 6 per cent yield on the 10-year G-Secs is sacrosanct, there is nothing like that. We have talked about an orderly evolution of the yield curve and we are focussed on that.

How will lower inflation print for April give you more elbow room?

Das: The inflation print for April at 4.3 per cent gives us elbow room. And elbow room means, it gives us space with regard to liquidity operations, enables us to step up liquidity infusion into the system.

With inflation being revised up, does it mean that policy normalisation will start?

Das: With regard to normalising the policy stance, there is no thinking at the moment. Our earlier CPI inflation projection was 5 per cent and now we have revised it to 5.1 per cent. This is not a significant upward revision.

What is your assessment of the impact of the second wave?

Das: Rural and urban demand was dented in the first wave. But the expectation is that the second wave has moderated (in terms of number of fresh cases)….Our assessment is that the impact of the second wave will be confined within the first quarter.…Our expectation is that from the second quarter, the overall demand position also will improve.

How long can you look through incipient inflationary pressures?

Patra: In several MPC statements, the analysis of inflation has been done. And the view of the MPC is that at this time the inflation is not persistent. It will turn persistent when it is backed by demand pull. At the current stage, we find the demand very weak and there is no demand pull in the inflation formation. It is mostly on the supply side and therefore we have chosen to look through. But we are very, very vigilant about demand pressures and we will keep on monitoring as and when demand pressures start feeding into the inflationary process.

How concerned are you about the pass through of WPI inflation into CPI?

Das: We are monitoring the the revival of growth — how growth is taking roots. We are monitoring the inflation dynamics…So, the MPC has consciously decided to focus on growth and give forward guidance in terms of the accommodative stance, spelling out what is meant by accommodative. So, the focus on growth will continue. The inflation, according to the MPC’s assessment, during the current year, is 5.1 per cent, which is well within the 2-6 per cent band.

Corporate loan book has not picked up and private capex revival has not started. What is your assessment and, based on the announcements today, is there no need for a stimulus package?

Das: We have not told banks to push credit. We discussed the credit flow in the earlier meeting…We have requested banks to implement the resolution framework. The RBI never tells banks to push credit. Credit flow depends on market demand and borrower profile and borrowing proposal. The dent on the economy is in the first quarter. From the second quarter, overall economic activity will pick up.

NPAs of banks will remain within the stress test of Financial Stability Report ?

Das: On NPAs, the projection (FSR said GNPA ratio may rise from 7.5 per cent in September 2020 to 13.5 per cent by September 2021 under the baseline scenario; the ratio may escalate to 14.8 per cent under the severe stress scenario) we gave in the last FSR will be within that. The figures are manageable. We will spell out the details in the FSR.

Do you see a risk to the general government’s debt sustainability over the medium term?

Patra: Public debt will be about 90 per cent of GDP at the end of March 2022. Our assessment is based on the Domar condition of (public debt) sustainability, which requires that the growth rate of the economy should be higher than the interest rate at which the government services the debt, that condition is fulfilled as of now. The level of debt-to-GDP is set to decline over the next six years. So public debt is sustainable.

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RBI keeps rates unchanged to support growth

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The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India has decided to maintain status quo on key policy rates.

“The MPC took stock of the evolving macroeconomic and financial conditions and the impact of the second wave of Covid on the economy. Based on its assessment, the MPC voted unanimously to maintain the status quo on repo rates and maintain an accommodative stance for as long as possible to revive growth,” said RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday after the meeting of the MPC.

Also read: Monetary policy must remain accommodative

The policy repo rate remains unchanged at 4 per cent while the reverse repo rate is at 3.35 per cent.

The move comes amidst expectations of slowing growth after the second surge of the Covid-19 pandemic and local level lockdowns that have impacted economic activity. However, inflationary risks persist.

 

The RBI had kept key interest rates unchanged at the last MPC meeting held in April.

The RBI, in its Annual Report 2020-21, had also said that “the conduct of monetary policy in 2021-22 would be guided by evolving macroeconomic conditions, with a bias to remain supportive of growth till it gains traction on a durable basis while ensuring inflation remains within the target.”

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Indian banks shrink overseas wholesale loan book amid surfeit of global liquidity

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Indian banks with international operations seem relatively better off lending to corporates in the home market as compared to overseas markets. The contraction in their overseas loan portfolio suggests that they have embarked on this path.

The overseas loan books of banks such as State Bank of India (SBI), Bank of Baroda (BoB) and ICICI Bank shrank by varying degrees in FY21. This came amid global central banks flooding financial markets with liquidity to support their respective economies in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Will ensure there is no room for accidents in corporate loan book: Sanjiv Chadha, MD & CEO, Bank of Baroda

As of March end, 2021, the overseas loan book of SBI declined a tad (0.13 per cent year-on-year/yoy) to ₹3,56,877 crore; BoB’s portfolio shrank 13 per cent yoy to ₹1,10,514 crore and ICICI Bank’s portfolio contracted 30 per cent yoy to ₹37,590 crore.

Bank of India’s overseas loan book was down 3 per cent year-to-date to ₹1,27,686 crore as of December end, 2020.

3 reasons why market liquidity will stay robust in 2021

Where BoB will focus

Sanjiv Chadha, MD & CEO, BoB, said: “I think there are two pieces to our international operations. Some international operations are doing very well. For instance, we have our subsidiaries in Kenya and Uganda, which are giving us returns of 15-20 per cent every year. They are first rate in terms of performance.”

However, the overseas wholesale business got impacted just the way it got impacted in India.

“This business got impacted in India in terms of margins because the central bank injected liquidity to support the economy. And the amount of liquidity that was injected in the international markets was even more.

“The Fed and other global central banks have access to pools of liquidity which are much larger. So, therefore, Libor dipped to near zero. This means that the wholesale book is not giving the kind of returns it may have given two years back,” Chadha said.

So, BoB will focus on growing overseas subsidiaries and where the return on equity is high and in geographies where the returns are good.

Movement of capital

The BoB chief observed that when it comes to wholesale lending, it is possible to move capital from international operations to India and make more money.

“The Fed has been most liberal in terms of liquidity. That is why interest rates have come down. For instance, it is possible to reduce the size of our book in the US and bring that growth to India and get more return on capital and better margins,” he said.

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RBI’s MPC begins deliberations amidst hopes of status quo in policy rate

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The Reserve Bank of India’s rate-setting panel, Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), began its three-day deliberations on Wednesday amid expectations of status quo on the benchmark rate, mainly on account of uncertainty over the impact of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Moreover, fears of firming inflation may also refrain the MPC from tinkering with the interest rate. . The outcome of the bi-monthly monetary policy meeting will be announced on Friday.

Also read: How the RBI managed a large surplus transfer to the Centre in a difficult year

The RBI had kept key interest rates unchanged at the last MPC meeting held in April. The key lending rate, the repo rate, was kept at 4 per cent and the reverse repo rate or the central bank’s borrowing rate at 3.35 per cent.

M Govinda Rao, Chief Economic Advisor, Brickwork Ratings, said the better-than-expected GDP numbers provide the much-needed comfort to the MPC on the growth outlook.

However, with the imposition of partial lockdown-like restrictions to contain the virus spread in several parts of the country, the downside risk on growth recovery has intensified, he said.

“Hence, the RBI is likely to continue with its accommodative monetary policy stance. Considering the risk of inflation emanating from the rising commodity prices and input costs, Brickwork Ratings expects the RBI MPC to adopt a cautious approach and hold the repo rate at 4 per cent,” he noted.

Dhruv Agarwala, Group CEO, Housing.com, Makaan.com and PropTiger.com believes the RBI can maintain its accommodative stance in light of the economic impact of the second wave of Covid-19, without endangering its key goal of keeping inflation under control.

Reviving growth has become an important objective due to the economic damage caused by the recent lockdowns, he said, and added the RBI should also consider providing more liquidity to the National Housing Bank to enable the stability of housing finance companies, which in turn will allow the real estate sector to expand.

Shanti Ekambaram, Group President – Consumer Banking, Kotak Mahindra Bank was of the view that in the current environment, the choices before the Monetary Policy Committee may be limited.

“With the second phase of the pandemic impacting consumption and growth, the MPC will likely maintain status quo on policy rates, continue with an accommodative policy stance and ensure adequate liquidity in the system – all in an effort to stimulate growth. While it will keep one eye on inflation levels on the back of rising global commodity prices, it currently will focus on supporting economic growth,” Ekambaram said.

According to Sandeep Bagla, CEO of TRUST AMC, “It is expected to be a no change policy, with continued economy friendly soft interest rate bias.”

The RBI annual report released last week has already made it clear that “the conduct of monetary policy in 2021-22 would be guided by evolving macroeconomic conditions, with a bias to remain supportive of growth till it gains traction on a durable basis while ensuring inflation remains within the target.” The Reserve Bank, the report added, would ensure that system-level liquidity remains comfortable during 2021-22 in alignment with the stance of monetary policy, and monetary transmission continues unimpeded while maintaining financial stability.

In the assessment of the RBI, the evolving CPI inflation trajectory is likely to be subjected to both upside and downside pressures. The food inflation path will critically depend on the temporal and spatial progress of the south-west monsoon in 2021.

The government has retained the inflation target at 4 per cent with the lower and the upper tolerance band of 2 per cent and 6 per cent, respectively, for the next five years (April 2021 – March 2026).

Also read: ‘RBI may keep repo rate unchanged’

Retail inflation, based on Consumer Price Index (CPI), slipped to a three-month low of 4.29 per cent in April mainly on account of easing of prices of kitchen items like vegetables and cereals. The RBI mainly factors in the CPI while arriving at its monetary policy.

As per the RBI annual report, supply-demand imbalances may continue to exert pressure on food items like pulses and edible oils, while prices of cereals may soften with bumper foodgrains production in 2020-21.

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Bharti AXA Life in bancassurance pact with Shivalik Small Finance Bank

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Private life insurer Bharti AXA Life Insurance has entered into a bancassurance partnership with Shivalik Small Finance Bank for the distribution of its life insurance products through the bank’s pan-India network of branches.

Under this agreement, Bharti AXA Life Insurance will offer its suite of life insurance products, including protection, health, savings and investment plans, to customers of Shivalik Small Finance Bank across its 31 branches and digital network across the country.

This alliance will enable over 4.5 lakh customers of Shivalik Bank to access the range of products offered by the company to provide financial security.

Bharti AXA General launches Health AdvantEDGE

Expansion of distribution footprint

Commenting on the association, Parag Raja, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Bharti AXA Life Insurance, said in a statement: “The outbreak of Covid-19 has led to a notable shift in customers’ perception of life insurance, which is fundamentally about protection. With our alliance with Shivalik Bank, we shall empower the bank’s customers with protection and holistic insurance solutions and help us strengthen our commitment while reaching out to urban, tier-II and tier-III markets. We believe this partnership will enrich our distribution footprint and help us increase insurance penetration in the country.”

UP-based Shivalik SFB commences operations

Suveer Kumar Gupta, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Shivalik Small Finance Bank, said this alliance is a part of the bank’s various measures towards financial inclusion and acceleration of wealth creation for its customers.

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Fintech start-up Boxop ties up with Mahindra Insurance for Covid treatment

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Boxop, a Kerala-based start-up has tied up with Mahindra Insurance Brokers Ltd (MIBL) to provide low-cost insurance protection for the Covid-19 treatment.

Boxop is providing this comprehensive service across the State through Akshaya Kendras and support from MIBL.

The company has introduced a Group Covid plan in which individual who is tested Covid positive will get a lumpsum benefit plan of ₹25,000, in which 24 hour of hospitalization is mandatory. Individuals can also avail other products like cashless treatment plans for all illnesses including Covid-19, at select hospitals (reimbursement plans at other hospitals) and an income replacement plan for in-patient hospitalisation for an amount of ₹1,000 per day (for maximum 30days in a year) across all Akshaya Kendras.

These plans can be availed only after 30 days of enrolment and customers of Boxop-Akshaya can get enrolled into these plans at all Akshaya centres.

Boxop is a fintech focussed start-up registered under Kerala Start-up Mission for customised financial and non-financial services to the public who are not serviced by banks and other financial entities.

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What you should know about Covid death claims under ESI and EDLI schemes

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In a move to provide a financial cushion to families who have lost an earning member of the family due to Covid-19, the government recently announced a few measures under the Employees State Insurance (ESI) Act and the EPFO’s EDLI (Employees’ Deposit Linked Insurance) scheme.

The benefit of family pension given under the ESI Act in case of employment related deaths is now extended to those who have died due to Covid-19.

The measures under the EDLI Scheme are a reiteration of those already announced by the Labour Ministry on April 28. That includes, increasing the minimum and maximum assurance benefits from the Scheme in case of death of an employee to Rs 2.5 lakh and Rs 7 lakh respectively. Further, benefits under the scheme have also been made available to the families of contractual/ casual workers.

Covid death under ESI

ESI is currently applicable to employees earning wages of up to Rs 21,000 per month working in a factory carrying out manufacturing process. All factories employing 10 (20 in case of Maharashtra and Chandigarh) or more employees are covered. The wage (all remuneration) limit is ₹25,000 in case of a person with a disability.

In these establishments, employers must contribute 3.25 per cent of the wages of the employee to the ESIC. Employees’ contribution of 0.75 per cent will also be deducted and transferred to ESIC.

An employee covered under this Act will be called an ‘insured person’.

Families of those covered under the scheme would get pension benefits (in addition to other benefits) in case of death due to employment.

A pension equivalent to 90 per cent of the average daily wage drawn by the worker is available to the spouse (till remarriage) and widowed mother for life and for children till they attain the age of 25 years. For the female child, the benefit is available till her marriage.

In case the insured person does not leave behind any of the dependents referred above, then his parents will get part of the pension and if no parent is alive then his/her paternal grandparent will get an equal amount as dependent benefit.

With addition of death due to Covid under ESI, all dependent family members of the deceased who have been registered in the online portal of the ESIC prior to their diagnosis of Covid disease will be entitled to receive the same benefits.

However, there are two conditions. One, the deceased would have to be registered on the ESIC online portal at least three months prior to the diagnosis of Covid disease. Secondly, the deceased must have been employed and contributions for at least 78 days should have been paid or payable during a period of one year immediately preceding the diagnosis of Covid.

If these conditions are fulfilled, the insured person’s dependants will be entitled to receive monthly pension payment during their life. The scheme will be effective for a period of two years from March 24, 2020.

Rise in EDLI benefits

To provide income security to the family of a private sector employee after his/her death, the government introduced the Employees’ Deposit Linked Insurance Scheme in 1976. This life insurance scheme covers all active members of the Employees’ Provident Fund. For availing of the insurance cover, employees need not contribute any amount.

In the unfortunate event of death of an employee who is a member of the EDLI scheme, family members receive assured benefits. The benefit under this scheme is based on the monthly wage (basic + dearness allowance) and/or the average balance in the member’s PF account, subject to minimum and maximum limits. Monthly wages here are capped at ₹15,000.

As per the recent amendment, the benefit is calculated by using the following formula: (Average monthly wages drawn during the preceding 12 months*35) plus (50 per cent of the average PF balance during the last 12 months, subject to a ceiling of ₹1,75,000). Irrespective of the formula, the minimum benefit will not be less than ₹2,50,000, if the employee has continuously worked for 12 months.

Earlier, the 12 months employment condition in the above provision requires working at the same establishment. Now, that has been removed and amended to one or more establishments. This is expected to benefit contractual/ casual labourers who were losing out on benefits due to the condition of continuous one year in one establishment.

The new minimum death cover of Rs 2.5 lakh (if not for amendment, Rs 2 lakh) will be effective retrospectively from February 15, 2020.

Amount of maximum benefit has been increased from 6 lakhs to 7 lakhs to the family members of deceased employee.

These new limits will be in effect for three years from April 28, 2021.

The benefits under the scheme will be payable to the nominee mentioned by the employee. If no nomination is made, his spouse, unmarried daughters and minor sons will be beneficiaries.

Exempted entities

While nothing can replace the loss caused due to the death of a loved one, monetary support would help meet the immediate financial needs of the family, especially if the deceased is the bread winner.

Families of the deceased (due to Covid) should ascertain whether they are applicable for the benefits under both or one of ESI and EDLI schemes, and accordingly claim the amount.

There are firms/establishments who would have obtained exemptions from the applicability of ESI and EDLI schemes on the understanding that the benefits provided by them to employees will be similar or more beneficial.

Beneficiaries of employees belonging to such organisations have to be cautious if the new amendments are made applicable on their benefit amount. As per Saraswathi Kasturirangan, Partner, Deloitte India, “Given the retrospective nature of some of these provisions, it is important for employers to determine how these benefits would be extended to their employees and also enhance the insurance coverage in line with these requirements.”

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SBI Chairman Dinesh Khara explains rolling out RBI’s 5-May SME loan relief measures; ECLGS extended

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State Bank of India’s (SBI) Chairman Dinesh Khara talked about loans for SMEs, Covid-19 resurgence, and RBI’s relief measures of 5 May 2021 in a press conference on May 30, 2021.

SBI Press Conference HIGHLIGHTS: State Bank of India’s (SBI) Chairman Dinesh Khara talked about loans for SMEs, Covid-19 resurgence, and RBI’s relief measures of 5 May 2021 in a press conference on May 30, 2021. Chairman Khara explained how RBI’s SME loan relief measures, which were announced on May 5, 2021, will be rolled out. He informed that PSBs have formulated templated approach for restructuring loans to individuals, small businesses and MSMEs up to Rs 25 crore. In order to approach bank for resolution, customers can file an application on the portal at the bank website, they can make manual submission of applications at the branch. Khara also informed that government will provide 100 per cent guarantee cover to loans up to Rs 2 crore to hospitals/nursing homes etc for setting up on-site oxygen generation plants, interest rate capped at 7.5%. The validity of ECLGS has also been extended to September 30, 2021, or till guarantees for an amount of Rs 3 lakh crore is issued. The disbursement under the scheme has been permitted up to December 31, 2021.

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Covid-19: Depositors’ body seeks suspension of penalty on premature FD withdrawal

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The All India Bank Depositors’ Association (AIBDA) wants the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to direct banks to suspend penalty charges on premature withdrawal of Fixed Deposits (FDs) in view of the Covid-19 pandemic.

In its “Addendum to Memorandum to the Reserve Bank of India,” the AIBDA observed that many depositors are under compulsion to prematurely withdrawal their savings to defray the excessive medical bills for treatment of Covid virus and many have lost their jobs.

Hence, the association requested the RBI for a moratorium on penalty charges for premature deposit withdrawal up to ₹5 lakh.

AIBDA underscored that this request is in light of the accommodation given (with respect to moratorium on loan repayments and resolution framework) to small borrowers, MSME loans up to a given limit.

Depositors need relief

“When borrowers are accommodated then why is there no relief for bank depositors – it is unfair and iniquitous.

“This has become of paramount importance in the current pandemic scenario with unemployment, economic uncertainties, health concerns and unexpected expenses,” said DG Kale, President, and Amitha Sehgal, Honorary Secretary, AIBDA.

The association’s office bearers emphasised that many sections of the society depend on FD interest income as a primary source of income.

“It is only in case of extreme necessity/ emergency that a depositor may withdraw the FD prematurely. It is unfortunate that if they need to break the FD receipt, they also have to forego a part of their income as ‘penalty’,” said Kale and Sehgal.

From the long-term perspective, AIBDA urged the RBI to nudge banks to have a more reasonable penalty structure, that is responsive to the current predicament faced by depositors.

The association said while FD rates are currently hovering at around 4 to 5 per cent per annum, the premature withdrawal penalty can be nearly 0.50 to 1 per cent per annum.

Earlier the FD rates used to hover around 7-8.50 per cent. According to AIBDA’s calculation, the penalty of 1 per cent was reducing the return by approximately by 12 per cent (1 per cent divided by 8 per cent).

Currently, FD rates are hovering around 4 to 5 per cent. The penalty of 1 per cent will bring the return down by 20 per cent (1 per cent divided by 5 per cent).

Unfair to depositors

“This is unfair to depositors. In the best interests of retail/ small depositors and in the light of the current falling interest rate scenario, the existing policy related to penalty on premature withdrawal needs a review,” said the AIBDA office bearers.

AIBDA reiterated its concern that retail depositors are likely to be lured by riskier financial assets to improve on the rate of return on their savings.

Against the backdrop of the impending turbulence and uncertainty in the financial market and a likelihood of stress in the banking/ NBFC/ corporate sector, it is important to take care of this risk, it added.

The association emphasised on the need for some calibration in penalty, linking it to absolute percentage return so that retail depositors are able to meet their objective of generating suitable return from this banking product.

It suggested that the penalty may be linked with the value of the FD, with small value FDs having nil or lower penalty structure.

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HDFC Bank commits ₹100 cr under Parivarthan for fighting the pandemic

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HDFC Bank and Piramal Foundation on Friday announced measures for Covid relief.

HDFC Bank, under Parivartan, announced measures to set up and enhance medical infrastructure across the country to assist the fight against the pandemic.

“The measures comprise setting up permanent medical infrastructure such as oxygen plants, medical equipment, and ICU facilities, in addition to providing medical supplies to hospitals across India,” it said in a statement.

The bank has committed an initial ₹100 crore under Parivartan in 2021-22 for Covid-19 relief initiatives. In 2020-21, it had contributed ₹120 crore towards Covid-19 relief.

Piramal Foundation’s initiative

Meanwhile, in a separate announcement, Piramal Foundation, which is the philanthropic arm of Piramal Enterprises Limited (PEL), said it will invest ₹100 crore towards Covid Relief in aspirational districts in partnership with Niti Aayog.

“To address the current emergency due to the second wave of Covid-19, the Foundation, will set up 100 Covid Care Centres in rural and tribal blocks across 25 of the worst affected Aspirational districts, and Home Care Support to the tribal and rural population with poor access to health services in 112 aspirational districts across India in partnership with Niti Aayog,” it said in a statement.

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