“BUY” This Mid Cap Pharma Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 2530: Edelweiss Securities

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


The brokerage’s take on Ipca Laboratories

According to the brokerage’s research report “Ipca has grown at almost 1.5x industry growth over the last five years. Its success is attributable to its R&D, where it has successfully demonstrated aceclofenac (Zerodol) superiority to other NSAIDs and low0dose chlorthalidone (CTD) efficacy that has enabled it to shift Rx to its own brands. Ipca is confident of not only sustaining its pain franchise- Zerodol peak sales >INR10bn – but also grow cardiac and other divisions. The company is getting aggressive to expand cardiac therapy to an aspirational 25% of revenue (from ~17-18%) and plans to add 350-400 salesforce.”

Edelweiss Securities Ltd in its research report has also said that “The UK business is ~60% down from its peak, but Ipca is confident of recovering a large part in the next 18 months as it will have a basket of ~25 products (up from 9) the next 18 months on its own label. The EU situation, which is currently facing excess inventory, should start easing over the next couple of quarters. Ipca’s acquisitions are either to fill gaps in existing businesses (Lyka for injectable) or part of long-term plans (Pisgah: low-volume/high-value CRAMS). Investments in subsidiaries/associates have been less than USD100mn over the last five years, keeping BS lean.”

Investment rationale

Investment rationale

The brokerage in its research report has reported that “Ipca has had a strong execution track record in the past years along with maintaining healthy balance sheet (low net D/E) despite an investment phase. Even without the US, Ipca is likely to report double-digit growth as: a) main domestic therapies pain and CVS continue to post market-leading growth; b) API exports to remain strong as Ipca bolsters sartans over its existing portfolio; and c) recovery in generics led by EU. Ipca has a moat w.r.t. cost leadership in several APIs, enabling it to be the cheapest supplier in the world. With domestic and APIs contributing ~70% to revenue, Ipca deserves to trade at a premium.”

Buy Ipca Laboratories With A Target Price of Rs. 2,530

Buy Ipca Laboratories With A Target Price of Rs. 2,530

The brokerage has stated that “The unprecedented input cost escalation should start easing over the next six months. Ipca is confident of maintaining its volume in sartans as it has developed a new process and expects orders in the rest of the API business to also pick up. Near-term pressures should not obscure its market-beating growth in India, its vertically integrated business model, API potential beyond FY22 due to capacity addition and an enviable cost optimisation track record.”

According to the brokerage’s call “Ipca has been a beneficiary of several one-offs such as HCQs during covid and sartan opportunities in API. Hence, while FY22 growth looks challenging, FY23 should see normal growth resuming. We stay optimistic on Ipca’s long-term prospects. Retain ‘BUY/SO’ with a TP of INR2,530.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The stock has been picked from the brokerage report of Edelweiss Securities Limited. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

“BUY” This Large Cap Maharatna Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 210: Edelweiss Securities

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


The brokerage’s take on Coal India Ltd.

Edelweiss Securities in its research report has said that “CIL’s Nov-21 production/offtake rose 4.3%/10.3% YoY. Key points: i) Production rate at 1.79mt/day is the highest ever for the month of November. ii) Demand remained buoyant with the offtake rate at 1.89/day-significantly higher than in the past. iii) Pithead inventory reduced further to merely 29mt (Mar-21-end: 97mt) as demand outpaced production. iv) SECL/WCL showed a significant performance uptick while MCL continued to be the best-performing subsidiary. In our view, CIL’s performance is likely to get a leg-up from the most profitable and productive subsidiaries – MCL, SECL and NCL – ramping up production. As a result, we expect our FY22E offtake of 643mt (up 12% YoY) to be met.”

The brokerage has claimed that “We expect CIL’s cash accretion to continue mainly due to higher sales volume and e-auction prices. On the working capital front, inventory continues to decline and receivables remain under check. Hence, we expect cash accretion to sustain in H2FY22. We believe that our FY22 divided estimate of INR18/share (dividend yield: 11.3%) is likely to be met, particularly in light of the first interim dividend of INR9/share.”

Buy Coal India Ltd. with a target price of Rs. 210

Buy Coal India Ltd. with a target price of Rs. 210

According to the brokerage’s research report “Despite a rather lackluster H1FY22 performance, we expect FY22 to be salubrious for CIL mainly due to volume growth and higher e-auction prices. On the working capital front, we already see a significant respite as both receivables and inventory has declined. We believe that significant cash balance/accretion would be utilised towards the payment of dividends. We believe that the ensuing wage hike is likely to be offset by price increase of regulated coal, and be EBITDA-neutral in the worst case.”

The brokerage has further claimed that “We maintain ‘BUY/SO’ on CIL with an unchanged TP of INR210 on 9x FY23E EPS. Our recommendation is also driven by a potential dividend yield of 11-13% over the next two years.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The stock has been picked from the brokerage report of Edelweiss Securities Limited. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

Tax department sends reassessment notices to global fund houses, BFSI News, ET BFSI

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


The Income Tax Department has reopened old assessments of at least a dozen global fund houses and private equity funds alleging under-reporting of income through the misuse of tax treaties.

The department, in a communication last week, asked these fund houses to furnish details about the structure of their business, past investors and bank signatories, an official told ET.

The department has asked them to explain irregularities in computation of income for the assessment years 2013-14, 2014-15 and 2015-16, the official said.

Its early estimates peg income that allegedly escaped assessment at more than ₹300 crore, the person said.

The notices were sent after earlier explanations by the funds were found unsatisfactory by the department, which wants to look deeper into income statements and returns. The reassessment notices were issued under Section 148 of the I-T Act, which deals with income that has escaped assessment.

Under the rules, the tax department can go back up to 10 years to scrutinise past assessments if the concealment of income is ₹50 lakh and above.

Most Investments via Mauritius, Cyprus
“Most of these global private equity funds invested in India through Mauritius and Cyprus during these assessment years,” said the official. The department wants to know why these funds hadn’t invested directly but through a particular jurisdiction, he said.

The department reserves the right to reject a tax residency certificate (TRC) if it detects abuse of tax treaty benefits and treaty shopping. The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) didn’t respond to queries.

Most global funds channelled their investments in India via jurisdictions such as Mauritius and Singapore that allowed them to enjoy capital gains tax exemption. However, India amended the tax treaty with Mauritius effective April 1, 2017, withdrawing the exemption.

Capital Gains Tax
These funds are currently subject to capital gains tax. Private equity funds, which deal in unlisted companies, attract long-term capital gains at 10%, while short-term capital gain tax is levied at 30-40%.

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) that invest in listed companies attract long-term capital gains at 10% for equities sold on the exchanges, even if securities transaction tax has been paid.

Tax experts said the latest move could create uncertainty for investors. “Any fresh tax demands on such old investments could create challenges for fund managers because they may not be able to recover taxes and penalties from investors who might have already exited the fund,” said Rajesh H Gandhi, partner, Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP.

Foreign investors have been hoping that, as a result of certain favourable court cases and specific protection under the General Anti-Avoidance Rule for investments made before 2017, past investments would not be challenged, he said.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

Fixed Deposit That Offers 8.50% Interest With State Government Backing

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits Interest Rates (Non senior citizens, regular interest income)

Period Monthly Quarterly Annually
24 months 7.25%
36-months 7.75% 7.75% 7.98%
60-months 8.00% 8.00% 8.24%

Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits Interest Rates (senior citizens, regular interest income)

Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits Interest Rates (senior citizens, regular interest income)

Period Monthly Quarterly Annually
24 months 7.25%
36-months 8.25% 8.25% 8.51%
60-months 8.50% 8.50% 8.77%

The interest rates are as on December 3, 2021. This is a government of Tamil Nadu backed enterprise and hence the deposits are very safe. The deposits are also available under the cumulative scheme, where the interest rate is more or less the same, but, the yields could go higher because of compounding.

Other details of the Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits

Other details of the Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation Fixed Deposits

The deposits cannot be opened online and one may have to visit the office or courier the fixed deposit forms, duly filled-in with the KYC requirements. Under the money multiplier scheme the deposits are compounded quarterly. The company is a good profit making enterprise that has been generating profits since 1975.

These deposits are relatively safe, but, the only problem right now is that there is no online facility. Therefore, it would be beneficial for those staying in Tamil Nadu and who can visit the office and open the fixed deposits. For other set of investors the task maybe a little more painful.

However, with the interest rates going as high as 8.77% and if you have a big amount, even travelling to Tamil Nadu to open the deposits maybe worth.

Invest in these deposits for the long-term

Invest in these deposits for the long-term

It is unlikely that interest rates in the economy would rally higher any time soon. It is therefore imperative to block money at higher interest rates for a longer term tenure. For example, senior citizens can get as high as 8.77% on the 5-year deposit. It is therefore advisable to go for the 5 year tenure period. We believe that in an era where even the Senior Citizens Savings Scheme is able to offer only 7.4% interest for senior citizens this is not a bad option at all. Apart from this the Tamil Nadu Transport Development Finance Corporation is a wholly owned company of the government of Tamil Nadu.

There is another company called the Tamil Nadu Power and Infra Finance company, where the fixed deposit interest rate offered is as high as 8.5%. This company interestingly has online facilities and investors can open their fixed deposits online. Those who are long term investors should apply for these deposits. The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to hike interest rates anytime soon and the current rates being offered of upto 8.5 to 8.77 per cent is not bad at all. It’s hard to get returns on fixed deposits these days.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

India Ratings: RBI’s new norms likely to increase NBFCs’ bad loans by one-third

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


However, NBFCs would have to invest in systems and processes to comply with daily stamping requirements, India Ratings said, adding that it understands that NBFCs have presented to the RBI for providing a transition period on this requirement.

Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) will likely see around one-third rise in their non-performing assets (NPAs) after the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) latest clarification on upgradation of non-performing non performing assets (NPAs) kicks in.

On November 12, the central bank said loan accounts classified as NPAs may be upgraded to ‘standard’ assets only if the entire arrears of interest and principal are paid by the borrower. The rule will apply to both banks and NBFCs.

India Ratings said NBFCs will likely have modest impact on provisioning because of the clarification as such lenders are using Indian Accounting Standard (IND-As), and generally for higher-rated NBFCs, provision policy is more conservative than income recognition, asset classification (IRAC) requirements. However, NBFCs would have to invest in systems and processes to comply with daily stamping requirements, India Ratings said, adding that it understands that NBFCs have presented to the RBI for providing a transition period on this requirement.

“Accounts can get into NPA category just for a day’s delay in paying the instalments and once it gets categorised as NPA it will not be able to become standard unless all the arrears are cleared. So, in other words, accounts would get categorised as NPAs at a faster pace and would remain sticky in that category for a longer period of time. Both these accounting treatments would result into higher headline number for NBFCs. It may so happen that NBFCs would disclose NPA numbers as per IRAC norms and stage 3 numbers as per Ind-As separately in their disclosures,” India Ratings said.

Get live Stock Prices from BSE, NSE, US Market and latest NAV, portfolio of Mutual Funds, Check out latest IPO News, Best Performing IPOs, calculate your tax by Income Tax Calculator, know market’s Top Gainers, Top Losers & Best Equity Funds. Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Financial Express is now on Telegram. Click here to join our channel and stay updated with the latest Biz news and updates.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

This PSU Company Announces Rs. 9.01/ Share Dividend: Check Record Date If You Want To Add It To Your Portfolio

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Record date for the interim dividend pay-out for Fy 2022

For the announced dividend, the company has also decided the record date and fixed it as Wednesday the 15th December 2021. The record date is the date when the company finds out or determines the eligibility of the shareholders who will be entitled to receive this dividend pay-out. On this record date, you or a shareholder must be having shares of this company in his demat account for the dividend payment to be credited against these shares in due time.

Rs. 9.01/share dividend pay-out soon by this company

Rs. 9.01/share dividend pay-out soon by this company

If you could not still make it out, the company we are talking about is NMDC or NationalNational Mineral Development Corporation. The divestment in this PSU major kicked off in July this year via the OFS or auction route. In the stake sale, the centre looked at selling 7.49 percent stake in the firm.

To know about other companies to pay-out dividend soon read here.

About NMDC and its dividend history

About NMDC and its dividend history

Incorporated in 1958 as a Government of India fully-owned public enterprise, NMDC is under the administrative control of the Ministry of Steel. Since inception, the company is into the exploration of an array of minerals including iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, beach sands etc. The company is the country’s single largest iron ore producer. Talking about its scrip, the company commands a share price of Rs. 145.95 and has a market capitalisation of Rs. 42,772 crore.

The company has been consistently making dividend pay-outs and considering the last fiscal year’s dividend of 7.76 per share, the dividend yield turns out to be 5.32 percent which is quite impressive.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Note we are just putting before readers a stock that has announced a dividend, nonetheless readers should not misread it as a call for investment into the scrip.

GoodReturns.in



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

Ambani backs data privacy, cryptocurrency bills, BFSI News, ET BFSI

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


New Delhi, Billionaire Mukesh Ambani on Friday backed the proposed data privacy and cryptocurrency bills, saying India is putting in place the most forward-looking policies and regulations. Ambani, who has been a votary of Indians owning and controlling their own data and the nation drafting strict rules around how digital information is stored and shared, said nations have the right to build and protect strategic digital infrastructure.

Stating that data is the ‘new oil’, he said every citizen’s right to privacy has to be safeguarded.

“India is putting in place the most forward-looking policies and regulations,” he said at the Infinity Forum, hosted by International Financial Services Centres Authority (IFSCA).

The country, he said, already has a great framework of digital identity – through Aadhaar, digital bank accounts and digital payments.

“We are on the verge of introducing data privacy bill, and the cryptocurrency bill. I think we are on the right track,” he said.

The comments came as the government looks to bring a new bill in Parliament to treat cryptocurrencies as a financial asset while safeguarding small investors. The legislation may stipulate a minimum amount for investments in digital currencies while banning their use as legal tender.

The legislative agenda for the current winter session of Parliament that started on November 29 lists bringing of a bill that seeks to prohibit all private cryptocurrencies except “certain exceptions to promote the underlying technology of cryptocurrency and its uses.”

While the government is considering taxing gains from cryptocurrency, the Reserve Bank of India wants a complete ban on digital currencies as it feels this could affect the nation’s macroeconomic and financial stability.

“Data and digital infrastructure is strategically important for India and every other nation in the world. Every country has the right to build and protect this strategic digital infrastructure,” he said adding a uniform global standard was needed so that cross-border transactions, collaborations and partnerships are not hampered.

Stating that every citizen’s right to privacy has to be safeguarded, he said the right policies and the right regulatory framework have to balance this with the nation’s need to guard data and digital infrastructure.

Ambani, chairman and managing director of Reliance Industries Ltd, said that he was a big believer in blockchain technology.

“I believe in blockchain technology and this is different from cryptocurrency,” he said, adding, “Blockchain is very important for a trust-based, equitable society.”

While the bill for regulating cryptocurrency is in the works, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das is among those who feel that the blockchain technology underpinning cryptocurrencies could exist on its own, even without the currency.

“Using blockchain, we can deliver unprecedented security, trust, automation and efficiency to almost any type of transaction,” Ambani said. “It can be used to modernize our supply chains that form the lifeblood of our economies.”

India is now well on its way to transforming itself into a leading Digital Society, having put the digital infrastructure, and the regulatory framework in place.

“Data is indeed the ‘new oil’. But the new oil is fundamentally different from the traditional oil. Traditional oil was extracted only at select places – thus, it created wealth only for some countries. In contrast, the new oil — that is Data — can be generated and consumed everywhere and by everybody. It has the potential to create value equitably, across sectors, across geographies, across economic classes,” he said.

His comments come against the backdrop of a debate on how India should balance user protections with support for its digital economy in the world’s fastest-growing major internet market. Foreign companies and hundreds of home-grown startups have flourished amid a dearth of regulation.

Ambani’s Jio has supercharged internet adoption, helping crash data prices since launch in 2016, and his group has now created an online-to-offline retail platform take on the likes of Amazon and Walmart-backed Flipkart, which are both betting big on India’s e-commerce market.

The country, he said, is transitioning fully from 2G to 4G. “We are in the process of creating an equally affordable ecosystem of devices to enable greater adoption, supported by a faster rollout of optical fiber, cloud, and data center infrastructure.

“The next step will be the connectivity of machines, devices and vehicles, which is the Internet of Things. With 5G rollout next year in India, we are on our way to having one of the most advanced digital infrastructures anywhere in the world.”

Ambani said India is well on its way to transforming itself into a leading Digital Society, having put the digital infrastructure, and the regulatory framework in place.

“Finance is at the heart of everything, and I believe we are in very early stages of sporadic digitization, and with various new-age technologies emerging, the opportunity is in adopting a decentralised model of finance,” he said.

There will be centralised government and central bank policies, but there will be a path to decentralized technological solutions where finance will be enabled and available to everybody, Ambani said.

Real-time technologies will help settle trades, not in days or hours, but in real-time. Smart contracts will become a reality.

“Convergence of real-time technologies, distributed ledger, blockchain, smart tokens etc with physical infrastructure using IoT will redefine the decentralized financing sector in a way that we have never imagined,” he added.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

Buy This Low Priced Multibagger Realty Stock For 133% Potential Upside In The Long Term

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Rationale for a ‘Buy’ on Anant Raj as decoded by experts

Realty index has given a 10 year break-out and with strong fundamentals the shares in the sector are expected to give sharp gains.

FII/FPI attracted to the scrip with FII holding in the September ended quarter at 8.28%.

Decent quarterly earnings for the last three quarter despite the covid led disruption. For the last quarter ended September of Fy22, the company posted net profit of Rs. 11.02 crore as against Rs. 8.61 crore in the preceding quarter, while this is an overwhelming increase YoY from just Rs. 2.86 crore during September quarter of Fy 22.

Price target of Rs. 155 on Anant Raj; Potential Upside of 133% In Long term

Price target of Rs. 155 on Anant Raj; Potential Upside of 133% In Long term

The scrip is said to face resistance at Rs. 80 but as and when it crosses this level it shall easily and swiftly hit three digit price of Rs. 100 and rally further up to Rs. 155 in the long term.

Experts' and brokerages take on the scrip

Experts’ and brokerages take on the scrip

Choice Broking’s Sumeet Bagadia studying the stock price chart of Anant Raj said “This multibagger stock in Rakesh Jhunjhunwala portfolio is consolidating around ₹65 to ₹67 and it is facing strong hurdle at ₹80. Once it gives breakout above ₹80 on closing basis, it may soon hit ₹100 levels. Short term investors can buy Anand Raj shares at current levels and book profit around ₹80. However, they must maintain strict stop loss at ₹60 per share levels.”

Likewise underscoring the fundamentals of the scrip, Proficient Equities’ Dalmia said, “Anant Raj has reported strong quarterly numbers for the last three quarters despite second wave of Copvid-19. It has reported growth in total revenue and net profit in last three quarters that attracted ace investors like Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, FIIs and FPIs. In fact FIIs and FPIs have raised their stake in the company that reflects strong conviction of the market magnets in regard to Anant Raj shares.”

Advising investors to hold the multibagger stock for long term he added, “Aggressive buyers are advised to buy this multibagger stock at current levels maintaining stop loss at ₹60 levels. They can hold the counter for long term target of ₹155.”

Noting the technicals of the scrip; Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd said, “Anant Raj share is in strong bullish momentum where it is holding its 200-DMA beautifully and moving in an up-sloping channel. It is bouncing back from the lower end of the channel and it may head towards the higher end which may coincide with the ₹88 level, therefore, we can expect the target of 88 in the near term while over the next year it has the potential to move in triple-digit.”

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

The stock is recommended by experts and brokerages given the fundamentals and other observations. However investors and readers must not construe the story to be an investment advice and must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.

GoodReturns.in



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

Gold Rates Under Pressure, Although Inflation Tends To Rise: What Is The Trend Now?

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Personal Finance

oi-Kuntala Sarkar

|

Gold rates in the global markets, and India are facing challenges to gain significantly in the first week of December. However, earlier investors expected that the precious metal will be on the path the reaching the $1900/oz. But breaking all the expectations, gold rates are now quoted at around $1760/oz in the futures markets.

Gold Rates Under Pressure, Although Inflation Tends To Rise: What Is The Trend?

With falling gold rates, common Indian buyers tend to consume more gold for their personal use. December is a wedding season in India, that contributes as the highest gold-demand season in the country. Subdued gold rates will ease the common buyers’ pockets, and the gold demand is also expected to gain a bit with this.

Inflationary pressures, but gold rates under pressure

Inflation is one of the most important reasons behind the change in gold rates. With rising inflation, gold rates usually gain, while inflation stays under control, gold rates too do not react bullishly. However, in December, gold rates are not reacting in that way. Major economies across the world are facing challenges regarding inflation, whilst the USA is experiencing the headline inflation rate at the highest level in the past 30 years. So, as a hedge against inflation, gold rates should react bullishly, but the metal is reacting bearish, globally.

A new Covid variant, Omicron has been reported in multiple countries, but the WHO has recently said that this variant is not might be as severe as the delta variant. So, investors are worrying less about major inflationary pressures. So, it is probably the reason behind gold rate is bearish now. Another reason is, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell recently sounded dovish about inflation and analysts are thinking that the Fed can take tighter measures to control inflation soon. So, gold rates are not gaining significantly, rather rates are under pressure.

However, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester is worried about the Omicron Covid variant and is expecting intensified inflationary pressures. Additionally, Mester told Financial Times, “If it turns out to be a bad variant it could exacerbate the upward price pressures we’ve seen from the supply-chain problems.”

(Also read: Indian Gold Rates Are Falling Sharply In December, As WHO Eases Omicron Concerns: Check Rates)

However, a falling gold rate will increase gold demand in India. In the domestic market, 22 carat gold rate is quoted at around Rs. 46580/10 grams, and 24 carat gold rate is quoted at around Rs. 47580/10 grams, on December 3. With the rise and fall in gold rates in the global markets, the metal’s prices change in the domestic markets.

(Also read: Gold Rates Are Highly Volatile At The Present Market, After US Consumer Confidence Data Release)

Story first published: Friday, December 3, 2021, 16:15 [IST]



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

“BUY” This Large Cap NBFC Stock With A Target Price of Rs. 1910 Says HEM Securities

[ad_1]

Read More/Less


Q2FY22 results of Muthoot Finance Ltd.

According to the brokerage, the company’s “Q2FY22 saw a good growth traction compared with Q1FY22. Gold loan AUM grew 5% QoQ and 18% YoY to INR54700. Increased QoQ tonnage (178 tonnes), increased share of online gold loan customers (29.4% of total) assisted growth momentum and total customers reached 8.8 million.”

Based on the management commentary “The company expects NIM to be in the 12-13% range and have a good budget for sales and promotion. Employee costs should be at the same run rate as FY21. The company seeing cost of borrowing coming down. The management is taking steps to bring down the elevated levels of Stage 2 assets. The management expects at least 5% QoQ growth over the next two quarters and 15% in FY22. Gold Loans is approximately 99% of the total Gross loan assets under management and the remaining 1% in other loans.”

According to the brokerage’s research report, the “Company currently operates 4,619 gold loan branches. Branch addition has averaged around 100 per annum in the last three years, partly slowed down by the recent pandemic. The company targets to open 100-150 new branches per annum. Muthoot has become increasingly focused on driving loan growth to old, inactive customers in recent quarters. Company targets >20mn of its old, inactive customers for driving new loans.”

Buy Muthoot Finance Ltd with a target price of Rs. 1910

Buy Muthoot Finance Ltd with a target price of Rs. 1910

HEM Securities has claimed that “An average branch of 5-6 employees handles around 1800 loan accounts for Muthoot Finance. Increase in demand for gold loans as economy recovers, sales outreach to inactive clients and increased digitization of processes (e.g. online loan repayment, loan top-ups, etc.) is enabling these branches to handle a higher number of loan accounts.”

According to the brokerage’s call “The average ticket size has grown at 15% CAGR in the past five years to reach Rs62k in FY21. This compares to an average ticket size of around Rs0.15- 0.20mn reported by private sector banks for their gold loan portfolios. Muthoot’s ticket size has room to grow at 8-10% per annum for the next three years to reach Rs82-85K. We value the company at 14.9x FY23 EPS to arrive at the target of 1910.”

HEM Securities in its research has also commented that “Leading gold NBFCs like Muthoot Finance have between 3.5-4.5k branches spread across India, much higher than other NBFCs and small private banks and eclipsed only by some of the largest banks in India. We expect the large extensive branch network and a large number satisfied customers (drives repeat business) is a key source of competitive edge for the specialized gold NBFCs.”

The brokerage has also noted 3 risk factors for the stock which are “Changes in domestic gold prices have an impact on the near-term growth in Muthoot’s AUM as higher gold prices allow customers to borrow more against their collateral and vice versa. A significant decline of more than 15% in gold prices could impact Muthoot’s AUM near-term growth negatively, the permissible loan to value (LTV) in gold lending is capped at 75% by the Reserve Bank of India. Any adverse changes related to the defined LTV or upper caps on lending rates/ NIMs could impact the company negatively and higher than expected increase in competitive intensity could impact company growth estimates negatively. Gold loan industry has attracted interest from several large banks and NBFCs in the last 1-2 years large margin.”

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The stock has been picked from the brokerage report of HEM Securities Limited. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article.



[ad_2]

CLICK HERE TO APPLY

1 2 3 4 5 387