TOKYO – SoftBank Group Corp shares jumped 10.5% on Tuesday, the first trading session after the Japanese conglomerate said it would spend up to 1 trillion yen ($8.8 billion) buying back almost 15% of its shares.
The company announced the buyback, long speculated about by the market, after it revealed its quarterly earnings crashed to a loss amid a decline in the share prices of its portfolio companies and a regulatory crackdown in China.
SoftBank‘s shares closed at 6,808 yen in its biggest daily rise in 11 months, lifting the group’s market capitalization above $100 billion. Tuesday’s trading volume was more than twice the 30-day average.
The buyback is SoftBank’s second largest after a record 2.5 trillion yen buyback launched during the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic last year. Shares of the tech group quadrupled during that buyback, but have since fallen 40% from a peak in May.
“Our analysis of buyback history indicates that SBG stock performs (and outperforms indices or BABA) during buybacks,” wrote Jefferies analyst Atul Goyal in a note, referring to Alibaba, the group’s largest asset. SoftBank owns about a quarter of Alibaba’s shares.
The slide in the Chinese e-commerce giant’s shares and the broader regulatory backlash in China contributed to a $57 billion fall in SoftBank’s net assets to $187 billion, a metric that Chief Executive Masayoshi Son has said is the primary measure of SoftBank’s success.
(For graphic on Buyback dependence Buyback dependence: https://graphics.reuters.com/SOFTBANKGROUP-SHARES/byprjkkkdpe/chart.png)
The repurchase period for the latest buyback runs to Nov. 8 next year, with the group signalling the programme could take longer than the fast-paced purchases last year.
The buyback “is nice support, but it isn’t rocket fuel,” wrote LightStream Research analyst Mio Kato on the Smartkarma platform, adding “there are material downside risks if broader tech, especially unprofitable tech, falters.”
Speculation that SoftBank could launch a buyback has been raging for months as the discount – the gap between the value of its assets and its share price – has lingered to the frustration of executives and as investors push for repurchases.
Ongoing uncertainties include the prospect of gaining regulatory approval for the $40 billion sale of chip designer Arm to Nvidia.
Delays to the sale “may have given Softbank the flexibility to announce a buyback now with expectations of ramping up share purchases later,” Redex Research analyst Kirk Boodry wrote in a note.
SoftBank is ramping up investing via Vision Fund 2, which has $40 billion in committed capital from the group and Son himself, even as it winds down activity at trading arm SB Northstar.
“Even if the company manages its finances with a certain amount of discipline, share buybacks would likely erode the financial buffer if executed,” S&P Global Ratings analysts wrote in a note.
The conglomerate held more than 5 trillion yen in cash and cash equivalents at the end of September, an increase of 9% compared to six months earlier.
SoftBank Group Corp reported a 397 billion yen ($3.5 billion) net loss for the July-September quarter, dragged down by a $10 billion investment loss at its Vision Fund unit as tech valuations fell.
While CEO Masayoshi Son describes SoftBank as a goose laying “golden eggs”, referring to its stakes in startups that go to market, initial public offerings (IPOs) have dropped off and shares in many top assets like online retailer Coupang fell during the quarter.
“The strategy of let’s create the perception of enhanced value by taking things public hasn’t really worked this year,” Redex Research analyst Kirk Boodry said.
Depressed valuations in SoftBank’s China portfolio amid a regulatory crackdown continued to drag with its stake in ride-hailer Didi, acquired for $12 billion, currently valued at $7.5 billion.
The group’s largest asset, Chinese e-commerce firm Alibaba, fell by around a third in the second quarter.
SoftBank’s quarterly net loss compared with a profit of 628 billion yen in the same period a year earlier.
Bright spots for the Vision Fund include its India portfolio with ride-hailer Ola and logistics firm Delhivery targeting listings.
SoftBank has been trimming stakes following the expiry of lock-up periods, while focusing on investing through its second Vision Fund that has $40 billion in committed capital from SoftBank itself.
SoftBank shares, which have lost around a quarter this year, closed down 0.77% at 6,161 yen ahead of earnings on Monday.
China’s Alibaba Group Holding Ltd has begun offering payment services from Tencent Holdings Ltd’s WeChat on a number of its apps, after the government ordered major tech firms to stop blocking each other’s services and links.
Local tech blog 36Kr reported on Tuesday that users of Alibaba’s food delivery app Ele.me, luxury goods app Kaola and e-book app Shuqi can now purchase goods via WeChat Pay, one of China’s most popular online payment options.
Alibaba’s used-goods marketplace app Xianyu and supermarket app Freshippo have also applied for WeChat Pay integration, the tech blog said.
Alibaba confirmed the contents of the report to Reuters. Previously, the main way users could make payments on those apps was via Alipay, from Alibaba’s financial affiliate Ant Group.
Earlier this month, the ministry of industry and information technology said it had asked internet companies to end a long-standing practice of blocking each other’s links and services on their sites. Such practices prevented app users from seamlessly jumping to services between rival companies.
Days later, Tencent’s WeChat messaging app started allowing users to access links to rival platforms. Previously, it had not allowed users to click on links sent via chat to, for instance, product listings from Alibaba’s Taobao marketplace.
The changes come as authorities continue to tighten regulation in the internet sector.
In April, antitrust regulators fined Alibaba a record $2.75 billion for anti-competitive behaviour.
Alipay—with more than one billion users in China and other Asian nations including India—was told to spin off its profitable micro loan business, the Financial Times reported Monday, citing a person with knowledge of the matter.
Currently, the app allows users to pay with a traditional credit card linked to their bank or offers small unsecured loans to buy anything from toilet paper to laptops.
“The government believes big tech’s monopoly power comes from their control of data,” the source close to financial regulators told the newspaper. “It wants to end that.”
Alipay’s parent company Ant Group is China’s biggest payments services provider.
Ma’s business empire has been targeted in a wider crackdown on tech firms aimed at breaking monopolies and strengthening data security, which has wiped billions off companies’ valuations.
The outspoken billionaire has largely remained out of the limelight since the crackdown began.
After separating its payment and loan businesses Alipay will have to hand over customer data used to make its lending decisions to a new credit scoring joint-venture that is partly state-owned, two sources familiar with the arrangement told the Financial Times.
Alipay did not immediately respond to AFP’s questions on how the order would affect its business.
Regulators have also asked Ma’s e-commerce platform Alibaba and other internet firms to stop blocking links to rival services, Zhao Zhiguo, a spokesman for the ministry of industry and information technology, said at a briefing on Monday.
China’s market regulator last month announced rules to bring down so-called “walled gardens” built by tech companies that aim to lock users into their services.
“It is unreasonable to restrict.. access of website links, which not only affects the user experience but also damages rights and interests of users and disrupts the market order,” Zhao said.
LONDON: Central banks and financial regulators urgently need to get to grips with the growing influence of ‘Big Tech‘, according to top officials from central bank umbrella group the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
Global watchdogs are increasingly wary that the huge amounts of data controlled by groups such as Facebook, Google, Amazon and Alibaba could allow them to reshape finance so rapidly that it destabilises entire banking systems.
The BIS, in a paper led by its head Agustin Carstens, pointed to examples such as China where the two big tech payment firms Alipay and WeChat Pay now account for 94% of the mobile payments market.
China has already rattled its markets with a series of clampdowns https://www.reuters.com/world/china/no-gain-without-pain-why-chinas-reform-push-must-hurt-investors-2021-07-28 on top tech and e-commerce firms. Last November regulators torpedoed the public listing of Jack Ma’s fintech Ant Group and in the nine months since other tech giants and, lately, tutoring firms, have all faced scrutiny.
In many other jurisdictions too, tech firms are rapidly establishing footprints, with some also lending to individuals and small businesses as well as offering insurance and wealth management services.
“The entry of big techs into financial services gives rise to new challenges surrounding the concentration of market power and data governance,” the BIS paper https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull45.pdf published on Monday said.
There was scope for “specific entity-based rules” notably in the European Union, China and the United States, it added.
“Any impact on the integrity of the monetary system arising from the emergence of dominant platforms ought to be a key concern for the central bank.”
Stablecoins – cryptocurrencies pegged to existing currencies such as Facebook’s Diem – and other Big Tech initiatives could be “a game changer” for the monetary system, the paper added, if the “network effects” of social media and e-commerce platforms turbo-charged their uptake.
It could lead to a fragmentation of existing payment infrastructures to the detriment of the public good. “Given the potential for rapid change, the absence of currently dominant platforms should not be a source of comfort for central banks,” the paper said.
It said they should anticipate developments and formulate policy based on possible scenarios where Big Tech initiatives are already reshaping payments and other parts of financial systems.
“Central banks and financial regulators should invest with urgency in monitoring and understanding these developments” it added. “In this way, they can be prepared to act quickly when needed.”
When the coronavirus jammed up China’s economy last year, Rao Yong needed cash to tide over his online handicrafts business. But he dreaded the idea of spending long, dull hours at the bank.
The outbreak had snarled delivery services and made customers slow on their payments, so Rao, 33, used an app called Alipay to receive early payment on his invoices. Because his Alipay account was already tied to his digital storefront on Alibaba’s Taobao bazaar, getting the money was quick and painless.
Alipay had helped Rao a few years before as well, when his business was just starting to expand and he needed $50,000 to set up a supply chain.
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“If I’d gone to a bank at that point, they would have ignored me,” he said.
China was a trailblazer in figuring out novel ways of getting money to underserved people like Rao. Tech companies like Alipay’s owner, an Alibaba spinoff called Ant Group, turned finance into a kind of digital plumbing: something embedded so thoroughly and invisibly in people’s lives that they barely thought about it. And they did so at colossal scale, turning tech giants into influential lenders and money managers in a country where smartphones became ubiquitous before credit cards.
But for much of the past year, Beijing has been putting up new regulatory walls around so-called fintech, or financial technology, as part of a widening effort to rein in the country’s internet industry.
The campaign has ensnared Alibaba, which was fined $2.8 billion in April for monopolistic behavior. It has tripped up Didi, the ride-hailing giant, which was hit with an official inquiry into its data security practices just days after listing its shares on Wall Street last month.
This time last year, Ant was also preparing to hold the world’s biggest initial public offering. The IPO never happened, and today Ant is overhauling its business so regulators can treat it more like what they believe it is: a financial institution, not a tech company.
In China, “the reason fintech grew that much is because of the lack of regulation,” said Zhiguo He, who studies Chinese finance at the University of Chicago. “That’s just so clear.”
Now the question is: What will regulation do to an industry that has thrived precisely because it offered services that China’s state-dominated banking system could not?
With Ant and other big platforms cornering the market, investment in Chinese fintech has fallen in recent years. So Ant’s chastening could make the sector more competitive for startups. But if running a big fintech company means being regulated like a bank, will the founders of future Ants even bother?
Zhiguo He said he was mostly confident that Chinese fintech entrepreneurs would keep trying. “Whether it’s hugely profitable,” he said, is another question.
For much of the past decade, if you wanted to see where smartphone technology was making China look most different from the rest of the world, you would have peered into people’s wallets. Or rather, the apps that had replaced them.
Rich and poor alike used Alipay and Tencent’s WeChat messaging app to buy snacks from street vendors, pay bills and zap money to their friends. State media hailed Alipay as one of China’s four great modern inventions, putting it and bicycle sharing, e-commerce and high-speed rail up there with the compass, gunpowder, papermaking and printing.
But the tech companies didn’t enter the finance business to make it easier to pay for coffee. They wanted to be where the real money was: extending credit and loans, managing investments, offering insurance. And with all their data on people’s spending, they believed they would be much better than old-fashioned banks at handling the risks.
With the blessing of China’s leaders, finance arms began sprouting out of internet companies of all kinds, including the search engine Baidu, the retailer JD.com and the food-delivery giant Meituan. Between 2014 and 2019, consumer credit from online lenders nearly quadrupled each year on average, by one estimate. Nearly three-quarters of such platforms’ users were under age 35, according to iiMedia Research.
Last year, when Ant filed to go public, the company said more than $260 billion in credit was being extended to consumers on Alipay. That meant Ant alone was responsible for more than 12% of all short-term consumer lending in China, according to the research firm GaveKal Dragonomics.
Then in November, officials torpedoed Ant’s IPO and got to work taking apart the plumbing that had connected Alipay with China’s banks.
They ordered Ant to make it less convenient for users to pay for purchases on credit — credit that was being largely funded by banks. They barred banks from offering deposits through online platforms and restricted how much banks could lend through them. At some banks, deposits offered through digital platforms accounted for 70% of their total deposits, a central bank official said in a speech.
In a news briefing last week, Fan Yifei, deputy governor at the central bank, said regulators would soon be applying the full Ant treatment to other platforms.
“On the one hand, the speed of development has been astonishing,” Fan said. “On the other hand, in the pursuit of growth, there have arisen monopolies, disorderly expansion of capital and other such behaviors.”
Ant declined to comment.
As Ant and Tencent scramble to meet regulators’ demands, they have pared credit services for some users.
One big hit to Ant’s bottom line could come from new requirements that it put up more of its own money for loans. Chinese regulators have for years disliked the idea of Alipay’s competing against banks. So Ant instead played up its role as a partner to banks, using its technology to find and assess borrowers while banks staked the funds.
Now, though, that model looks to Beijing like a handy way for Ant to place bets without being exposed to the downside risks.
“If problems arise, it would be safe, but its partner banks would take a hit,” said Xiaoxi Zhang, an analyst in Beijing with GaveKal Dragonomics.
When Chinese regulators think about such risks, it is people like Zhou Weiquan they have in mind.
Zhou, 21, makes about $600 a month at his desk job and wears his hair in a swooping, reddish-brown mullet. After he turned 18, Alipay and other apps began offering him thousands of dollars a month in credit. He took full advantage, traveling, buying gadgets and generally not thinking about how much he spent.
After Alipay slashed his credit limit in April, his first reaction was to call customer service in a panic. But he says he has since learned how to live within his means.
“For young people who really love spending to excess, this is a good thing,” Zhou said of the clampdown.
China’s brisk recent economic growth has most likely made officials more comfortable with reining in fintech, even at the expense of some innovation and consumer spending and borrowing.
“When you consider that household debt as share of household income is among the highest in the world right now” in China, “then more household debt is probably not a good idea,” said Michael Pettis, a finance professor at Peking University.
Qu Chaoqun, 52, was thrilled a few years ago to find he had access to $30,000 a month across several apps. But he wanted even more. He started buying lottery tickets.
Soon enough, Qu, a takeout-delivery driver in the megacity of Guangzhou, was borrowing on one app to pay his bills on another.
When his credit was cut by almost half in April, he fell into what he calls a “bottomless abyss” as he struggled to pay his outstanding debts.
“People inevitably have psychological fluctuations and impulses that can bring great harm and instability to themselves, to their families and even to society,” Qu said.
Shanghai, March 21, 2021 -Tighter regulations, billions in lost overseas share value and government pledges to get even tougher — Chinese tech giants are reeling under what looks like a sustained Big Brother assault on innovation and enterprise.
But there’s a reason why the escalating crackdown is largely drawing shrugs from Chinese consumers: it is widely seen as necessary.
Concern is rising in China over chaotic online lending and accusations of powerful platforms squeezing merchants and misusing consumer data, reflecting global unease with Big Tech that has Facebook, Google and others also facing scrutiny at home and abroad.
“With China, it immediately becomes about the Communist Party. But if the UK government were doing this, people would probably be OK with it,” said Jeffrey Towson, head of research at Asia Tech Strategy.
“These actions look quite reasonable.”
Companies such as e-commerce giants Alibaba and JD.com, along with messaging-and-gaming colossus Tencent, are among the world’s most valuable businesses, feasting on growing Chinese digital lifestyles and a government ban on major US competitors.
But they have become victims of their own success.
The troubles burst into public view last October when Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma committed the cardinal sin of publicly criticising China’s regulators for their increasingly dire warnings concerning his company’s financial arm, Ant Group.
Ant Group’s Alipay platform is ubiquitous in China, used to buy everything from meals to ride-hailing, groceries and travel tickets.
Slow-footed regulatory oversight also allowed Ant to expand into loans, wealth management, even insurance. Tencent’s fintech profile also has risen.
Consequently, they have become “overly powerful actors capable of pushing regulatory boundaries without regard for systemic risks,” Eurasia Group consultancy said in a research note.
These ambitions have collided with Beijing’s years-long campaign to purge its chaotic financial system of a dangerous debt build-up.
– Size matters – Chinese debt spiralled to 335 percent of gross domestic product by the end of 2020, according to the Institute of International Finance. Previous lower levels had already prompted International Monetary Fund concern.
The official response to Ma’s unusual outburst has been uncompromising: Ant’s record-breaking $35 billion Hong Kong-Shanghai IPO was abruptly suspended, Ma disappeared from public view for weeks, and regulatory screws have been tightened.
China is expected to force Ant and Tencent to begin running their lending operations like banks, with resulting higher scrutiny and financial liability — things the fintech leaders had largely avoided.
“They’ll have to meet capital requirements and set up financial holding companies. They can’t escape it,” said Ke Yan, lead analyst at DZT Research.
The Wall Street Journal reported last week that Alibaba was also being pushed to shed wide-ranging media assets, including a potential sale of Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post.
The tumult has sliced billions off Chinese tech firms’ share values.
In China’s crackdown, size matters.
While just over 20 percent of US retail spending takes place online, China is forecast to surpass 50 percent this year. Major Chinese platforms boast hundreds of millions of users, amplifying concerns about industry concentration and data privacy.
Ma’s unusual outburst was seen by many as a direct Big Tech challenge to Communist Party authority and influence.
But Ke says: “I don’t think (the crackdown) was triggered by Jack Ma. It’s been planned for a long time.”
Unease over tech’s growing influence is not unique to China.
“Most major governments globally are focussed on this issue in a way they weren’t two years ago. Everyone seems to think that Big Tech has gotten too powerful,” Towson said.
– ‘Very China approach’ – Such crackdowns are not unusual in China.
Its economy has transformed so rapidly in recent decades that regulators often play catch-up, eventually making headlines with clampdowns that analysts say are often necessary — though belated — attempts to address problems that appear.
“It’s a very ‘China’ approach: ‘Let it run to not stifle innovation, and we’ll step in a bit later,'” said Towson, adding that China is “rightfully concerned” over how fast fintech has grown.
Many Chinese web-users say the crackdown should have come sooner. Consumers increasingly express privacy concerns as use of facial recognition and other advanced technologies expand in China.
More measures could be coming. President Xi Jinping last week called for tightened oversight to prevent online monopolies and financial chaos.
This could “break down the walled gardens built by Alibaba and Tencent,” Eurasia Group said, leading to a “more level playing field for smaller companies and present better choices for consumers.”
Ant’s eventual IPO is expected to be severely trimmed down, but China’s moves are “unlikely (to) materially change the competitive landscape and potential growth” in such a crucial sector, investment group CLSA said in a research report.
“Regulatory risks are overstated,” it added.
It may take time for the “dust to settle”, said Ke, but he adds: “there is still huge growth behind these companies.”