Cryptocurrency ethereum is flourishing but risks linger, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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NEW YORK: Ethereum has outperformed major digital currency rivals this year, bolstered by the surge in decentralized finance (DeFi) and the anticipation of a technical adjustment this summer, but it faces hurdles that could stall its rise.

With a jump of more than 350% in its price this year, ethereum has the second-largest market capitalization after bitcoin, but not as much cache and perhaps more operational challenges that could prevent it from eclipsing its major rival.

In the crypto world, the terms “ethereum” and “ether” have become synonymous. Technically, ethereum is the blockchain network in which decentralized applications are embedded, while ether is the token or currency that enables or drives the use of these applications.

Ethereum’s market cap on Friday was $410 billion, second to bitcoin’s at more than $1 trillion, according to data tracker CoinGecko.com. It hit a record high of $3,610.04 on Thursday and was last up 1% at $3,524.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, has risen a more modest 97% this year. Since hitting an all-time high of just under $65,000 in mid-April, bitcoin has actually fallen roughly 18%.

A rise in institutional interest has increased ethereum demand, but supply has been limited. The token’s supply in exchanges in April hit its lowest in nearly 2-1/2 years, according to Kraken Intelligence, a research blog from cryptocurrency exchange Kraken.

“It’s more than just a coin. It’s a whole ecosystem that allows other applications to be built,” said Bradley Kam, chief executive officer of blockchain domain provider, Unstoppable Domains.

At the heart of ethereum’s ascendancy is DeFi, which refers to peer-to-peer cryptocurrency platforms that facilitate lending outside traditional banking institutions. Many sites run on the ethereum network, using an open-source code with algorithms that set rates in real time based on supply and demand. The value locked – the total number of loans on DeFi platforms – was $79 billion as of Friday, DeFi Pulse data showed, up nearly 600% from $11 billion in October.

DeFi, however, has its problems. Dune Analytics research showed 2%-5% of transactions on ethereum-based decentralized exchanges failed due to complications such as slippage or insufficient “gas” prices, which are the fees required to successfully conduct a transaction on the ethereum blockchain.

Between April 15 and April 21, for instance, roughly 1.1 million transactions were made on Uniswap, a DeFi protocol used for exchanging cryptocurrencies. Of those, 241,262 failed, representing the largest number of transaction failures across the entire ethereum network, data from analytics platform Etherscan and Dune Analytics showed.

“DeFi is destined for meteoric growth, but that growth inherently comes with risk,” said Alex Wearn, chief executive officer at crypto exchange IDEX.

“Issues such as failed transactions and front-running are not subtle, costing users millions of dollars every day,” he said, referring to the practice of getting a transaction first in line in the execution queue right before a known future contract. “These major … problems limit the appeal of these products for a wider audience and ultimately hinder the ecosystem’s growth.”

Wearn estimates that more than $285 million were lost in DeFi hacks so far this year.

Proponents say DeFi sites represent the future of financial services, providing a cheaper, more efficient and accessible way for people and companies to access and offer credit.

TECHNOLOGY BUMPS

Ethereum has also been plagued by the network’s inability to scale to meet demand without incurring high transaction fees as well as slow execution of transactions, market participants said.

The first phase of an upgrade called Ethereum 2.0 launched last year is aimed at addressing the network’s tech issues on speed, efficiency, and scalability.

However, John Wu, president of AVA Labs, an open-source platform for financial applications, pointed out that the planned migration to Ethereum 2.0 has been in the works for years.

“The timelines have consistently been delayed, so it’s hard to feel comfortable with that unknown,” he said.

Ethereum also faces stiff competition from networks such as AVA Labs’ Avalanche and Binance Smart Chain, which are also compatible with ethereum’s assets and applications.

Data from AVA Labs showed users have transferred more than $170 million to Avalanche from ethereum since February.

ANOTHER TECHNICAL ENHANCEMENT
Still, hopes of a technical adjustment called EIP (ethereum improvement proposal) 1559, which is expected to go live in July and is seen reducing the supply of ethereum, has provided a lift for the digital currency.

EIP-1559 aims to reduce the volatility of ethereum’s fees by introducing a mechanism to burn some of those transaction fees, which should slow the token’s issuance, analysts said.

The impact on ethereum’s price could be similar to a bitcoin halving event, in which an adjustment cut bitcoin’s supply and propelled its price to record highs, analysts said.

“There’s a lot of numbers going around the market about the potential impact that has like a halving-type magnitude with bitcoin,” said Richard Galvin, co-founder and chief executive officer of crypto fund Digital Asset Capital Management.

“They’re all pretty positive drivers that have, I guess, seen a pretty strong revaluing.”



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Goldman offers new Bitcoin derivatives to Wall Street investors, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Matthew Leising

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is wading deeper into the $1 trillion Bitcoin market, offering Wall Street investors a way to place big bets.

The investment bank has opened up trading with non-deliverable forwards, a derivative tied to Bitcoin’s price that pays out in cash. The firm then protects itself from the digital currency’s famous volatility by buying and selling Bitcoin futures in block trades on CME Group Inc., using Cumberland DRW as its trading partner. Goldman, which still isn’t active in the Bitcoin spot market, introduced the wagers to clients last month without an announcement.

“Institutional demand continues to grow significantly in this space, and being able to work with partners like Cumberland will help us expand our capabilities,” said Max Minton, Goldman’s Asia-Pacific head of digital assets. The new offering is “paving the way for us to evolve our nascent cash-settled crypto-currency capabilities.”

Goldman Sachs, which restarted a trading desk this year to help clients deal in publicly traded futures tied to Bitcoin, said in March it was also close to offering private wealth clients additional vehicles to bet on crypto prices. But the push into forwards dramatically increases its capacity to help big investors take positions. The partnership with Cumberland underscores the bank’s willingness to work with outside firms to help it do so, according to people familiar with the matter, speaking on the condition they not be identified.

For years after its creation in 2009, Bitcoin was shunned by Wall Street banks, with JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon once threatening to fire any of his traders caught buying and selling the digital currency. While Dimon later softened his tone, the banking world has long seen Bitcoin as a plaything for criminals, drug dealers and money launderers.

But client interest and Bitcoin’s astronomical price gains — reaching a high of almost $65,000 in April — have turned many bankers around, with Morgan Stanley making a Bitcoin trust product available to its customers and JPMorgan working on a similar offering.

“Goldman Sachs serves as a bellwether of how sophisticated, institutional investors approach shifts in the market,” said Justin Chow, global head of business development for Cumberland DRW. “We’ve seen rapid adoption and interest in crypto from more traditional financial firms this year, and Goldman’s entrance into the space is yet another sign of how it’s maturing.”

Banks are still wary of the regulatory challenges of holding Bitcoin outright. As derivatives settled with cash, the products Goldman Sachs is offering don’t require dealing with physical Bitcoin. In a similar way, the Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan trusts give customers access to vehicles tracking Bitcoin’s price while using a third party to buy and hold the underlying digital asset.

Goldman Sachs may next offer hedge fund clients exchange-traded notes based on Bitcoin or access to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, one of the people said.

“The crypto ecosystem is developing rapidly,” Chow said. “There is progress being made in offering ETFs, new custody providers coming online and optimism that regulatory efforts are coming into focus. It’s a great time to be in the space.”



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Meme-based cryptocurrency Dogecoin soars 40% to all-time high, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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LONDON: Meme-based virtual currency Dogecoin soared on Wednesday to an all-time high, extending its 2021 rally to become the fourth-biggest digital coin.

Dogecoin, launched as a satirical critique of 2013’s cryptocurrency frenzy, has climbed 41% in the last 24 hours to a record $0.68, according to CoinMarketCap.

This year alone it has soared over 14,000%, from $0.00468 on Dec. 31, taking it past more widely used cryptocurrencies such as the Tether stablecoin and XRP to become the fourth-largest by market capitalisation.

Dogecoin – whose logo features a Shiba Inu dog at the centre of the meme – remains little used in commerce or payments. Like other digital coins, it is highly volatile and its price is heavily influenced by social media users.

On Tuesday, the New York crypto exchange Gemini said it would start letting users trade and custody the token.

Some cryptocurrency market players said its volatility was its main draw, with a mixture of retail investors and market makers fuelling its trading volumes.

“The ugly truth is that a lot of crypto valuations are divorced from reality anyway,” said Joseph Edwards, head of research at crypto brokerage Enigma Securities.

“Right now, (Dogecoin) is being seen as it’s always been seen – an asset with surprising staying power that provides opportunities to take advantage of volatility every year or so.”

Dogecoins are now cumulatively worth $88 billion, compared to bitcoin‘s $1 trillion and ethereum’s $391 billion.



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Crypto Dogecoin soaring, crashes Robinhood token trading, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Vildana Hajric and Claire Ballentine

Animal spirits are alive and well in the cryptocurrency world, with the frenzy sending Dogecoin surging as much as 50% again and crashing Robinhood’s trading app.

Other so-called altcoins also took off, with Dash spiking as much as 14% and Ethereum Classic jumping more than 30%. In the world of DeFi, tokens such as Force DAO and Tierion surged more than 1,000% on Tuesday, according to CoinMarketCap.com data. Meanwhile, Robinhood said it is experiencing issues with crypto trading and is working to resolve them as soon as possible, according to its status update page.

“You have money looking for a home and this is one of those areas of the market where there is speculation happening, there is significant appreciation happening in a short period of time,” Chad Oviatt, director of investment management at Huntington Private Bank. “You get that excitement there.”

The rallies defied easy explanation and continued a trend that’s seen the value of all digital tokens surge past $2.25 trillion. Doge, created as a joke in 2013, has been used in marketing gimmicks, the latest by the Oakland A’s baseball team, which offered two seats to games this week for 100 Dogecoin. The Gemini crypto exchange backed by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss said it now supports Doge, and will soon enable trading of it.

Dogecoin’s red-hot advance from around 0.002 cents a year ago — when it was worth about $300 million — has captured the interest of many on Wall Street. It’s even caught the attention of the Federal Reserve — the central bank’s chairman last week answered “some of the asset prices are high” when asked if things like GameStop Corp.’s and Dogecoin’s supercharged rallies created threats to financial stability.

As a sign of Dogecoin’s rising popularity, the Robinhood app is among the top 10 downloads at the Apple App Store. Meanwhile, Coinbase Global, the largest U.S. crypto exchange, doesn’t offer Doge trading — its shares are down more than 5% Tuesday, on track for the lowest close since its market debut last month.

“It’s pretty amazing that something that started out as a joke has become so popular,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist for Miller Tabak + Co.

Though interest in digital assets has picked up in recent months as more traditional firms who were long hesitant to the crypto space warm up to cryptocurrencies, it’s alternative coins that have captured the most attention in recent days. Bitcoin has taken a backseat following record-setting rallies from Ether and Doge, wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.

“The Dogecoin bubble should have popped by now, but institutional interest is trying to take advantage of this momentum and that could support another push higher,” he said in a note. “Dogecoin is surging because many cryptocurrency traders do not want to miss out on any buzz that stems from Elon Musk’s hosting of Saturday Night Live.”

Meanwhile, many — including famed crypto investor Mike Novogratz — have warned that the rallies could be unsustainable. Novogratz, chief executive officer of Galaxy Digital Holdings, said recently he’d be “very, very worried” were one of his friends to invest in Doge.

“It seems that investors are careening from one hot dot to another, like a pinball game,” said Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners. “My sense is this speculative wave will suffer the same fate as the GME and other Robinhood ‘flash-in-the-pan’ stocks. Cryptocurrencies may have become a new asset class, like precious metals, but surges such as these seem unsustainable.”



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Ethereum breaks past $3,000 to quadruple in value in 2021, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Cryptocurrency ether broke past $3,000 on Monday to set a new record high in a dazzling rally that has outshone the bigger bitcoin, as investors bet that ether will be of ever greater use in a decentralised future financial system.

Ether, the token transacted on the ethereum blockchain, rose 3% on the Bitstamp exchange to $3,051.99 by lunchtime in Asia. It is up more than 300% for the year so far, easily outpacing a 95% rise in the more popular bitcoin.

In part, the big rally is a catch-up to late 2020 gains in bitcoin, said James Quinn, managing director at Q9 Capital, a Hong Kong cryptocurrency private wealth manager.

It also reflects improvements to the ethereum blockchain, he said, and a growing shift towards “DeFi”, or decentralised finance, which refers to transactions outside traditional banking for which the ethereum blockchain is a crucial platform.

“At first, the rally was really led by bitcoin because as a lot of the institutional investors came into the space, that would be their natural first port of call,” Quinn said.

“But as the rally has matured over the last six months, you have DeFi and a lot of DeFi is built on ethereum.”

The launch of ether exchange-traded funds in Canada and surging demand for ether wallets to transact non-fungible tokens such as digital art have also pushed up the price.

The ether/bitcoin cross rate has soared more than 100% this year and hit a 2.5-year high on Sunday, pointing to a degree of rotation into the second-biggest cryptocurrency as investors diversify their exposure.

“Surging DeFi volumes continue to push ethereum prices higher as investors gain confidence in crypto and see ethereum as a safe second-place asset,” said Jehan Chu, managing partner at Hong Kong blockchain venture capital firm Kenetic Capital.

Illustrating the momentum for such new transactions, Bloomberg reported last week that the European Investment Bank plans on issuing a digital bond over the Ethereum blockchain, while JP Morgan plans a managed bitcoin fund.

Bitcoin, the world’s biggest crypto asset with more than $1 trillion in market capitalisation, regained the $50,000 mark last week and hovered around $58,000 on Monday, up about 3% but well below its record high at $64,895.22.

The U.S. dollar was broadly steady. [FRX/]

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook and Vidya Ranganathan; Editing by Himani Sarkar & Shri Navaratnam)



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Charlie Munger feels ‘disgusted’ about Bitcoin; Buffett is ‘alright on that one’, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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MUMBAI: Legendary investor Charlie Munger of Berkshire Hathaway is not happy with the success of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as he sees them as “contradictory to the development of civilisation.”

Cryptocurrency assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are now worth more than $2 trillion within just 12 years of their birth. Bitcoin alone today has a market capitalisation of little less than $1 trillion and is trading around $58,000 from less than $5,000 more than a year ago.

Cryptocurrencies, often compared with the Internet in its early age, has enjoyed greater acceptance and success over the past year. Corporate America has embraced cryptocurrency with companies like Microsystem and Tesla converting a part of their cash holdings into Bitcoin.

Companies such as MasterCard, Square, PayPal and others have started to accept cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as payments enabling wider acceptance.

On Wall Street, investment firms are scurrying to make Bitcoin available to their clients to invest with companies such Vanguard, Blackstone and others rallying behind the cryptocurrency. JP Morgan & Chase recently recommended its wealthy clients to take an exposure to Bitcoin in their portfolio.

Munger, who was speaking at the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, said he hates the success of Bitcoin. “I don’t welcome a currency, which is so useful to kidnappers,” Munger said.

Warren Buffett, Munger’s partner for more than 60 years, ducked the question by using a line that a former governor of Nebraska used to say: “I am alright on that one.”

One of the most successful investors of the past century, Buffett has previously stated that cryptocurrencies have “no value” and “don’t produce anything”.



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Australians can now receive wages in Bitcoins as crypto acceptance grows, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bitcoin‘s dramatic surge from $22,000 in December 2020 to about $60,000 now is prompting many employed by cryptocurrency firms to take part or entire salaries in bitcoins.

After Miami City Council pledged to pay part of wages in Bitcoins, Australians can now receive a portion of their employment wages in Bitcoin using a new service from Living Room of Satoshi, a leading Australian Bitcoin payments company.

The “Wages” service allows a user to nominate a percentage of their regular pay to be converted to Bitcoin and instantly sent to their Wallet of Satoshi Bitcoin Lightning wallet. Wallet of Satoshi is a free application for iOS and Android, also created by the founders of Living Room of Satoshi, that boasts tens of thousands of active users worldwide.

Living Room of Satoshi

Living Room of Satoshi is an Australian company that enables payment of any bill, or transfers to any bank account, using Bitcoin and other crypto-currencies. Established in 2014, Living Room of Satoshi have facilitated hundreds of millions of dollars in payments and are fully regulated, operating under their own Australian Financial Services Licence.

The company is named in honour of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous and mysterious creator of the original Bitcoin software.

Its CEO said with the astronomical rise in prices in the last six months, to provide an option for regular folks in Australia to also join this burgeoning ecosystem. The simplest and most pain-free way is to have a small percentage of your wage converted and sent to you when you get paid, he said.

In India

While there is no major trend of payment in Bitcoins in India, engineers and developers at crypto firms in India are being paid in kind.

Many young engineers and freelancers are accepting payments in cryptocurrency due to the ease of transferring it across borders, lower transaction costs.

With the dramatic surge of bitcoin value, those who accept the pay in such unit have reaped a huge windfall.

The risks

There have been times when thousands of dollars in value have been wiped overnight, and there is no guarantee the price will not continue to fluctuate in the future.

After a huge surge post Coin Base listing, bitcoin is down over 14% from record highs.

Still, there are signs that cryptocurrency has arrived on Main Street.

Growing popularity

Recently Mastercard said it expected to directly support some forms of cryptocurrency on its network in 2021, with one executive claiming that “digital assets are becoming a more important part of the payments world”.

Earlier this year, the City Commission of Miami has pledged its support to a proposal that would allow workers in the city to accept cryptocurrency as part of their salaries in the future.

the city’s mayor, Francis Suarez, said on Twitter that after his resolution was supported by local officials, a suitable vendor will be “procured” to “be able to offer our employees to get a percentage of their salary in Bitcoin (BTC).”

“This allows our residents to pay for fees in Bitcoin, and would also allow the city manager to cooperate with Miami county for taxes to be paid in Bitcoin,” Suarez announced. “This allows our residents to pay for fees in Bitcoin, and would also allow the city manager to cooperate with Miami county for taxes to be paid in Bitcoin,” the city’s mayor, Francis Suarez, the city’s mayor was quoted as saying.

The proposal has also been put forward to the state legislature for allowing BTC to be considered “an acceptable currency for us to potentially invest in, in the future.”



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Bitcoin is facing a make-or-break moment, technicals show, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Vildana Hajric and Lu Wang

Bitcoin is facing a make-or-break moment following a recent bout of selling, according to technical analysis.
Though the cryptocurrency has rebounded above its average price over the past 100 days, it’s still trading below its 50-day moving average. Such a dynamic typically indicates an asset is nearing an inflection point.

If Bitcoin can’t overtake its 50-day mean — which currently sits at about $57,000 — then it might be in for a period of volatility as the gap between the two trend lines converges. Technical indicators suggest breaking out might not be an easy feat — Bitcoin failed to do so on several occasions last week.

Trading in the world’s largest digital asset has been choppy in recent days after it hit a record high in mid-April above $64,000. It’s down more than 15% since then, though it rebounded earlier this week amid positive news, including comments from Tesla Inc.’s chief financial officer that reiterated the company’s commitment to the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin is facing a make-or-break moment, technicals show
“The drastic — relative to what we’ve seen of late — pullback certainly was a point of eyebrows being raised, but at the end of the day, I think the fact that things were able to rebound and stabilize is a good thing,” said David Tawil, president of ProChain Capital. “It shows real power to the token, the staying power to the asset class.”

The coin fell 1.4% on Wednesday following an announcement by the Securities and Exchange Commission that it will delay a decision on a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. It was at about $54,586 as of 9:43 a.m. in Hong Kong Thursday.

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, says that if the stock market continues its advance, he expected Bitcoin to follow.

Despite its recent turbulence, Bitcoin is still up 511% over the past year. Inflation and central bank policies have been its biggest drivers during the past 12 months, according to Quant Insight, a London-based analytics research firm that studies the relationship between assets and macro factors.

Bitcoin is facing a make-or-break moment, technicals show
While some dispute the idea that Bitcoin can act as an inflation hedge, the argument has been a key tenet for its bullish thesis and rings true for a lot of crypto fans. Proponents have seized on the money-printing narrative to promote the notion that Bitcoin is a store of wealth, an explanation that’s gained traction in recent months with economists expecting price pressures to pick up.

“No question about it — what drives a big chunk of the interest in Bitcoin has been just the tremendous amount of money that has been printed and will be printed and really the fundamental thought that you cannot have that much money in the system and not have it be inflationary,” said Chuck Cumello, president and chief executive officer of Essex Financial Services.



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Bitcoin hits lowest since early March before retaking $50,000, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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By Joanna Ossinger

Bitcoin fell to the lowest in seven weeks on Monday as it continued to struggle with the $50,000 level and nearby technicals.

The largest cryptocurrency dropped as low as $47,079 in early Asia trading before rebounding. It was up 5.3% at $50,666 as of 9:01 a.m. in Hong Kong. That comes after it fell below the 100-day moving average late last week for the first time since early October after JPMorgan Chase & Co. cautioned that its upward momentum could be at risk.

“Bitcoin created a large gap down last week that could stick around far longer than bulls would want to see,” said Rick Bensignor, president of Bensignor Investment Strategies, in a note Monday.

The digital asset has stumbled since reaching a record $64,870 on April 14, buoyed by enthusiasm from the Coinbase Global Inc. listing. The collapse of two crypto exchanges in Turkey at the end of last week also may have depressed sentiment amid debate about whether cryptocurrencies could be in a bubble.

The lack of momentum over the weekend continued despite another potential reference to cryptocurrencies from Elon Musk on Twitter on Saturday. “What does the future hodl?” He asked, using a term often seen as meaning “hold on for dear life” that crypto supporters use to refer to buying and holding their digital assets.

Bitcoin hits lowest since early March before retaking $50,000Still, Bitcoin has done well over the medium term, retaining a gain of about 70% year-to-date as big-name investors endorse it and institutions from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Bank of New York Mellon advance their offerings around cryptocurrencies. JPMorgan’s John Normand reiterated in a note Friday that Bitcoin’s ascent has been steeper than any other financial innovation or bubble of the past 50 years.



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China digital currency trials show threat to Alipay, WeChat duopoly, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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SHANGHAI: In China‘s commercial hub Shanghai, six big state banks are quietly promoting digital yuan ahead of a May 5 shopping festival, carrying out a political mandate to provide consumers with a payment alternative to Alipay and WeChat Pay.

The banks are persuading merchant and retail clients to download digital wallets so that transactions during the pilot programme can be made directly in digital yuan, bypassing the ubiquitous payment plumbing laid by tech giants Ant Group, an affiliate of Alibaba, and Tencent.

“People will realise that digital yuan payment is so convenient that I don’t have to rely on Alipay or WeChat Pay anymore,” said a bank official involved in the rollout of e-CNY for the Shanghai trial, under the guidance of China’s central bank. The official is not authorised to speak with media and declined to be identified.

China’s development of a sovereign digital currency, which is far ahead of similar initiatives in other major economies, looks increasingly poised to erode the dominance of Ant Group’s Alipay and Tencent’s WeChat Pay in online payments.

That turf encroachment coincides with Beijing’s expanding effort to clamp down on anticompetitive behaviour in the internet sector, part of a wider reining in of the clout of sector heavyweights.

Regulators scuppered Ant’s record $37 billion IPO in November and earlier this month imposed a sweeping restructuring on the fintech conglomerate controlled by Jack Ma. Ma’s Alibaba Group Holdings was recently hit with a record $2.8 billion antitrust penalty.

In public, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) says e-CNY won’t compete with AliPay or WeChat Pay, and serves only as a “backup” or “redundancy”.

But in private, state banks marketing the digital fiat currency for the central bank bluntly describe Beijing’s intention to undercut the duo’s dominance.

“Big data is wealth. Whoever owns data thrives,” said another banking official tasked with promoting the e-CNY.

“WeChat Pay and Alipay own an ocean of data,” so the e-CNY rollout facilitates China’s anti-trust campaign and helps the government control big data, he added.

The PBOC and Tencent declined to respond to requests for comment.

Ant declined to comment on the relationship between Alipay and e-CNY. Ant-backed MYbank said it is “one of the parties participating in the research and development” of the e-CNY, and “will steadily advance the trial pursuant to the overall arrangement of the People’s Bank of China.”

Digital cash

The e-CNY digitalises a portion of China’s physical notes and coins, or currency in circulation (M0), and was launched last year in small pilot schemes in four cities.

Under a two-tier distribution system, the PBOC issues the digital currency to banks, which pass the money to individuals and companies.

The six banks in the e-CNY pilot schemes include China’s biggest lenders such Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and China Construction Bank.

“The e-CNY’s ease of use will likely be comparable to Alipay and WeChat Pay, while its security function will likely be higher, and as sophisticated as Bitcoin,” HSBC wrote in a recent report, adding that it expects the digital currency to “proliferate” within China.

Among a slew of likely motivations cited by HSBC behind the push is the central bank’s desire to gain control of payment channels and consumption data from Alipay and WeChat Pay.

Conspicuously absent

Digital wallets, which are still being beta tested, can be bundled with a dozen popular apps including Meituan, JD.com, Didi and Bilibili, but conspicuously can not be linked to WeChat or Alipay. That means none of the participating banks can transfer e-CNY between their digital wallets and the two established payment platforms.

“PBOC doesn’t want to see the money being routed through third-party payment systems,” a banker said, citing the need for “information segregation”.

The e-CNY will digitise “the last mile” of consumption, enabling banks and merchants to capture data and gain insights into spending patterns, said Wilson Chow, Global TMT Leader, PwC China.

That data is now dominated by Alipay and WeChat Pay, which control a combined 94% of China’s online payment market.

Mass adoption of the e-CNY won’t happen overnight.

Chow predicts that e-CNY will account for roughly 10% of China’s electronic payments market in a few years, co-existing with Alipay and WeChat Pay.

To entice users, bankers said the PBOC will likely give “red envelopes” of free digital cash or discounts to Shanghai citizens around the upcoming shopping festival, an event aimed at promoting spending to fuel economic recovery from Covid-19.

PBOC deputy governor Li Bo told a forum last week that domestic adoption will precede cross-border payments with e-CNY, which many analysts believe will bolster the yuan’s global status as China seeks ultimately to break the dominance of the dollar settlement system.

“The priority of the yuan’s digitalisation is currently to promote its domestic use,” Li said.



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