Anecdotal, though-provoking memoir on India’s banking system, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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New Delhi, This is a highly anticipated account of some of the critical periods in the history of Indias financial sector by one of the countrys most talented and established banking professionals in the country, Rajnish Kumar, former Chairman of State Bank of India (SBI), Indias largest commercial bank.

“The Custodian of Trust” (Penguin) is the story of Rajnish Kumar’s incredible journey as a banker. Debuting as a writer with his memoir, Kumar shares his stories – from being a probationary officer in SBI to becoming its chairman in 2017 – capturing the many changes he witnessed in India’s banking sector during his career. Recounting his experiences about the aftermath of demonetization; challenges in YES Bank; the crisis in Jet Airways and NPAs, this book is anecdotal, engaging and thought- provoking, and will attract a wide spectrum of readers.

“I am pretty excited to share my journey of 40 years with State Bank of India and offer glimpses of my personal life,” Rajnish Kumar said.

“SBI is considered a proxy to the Indian Economy. In that sense, the book is also an account of the tremendous progress made by the country as well as the banking and financial system in the last four decades. The removal of poverty has been the biggest challenge and banks have played a critical role in the fight against poverty. There are many untold and unknown stories in the book, which I am sure readers will find interesting and inspirational,” he added.

Even before its official launch, “The Custodian of Trust” has received generous praise and endorsements from the stalwarts of India Inc. and the banking industry. Ratan Tata, Chairman Emeritus, Tata Sons, remarked that “this book is not just about the banking system of our country, but a chronicle of contemporary economic history”. Uday Kotak, CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank, said about the book: “It has the potential to be a Bollywood blockbuster.”

Premanka Goswami, Executive Editor at Penguin Random House India, said: “Rajnish Kumar assumed the responsibility to lead the country’s biggest commercial bank at a critical time when India’s financial sector was going through a turmoil. ‘The Custodian of Trust’ opens a window to these times. We, at Penguin House Random House India, are excited to publish Kumar’s memoir.”

Rajnish Kumar joined SBI as a probationary officer in 1980. He served the bank in various capacities across the country and overseas. Prior to his appointment as Chairman, he was Managing Director (National Banking Group) at the bank overseeing the Retail business and Digital Banking. He was Chairman of the Indian Banks Association and served on the boards of many other companies while serving SBI.

Currently, he is a director on the boards of HSBC Asia Pacific, L&T Infotech Ltd and Lighthouse Communities Foundation. He is also an exclusive advisor to Kotak Investment Advisors Ltd and senior advisor to Baring Private Equity Asia Pvt Ltd.

–IANS

vm/ksk/



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Pandemic won’t deliver a big shock to banking system: Principal economic advisor Sanjeev Sanyal

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“The IBC (Indian Bankruptcy Code) process related cases are getting solved. The NCLT system has continued to function. The banking channels mostly remained muted for financing. Some NPAs will pop up but the shock will be smaller than feared,” Sanyal said at a session of the Merchants’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

The Indian banking system would not be hit by the pandemic as much as feared by many Sanjeev Sanyal, principal economic advisor, said.

“The IBC (Indian Bankruptcy Code) process related cases are getting solved. The NCLT system has continued to function. The banking channels mostly remained muted for financing. Some NPAs will pop up but the shock will be smaller than feared,” Sanyal said at a session of the Merchants’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

He said as the government was opening up more and more avenues for private investments. The booming stock markets could be a source for meeting the financing needs through more equity participation.

The capital expenditure, which the government started ramping up from October last year onwards to create more assets, has resulted in a strong economic recovery for the January-March quarter last fiscal. Sanyal said the FY22 Budget focussed on expanding the economy and that’s what the government is implementing.

The second wave of Covid has a deeper psychological impact on people with the number of deaths being significantly higher than the first wave. But a national lockdown would have been “blunt and costlier and so lockdown by the states have given a headroom to deal with the economy more efficiently”. Response to the situation was more adequate through faster creation of the required health infrastructure, though the country is still dealing with a lot of uncertainties, Sanyal said.

While he refrained from commenting on the preparedness of a probable third wave, he said a better surveillance and a situational awareness was required rather than prejudging how the economy would behave in case of a third wave. Though there could be many possibilities, the government at present was viewing three possibilities depending on which the economy would behave.

The first possibility would be to remove all restrictions and lockdown and get into economic activities. But this may not be sustainable while pumping up the economy a little and then again slowing it down. The second possibility is of the economy coming back roaring since exports, agriculture, construction, non-contract services and others alike are doing well and growing. But concern would shift from growth to inflation. The third possibility is some parts of the economy would become red hot and inflationary, and some parts like the hospitality industry and tourism may not recover.

“The government would be required to give a targeted response to the third possibility, while the second possibility would require a generalised response,” Sanyal said, adding that avoiding switching off and switching on the economy was the need of the hour and faster vaccination would pave the way to a quicker economic recovery.

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S&P, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Credit losses for Asia-Pacific banks could reach $585 billion by 2022, or nearly double the pre-Covid level raising credit costs for banks, according to S&P Global.

The credit costs of the Indian banking system may rise to 2.4 per cent by March 2022, compared to a base case of 2.2 per cent, according to the S&P report, “Intervention Worked: Credit Losses Set To Decline For Most Asia-Pacific Banks”.

“In India and Indonesia, where banks have suffered higher asset distress in recent years, the credit losses are set to trend closer to our expected long-term average in the coming years,” said S&P.

Moratorium cushions blow

S&P said moratoriums on loan repayments–together with fiscal, monetary, and policy support–have helped cushion the blow to borrowers in Asia-Pacific from the Covid outbreak and containment measures.

Credit losses are set to fall across most Asia-Pacific banking systems over the next two years, partly because targeted assistance to stretched borrowers will likely continue in many places until pandemic-related challenges substantially abate.

S&P forecasts that credit losses will remain well below its expected long-term average in most countries despite last year’s economic hardship. Credit losses encompass provisioning for expected bad loans, and generally precede charge-offs, the actual write-down of loans that detract from the balance sheet allowances for credit losses

Extended troubles

S&P said the effect of Covid on credit costs in the country will be extended over several years.

“Given the scale of the supports to banks and borrowers, downside risks will stay elevated.

“Besides moratoriums and fiscal support, temporary lenient regulatory and accounting treatment of stressed borrowers will also be lifted over time. And new waves of Covid remain a threat,” it said.

S&P said Asia-Pacific banks should safely avoid a ‘cliff effect’ even as extensive relief measures are progressively removed.

The report said while China‘s banks has taken much of its pandemic-related pain up front, with large credit losses reported in 2020, the fallout is not quite over.

Given the vast size of the country’s banking system, this translates into big numbers, it said.

The report discussed forecast credit losses for the 12 larger banking systems in Asia-Pacific: Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand.



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