Preliminary data on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the third quarter (Q3), i.e., October-December 2020-21, are presented in Statements I (BPM6 format) and II (old format).
Key Features of India’s BoP in Q3:2020-21
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India’s current account balance recorded a deficit of US$ 1.7 billion (0.2 per cent of GDP) in Q3:2020-21 after a surplus of US$ 15.1 billion (2.4 per cent of GDP) in Q2:2020-21 and US$ 19.0 billion (3.7 per cent of GDP) in Q1:2020-21; a deficit of US$ 2.6 billion (0.4 per cent of GDP) was recorded a year ago [i.e. Q3:2019-20].
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Underlying the current account deficit in Q3:2020-21 was a rise in the merchandise trade deficit to US$ 34.5 billion from US$ 14.8 billion in the preceding quarter, and an increase in net investment income payments.
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Net services receipts increased, both sequentially and on a year-on-year basis, primarily on the back of higher net export earnings from computer services.
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Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, declined marginally on a y-o-y basis but improved sequentially by 1.5 per cent to US$ 20.7 billion in Q3:2020-21.
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Net outgo on the primary income account, primarily reflecting payments of investment income, increased to US$ 10.1 billion from US$ 7.4 billion a year ago.
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In the financial account, net foreign direct investment (FDI) recorded robust inflow of US$ 17.0 billion as compared with US$ 9.7 billion in Q3:2019-20.
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Net foreign portfolio investment (FPI) was US$ 21.2 billion as compared with US$ 7.8 billion in Q3:2019-20, primarily reflecting net purchases by foreign portfolio investors in the equity market.
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With repayments exceeding fresh disbursals, external commercial borrowings to India recorded net outflow of US$ 1.7 billion in Q3:2020-21 as against an inflow of US$ 3.2 billion a year ago.
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Net accretions to non-resident deposits increased to US$ 3.0 billion from US$ 0.8 billion in Q3:2019-20.
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There was an accretion of US$ 32.5 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) as compared with that of US$ 21.6 billion in Q3:2019-20 (Table 1).
BoP during April-December 2020
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India recorded a current account surplus of 1.7 per cent of GDP in April-December 2020 as against a deficit of 1.2 per cent in April-December 2019 on the back of a sharp contraction in the trade deficit.
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Net invisible receipts were lower in April-December 2020 due to a moderation in net private transfer receipts and an increase in investment income payments.
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Net FDI inflows at US$ 40.8 billion in April-December 2020 were higher than US$ 31.1 billion in April-December 2019.
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Net FPI inflows stood at US$ 28.9 billion in April-December 2020, higher than US$ 15.1 billion a year ago.
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In April-December 2020, there was an accretion of US$ 83.9 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).
Table 1: Major Items of India’s Balance of Payments |
(US$ billion) |
|
October-December 2020 (P) |
October-December 2019 |
April-December 2020 (P) |
April-December 2019 |
|
Credit |
Debit |
Net |
Credit |
Debit |
Net |
Credit |
Debit |
Net |
Credit |
Debit |
Net |
A. Current Account |
157.4 |
159.2 |
-1.7 |
162.8 |
165.4 |
-2.6 |
430.6 |
398.2 |
32.4 |
485.0 |
510.2 |
-25.1 |
1. Goods |
77.2 |
111.8 |
-34.5 |
81.2 |
117.3 |
-36.0 |
205.2 |
265.4 |
-60.2 |
243.9 |
366.4 |
-122.5 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POL |
5.5 |
21.9 |
-16.4 |
10.9 |
31.5 |
-20.6 |
17.6 |
53.8 |
-36.3 |
32.1 |
96.7 |
-64.6 |
2. Services |
53.7 |
30.1 |
23.6 |
55.2 |
33.3 |
21.9 |
150.2 |
85.2 |
65.0 |
160.1 |
97.2 |
62.9 |
3. Primary Income |
5.7 |
15.8 |
-10.1 |
5.6 |
12.9 |
-7.4 |
15.8 |
42.9 |
-27.1 |
18.2 |
40.7 |
-22.5 |
4. Secondary Income |
20.8 |
1.5 |
19.3 |
20.8 |
1.9 |
18.9 |
59.4 |
4.7 |
54.7 |
62.8 |
5.9 |
56.9 |
B. Capital Account and Financial Account |
179.5 |
178.5 |
1.0 |
153.2 |
151.2 |
2.0 |
460.8 |
493.9 |
-33.1 |
433.7 |
408.7 |
25.0 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in Reserves (Increase (-)/Decrease (+)) |
0.0 |
32.5 |
-32.5 |
0.0 |
21.6 |
-21.6 |
0.0 |
83.9 |
-83.9 |
0.0 |
40.7 |
-40.7 |
C. Errors & Omissions (-) (A+B) |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
P: Preliminary |
Note: Total of subcomponents may not tally with aggregate due to rounding off. |
(Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager
Press Release: 2020-2021/1330
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