CARE Ratings revises ratings of AT I Bonds of 4 public banks

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CARE Ratings has revised the ratings of AT I Bonds of four public sector banks including Canara Bank, Indian Bank, Punjab National Bank and Union Bank of India. It considered the strengthening in the overall credit profile of the banks including improvement in capital cushions over the minimum regulatory requirement, improvement in both profitabilities as well as the distributable reserves position.

While rating instruments are issued by public sector banks (PSB), CARE Ratings assigns high weightage to support from the Government of India (GoI) due to its majority shareholding and the systemic importance of these banks in the Indian financial system.

Considering the significant size and financial franchise of the banks, a default by a PSB would have material economic consequences for the government as well as regulators, hence, the importance of PSBs for GOI and the economy as a whole cannot be undermined. Additional Tier I (AT I) Bonds are perpetual debt instruments that banks are allowed to raise under the Basel III capital framework and form a part of Tier I capital for banks. These instruments have several unique features, which make them very different from other types of debt instruments and provide them equity.

The issuing bank has full discretion over coupon payments at all times on these instruments. Therefore, if a bank does not have sufficient distributable reserves to service the coupon on AT I Bonds, it may not pay the coupon. These bonds also have loss-absorption features through conversion/writedown/ write-off on breach of pre-specified trigger on capitalisation requirement or at the point of non-viability (PONV) which may be decided by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

As per CARE Ratings’ criteria for rating of hybrid instruments issued by banks, CARE Ratings has been notching down the AT I Bonds issued by the banks by one to several notches below the Tier II Bonds rating depending on the expected adequacy of eligible reserves, cushion over minimum regulatory capital and other credit risk assessment parameters of the individual bank to factor in the additional risk in these instruments on account of several unique features.

In the last few years, PSBs have received significant government as well as regulatory support. GOI has initiated consolidation of the sector by amalgamation of relatively weaker and smaller banks into anchor banks which have gained significant scale increasing their economic and systemic importance and has further recapitalised these banks.

“With the strengthening of the resolution of NPAs under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) process, the banks have seen recoveries in some of the large NPAs. The banks also have made higher provisioning on bad assets and additional provisioning in anticipation of expected losses due to Covid-19 which has increased the provision coverage ratio (PCR) and provided strength to the balance sheets of these banks,” the rating agency said.

“Further, instances of GOI and regulatory support by way of broadening of the definition of distributable reserves to include more categories of reserves as distributable reserves and allowing accumulated losses to be set-off against the share premium account which has increased the ability of PSBs to service the coupons of AT I Bonds, reiterate that the stance to extend support even to hybrid instruments. PSBs are expected to receive capital support well in advance so that the coupon payment trigger is not breached in future,” it added.

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Moratorium, loan recoveries help Indian banks improve GNPA ratio, but will it sustain?

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While the overall lending rates have declined when we look at the headline rates, the transmission is probably slower when we look at various products or risk segments.

India’s banking sector saw its gross non-performing assets (GNPA) come down in the second quarter of this fiscal year. The GNPA ratio of SCBs improved to 7.7% in the quarter ended September against 9.3% in the year-ago period, CARE Ratings said in a report. Although the asset quality of the banks seems to be better, the improvement has come owing to the moratorium offered by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), recoveries and higher write-offs made by multiple banks. “As per disclosures by banks, the Gross NPAs would have been around 0.5% to 0.6% higher had these (moratorium) accounts been classified as NPAs,” the report said.

Asset quality improves

Among state-owned banks, India’s largest lender State Bank of India (SBI) reported the highest asset quality improvement, with a decline in GNPA ratio to 5.3% in the second quarter of this fiscal year against 7.2% a year ago. SBI accounts for nearly 20% of public sector bank GNPAs. Punjab National Bank (PNB) reported GNPAs at 13.4% against 16.8% a year ago. “Net NPAs also shrank to Rs 2.1 lakh crores in Q2FY21 from Rs 4.5 lakh crores in Q2FY19 reflecting an increase in provision coverage ratio (PCR),” CARE Ratings said. 

Recoveries were better in the fiscal second quarter, helping in improving the asset quality of banks. SBI’s recoveries stood at Rs 4,038 crore, ICICI Bank was at Rs 1,945 crore, followed by Bank of Baroda with Rs 1,642 crore worth of recoveries. “On an overall basis PSBs accounting for 75% share of GNPAs of SCBs have experienced a drop in the GNPA ratio to 9.3% in the quarter ended September against 11.6% in the year-ago period,” the report highlighted. 

Skeletons to be unearthed ahead?

CARE Ratings said that now that the moratorium offered by the banks has been lifted, the after-effect and the impact on the banks’ balance sheets may be witnessed in the latter part of the year and subsequent period. Banks have been ordered to not declare covid-19 related defaults as NPAs until further notice, hence keeping the GNPA ratio lower. However, following this many banks have kept aside extra provisioning for NPAs that may arise in future, making higher provisions in September. 

The report said that in the coming quarters provisions of SCBs are likely to remain elevated on account of the recognition of stressed assets owing to Covid-19 and its disruptions affecting the businesses which could impact the financial performance.

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