Auction of three G-Secs aggregating ₹24,000 crore sails through

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The auction of three Government Securities (G-Secs) aggregating ₹ 24,000 crore sailed through on Thursday, with the cut-off on the widely-traded benchmark 10-year G-Sec coming in about 2 basis points lower vis-a-vis the previous close.

The cut-off yield on the benchmark 10-year G-Sec (maturing in 2031 and carrying coupon rate of 6.10 per cent) came in at 6.3441 percent against the previous closing yield of 6.3612 per cent.

The cut-off price on the aforementioned G-Sec was about 12 paise higher at ₹ 98.25 against the previous close of ₹ 98.1275. Bond yields and prices are inversely correlated and move in opposite directions.

The Government mopped up ₹13,000 crore through auction of this paper.

A dealer with a public sector bank said G-Sec yields trended lower on the back of thaw in the US treasury yields. Further, buoyant tax collections and expected pick up in public sector disinvestment are likely to ensure that the government may not go in for additional borrowing.

In the secondary market, yield on the 10-year benchmark G-Sec closed lower at 6.3455 per cent against the previous close of 6.3612 per cent. Price of this security ended up about 11 paise at ₹98.24 against the previous close of ₹98.1275.

Brickwork Ratings, in a recent, report opined that yields are expected to maintain a hardening trend in the short and medium term, and the 10-year gilt yield is expected to remain at around 6.25 per cent in the short run and rise to 6.5 per cent in the later part of the second half (H2) 2022 owing to the augmented government borrowings and the inflationary trend.

The Government raised ₹4,000 crore via auction of the Floating Rate Bond maturing in 2034 at a cut-off yield of 4.8827 per cent and cut-off price of ₹99.25.

Further, the Centre mopped up ₹7,000 crore via auction of a new G-Sec maturing in 2061 at a cut-off yield of 6.9500.

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Govt may cancel FY21’s last weekly G-Sec auction

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The government may cancel the last weekly securities auction of FY2021 on rising expectations that the overall direct tax collection will exceed the revised target.

This, in turn, could soften Government Security (G-Sec) yields in the run up to the close of the fourth quarter and the financial year.

Market players expect the last weekly G-Sec auction for ₹20,000 crore to be cancelled as advance tax collections have turned positive at the end of the fourth instalment and the government has cash balances with the Reserve Bank of India.

Marzban Irani, CIO-Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund, observed that there were reports that the government will weigh whether it needs money from the last weekly auction of FY2021.

“The government is having balances with the RBI. They could have ideally cancelled tomorrow’s auction (aggregating ₹29,000 crore) and next Friday’s auction (aggregating ₹20,000 crore). Given that we are close to the year end, cancellation of the last auction could help vis-a-vis valuation of banks’ treasury portfolio,” Irani said.

Yield inches up

The yield on the 10-year benchmark G-Sec (coupon rate: 5.85 per cent) inched up 2 basis points on Thursday to close at 6.2023, with its price declining about 12 paise to ₹97.45 over the previous close.

The yields in the secondary G-Sec market moved up on Thursday in sync with the US Treasury yields.

The yield differential between the 10-year benchmark G-Sec and the 15-year G-Sec (coupon rate: 6.22 per cent) is now about 63 basis points.

This differential shows that the RBI is intervening in the market, especially through special open market operations (OMOs), to keep the 10-year benchmark yield from rising, bond market dealers said.

The yield on the 10-year benchmark G-Sec has jumped about 30 basis points, with its price dropping about ₹2 since January-end.

Meanwhile, the RBI has announced that it will conduct special OMO, entailing simultaneous purchase and sale of G-Secs aggregating ₹10,000 crore each on March 25.

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