This Company IPO Has Unique Business Model On The Cusp Of A Large Opportunity

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

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Motilal Oswal Institutional Equities recently analyzed Nykaa’s DRHP to understand the opportunity in the BPC and Fashion segments, the company’s business model, and the competitive landscape. The company is likely to come-up with an IPO shortly and Motilal Oswal institutional Equities believes the company has a unique business model on the cusp of a large opportunity.

This Company IPO Has Unique Business Model On The Cusp Of A Large Opportunity

Large market opportunity

The brokerage conducted an online survey among the target demographics and presented its findings. According to the same, the Indian Beauty and Personal Care (BPC/Fashion market is expected to reach Rs 2t/Rs 8.7t by CY25 – posting a CAGR of 12.7%/18% from CY20. The online BPC and Fashion markets are growing at an even faster pace.

“While online channels account for just 8% of India’s BPC market, it is pertinent to note that 70% of the market is estimated to be unorganized. Thus, online channels are estimated to contribute 27% to the organized space, and Nykaa is well-placed to lead the online/organized portion of this market growth with a proven business model,” the brokerage has said.

According to Motilal Oswal one of Nykaa’s key strengths lies in its inventory-led business model for the BPC segment. “While it assumes the risk of obsolescence and bears an inventory cost, it allows the company to offer authentication for all its products, ensure availability, and enable efficient distribution. Its technology is geared to enable fungible inventory across onlineand offline channels, allowing for efficient inventory management. As seen from our survey responses, the widespread availability of spurious products is a concern among online BPC consumers. Accordingly, a guarantee of authenticity offers comfort to customers,” the brokerage has said.

Influencer network

With a network of over 1,300 influencers and 12.6m followers across leading social media platforms, Nykaa is able to drive widespread product and influencer-led education through creative and entertaining content across video and written formats.

“Nykaa creates and films the majority of its content in-house through the Nykaa Army. Moreover, it leverages influencers on a large scale through the Nykaa Affiliate Program, enabling external content creators to publish content on their behalf across several digital platforms. Endorsement by well-known influencers further strengthens the trust in the platform,” the brokerage has said.

The pricing and the date of the IPO is not known, but, if you go by the Motilal Oswal report and the markets at record peaks, even this IPO should get a solid response.

Story first published: Saturday, October 2, 2021, 9:52 [IST]



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5 Hybrid Funds With Good Ratings For SIPs When Markets Are At A Peak

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Why you should start SIPs in conservative hybrid funds?

As an SIP investor, the one thing that you want to do is generate returns and protect your capital. Those who have invested in SIPs largely through largecap, midcap, small cap and flexi cap funds have gained whopping returns in the last few years.

Now, with the Sensex at nearly 60,000 points, you are buying into an SIP at a whopping 50,60, 70 and maybe 100 per cent higher NAV than what was prevailing a year ago. It’s time to now look at hybrid funds, which have a conservative approach, in a sense they might invest moderately through equity, with a large exposure to debt. Conservative hybrid funds invest roughly a quarter of the money in equity shares and the rest in bonds. The Sensex at nearly 60,000 points is offering very little value and most stocks have gone-up significantly.

A few hybrid funds to consider for starting SIPs

A few hybrid funds to consider for starting SIPs

We see little point in investors continuing their SIPs in 100% equity mutual funds, as you would continue to be buying units at a higher NAV. Here are a few conservative Hybrid funds to consider, which are rated No 1 and No 2 by CRISIL in the conservative hybrid category.

CRISIL rating 1-year returns
Canara Robeco Conservative Hybrid Fund No 1 14.76%
LIC MF Debt Hybrid Fund No 1 8.67%
Kotak Debt Hybrid No 2 19.64%
HSBC Regular Savings Plan No 2 12.44%
Franklin India Debt Hybrid Fund No 2 13.38%

Once markets fall, there maybe an opportunity to change the approach again and move money to pure equity funds. A recent report by one of the top brokerages in the country suggested that the Sensex is trading a premium of almost 20% to long-term averages. This means equities are turning expensive and with interest rates across the globe headed higher, we might see equities continue to under perform, given where the markets are.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Investing in mutual funds poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies and the author are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. The above article is for informational purposes only and investors should exercise some discretion.



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Know how banks, financials performed this week, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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The indices were volatile this week, in line with its global peers, while the broader market indices continued to outperform. The BSE Sensex breached its 60,000-mark, while the Nifty extended its winning run to five weeks in a row on Wednesday, posting the longest weekly gaining streak since 20 December 2020.

However, overall, the indices were muted this week, with experts suggesting indices may see further correction on concerns over global economic recovery and US inflation.

Stock specific moves, cues from Asian markets, US debt ceiling crisis and uptick in bond yield, strong vaccination numbers were key driving factors this week.

Monday Closing bell: Benchmark indices end flat with positive bias, Nifty Bank up nearly 1%

The BSE Sensex pared 334 points from the day’s high to end 29 points higher at 60,078, while the NSE Nifty50 closed at 17,855. During the day, the Sensex logged a fresh record high of 60,412.

The broader market indices underperformed the benchmark Sensex, as the BSE Midcap closed flat and BSE Smallcap down 0.13%.

The Nifty PSU Bank ended flat with positive bias gaining 0.48%, the Nifty Bank ended 0.90% higher at 38,171, and the Nifty Financial Services ended 0.41% higher at 18,706. SBI and HDFC Bank were among top gainers, while Bajaj Finserv was the top laggard, losing more than 2%.

Tuesday Closing bell: Indices bleed, financials highly underperform

After crashing nearly 1,000 points, Sensex recovered from its day’s low to finally close at 59,668, down 0.68%. The Nifty, meanwhile, tumbled 0.60% to end at 17,749.

The broader market also declined, in tandem with the benchmarks. The BSE Midcap index lost 0.71% and the BSE Smallcap 0.62%.

After a volatile session, Nifty PSU Bank gained 1.24% closing at 2,398. Bank Nifty ended in the red, losing 0.59% to end at 37,945, while Nifty Financial Services ended 0.92% lower at 18,534. Kotak Mahindra Bank was among the top gainers, while Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, ICICI Bank and Induslnd Bank were top laggards.

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

Wednesday Closing bell : Indices volatile for second day; PSU Banks gain over 2.5%, financials fall

Indices remained volatile for the second day in a row on Wednesday, ending with losses. S&P BSE Sensex recovered from intraday lows and closed 0.43% lower at 59,4113. NSE Nifty 50 turned positive during the day but failed to hold gains and closed 0.21% lower at 17,711.

Midcap and Smallcap indices outperformed benchmark indices, closing with gains.

Nifty PSU Banks finished the day with 2.72% gains, while Nifty Bank slipped 0.53% ending at 37,743. Nifty Financial Services closed 0.88% lower at 18,371. HDFC was among the worst-performing Sensex constituents, falling 2.15%, followed by Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HDFC Bank.

Thursday Closing bell: Indices witness 3-day losing streak, both down 0.5%

Domestic headline indices ended with losses for the third consecutive session, with the Sensex witnessing a tug of war between gains and losses for most of the day to end 0.48% lower at 59,126. The Nifty50 dropped 0.53% to close at 17,618.

Nifty PSU Bank Index maintained its winning streak, closing with 0.80% gains. Nifty Bank, however, fell below the 37,500-mark, down 0.84% to close at 37,425, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.37% lower at 18,303.

Bajaj Finserv was the top Sensex gainer, jumping 2.19%, followed by Bajaj Finance. Axis Bank, SBI and Kotak Mahindra Bank were among the top drags.

Friday Closing Bell: Sensex, Nifty witness losses for fourth day, both down 0.5%

Indices settled in the red for the fourth straight day on Friday, with Sensex closing 0.6% lower at 58,766, and the Nifty50 falling 0.5% to close at 17,532.

Nifty PSU Bank index continued its winning streak for the fourth consecutive session, closing 1% higher. Nifty Bank, however, fell more than half a percent to close at 37,225, while Nifty Financial Services closed 0.91% lower at 18,137.

Bajaj Finserv fell more than 3%, and Bajaj Finance, ICICI Bank and Induslnd Bank were among top laggards. Muthoot Finance gained over 5%, and Au Small Finance Bank, Bandhan Bank, PNB were among top gainers.

Key Industry takeaways

Icra revises up FY22 GDP growth forecast to 9%

Ratings agency Icra on Monday revised up its 2021-22 real GDP growth estimate for India to 9 percent from the earlier 8.5 percent. A ramp-up in COVID-19 vaccination, healthy advance estimates of kharif (summer) crop and faster government spending were the factors which led to the revision, the agency said in a statement. Icra on Monday said it expects the second half of the fiscal year to have brighter prospects.

Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC IPO fully subscribed on Day 2

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

The initial public offer of Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited was fully subscribed on the second day on Thursday. The Rs 2,768.25crore initial share sale received bids for 2,99,46,460 shares against 2,77,99,200 shares on offer, translating into 1.08 times subscription, according to an update on the NSE.

The qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) category was subscribed 6 per cent, non-institutional investors 40 per cent and retail individual investors (RIIs) two times. The initial public offer is of 3,88,80,000 equity shares.

RBI extends MSF facility for banks until March next year

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on September 28 said it has extended the marginal standing facility (MSF) relaxation for banks until March 31. Earlier, this facility was given till September 30.

Under MSF facility, banks are allowed to avail of funds by dipping into the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) by up to an additional one percent of net demand and time liabilities (NDTL), i.e., cumulatively up to 3 percent of NDTL.

“With a view to providing comfort to banks on their liquidity requirements as also to enable them to continue to meet LCR requirements, it has been decided to continue with the MSF relaxation for a further period of six months, i.e., up to March 31, 2021,” the RBI said.

US Fed’s tapering inclination may impact India’s FPI inflows, says CARE Ratings

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

The US Federal Reserve’s indication of tapering asset purchases is likely to impact the flow of funds into Indian markets, but may not be immediate, CARE Ratings said in a report.

The tapering is likely to affect India’s foreign portfolio inflows. Earlier when the Fed had announced tapering in 2013, FPI inflows to India had shrunk in the 2015-18 period.

RBI lifts PCA curbs on Indian Overseas Bank

Weekly Market wrap up: Know how banks, financials performed this week

The Reserve Bank of India on 29, September lifted Prompt Corrective Action restrictions from the Indian Overseas Bank, the central bank said in a release.

The decision came after the bank reported its earnings for the year ended March 31, 2021, and the RBI observed that IOB was not in breach of the PCA parameters. IOB has also provided a written commitment that it would comply with the norms of Minimum Regulatory Capital, Net NPA and Leverage ratio on an ongoing basis



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2 Arbitrage Funds To Invest In 2021 That Are Rated 1 By CRISIL

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L&T Arbitrage Opportunities Fund

L&T Arbitrage Opportunities Fund Direct-Growth returns in the previous year were 4.45 percent, according to Value Research, and it has generated 6.64 percent average annual returns since its inception. The fund has a significant equity exposure in the construction, financial, energy, healthcare, and fast-moving consumer goods sectors. The fund has a 71.1 percent of cash allocation, 29.1 percent debt sector allocation, -0.2% towards equity.

Reserve Bank of India, Tata Steel Ltd., Reliance Industries Ltd., Bharti Airtel Ltd., ITC Ltd. are the fund’s top 5 holdings. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.37 percent, which is comparable to the expense ratios charged by most other funds in the same category. As of 30th September 2021, the fund has a Net Asset Value (NAV) of Rs 15.2740 and Asset Under Management (AUM) of Rs 5664.38 Cr. The fund charges an exit load of 0.50% if units are redeemed within 1 month and one can start SIP in this fund with a minimum amount of Rs 500.

Tata Arbitrage Fund Direct Growth

Tata Arbitrage Fund Direct Growth

This fund have been launched by the fund house Tata Mutual Fund in the year 2018 and according to Value Research Tata Arbitrage Fund Direct’s 1-year growth returns were 4.72 percent, and it has generated 5.96 percent average annual returns since its inception. The fund has a major equity allocation across Automobile, Chemicals, Healthcare, FMCG and Construction.

Tata Liquid Fund Direct-Growth, GOI, Reserve Bank of India, Tata Treasury Advantage Direct Plan-Growth, ICICI Bank Ltd. are the fund’s top 5 holdings. The fund has an expense ratio of 0.32% and has a cash holding of 73.2%, debt holding of 27.0% and equity holding of -0.1%. The fund has a Net Asset Value (NAV) of Rs 11.75 and an Asset Under Management (AUM) of Rs 11,989.61 Cr as of September 30, 2021. If units are redeemed within one month, the fund levies a 0.25 percent exit load, and you may start a SIP with a minimum amount of Rs 500.

2 High Rated Arbitrage Mutual Funds To Invest In 2021

2 High Rated Arbitrage Mutual Funds To Invest In 2021

Here are the two arbitrage funds to invest in 2021, based on 1 or 5 star rating of CRISIL.

Funds 1 mth returns 6 mth returns 1 yr returns Rating by CRISIL Rating by Value Research Rating Morningstar
L&T Arbitrage Opportunities Fund 0.16% 2.32% 4.45% 1 4 star NA
Tata Arbitrage Fund Direct-Growth 0.15% 2.46% 4.72% 1 NA NA

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The views and investment tips expressed by authors or employees of Greynium Information Technologies, should not be construed as investment advice to buy or sell stocks, gold, currency, or other commodities. Investors should certainly not take any trading and investment decision based only on information discussed on GoodReturns.in We are not a qualified financial advisor and any information herein is not investment advice. It is informational in nature. All readers and investors should note that neither Greynium nor the author of the articles, would be responsible for any decision taken based on these articles. Please do consult a professional advisor. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates, and authors do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in GoodReturns.in



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Midcap IT Stocks Maybe A Sell Now, While Largecap IT Stocks Maybe A Buy

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

|

Brokerage firm, Motilal Oswal prefers largecap IT stocks to the small and midcap peers. “Midcap IT peers like Mindtree, Mphasis, COFORGE, and Persistent Systems are trading at a premium of 38% to TCS, Infosys,Wipro and HCL Tech. The current valuation premium is the highest since CY18. We see a favorable risk reward in largecap IT, given its relative attractiveness and strong positioning to end-to-end digital transformation,” the brokerage has said.

Midcap IT Stocks Maybe A Sell Now, While Largecap IT Stocks Maybe A Buy

According to Motilal Oswal over the past 1.5 years, there has been higher traction in medium and small size deals. This has expanded the addressable market of mid-tier IT companies. Despite higher traction for medium size deals, deal win momentum in Tier I IT has been as strong as midtier peers. “We expect increasing sizes for business transformation deals as these are early stages of digital transformation. We feel largecap IT is better positioned in a large deal heavy market, given their deep domain knowledge and capability to drive multiple large deals. This, coupled with relative valuation attractiveness, drives our preference for largecaps,” the brokerage has said.

Decade high premium to the Nifty

According to Motilal Oswal, the NSE IT Index is up 22%/78% in the last three months/one year, and valuations for our aggregate coverage universe has soared to 76% above the mean. Its P/E premium relative to the Nifty is the highest since pre-GFC, at 38%.

“Indian IT Services companies have survived and thrived multiple technology cycles and have moved up the value chain. Technology has now become staple and non-discretionary. IT Services players have improved their market positioning in the enterprises’ technology spending ecosystem, which has increased their relevance and stickiness. With technology becoming a differentiating aspect for businesses, the next decade will be an era of customization, which is beneficial to IT Services companies,” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer:

Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage houses are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.

Story first published: Friday, October 1, 2021, 21:00 [IST]



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Stocks To Buy From Motilal Oswal & Sharekhan For Up To 35% Returns

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Buy Varun Beverages, says Motilal Oswal

Varun Beverages Limited is a key player in beverage industry and one of the largest franchisee of PepsiCo in the world (outside USA).

Current market price Target price Gains %
905 1150 27

According to Motilal Oswal, with an increase in vaccine distribution and revival in out-of-home consumption, CY21 is expected to record a volume growth of 8%/25% as compared to CY19/CY20 levels, lower than 24% volume CAGR over CY14-19, as the business was affected by the lockdowns across India, due to the second COVID wave, during its peak season (April to June).

In May 2019, Varun Beverages acquired the franchisee rights to seven states – Gujarat, parts of Maharashtra, parts of Karnataka, parts of Telangana, parts of Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu – in South and West India from PepsiCo. Prior to the acquisition, PepsiCo’s market share had dropped over CY16-19 and penetration levels in the region were low.

Recent launches to build momentum for Varun Beverages

Recent launches to build momentum for Varun Beverages

Recent launches such as Sting and Mountain Dew – Ice are supporting volume growth and are expected to gain sizable mass in the medium-term.

“The company is expected to deliver strong volume growth across all the three product segments, with an increase in consumption patterns to pre-COVID levels. We expect strong demand traction over the next few years due to strong distribution network, rising penetration in the newly acquired region (south and west India), diversifying product portfolio, and growing refrigerator penetration in rural/and semi-rural areas per household and higher power availability hours. Our target price of Rs 1,150 implies a 27% upside. We maintain our Buy rating,” the brokerage has said.

Buy Inox Wind, says Sharekhan

Buy Inox Wind, says Sharekhan

According to Sharekhan, Inox Wind is expected to witness a turnaround in profitability, led by an improvement in order execution scale and better margins as the entire value chain in wind energy projects is expected to benefit from tariff stability and technological improvement (launch of 3.3 MW WTGs).

“Additionally, Inox Wind now focuses on improving the business mix to 75%/25% from wind turbine generator (WTG) equipment sale/turnkey projects by FY2023E-FY2024E. This would mean higher margins as well as a shorter working capital cycle. Overall, we expect EBITDA/PAT of Rs. 652 crore/Rs. 382 crore in FY2024E versus operating/net loss of Rs. 165 crore/Rs. 306 crore in FY2021,” the brokerage has said.

“We remain fairly confident on management’s strategy to turnaround the WTG business and monetisation of the O&M business, but any slippage on the same is key risk to our call, while early turnaround could further add to the upside potential. The stock is trading at 4.9x its FY2024E EV/EBITDA,” the brokerage has added. It has set a 35% upside target on the stock from the current market price of Rs 99.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above stocks are picked from the brokerage report of Sharekhan. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



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Gold Rates Gains Considerably By Rs. 980, On Oct 1, US Employment Data Under Concern

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Personal Finance

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

|

Today on October 1, the gold market in India is shining with a major price after almost 3 months. Today Indian gold rates hiked by Rs. 980 / 10 grams, which is a very considerable gain for gold now. Today, 22 carat gold is quoted at Rs. 45,470 / 10 grams and 22 carat gold is quoted at Rs. 46,470 / 10 grams in India. Apart from daily price ups and downs, Indian gold rates have seen this amount of change in the first half of August. The rates dropped around Rs. 1000 at, as July employment data of US came out.

Gold Rates Gains By Rs. 980, On Oct 1, US Employment Data Under Concern

Now, in the first week of October, the gold rates on the other hand are on the verge of gain, as the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sounded dovish about the country’s employment data. He said that the US is still “far from full employment”. Hence the gold rates gained immediately. On the other hand, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is very concerned about the US debt ceiling that pushed the US Dollar index down. So, both of the situations are favorable for gold at present. So, ahead of the festive season in India, gold rates can hike to some extend.

Now gold is again being able to maintain the $1755 levels or more. The Comex gold future fell only by 0.27% but succeeded to stay at $1752, while the spot gold market fell only by 0.26% and was quoted at $1753/oz, today till 2.26 PM IST. On the other hand, the US dollar index in the spot market dropped by 0.06% at 94.24 same time today, as the US debt ceiling is concerning now. In India, the Mumbai MCX gold in October future fell by only 0.18% than yesterday and was quoted at Rs. 46435/10 grams till today 2.40 PM IST. Indian gold prices now are on the path of increasing since yesterday.

Gold rates in different Indian cities are quoted differently, daily. Today’s gold rates in major Indian cities follow:

City 22 carat (INR/10 Grams) 24 carat (INR/10 Grams)
Mumbai 45,470/- 46,470/-
Delhi 45,550/- 49,700/-
Bangalore 43,400/- 47,350/-
Hyderabad 43,400/- 47,350/-
Chennai 43,920/- 47,910/-
Kerala 43,400/- 47,350/-
Kolkata 45,850/- 48,550/-

Gary Wagner of thegoldforecast.com to a Kitco report added, “Whether this new-found bullish sentiment will persist is dependent on multiple fundamental events. On Friday, the most current inflationary data will be released when the Census Bureau releases its most recent data vis-à-vis the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) inflation rate. The PCE is the preferred inflationary measure by the Federal Reserve. It differs from the CPI in that it strips out food and energy costs.”

Story first published: Friday, October 1, 2021, 15:49 [IST]



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Top 4 Banks Promising Up To 8.00% Returns On Recurring Deposits

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North East Small Finance Bank

Among the small finance banks, North East Small Finance Bank is the first in our list based on our own research and analysis that is promising up to 7.50% returns to regular citizens, and 8.00% returns to senior citizens on recurring deposits. With effect from 19th April 2021, the bank is now promising the following interest rates on recurring deposits.

Tenure Card Rates upto 2 cr (in % p.a.) Senior Citizen (in % p.a.)
3 Months 4.25 4.75
6 Months 4.5 5
9 Months 5.5 6
1 Year 5.5 6
2 Year 7.5 8
3 Year 7 7.5
4 Year 7 7.5
5 Years 6.5 7
More than 5 years upto 10 years 6.5 7
Source: Bank Website

Utkarsh Small Finance Bank

Utkarsh Small Finance Bank

One can open a recurring deposit account at Utkarsh Small Finance Bank with an amount in multiples of Rs. 100 only and for tenure in multiples of 3 months. With effect from 01 July 2021, Utkarsh Small Finance Bank is offering the highest interest rates of 7.00% to the general public and 7.50% to senior citizens on recurring deposits per annum.

Tenure General Customers Senior Citizens
Upto 6 months 6.50% 7.00%
9 months 6.50% 7.00%
12 months 6.75% 7.25%
15 months 6.75% 7.25%
18 months 6.75% 7.25%
21 months 6.75% 7.25%
Above 21 Months to less than 24 Months 6.75% 7.25%
24 months to 36 months 7.00% 7.50%
Above 3 Years upto 5 Years 6.75% 7.25%
Above 5 years upto 10 years 6.75% 7.25%
Source: Bank Website, W.E.F. July
01, 2021

Suryoday Small Finance Banks

Suryoday Small Finance Banks

For a minimum installment amount for an RD of Rs 100 (and multiples of Rs 100 thereof), Suryoday Small Finance Bank is promising the following interest rates on recurring deposits of less than Rs 2 Cr.

Period Interest Rate (Per Annum) Senior Citizen Rate (Per Annum)
6 months 4.75% 4.75%
9 months 5.25% 5.25%
12 months 6.50% 6.75%
15 months 6.50% 6.75%
18 months 6.50% 6.75%
21 months 6.50% 6.75%
24 months 6.50% 6.75%
27 months 6.25% 6.50%
30 months 6.25% 6.50%
33 months 6.25% 6.50%
36 months 7.00% 7.30%
Above 3 Years to less than 5 Years 6.50% 6.50%
5 Years 6.75% 7.00%
Above 5 Years to 10 Years 6.00% 6.00%
Source: Bank Website, ( Effective: From September 09, 2021 )

Jana Small Finance Bank

Jana Small Finance Bank

At Jana Small Finance Bank, one can open an RD account with a minimum installment of Rs 100 in multiples of Rs 100. With effect from 10th June 2021, Jana Small Finance Bank is offering the below-listed interest rates on recurring deposits.

Period Regular RD Interest Rate (p.a.) Senior Citizen RD Interest Rate (p.a.)
> 1 Month – 6 Months 4.00% 4.50%
> 6 Months – 12 Months 5.50% 6.00%
> 12 Months – 36 Months 6.50% 7.00%
> 36 Months – 60 Months 6.75% 7.25%
> 60 Months – 120 Months 6.00% 6.50%
Source: Bank Website, Effective Date – 10th June’21



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PPF Interest Rate Unchanged At 7.1%, Should You Invest? Compare Before Investing

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Investment

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

|

Public Provident Funds (PPFs) are secured saving options you can open at banks or Post Office, with fixed interest offered by the government. Interest rates of PPF accounts are changed quarterly by the government. Now, the RBI has decided to keep the rate unchanged at 7.1% for the upcoming 3 more months. It is a secured fixed income option, but you should think twice before investing here, as the inflation rates in India are not in a favorable position now. A PPF account usually is locked for 15 years, to mature. So, if you get a 7.1% interest and the inflation stays around 6%, then you are not making much profit.

PPF Interest Rate Unchanged At 7.1%, Should You Invest? Compare Before Investing

As the inflation rates will change, the union government will also modify the interest rates. But, in whatever case, the profit you will be making in the long-term will not be very high. This is the reason, fixed interest schemes like PPFs are commonly referred to by some people as savings schemes, and not very profitable investment schemes. However, other investment opportunities in fixed and variable returns must be analyzed wisely before investing anywhere. Depending on your requirement of assurance and risk appetite, you can start investing.

Compare with other fixed-income options

If you are interested in PPF for its assured income, you must compare it with other investments with fixed interest rates like FD or Post Office TD accounts. Now, the TD rates are staying around 5.5% to 6.7%, from 1 year to 5 years investment in TD or FD schemes. SBI FD interest rate starts from 5.3%. But If you choose a PPF scheme, you will get a better interest of 7.1%, although you will have to keep the scheme alive for 15 years. Only after 5 years, you can withdraw the PPF scheme with reduced interest. In FD you need to deposit the money at once, but in PPF the deposit time is very flexible. There are also some LIC schemes for long-term periods (15 years or more) like Jeevan Lakshya, Jeevan Lakh, Jeevan Umang, etc., with fixed income. Keeping money at LIC always gives you an additional opportunity for life insurance, unlike a PPF account scheme. But PPF’s interests are lucrative.

For example, if you are choosing LIC Jeevan Lakshya for 15 years with Rs. 1,50,000 plan at you 30 years age, you will have to deposit the whole money within first 12 years. After 15 years when the policy will mature, you will get approximately Rs. 2,37,000, if you are alive (Source: All In One Calc, LIC). But in the case of a PPF account, if you invest the same amount of Rs. 1,50,000 for 15 years, you will get Rs. 2,71,214 after maturity. So the difference is in LIC is that you will have the insurance opportunity, but will get better interest in PPF. So, choose wisely according to your requirements.

Compare with variable income options

Mutual funds or SIPs also offer similar kinds of flexible or systematic investment habits. In SIPs your returns are not secured, you might earn better than a PPF, but can also lose your money due to an equity market crash. But a PPF account’s returns will be assured by the RBI. However, the falling interest rates due to inflation and the pandemic is concerning some investors now.

Axis bluechip, DSP equity fund, Motilal Oswald focussed 25 funds, ICICI Prudential Bluechip are some of the best bluechip SIPs for 2021 suggested by policybazaar.com, – that can fetch you better returns with monthly investment, in shorter terms. But you must have a risk appetite to invest in mutual funds or SIPs. Gold is also a lucrative asset now, with RBI SGB, Gold ETF, or digital gold you can invest a very small amount monthly or any time, with no burden of lump-sum investment. You can start investing in digital gold from Rs. 100, Gold ETFs are also affordable funds. Risk is much lower in gold or long-term investment, and it will also diversify your investments.

Due to the pandemic, the interest rates for PPFs are considerably low now, according to the government’s monetary policy. The rates are not expected to reach the Pre-Covid rates soon. If you see the interests on a long-term basis, the amount can be lesser than equity investments or gold investments. Because after 15 years, when the PPF account will be mature, domestic inflation will be at much higher rates.

Yet, why are PPF accounts preferred by investors?

A PPF account provides the facility of both fixed and flexible deposits. It means you can deposit the money any time in an FY, there will not be any burden of mandatory investment. But if you have a fixed income monthly and looking for a regular or systematic investment habit, you can deposit money regularly. You can link your PPF account to another savings account, from where a fixed amount of money will be deposited to your PPF account monthly or bi-weekly, or quarterly, as you wish.

If you are not good at savings by yourself, this is a good opportunity for your investment. The money will be credited to your PPF account automatically even if you do not visit the Post Office or the bank physically, or do not deposit money online every time. Even if you forget to deposit, it will not be a problem as the credit amount will be auto-generated. Also, some people choose bank FDs when they earn a lump sum amount at once. But with better interests, you can now deposit the money in your PPF account, as there is no bar on the number of money deposits in an FY. However, the systematic investment option is the USP of SIPs, which you can explore.



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Will October See A Rise In Gold Prices In India? What Is The Expectation?

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Investment

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

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Today, on the first trading day of October all investors are paying attention to the upcoming gold rates in the month. Today Indian gold rates hiked by Rs. 980/ 10 grams than yesterday. Gold prices in India only experienced a moderate hike since August, but mostly dropped. In July the monthly gold price change was at a positive 2.58%, while in August the same slipped by 2.11%, and again in September, it dropped by 4.08%. In September, the Indian gold rates dropped highest since March 2021 – when the prices were at the lowest levels in this year’s range. Hence, if the same bearish trend of September gold rates is passed on to October, the gold traders will certainly sound worried. But the situation changed from yesterday evening.

Will October See A Rise In Gold Prices In India? What Is The Expectation?

Why did gold prices rally yesterday?

Yesterday, both gold futures and spot gold prices stayed mostly in the range between $1722/oz to $1735/oz, till noon; some risk-hedging supported the bullion. But since the evening, the situation has changed. Global gold rates started to hit higher and again crossed the $1755 mark. The reason behind this sudden change was US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish tone about the country’s employment scenario. Today on October 1, both Comex October future and spot gold prices started with the $1755 range, which is a positive tone for gold traders.

October prices expectations

If the situation stays affirmative for gold in October, the metal can stay hefty in the range of $1755 to $1765, or more. But if the rates fall again, it can move around $1725 to $1700 in October. Ahead of the festive season in India, gold traders and the IBJA would prefer to keep gold rates in a strong range. However, that will depend on US economic trends, as gold is a dollar-dominated asset class.

October gold rates, in the whole month, will mostly depend on 2 factors. The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index for inflation and the August non-farm payroll data will be published in the first week of October. Any positive tune of the employment data and the US inflation can only drag down the gold rates further this month. Otherwise, there are good possibilities that the prices can rally. But if the Federal Reserve, the country’s central bank is unhappy with the data and does not tighten the monetary policy soon, gold rates will continue to rally higher.

US employment concerns mattered

In the 1st week of August, gold rates faced a major challenge as the July employment data got published setting a very optimistic tone, suggesting fast recovery along with an earlier-than-expected tapering timeline. This trend continued in September moderately, until Fed Chair Powell testified before the House Committee on Financial Services and commented, the US is still “far from full employment.” The central bank will certainly require very promising employment data to back an interest rate hike, which is not expected very shortly now. The August non-farm payroll data can only confirm this. So, the gold rates might hike slowly with any more dovish sentiment from Chair Powell.

US debt ceiling factor

Along with Powell, yesterday, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen also testified and said, “Credit of the US would be impaired, and our country will face financial crisis and an economic recession. It’s necessary to avert a catastrophic event for our economy.” Her comment was in concern with the US debt ceiling; as the government will run out of money on October 18. If the government does not raise the debt limit, the country will default for the first time in history, she cautioned. Yesterday US dollar index fell around 0.10%. With these concerns, if the US dollar index continues to slip in the foreign exchange, the gold rates will again be able to hike in October. However, today the US dollar index stood at 94.30 level in the spot market, today’s index change will be analyzed.

However, a gold trader must remember that the expectations of the tapering timeline are not faded away yet. The US Fed will meet again only in November to decide the tapering timeline. They are buying $120 billion in government-backed bonds each month now, which can be reduced. The expectations of tapering are affecting gold even before it starts. Also, as the US 10-year treasury yield is rising again around 1.5%, the gold prices will eventually drop in October. All of these will depend on the inflation and employment data.

US Inflation index

Both of these possibilities of gain and fall are only anticipated now. October gold prices will be influenced by the US Core PCE index which is a preferred tool by the US Fed to measure inflation. Powell commented, “We have to balance inflation and employment. Our expectation is inflation will come down, and we won’t have to have the two goals in tension.” Higher inflation can influence the central bank to hike interest rates, but that might be barred with poor employment status. So, the PCE data will impact both the tapering timeline, hence the international gold prices. The rates will similarly influence the Indian gold rates.

Gold prices falling will be a positive sign for the common Indians, who will be able to buy gold at lower rates. India imports gold from foreign markets, so the Indian gold prices depend on the ups and downs of the international gold rates. But if the prices continue to hike in the foreign markets, the Indian rates will gain again ahead of the festive season in the country.



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