P2P lending machine fires on all cylinders amid slackened bank loan disbursals, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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It has never been better for peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platforms, which are seeing a considerable increase in the number of people wanting to lend or borrow money. While slackened loan disbursals by banks and other institutional lenders have driven borrowers to peer-to-peer lenders, low fixed-income returns are prompting rich investors to lend money on these platforms at rates ranging from 10% to 18% per annum.

P2P lending is the practice of lending money to individuals via an online platform that connects lenders with borrowers. This mode is useful for both lenders and borrowers because the former can earn a higher interest rate (than bank savings account or many other debt instruments) and the latter can obtain funds (unsecured loans) at lower rates than what banks or nonbanking financial companies (NBFCs) offer. India has nearly 20 P2P lenders, with a combined outstanding loan book of around ₹5,000 crore. These entities are regulated by the RBI.

“We do nearly ₹130 crore worth of loan disbursals every month. Over the past one year, we have grown over 30 times,” said Rajat Gandhi, founder and CEO of Faircent, which claims to have a loan book worth ₹2,000 crore. “Our volumes shot up after we rolled out a string of new products for both lenders and borrowers. At a portfolio level, we are able to deliver 12-15% returns, after adjusting for expenses and defaults,” he adds.

The bulk of the lenders filling up the rosters of prominent P2P platforms are return-hungry retail investors and traders with surplus cash flows. Several high net worth individuals and family offices are writing large cheques favouring borrowers on these platforms.They are prompted to lend on platforms because their traditional fixed-income investments – such as bank fixed deposits, savings accounts, debt MFs, debentures and corporate FDs – are yielding 3-7% on an annual basis.

Diversifying Investment Portfolio

“Apart from P2P lending, there’s no asset class that is yielding 14-16% annual returns in the current scenario,” said V Shankar, founder-director, I-lend, a P2P platform that is planning to restart operations after it stopped loan disbursals last year, when the first wave of Covid-19 struck the country. “We have lenders asking us to resume operations. There’s a lot of interest now. With macroeconomic factors looking good, and people having enough savings due to WFH, there’s more willingness to lend at a higher interest rate.”

For lenders (investors), giving loans on a P2P platform is a way to diversify their investment portfolios even further. Many a time, they route their stock market gains or monthly surpluses to generate higher returns. A lot of financial advisors and wealth managers are also advising their clients to lend on P2P platforms, but they do not recommend an exposure exceeding 10% (of the total investment portfolio) to this asset class.

Borrowers are flocking to P2P lenders because most banks and NBFCs have gone slow on disbursing personal loans to customers with relatively lower credit scores. Also several fintech and digital lenders (especially those that did small-ticket, short-tenure, pay-day loans) have been put out of business by law enforcement agencies a few months ago, as they indulged in unethical collection methods to recover loans. This has forced borrowers to tap the peer-to-peer network for funds. The loan ticket size of most P2P lenders ranges between ₹50,000 and ₹70,000 – often given for a period of 12 months. These loans are disbursed at 10-18% interest rates, depending on the credit profile of the borrower.

“The quality of borrowers has gone up because we get a lot of bank/NBFC customers as well these days. There is a lot of awareness about credit now,” said Bhavin Patel, founder-CEO of LenDen Club, which currently has a loan book worth ₹700 crore. “Even new-to-credit customers are knowledgeable about various loan products. This has helped P2P business grow considerably over the past three years. Compared with pre-Covid levels, we are doing 12 to 15 times more transactions now,” he adds.



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Collection efficiency of bank loans improves in June, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Chennai: Banks witnessed an improvement in loan collection efficiency in June after states relaxed multiple lockdowns as the second Covid wave recedes.

For Equitas Small Finance Bank, collection efficiency for vehicle loans has come back to 89.3% in June, from 67.35% in May. While for microfinance loans, it is back at 66.9% from 63.6% and for small business loans it is back at 85.1% from 76.8%.

Its MD P N Vasudevan, “The Bank’s borrowers are largely in the informal segments dealing in daily use products and services which were temporarily disrupted due to the Covid-19 restrictions imposed. However, during June, states in the West and North experienced improved collection efficiencies as lockdowns eased while Southern states opened up towards the end of the month. We anticipate a sharp improvement in collections in the coming months as Covid wave recedes.”

For Indian Overseas Bank, the loan collection efficiency rate for small loans, vehicle and housing loans has improved to 85% between June and July from 70%-75% in May. The state-owned bank expects the recovery to be better in the September quarter, as it expects a large recovery of loans.

City Union Bank’s managing director N Kamakoti said that on an overall level, collection efficiency has recovered significantly in June as businesses have understood and adapted to lockdowns better.

A research note from Kotak on banks’ asset quality Kotak said that the recovery environment showed improvement in 1QFY22 though it is still not fully normal. There is likely to be more discussion on the recovery environment for 2QFY22 given the impact of the second Covid wave. Besides small loans, the report said it expects banks to provide a positive outlook on corporate recovery especially given a few large resolutions that have been completed/will be completed soon.



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Bank loans to industrial sector shrink during Modi rule, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The share of banks in loans to the industrial sector dropped massively during 2014-2021 even as credit to the retail sector, including home loans, saw a boom.

As per the data, industrial credit fell to 28.9% by March 2021 from 42.7% at the end of March 2014.

“Over recent years, the share of the industrial sector in total bank credit has declined whereas that of personal loans has grown,” the Reserve Bank of India said in its Financial Stability Report.

The environment for bank credit remains lacklustre in the midst of the pandemic, with credit supply muted by persisting risk aversion and subdued loan demand and within this overall setting, underlying shifts are becoming more evident than before, it said.

Loans to the private corporate sector declined from 37.6% in 2014 to 27.7% at the end of March 2021. During the same period, personal loans grew from 16.2 to 26.3%, in which housing loans grew from 8.5% to 13.8%.

Fiscal 2021

Bank credit growth to the industrial sector decelerated 0.8% year-to-date as of May 21, 2021, due to poor loan offtake from the corporate sector.

Growth in credit to the private corporate sector, however, declined for the sixth successive quarter in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal and its share in total credit stood at 28.3 per cent. RBI said the weighted average lending rate (WALR) on outstanding credit has moderated by 91 basis points during 2020-21, including a decline of 21 basis points in Q4.

Overall credit growth in India slowed down in FY21 to 5.6 per cent from 6.4 per cent in FY20 as the economy was hit hard by Covid. and subsequent lockdowns.

Credit growth to the industrial sector remained in the negative territory during 2020-21, mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and resultant lockdowns. Industrial loan growth, on the other hand, remained negative during all quarters of 2020-21.”

The RBI further said working capital loans in the form of cash credit, overdraft and demand loans, which accounted for a third of total credit, contracted during 2020-21, indicating the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

Shift to bonds

The corporate world focused on deleveraging high-cost loans through fundraising via bond issuances despite interest rates at an all-time low. This has led to muted credit growth for banks.

Corporates raised Rs 2.1 lakh crore in December ended quarter and Rs 3.1 lakh crore in the fourth quarter from the corporate bond markets. In contrast, the corresponding year-ago figures were Rs 1.5 lakh crore and Rs 1.9 lakh crore, respectively.

Bonds were mostly raised by top-rated companies at 150-200 basis points below bank loans. Most of the debt was raised by government companies as they have top-rated status.

For AAA-rated corporate bonds, the yield was 6.85 per cent in May 2020, which fell to 5.38 per cent in April 2021 and to 5.16 per cent in May 2021.



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Bank loan growth likely to double next fiscal, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Bank loans are growing at a slower pace while deposits are clipping ahead fast.

The non-food bank credit grew at 5.7% in January 2021 as against an increase of 8.5 per cent in the same month last year, according to RBI data.

As on February 12, outstanding bank loans stood at over Rs 107 lakh crore, which was up 6.6% on year. However, on a fortnightly basis, outstanding loans fell by Rs 1,040 crore between January 29 and February 12.

The contraction

Loans to industry contracted by 1.3% in the reporting month as compared to 2.5%growth in the same period last year, mainly due to contraction in credit to large industries, the data showed.

Credit growth to the services sector decelerated year-on-year moderately to 8.4% in January 2021 from 8.9%.

However, credit to transport operators and trade continued to perform well during the month, registering accelerated growth.

Personal loans growth decelerated by 9.1% in January 2021 compared to 16.9% a year ago, the data showed.

Deposits

However, deposits are going strong as people tend to save money during uncertain times.

As on February 12, bank deposits stood at nearly Rs 148 lakh crore, up 11.8% on year, while investment by banks was 17.9% higher at close to Rs 45 lakh crore.

Due to lower credit demand, banks were forced to park their surplus deposits in investments such as government bonds and corporate debt papers.

Why the drop?

Experts say credit growth has been supported for the last few months by retail loans, especially home loans, along with disbursements to micro, small and medium enterprises under the government’s Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme.

However, companies have restricted their borrowing from banks and some are tapping the bond market for their credit requirements.

Also, the availability of low-cost funds under the RBI’s targeted long-term operations has hit credit growth.

According to CRISIL Ratings, corporate credit growth is likely to contract this financial year as the companies have put capital expenditure on the back burner.

The silver lining

Bank credit is expected to grow at a higher pace during the next fiscal by at least 9% to 10%. This is in contrast to the bank credit growth which was seen rising at around 4% to 5%, despite the Covid-induced contraction.



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Bank loans: Forbearance emergency medicine, not staple diet, says Economic Survey

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The current regulatory forbearance on bank loans has been necessitated by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Keeping in mind the negative consequences of prolonged regulatory forbearance following the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), policymakers should lay out thresholds of economic recovery for withdrawal of the current regulatory forbearance on bank loans, economists in the finance ministry said.

“Remember that forbearance represents emergency medicine that should be discontinued at the first opportunity when the economy exhibits recovery, not a staple diet that gets continued for years,” the economists said in the Economic Survey 2020-21. An Asset Quality Review (AQR) exercise must be conducted immediately after the forbearance is withdrawn and the legal infrastructure for the recovery of loans needs to be strengthened de facto, they added.

The current regulatory forbearance on bank loans has been necessitated by the Covid-19 pandemic. Regulatory forbearance for banks involved relaxing the norms for restructuring assets, where restructured assets were no longer required to be classified as non-performing assets (NPAs) and therefore did not require the levels of provisioning that NPAs attract.

During the GFC, forbearance helped borrowers tide over temporary hardship caused due to the crisis and helped prevent a large contagion. However, the forbearance continued for seven years, though it should have been discontinued in 2011, when GDP, exports, IIP and credit growth had all recovered significantly. Given relaxed provisioning requirements, banks exploited the forbearance window to restructure loans even for unviable entities, thereby window dressing their books. The inflated profits were then used by banks to pay increased dividends to shareholders. As a result, banks became severely under-capitalised.

Concerned that the actual situation may be worse than reflected on the banks’ books, RBI initiated an AQR to clean up bank balance sheets.

While gross NPAs increased from 4.3% in 2014-15 to 7.5% in 2015-16 and peaked at 11.2% in 2017-18, the AQR could not bring out all the hidden bad assets in the bank books. This led to a second round of lending distortions, thereby exacerbating an already grave situation.

The prolonged forbearance policies following the GFC thus engendered the recent banking crisis that brought down investment rates and thereby economic growth in the country, the Survey noted.

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