Bitcoin Tops $34000 After Record Gains In 2020; $4,00,000 Levels Estimated

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Investment

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

On bitcoin’s likely acceptance as a mainstream payment solution and its potential seen to as capable of producing inflation-beating return, the world’s largest digital currency has scaled levels of $34000.

In December month only the bitcoin gained over 50 percent and it gained 7.8 percent to hit levels of $34000 before inching lower to $33970 mark. The controversy around this novel asset is still being there and after retreating by a huge 25% amid Covid 19 chaos in March 2020, it again drew momentum from bitcoin enthusiasts.

Bitcoin Tops $34000 After Record Gains In 2020; $4,00,000 Levels Estimated

Bitcoin Tops $34000 After Record Gains In 2020; $4,00,000 Levels Estimated

The currency “will be on the road to $50,000 probably in the first quarter of 2021,” said Antoni Trenchev, managing partner and co-founder of Nexo in London, which bills itself as the world’s biggest crypto lender. Institutional investors returning to their desks this week will likely boost prices further after retail buying over the holidays, he said.

Bitcoin has increasingly been “embraced in more global investment portfolios as holders expand beyond tech geeks and speculators,” Bloomberg Intelligence commodity strategist Mike McGlone wrote in a note last month.

Also there is being seen its take as a store of value amid record money printing by global banks to tackle the economic fall-out due to the pandemic. Bitcoin should eventually climb to about about $400,000, Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of Guggenheim Investments, told Bloomberg Television in a December 16 interview.

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Divided Views On Gold For This Year: How Should Investors Decide On Their Gold Investment?

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Investment

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

In Monday’s trade, i.e. the second trading day for the year, on the MCX, gold for February contract has again surged by over Rs. 500 due to the weakening in the dollar to two and a half year low. Now, today’s gain have also to do with tightening measures being considered in Tokyo as the new strain is highly infectious more than the earlier one.

Divided Views On Gold For 2021: Strategy Investors Should Opt For Gold?

Divided Views On Gold For This Year: How Should Investors Decide On Their Gold Investment?

Internationally, levels of $1910 per ounce have been seen.

But some believe it to be another upside year for gold, there are also anticipations that gold shall not replicate the performance of over 25% gains in 2020. As much of the gains in the year gone by have because of the Covid situation and now as the situation seems to ease around the Covid due to Covid vaccines being rolled out in India and abroad there is expected global growth recovery will pick up faster which wipes away the sheen off the precious yellow metal.

So, as per the views of Ravindra Rao of Kotak Securities unless the Covid situation takes a worse turn, we may not see the same performance of 2020 being repeated this year.

Investors’ can take on this strategy as the yellow metal to unlikely repeat 2020 performance

Any downside in the yellow metal should be taken as a buying opportunity and it should be held in the portfolio and invested into it in a staggered manner for likely positive returns. And no doubt the yellow metal has over the year’s timeframe has been able to beat inflation and has since ages been considered store of value.

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This 2-Wheeler Stock Is Attractively Valued For Further Gains

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

|

Brokerage firm Sharekhan has a “buy” call on the stock of HeroMoto Corp with a price target of Rs 3,496 on the stock.

“Our interaction with Hero MotoCorp’s (HMCL) management indicated that the structural growth traction in the two-wheeler (2W) industry remains intact. HMCL continues to benefit from premiumisation of its products, its stronghold in the economy and executive motorcycle segments, and aggressive products offerings in premium bike and scooters segments. HMCL is a market leader in the Indian 2W industry, commanding a 38.5% share,” Sharekhan has said in its research report.

According to the brokerage firm, the company commands 65% market share in the combined economy and executive motorcycle segment, which together makes up 80% of the motorcycle market size in India.

“HMCL has strong penetration in semi-urban and rural areas, aided by its largest distribution network in the 2W industry. We expect HMCL to be the beneficiary of rural demand and increased personal mobility. HMCL’s brand equity is because of value-for-money products, extensive service centres, low maintenance cost and higher resale value. The company has raised its production capacity in anticipation of higher demand. The company is also making inroad in the premium bike segment in partnership with Harley Davidson.

We expect strong recovery in FY2022, driven by normalisation of economic activities, operating leverage, price hikes, and cost saving under the company’s leap programme, which would result in margin improvement. We expect HMCL to reach its historical margin range of 14%-16%. Hence, we retain our Buy rating on the stock,” Sharekhan has stated.

This 2-Wheeler Stock Is Attractively Valued For Further Gains

According to the brokerage firm, the key risks include success of rival products in the entry and executive bike segments can impact HMCL’s market share in the segments.

“The company is aggressively expanding its product portfolio in the premium bikes segment. Unsuccessful launches in the premium segment can restrain its growth path,” the brokerage firm has noted.

The shares of HeroMoto Corp were last seen trading at Rs 3,077 on the NSE.



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Did Not Get Your Income Tax Refund For Fy 2019: Here’s What To Do

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Taxes

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

Even if your ITR filed for FY 2019 or AY 2020-21 may be devoid of any errors your income tax refund is yet not processed, your ITR may be requiring pre-validation of bank account in which you wish to receive your income tax refund. This process has been kicked off from AY 2020-21.

Did Not Get Your Income Tax Refund For Fy 2019: Here's What To Do

Did Not Get Your Income Tax Refund For Fy 2019: Here’s What To Do

And if you have still filed your return without pre-validation, this is the recourse you can take:

Steps to pre-validate the bank account:

1. Log into your e-filing account using your credentials on the income tax india e-filing site.

2. Select the ‘Prevalidate your Bank Account’ option under the profile setting tab.

3. Now in case the bank account is not pre-validated then bank account number and other details need to be given and as and when such a request shall be approved by the department it will reflect on your e-mail.

4. And here the details on the PAN and bank account should tally for the pre-validation to be executed. One more condition applies here that mobile number and e-mail registered with the bank account, it needs to also be the same with the e-filing account.

5. And if there are more than one bank account that is pre-validated, then there shall come a list under the Prevalidate your Bank Account’ option. And if you want to receive the refund in some other account, add that bank account with all the details.

6. This is also a must for e-verification of ITR via EVC or Electronic Verification Code.This is because a prevalidated bank account may only be made EVC enabled to receive the verification code/one time password (OTP).

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Who should go for a personal accident cover

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The insurance regulator, IRDAI, recently mooted the draft guidelines for a standard personal accident product and it is mandated to be offered by all general and health insurance companies. A personal accident plan covers a policyholder for injuries including permanent and partial disability due to accidents and pays the nominee in case of the death of the policyholder.

Given the choices in the market, introduction of a standard personal accident cover helps in easy selection of policy. However, since most term insurance and motor insurance policies existing in the market have these accidental cover in-built , should you go for a standalone personal accident cover? Here is an explainer.

Coverage

Personal accident policies are offered by almost all the general and health insurers. The claim amount depends on the type of impairment which can be permanent or temporary in nature. A permanent total or partial disablement is an injury that occurs within 12 months from the date of the accident and prevents the insured from attending to his/her normal duties. A temporary disablement is an injury that occurs within seven days from the date of accident. However, this period could vary with insurers.

In terms of compensation, the policy pays the entire sum insured to the nominee upon the immediate death of the policyholder due to accident, even if the death due to accident is caused within 12 months from the date of the accident.

Similarly, the insurer pays the sum insured in the case of permanent total or partial disablement (depending upon the impairment). In the case of temporary disablement, post the doctor’s certification, the insurers usually pay 1 per cent of the sum insured for each week during the period of temporary total disablement for a period not exceeding 100 weeks from the date of the accident.

This varies with each insurer. For instance, Reliance General Insurance provides 1 per cent of sum insured for each week not exceeding ₹5,000 per week up to 100 weeks. In case of SBI General’s policy, it pays 1 per cent of sum insured or ₹10,000 per week whichever is lower with one week (compensation) as deductible and the benefit is payable for 104 weeks.

Most insurers offer rider options too along with personal accident cover including cumulative bonus and hospitalisation expenses due to accident, education grant (where sum insured is paid for the education of child up to a certain limit), adaptation allowance (where payment towards cost of modifying insured’s house or vehicle to combat or adapt to disability) and funeral expenses. The rider options too vary with insurers.

The sum insured usually starts at ₹1 lakh and goes as high as ₹50 lakh or more.

With the standardisation in personal accident cover, the coverages and benefits will be common across insurers. The minimum and maximum sum insured is ₹ 2.5 lakh and ₹ 1 crore, respectively, and the policy period is for a year and can be renewed .

In addition to the above mentioned coverages, the policy provides three rider options; temporary total disablement, hospitalisation of medical expenses and education grant. It has made it mandatory to offer cumulative bonus as part of base cover where the sum insured shall increase 5 per cent in respect of each claim free policy year, provided the policy is renewed without a break subject to maximum of 50 per cent of the sum insured. No deductible is allowed in a standard product.

Your choice

Each type of insurance policy has its own core nature of coverages. For health it is to cover for hospitalisation expenses and for term life policy it is to provide protection to the family in the absence of a bread winner. Similarly, for personal accident cover, it is to cover for total or partial permanent and temporary disablement of the insured due to accidents.

However, most of the benefits are covered in a comprehensive term policy and your medical expenses are taken care by a health cover. This is considering you as a policyholder already have a term plan and a health plan. In such a scenario, you can give personal accident cover a miss.

But if you have a pure vanilla term cover (which covers only death benefit) and a health plan, then opting for a personal accident cover makes sense. The only key benefit of a personal accident cover is that it comes with the benefit of weekly payment (in case of temporary total disablement) that is not usually available in term plans.

When it comes to premium, a personal accident cover is far cheaper than a term plan. But the priority should be for opting for a term plan. A pure vanilla term plan starts at as low as **₹4,500 or less per annum and personal accident cover starts at **₹1,200 per annum and sometimes even lower.

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UPI ends 2020 on high note, scales past Rs 4-lakh-cr milestone in December; volume up 70% from year-ago

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UPI is currently the biggest among the NPCI operated systems including NACH, IMPS, AEPS, BBPS, RuPay, etc.

UPI transactions ended 2020 on a high note. The value for digital transactions done via UPI stormed past the Rs 4-lakh-crore mark in December, according to the latest UPI data from the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). 2.23 billion transactions worth Rs 4.16 lakh crore were recorded in December, up from 2.21 billion transactions involving Rs 3.91 lakh crore in November. The year-on-year growth in volume stood at 70 per cent from 1.30 billion transactions while the value of UPI transactions increased 105 per cent from 2.02 lakh crore in December 2019. Moreover, the number of banks live on the UPI platform increased from 143 to 207 during the 12-month period.

Among the leading UPI players, Google Pay and PhonePe had together cornered over 82 per cent of the market by volume and over 86 per cent by value in November. While Google Pay processed 960.02 million transactions involving Rs 1.61 lakh crore, PhonePe, saw 868.4 million transactions worth Rs 1.75 lakh crore. Paytm had processed 260 million payments.

The transaction volume and value have apparently scaled up faster during the Covid and lockdown phases as people switched to digital mode to avoid cash usage. The volume jumped by 908.47 million transactions during the 10-month period from 1.32 billion transactions in February 2020, according to the analysis of NPCI data. However, in comparison, similar volume growth of 908.47 million transactions, before Covid, took 17 months (from September 2018) to reach the February 2020 level.

Also read: Expectations 2021: With Covid fallout in rearview mirror, fintech startups set to make up for 2020 losses

UPI is currently the biggest among the NPCI operated systems including NACH, IMPS, AEPS, BBPS, RuPay, etc. As of October FY21, out of 3.39 billion retail transactions on all NPCI platforms, 2.07 billion transactions were recorded on UPI followed by 340.03 million transactions with respect to NFS inter-bank ATM cash withdrawals, 318.97 million transactions on the instant payment inter-bank electronic funds transfer system — Immediate Payment Service (IMPS), and 245.55 million transactions on the National Automated Clearing House (NACH), according to the NPCI data.

Importantly, the Reserve Bank of India had on Friday launched a ‘composite Digital Payments Index (DPI)’ to measure the extent of digitisation of payments in India based on parameters including payment enablers, payment infrastructure – demand-side and supply-side factors, payment performance, and consumer centricity, according to the RBI.

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Right corpus eases retirement pangs

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Varadhan, an NRI aged 55 and retiring in 2021, has been working in West Asia for the last 30 years. He wanted to return to India and live comfortably in his home state of Kerala. Prior to retirement, he wanted to find out how much he could spend – rather, the threshold that would ensure a balanced life after retirement. Varadhan’s family includes his mother aged 85 and wife Shyama aged 51.

His assets were as follows:

Requirements

He wanted to set aside ₹12 lakh as emergency fund towards one year expenses with high liquidity and safety. Next, he desired to create a retirement portfolio with minimal risk to get an income of ₹75,000 per month (current cost) from his age 56 till age 90.

Varadhan wanted to set aside funds for his travel needs at an estimated cost of ₹3 lakh a year for 10 years. He also wanted to maintain health corpus of ₹1 crore for all three family members. Besides, he desired to buy a car costing ₹15 lakh. Finally, he wanted to create a will with his wife and daughter as beneficiaries with equal rights (for which we advised him to seek guidance from an advocate).

 

Priority to safety

Based on our discussion, we could understand that Varadhan had limited knowledge of financial instruments, and he had a conservative risk profile and investing mindset. He was a prudent saver and had built his financial assets over a relatively longer period backed by sheer discipline. He was not sure of inflation and its impact on savings over a long period. . Like many aspiring retirees, he also had the need to make a balance between risk and safety a paramount factor. Prima facie, Varadhan wanted to find out whether he could retire immediately or he would have to work till age 60 to add to this corpus and avoid unnecessary risk with his investments.

A challenge in this case would be taxation post retirement. Varadhan had accumulated much of his assets through NRE deposits and the interest was not taxable till date. But post retirement, when he becomes a resident in India, his interest income will be taxable. We helped him understand the taxation associated with deposits and safe investment products.

Recommendations

Based on the above, our set of recommendations were as follows. We advised Varadhan to reserve his NRO fixed deposit towards his emergency fund and car purchase. Hence, he needed to reduce his budget for the car or reduce the emergency fund. Next, we recommended that he create a retirement portfolio using his NRE deposits and mutual funds fully, along with 60 per cent of his gold savings. This will help him get retirement income of ₹75,000 per month from his age 56 till his wife’s life expectancy of 90.

Varadhan needed a corpus of ₹2.8 crore. We advised him to use products such as RBI Taxable bond, RBI Sovereign Gold Bond, large-cap mutual funds and high-quality debt mutual funds. Once he turned 60, he could choose Senior Citizens Savings Scheme and other investment products suitable for regular income. With a corpus of ₹2.8 crore, he needed to generate post-tax return of 6.5 per cent per annum to get the required retirement income. His expected inflation would be 5 per cent in the long run. He may come across periods where inflation could be higher; Varadhan could then use reserve funds to maintain his lifestyle.

His travel requirements (₹30 lakh) could be met with the balance investment in gold. This could be moved to safe avenues periodically to manage the volatility in gold prices. We advised Varadhan to take health insurance for a sum insured of ₹10 lakh each for himself and spouse. Also, the remaining ₹10 lakh from his gold investment could be reserved as part of the health fund immediately.

We recommended that Varadhan sell his land in the next 2-3 years and convert it to financial assets. This will help him manage his health corpus and reserve fund needs. To protect his retirement income from changes in economic assumptions, it is desirable to have ₹80 lakh as reserve fund. This is arrived on the basis of same inflation rate and expected return post-retirement.

Varadhan could retain his rental property and we suggested that rental income, if any, be gifted to his daughter every year. The rental income and maintenance charges for the house were not included in the cash flow calculations.

Every retiree we meet has a fear of outliving the retirement corpus. Safety of capital and inflation adjusted returns form a strange combination. Arriving at the right corpus, which we sometimes call ‘a rubber band corpus for retirement’ is crucial to meeting such expectations. Like how a rubber band has limited elasticity, the corpus should stand the test of inflation and the test of safety of capital. If this is taken care of while working, the desired result could be achieved.

The writer is an investment adviser registered with SEBI, and Co-founder of Chamomile Investment Consultants, Chennai

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How zero depreciation cover works

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Two neighbours’ daily routine of watering plants leads to an interesting conversation.

Sindu: Looks like most of my pots need repairing.

Bindu: Wear and tear spoils them every year.

Sindu: Yes, and burns a hole in my pocket, too, every time I fix them.

Bindu: It’s best to replace your pots before they start ruining the plants. That’s how it works for other things.

Sindu: Okay. So, how do you protect yourself from wear and tear?

Bindu: Not yourself, but your vehicle! In motor insurance, you can opt for what’s called a zero depreciation cover.

Sindu: What is that?

Bindu: Well, under a regular motor cover, when you make a claim, your insurer will apply the depreciation rate to the damages sustained by car parts such as metals, tyres, paintings, batteries and glass. These are deducted before the final payment (for car damage claim) is made to you. So. But a zero depreciation cover offers complete coverage for all parts of a vehicle without any deduction of depreciation. That’s why it’s also called bumper-to-bumper insurance.

Sindu: Good! I will just take this cover for my good old car.

Bindu: Ha, there’s the catch! It is not for all cars. Zero depreciation is beneficial only for new cars or for cars up to three years old. Some insurers do offer this for cars that are up to five years old. It can also depend on the kilometres your car has clocked.

Besides the number of claims under a zero depreciation cover is limited and varies from one insurer to another.

Sindu: Alright! But is it pricey?

Bindu: Well, the zero depreciation rider will usually cost 15-20 per cent higher.

Sindu: That’s a lot. But given the advantages, it seems worth the money.

Bindu: It is, but it comes with a few downsides.

One, the policy doesn’t cover damage to the car engine due to water ingression or oil leakage. Two, it doesn’t cover standard wear and tear to components such as clutches, bearings and plates, and mechanical failure not due to accidents. More importantly, there is a compulsory deductible clause in the event of any claim, just like it is for many standard motor insurance cover. So, before you opt for this cover, find out the all details.

Sindu: Any other exclusions, I should know of ?

Bindu: No claim will be paid if the driver was driving without a valid driving licence or if he is found to be drunk!

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DCB Health Plus FD: Beats most peers in returns

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Are you hunting for fixed deposit schemes that offer best returns? You can consider DCB Bank’s Health Plus Fixed Deposit (FD) as they offer relatively higher interest rates than most banks. This fixed deposit scheme also comes with free medical benefits.

Rate and tenure

DCB Health Plus FD offers one of the best returns at 6.9 per cent per annum on a 700-day (almost two years) fixed deposit. The interest rates in India are close to bottoming out and may remain at these levels till the economy recovers. At the same time, the rate cycle cannot persist at the current levels for a long period too given the elevated inflation and signs of green shoots in the economy. At this juncture, lock-in of investment for about two years is tenable. This also gives the investor an opportunity to reinvest at higher rates once the interest rates head up. DCB’s 6.9 per cent rate also looks attractive compared to rates offered on similar tenure bank FDs. While most public sector banks offer only 5-5.3 per cent interest rate for this bucket, private sector banks give up to 6.5 per cent for the same period.

Bank deposits are covered by the Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (up to ₹5 lakh for both principal and interest). Thus, this deposit is a good option for those who don’t have much appetite for risk. Senior citizens will get an additional 0.5 per cent interest over and above the FD rates being offered by the bank.

Medical benefits

DCB’s Health-plus FD also offers free medical benefits such as teleconsultations and face-to-face appointments with empanelled general physicians and specialists, in addition to ambulance services. For this, DCB Bank has tied up with ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company. The only important condition here is that the minimum fixed deposit should be ₹10,000.

However, the benefits vary with the amount of fixed deposit. Say, for a fixed deposit of ₹25 lakh and above, 10 teleconsultations, 10 face-to-face appointments, pharmacy expenses of ₹3,000 comes for free along with unlimited ambulance services. While for a FD of less than ₹ 1 lakh, medical benefits include only four free teleconsultations.

To make use of the benefits, the customer should download the ‘IL Take Care’ mobile app. The medical benefits continue throughout the tenure of the deposit. In case of premature closure, the free health benefit will also cease to exist.

About DCB Bank

DCB Bank offers loans to diversified segments including micro-SMEs, SMEs, mid-corporate, micro finance institutions and NBFCs. .As on September 30, 2020, DCB’s gross and net NPA were at a reasonable 2.27 per cent and 0.83 per cent, respectively. The collection efficiencies, which were hit during the lockdown period – have been improving since June 2020. In September 2020, the collection efficiencies for the segments – loans agianst proporty, home loans and commercial vehicles stood at 88 per cent, 91 per cent and 77 per cent respectively. The bank is also adequately capitalised with total capital adequacy ratio at 18.28 per cent.

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Your taxes – The Hindu BusinessLine

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I purchased a flat on November 16, 2010 for ₹24.5 lakh and sold it on March 11, 2020 for ₹38 lakh and there is no long-term capital gains. Out of the ₹38 lakh, I have transferred ₹35.5 lakh to my wife’s account as a gift as I am having serious health issues (aged 65 years). Kindly let me know whether this transaction has to be shown in my I-T return for FY 2019-20 (AY 2020-21). I am a retired bank employee having pension income, interest on fixed deposits and rental income.

— GSR Murthy

The house property (flat) sold in FY 2019-20 qualifies to be a long-term capital asset. Accordingly, any profit / loss arising on such sale shall be required to be calculated as per provisions of section 48 of the I-T Act, and would be required to be reported in your tax return (Schedule CG) as long-term capital gains /loss (LTCG/L) while filing tax return for FY 2019-20.

In addition to the capital gains/loss, considering the nature of the other incomes that you have during FY 2019-20 i.e., pension, interest on fixed deposit and house property income), you would be required to file your tax return in Form ITR-2.

Regarding the gift made to spouse, please note that as per the provisions of section 56 of the I-T Act, if any person receives any sum of money without consideration (having aggregate value of more than ₹50,000), the whole of such sum is taxable in the hands of the recipient. However, if such money is received from a relative (as defined under section 56 of the I-T Act), the same shall not be taxable in hands of the recipient.

Spouse qualifies to be ‘relative’ under section 56 of the I-T Act. Accordingly, the gift to your wife shall not be taxable in her hands. Further, there is no requirement to report such gifts in the income-tax return form.

Separately, in case of any income (like interest etc.) generated from such gifted money shall be clubbed and taxed as your income. Any further generation of incomes from the initial incomes earned shall be considered to be your wife’s income and taxed in her hands.

I am a government employee and would like to know about the tax implications if I transfer some shares from my demat account to my daughter’s demat account through off market. My daughter is a student.

— A Srinivasa Murthy

I presume that you wish to transfer certain listed shares held in your demat account to your daughter’s (who is a major) demat account.

As per provisions of Section 56 of the Income-tax Act, 1961 (‘Act’), if any person receives any property, other than immovable property, without consideration (having aggregate fair market value of more than ₹50,000), such aggregate fair market value of property is taxable in the hands of recipient. However, if such property is received from a relative (as defined under section 56 of the Act), the same shall not be taxable in hands of recipient.

As father of an individual qualifies to be ‘relative’, hence shares transferred by you to your daughter shall not be taxable in her hands, even if the market value of shares exceeds ₹ 50,000.

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