Study, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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by Syed Fasiuddin

Microfinance disbursements in the second quarter of the financial year spiked by 380% over the previous year, as normalcy crept in day-to-day life in urban & rural centres of the country following stringent lockdowns, revealed a report by CRIF.

Disbursements in rural centres increased from Rs 3,634 crore to Rs 17,407 crore between the two quarters, whilst urban centres disbursements stood at Rs 12,311 crore, from Rs 2,539 crore earlier. The figures however stood at a stark decline from the same period a year earlier, where disbursements stood at Rs 32,903 crore in rural parts and Rs 25,796 crore in urban parts, respectively.


The share of banks in disbursals between the first and second quarter of FY21 in disbursals decreased from 67.81% to 50.58%; whilst NBFC’s roared with their share increasing from 8.07% to 29.07%. Small Finance Banks (SFBs) also posted a lower share in disbursals from 20.08% to 12.84% between the first and second quarter of FY21.


The average ticket size in micro loans also grew quarterly by 1.4% to Rs 34700, whilst also posting a yearly growth of 6.7%. Movement was also noted in the ticket size, which in the first quarter of FY21 were focussed mainly on loan sizes of lower than Rs 20,000, occupying 60% of share, whilst in the second quarter was dominated by loans of more than Rs 40,000.

Geographically, the eastern region dominated the microfinance segment with a share of 34.7%, whilst southern and western parts held a share of 26.3% and 14.6%. The northern, central and north-eastern parts recorded a market share of 10.5%, 7.7% and 6.9%, respectively.

The average exposure per borrower increased by approximately 20% and 14% in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, whilst also recording an increase of 12% in Karnataka. Separately, Tamil Nadu also had the highest share of borrowers, standing at 8.9%, of individuals who had loans with four or more lenders. Karnataka and Bihar retained second and third spots in individuals with four or more loans.



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Banks set to post weak revenue growth in Q3: Analysts

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The margin trajectory will remain moderately under pressure, given the continued monetary easing, low lending rates and relatively higher liquidity on bank balance sheets.

Banks are likely to post weak revenue growth for the December quarter, analysts said, even as the loan growth improved and bad loan recognition remained paused. Conversations around asset quality, recognition, provisioning and the recovery cycle are likely to continue this quarter between banks and sector analysts.

Kotak Institutional Equities (KIE) on Wednesday said in a report that the overall revenue growth for banks could stand at around 6% year-on-year (YoY), while net interest income grows 10%. Weak loan growth will have a role to play. According to the latest available data, loan growth has been stuck between 5% and 7% YoY since the onset of Covid, compared to 8-10% a year ago. “While credit demand is recovering from post-lockdown lows along with approval rates and share of NTC (new-to-credit) originations, we expect loan growth recovery to be slower than expectations of market participants,” KIE analysts said. The current account savings account (CASA) ratio will be broadly stable or improving for most players in a low-interest rate environment.

The margin trajectory will remain moderately under pressure, given the continued monetary easing, low lending rates and relatively higher liquidity on bank balance sheets, said analysts from Motilal Oswal Financial Services. “Negative carry on NII on higher slippages could also impact margins. However, banks with a strong liability franchise are better placed to tackle margin pressure,” the brokerage said, adding that there could be a low single-digit impact on margins.

Sector experts will be closely parsing data on slippages and provisioning in the absence of regular non-performing asset (NPA) recognition. KIE said it will be looking at broadly three parts to the asset quality issue – the outstanding overdue book, including special mention accounts (SMA), 90+ days past due (DPD) and pipeline of fresh restructuring of loans; the commentary on provisions that is likely to be used and carried forward; and growth, if business is normalising.

“A higher-than-expected slippage this quarter, but a positive commentary of the future worries the most,” KIE wrote, adding, “It raises uncertainty and would result in investors asking fresh evidence of improvement while a lower slippage and better commentary on growth is probably the best outcome, which appears to be a low probability.”

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Importance of a Higher Education Savings Fund in India

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Common Problems Faced

The parents or guardians do face some common problems while investing for their kid’s education as it is difficult to figure out how much to save for a child’s higher education. Firstly, they plan for investment and save money in an ad-hoc manner.

Some of the investors do not take into consideration the inflation rates and end up predicting a lesser amount for the educational expenses.

Saving enough money for children’s higher education is not an easy task as it is difficult to make and track the investment for a long tenure.

Investment Instrument

Investment Instrument

Next thing is to zero on the investment instrument to save for a child’s education. So far, the prominent investment options available are Sukanya Samraddhi Scheme, mutual funds, children’s plans from insurance companies.

Though Sukanya Samraddhi Scheme and Child Plans do come up with low risk they do have their share of drawbacks.

At times it is difficult for the investors to choose the best form of investments as most of the instruments do have risk factors associated with it.

Drawbacks of Investing in SSY

Drawbacks of Investing in SSY

Generally, the child plans in India do not fetch the given returns to match with the prevailing inflation rates. It also comes with the disadvantage of covering the life of the child, though it is not required.

In the case of the Sukanya Samriddhi Scheme/ Yojana, only 50 per cent of the invested amount can be withdrawn when the girl child attains 18 years of age. So many parents have taken the path of mutual funds through systematic investment plans (SIPs) in India.

Proper Investment Vehicle

Proper Investment Vehicle

Another major hurdle faced by investors for higher education savings is the operational procedure involved in investing which is cumbersome.

Most of the times, parents will invest in their name to be used later for a child’s education or they will contribute money towards their ward’s account for investment.

Here, initially, parents or guardians will start investment for their children’s education but somewhere they will not be able to adhere to the investment path strictly and lose track.

Apart from this, investors may not take into consideration factors like rising inflation rates when it comes to educational expenses.

The need of the hour is we need an investment vehicle like National Pension Scheme or NPS to garner funds for meeting out the Higher Education Expenses. The fund for higher education savings should be of low cost with many pension fund managers and offering different investment plans.

The government of India should provide some tax benefits, on withdrawals as this will inculcate the habit of savings amongst parents for their children’s higher education.

GoodReturns.in



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ITC Shares Tank On New Cigarette Policy Yet Analysts See Massive Upside; Here’s Why

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Major changes proposed in new cigarette policy

One of the major amendments is the increase in the legal smoking age from 18 years to 21 years. Penalty for selling tobacco products to persons under the legal smoking age is also being increased from two years imprisonment and Rs 1,000 to seven years’ imprisonment and up to Rs 1 lakh fine.

The government has also sought to ban the sale of loose cigarettes. A provision in the draft reads that “trade and commerce in cigarette or any other tobacco product shall be in sealed, intact and original packing.”

It is also proposed to do away with smoking rooms at airports, restaurants and hotels, in addition to a ban on smoking in public. Fine for smoking in public is proposed to be increased from Rs 200 to Rs 2,000.

Analysts express mixed opinions

Analysts express mixed opinions

Edelweiss Securities Ltd’s analysts, in a report dated 4 January said, “Overall, if this draft becomes a law, the cigarette industry would face further headwinds: difficulty in adding newer consumers due to the increase in the minimum age to buy cigarettes and tobacco products, and impact on cigarette volumes due to sale of only sealed and intact packs.”

The brokerage added that the sale of loose cigarettes is still widely prevalent in states where this regulation has come into effect. “Hence, in our view, it would be difficult to monitor and implement this law.”

“On the other hand, illicit cigarettes and tobacco products, which were thriving due to heavy taxes on legal cigarettes, will take a hit due to stricter punishments proposed in this latest draft,” Edelweiss Securities added.

Meanwhile, Centrum Equity Research believes that long-run companies will reinvent their products to comply with the law.

The brokerage has a “buy” rating on ITC Ltd with a target price of Rs 353, an upside of 74% from the current market price.

“So on the face of it, this news will have negative sentiments for the entire cigarette industry including major like ITC, Godfrey and VST. However, as done in the past, in the long run companies will try to reinvent its business offering adhering to guidelines in our view. We suspect if the draft paper becomes a law it would add further woes to the sector,” it said.

The brokerage believes that ITC’s renewed focus on maintaining cigarette market share, tailwinds for FMCG foods business, strong FCF, high dividend yield and compelling valuations make it more attractive for long term investors.

The stock has fallen 13% in the last one year but soared 21% in the last three months.

Key risks and opportunities

Key risks and opportunities

Apart from the amendments, any sharp increase in taxation could hurt ITC.

As for health ministry’s amendments as per WHO’s guidelines, the government has implemented various measures to cut tobacco consumption since 2003, with the enactment of COTPA (cigarettes and other tobacco product act).

Pictorial warnings, ban in public smoking, restricting entry of shops within 500mt radius of schools & colleges, were introduced, apart from the sharp increase in tax in the last five years that have made cigarettes expensive for the younger generation.

However, the increase in restrictions and taxes have resulted in the growth of illicit cigarettes sales, causing the government to lose tax revenue.

The GATS-2 survey conducted by WHO in 2017 revealed that the smoking population has come down, however, there was no significant change in overall tobacco consumption in the country.

“In these circumstances, we believe the intention of the govt. is driven by WHO guidelines, yet implementation and execution could be a big challenge. To illustrate, recently Maharashtra govt. (in its renewed focus) said to ban sale of loose cigarettes within the state, whilst on ground connect with channel partners suggest the local authorities still grappling to implement strictly. Further, the trade informed us that they have no mechanism to verify the legal age of its consumer, neither they are equipped with any such data, hence it may not control selling loose cigarettes in our view,” says Centrum Equity Research.

As for the ban on loose cigarette sales, the industry is already experimenting by offering packs with 5 cigarettes in select geographies, and we may see more of that across India after the law is implemented.



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How Can I Make The Most Of My EPF Account?

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Should I Withdraw My EPF Amount?

It is advised that PF amount not be withdrawn before retirement. At the time of retirement, PF leads in an enormous corpus. That being said, if withdrawn in between, it should be deposited in instruments such as a real estate, land or mutual fund that yield better returns, analysts claim. Regrettably, most employees withdraw PF for some emergencies and end up with no savings for themselves during retirement. In the new regulations, PF does not need to be withdrawn once an employee switches a job, it can be transferred to the new employer.

How To Update Date Of Exit Details On EPFO Portal?

How Can I Reap Better Returns From EPF?

How Can I Reap Better Returns From EPF?

The interest rate for the Provident Fund (PF) is calculated and updated annually. The interest rate for the Provident Fund (PF) is calculated and updated annually and investors do not have a say in this. However, to fetch more returns, one should increase their contributions. This can be accomplished in two ways: by improving the criteria on which PF is funded or choosing for a higher contribution amount on a voluntary basis. Typically, PF is contributed from basic salary and if you should increase your contribution towards EPF the returns based on the accumulations in the PF account will increase too. Conversely, a member can opt to contribute at a rate higher than the 12 percent of the prescribed rate.

These will result in increased accumulations in the account of the account holder, hence getting more returns. On a recent confirmation after receiving the approval of the finance ministry, the labour ministry has agreed to disclose 8.5 percent interest rate on employee’s provident fund (EPF) accounts for 2019-20. On its more than six crore members, EPFO kept an 8.5 percent interest rate on EPF for 2019-20 as previously agreed, and also started crediting the same into the account of the employees. A substantial majority of the members of EPFO will be able to see their modified EPF accounts with credit of 8.5 per cent interest for the financial year of 2019-20.

Let's Learn About Tax Exemption On PF Withdrawal

Let’s Learn About Tax Exemption On PF Withdrawal

Except under such rare instances above his or her ability, when an employee withdraws the amount from his EPF (Employee Provident Fund) account before making a five-year contribution to his Provident Fund account, the withdrawn money appears taxable in the employee’s account. In the event that the balance in the old provident fund account is transferred to the current PF account configured with the new employer, the contributions rendered to the previous employer shall also be taken into account while the five-year contribution duration is calculated.

When you withdraw the funds before making an annual contribution for five years, if the total balance of the accumulated sum is more than 50,000, the provident fund office deducts tax at 10 per cent. As outlined by you, the accumulated amount which becomes taxable in your account has four components. Under the head “Salaries” the contribution of the employer and interest earned on such contribution must be presented. Under the head “Income from other sources” the contribution of the employee as well as the interest accrued on such contribution will become taxable.

As there might be any discrepancy between the amount provided as taxable by you and the amount provided under your 26AS form, you may get a notice from the tax department that you can justify with documentation that you have not received your own contribution benefit under Section 80 C with the aid of your income tax returns and other relevant documents for the subsequent year.



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This Private Bank Has Raised Interest On Savings Account With Balances Less Than Rs 1 Lakh To 7%

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Investment

oi-Olga Robert

By Staff

|

With effect from 1 January 2021, savings account holders of IDFC First Bank, with balances less than Rs 1 lakh, will earn interest of 7% on their deposits.

The interest rate has been raised from 6% earlier, a surprising and rewarding move for bank account holders at a time when major banks in the country are offering up to 4% interest.

This Private Bank Has Raised Interest On Savings Account To 7%

IDFC First Bank savings account balances above Rs 1 lakh will continue to earn 7%, as before.

In comparison, the State Bank of India (SBI), the largest bank in the country, currently offers 2.9% interest on savings accounts with balances less than Rs 1 lakh.

Is IDFC First Bank safe?

IDFC First Bank was formerly known as IDFC Bank and started as a wholly-owned subsidiary of IDFC in 2014. However, in 2018, IDFC Bank and Erstwhile Capital First announced a merger, forming a new entity called IDFC First Bank, on 18 December 2018.

It has over 260 branches and is a listed scheduled commercial bank. Deposits and savings account balances of all scheduled commercial banks aggregating up to Rs 5 lakh per customer are covered under the government’s deposit guarantee insurance scheme.

The interest on savings accounts is not locked in and can be changed by the bank at will. New banks often offer higher rates to attract retail customers and expand reach.

ON Wednesday, the bank said in a stock exchange filing that its retail deposits have increased 100% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter, pushing its share price higher by over 26% in two days to a new 52-week high of Rs 47.20.

On 11 March 2020, the bank announced that it has signed Bollywood actor Amitabh Bachchan, as its first brand ambassador, attempting to expand its reach via marketing.

At the moment, there is no visible threat in IDFC Bank’s viability. In fact, the deposits of the bank have a AAA rating.

However, the future is uncertain and suddenly if good loans turn bad, any institution can run into a problem.

It is important to note that full-fledged commercial banks in India are rescued by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), if they run into the risk of liquidation, by taking over or bailouts. The two most recent rescue acts were Yes Bank in March 2020 and Lakshmi Vilas Bank in December.

It is, therefore, safe to say that the interests of small depositors of scheduled commercial banks in India have always been protected.

Also, this does not mean that IDFC First is likely to face liquidation; the article is simply addressing skeptics.

Disclaimer

The article is purely informational and is not a solicitation to buy, sell in securities mentioned in the article. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates and the author do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in this article.



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Worthiness Of Small Savings Schemes In The Fixed Income Space

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Investment

oi-Vipul Das

|

Against the context of rising inflation, with the government agreeing to keep interest rates on small savings schemes stagnant, investors in these strategies have no alternative but to stick on it in order to reap good returns compared to fixed deposits of banks. On 31 December, a government circular confirmed that interest rates on small savings schemes will stay static until 31 March. This suggests that the Public Provident Fund (PPF) will continue to fetch 7.1 per cent, Senior Citizens Savings Scheme (SCSS) with 7.4 per cent, post office time deposits with 5.5-6.7 per cent, National Savings Certificate with 6.8 per cent and so on. These returns actually saw a drastic decline from what they were before April 2020, with until then PPF having 7.9 per cent interest.

Worthiness Of Small Savings Schemes In The Fixed Income Space

Should I Go For Other Long-Term Investment Options Amid Low FD Rates?

Lower savings rates, as well as stronger inflation, started in April. Inflation in price inflation has stayed above the higher end of the 6 per cent acceptable limit of the central bank during the fiscal year, hitting 6.93 per cent in November 2020. After that, interest rates have nearly stayed up with inflation on small savings schemes. In a few instances, strategies other than PPF have taxable benefit, indicating that the returns do not cover inflation until paying tax. In addition, higher prices as well as reduced interest income have pressured small investors. Yet, considering that fixed deposits at leading banks still yield just 4-6 per cent, small savings remain comparatively more appealing.

There was an assumption that, like FD rates, rates of small savings schemes would be reduced, but this has not occurred. In the fixed income sector, this tends to make them appealing. With an interest rate of 7.15% RBL Floating Rate Bonds have seen their rate kept stable, making it a strong choice for the investors as of now. With the exception of this, it is important to glance at an incremental change into hybrid funds that have some potential to overcome inflation by equity. Next year, inflation may decline, providing savers with a good return whereas investors still have some little hope.



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Top 4 Midcap Funds That Investors Should Invest In

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1) PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund

This fund has a 5-star rating from Crisil and a 4-star rating from Value Research. The fund has done well in the last few years in terms of returns. In fact, the fund has generated whopping returns of 56 per cent in the last 1 year and the three year returns are 17 per cent on an annualized basis.

The fund has holdings in Coforge, ACC, Dixon Technologies, NATCO Pharma, Cholamandalam etc.

The minimum SIP investment needed to start an investment is Rs 500. The net asset value for PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund under the growth plan is Rs 28.16. Since the PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund has offered spectacular returns to investors, we suggest that investors invest small amounts and probably through SIP.

2) DSP Midacp fund

2) DSP Midacp fund

This fund has been rated 5-star by by Value Research and 4-star by Crisil. The fund largely invests in midcap stocks, which tend to generate volatile returns when compared to largecap stocks. The top 5 holdings of the fund include names like IPCA Labs, Cholamandalam, Infosys, Manappuram Finance and Balkrishna Industries.

The fund has given a 1-year return of 27 per cent, while the 5-year returns on an annualized basis is 14 per cent. DSP Midacp fund has now invested almost 91.7 per cent in equities, while the remaining is held in cash. One can invest in the fund through the SIP route as well, wherein the minimum investment is Rs 500 and the additional investment is Rs 500 every month. This fund in the longer term has the potential to generate good returns.

3) Invesco India Midcap Fund

3) Invesco India Midcap Fund

This fund has been rated as “5” star by Crisil. Even Value Research has given a very good rating of 4-star for the fund. The last 4 years has seen Invesco India Midcap Fund generate a returns of 13 per cent on an annualized basis. In fact, the seven year returns on an annualized basis is 19.53 per cent, which is stupendous.

The Invesco India Midcap Fund has invested almost 95.4 per cent in equities and the balance is held in cash. Invesco India Midcap Fund has holdings in quality midcap stocks including the likes of Coromandel International, Balkrishna Industries, Apollo Hospitals, Mphasis, ICICI Bank etc. If you are a long term investor this fund may be a good bet, though the NAV under the growth plan has risen substantially over the last few months in line with the markets.

4) Kotak Emerging Equity Fund

4) Kotak Emerging Equity Fund

This is another fund that has been rated 4-star by Value Research. Kotak Emerging Equity Fund has generated returns of 27 per cent in the last year, in line with the sharp upward movement in the markets.

The fund has assets under management to the tune of Rs 8,600 crores. Almost 99 per cent of the funds are invested in equities, which is not a big positive when the markets are at record levels.



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Outlook For Equities, Gold, Bitcoin After Stellar Gains In 2020: What Should Investors Do?

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Investment

oi-Roshni Agarwal

|

After coronavirus took toll psychologically, some of the asset classes gained, skyrocketed tremendously as appeal of safe haven assets inched higher. And now, here we will tell the likely prospects of the different asset classes as we have now entered a new decade and a new year:

Outlook For Equities, Gold, Bitcoin: What Should Investors Do?

Outlook For Equities, Gold, Bitcoin After Stellar Gains In 2020: What Should Investors Do?

Equities:

After crisis hit equities in May on the back of Covid 19 led meltdown which saw Nifty slump to levels of 7000 and now amid US elections, optimism around Covid 19 vaccine and now as brokerages and analysts view their run to continue in 2021. With JP Morgan forecast levels of 15000 levels for the Nifty by December and Sensex is seen to be at 50,500 by next year beginning.

Now the liquidity push by global economies will find way into equities and propel Indian equities higher too, plus the Covid 19 vaccine optimism pins hopes of a economic revival sooner.

There is also a view by analyst at Prabhudas Lilladher that as yield are globally in negative, they are finding way into gold and other alternative asset classes. Also foreign investors are keenly interested in Indian equities and are dropping off investment in other countries to park their money in India. Foreign institutional investors net bought more than Rs 1.6 lakh crore of Indian equities in 2020, including a record monthly inflow of over Rs 70,000 crore in November after the US elections.

Now as earnings growth and demand recovery is seen and there is now optimism also on the Budgetary front to be released on February 1, Indian equities will remain upbeat.

Garg expects a double-digit rally in Nifty by the end of 2021 on the back of increased retail participation, favorable policies by the government, demand resumption and fresh foreign inflows.

Gold:

Gold became the most preferred asset amid all the chaos, though the precious metal was offloaded for covering losses in equities. And scaled to a high of Rs. 57000 per 10gm owing primarily due to low interest rate regime globally which reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, stimulus programs to tackle the Covid 19 fall-out, weak US dollar.

For gold in the first half of 2021, there will be a possible run up owing to US stimulus, weaker dollar as well as improvement in demand. And possibly next year the sheen could be slightly taken off as the economic recovery gathers pace and there is shift to risky assets.

Cryptocurrency: William O’Neil pointed out that the digital crypto is hitting its highest level in nearly 3 years. Now as per the belief of Nagda, head at Prabhudas Lilladher changing dynamics as well as increased digitization around conventional dynamics as well as asset classes are providing cryptos such as bitcoin a prominence as a mainstream payments solution.

Now what should investors do?

A highly calculated investment as well as asset allocation strategy needs to be taken as any disturbing news on the Covid 19 front that has come with the new mutant of the virus or any geopolitical stress can be very disastrous for investors and they need to properly assess their risk profile.

GoodReturns.in



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Bharat Griha Raksha: 5 Things To Know About The Standard Home Insurance Cover

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Features of Bharat Griha Raksha

1. Perils covered:

The standard home insurance policy will come with a wide range of perils, namely Fire, Natural Catastrophes (Storm, Cyclone, Typhoon, Tempest, Hurricane, Tornado, Tsunami, Flood, Inundation, Earthquake, Subsidence, Landslide, Rockslide), Forest, Jungle and Bush fires, Impact Damage of any kind, Riot, Strike, Malicious Damages, Acts of terrorism, Bursting and overflowing of water tanks, apparatus and pipes, Leakage from automatic sprinkler installations and Theft.

2. Time:

The policy will provide cover within 7 days from the occurrence of any of the above-said events.

3. Wider coverage:

3. Wider coverage:

Besides home building, the policy covers General Home Contents automatically (without any need for a declaration of details) for 20% of the sum insured for the Building subject to a maximum of Rs 10 lakh. One can also opt for a higher sum Insured for general contents by declaring the details.

4. Optional covers:

4. Optional covers:

Bharat Griha Raksha policy comes with two optional covers:

  • Insurance for Valuable Contents like jewellery and curios.
  • Personal Accident of the insured and spouse due to an insured peril under the policy.

5. Other features:

5. Other features:

  • The policy does not provide complete waiver of under-insurance. In other words, if the sum insured declared by a policyholder is less than what ought to have been declared for the property in question, the policyholder’s claim will not be settled proportionately but up to the sum insured that is declared. For example, if the general home contents (such as fridge, television, washing machine) are insured for a sum of Rs 50,000, while the actual value is Rs 1 lakh, the policy will still pay the entire sum insured (Rs 50,000).
  • Like all standard insurance policies introduced by IRDAI, the product has been designed with policyholder friendly features and are worded in simple language for the convenience of the general public.
  • The policy will have Key Features Documents (KFD) which give basic information about the products, apart from answers to Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ).
  • Insurers have been permitted to file innovative add-ons (additional covers) over and above the basic cover, in-built cover, optional cover, if any, and standard add-ons that these retail products already offer.



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