Time To Buy Gold Is Now, As Prices Dip Sharply

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

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Gold prices have fallen dramatically over the last few days. In fact, in the international market, gold fell as much as 5% and the precious metal is slated to fall a tad bit on Monday again. Let’s take a look at 22 karats approximate gold price in some of the cities. These are quoted by local jewellers and in the top India cities.

Price for 22 karats gold for 10 grams

June 19, 2021 June 10, 2021td>
Chennai gold prices 44,300 46150
Mumbai gold prices 46,950 48,100
Delhi gold prices 46,390 47,950
Bangalore gold prices 44,000 45,800
Hyderabad gold prices 44,300 46150
Kerala gold prices 44,000 45,800

As can be seen, there has been a drop of almost Rs 1,800 per 10 grams in most cities for 22 karats gold since June 10. In line with spot gold rates at the local jewellers, even gold ETFs have seen their prices drop.

52-week high Current market price, June 19
ICICI Prudential Gold ETF Rs 54.10 (Aug 2020) Rs 41.98
HDFC MF Gold ETF Rs 53.30 (July 2020) Rs 42.08
Kotak Rs 508 (Oct 2020) Rs 412
UTI Gold ETF Rs 53.75 (Aug 2020) Rs 41.20
SBI Gold ETF Rs 5139 (Aug 2020) Rs 4209

Why you should be tempted to buy Gold ETFs now?

The losses that we are seeing in Gold ETFs is nearly 20% from peak levels. At the moment, banks are offering an interest rate of 5% and stock market indices are at record highs. In fact, stocks have been crazily driven higher and may offer limited scope for appreciation.

At this time, it would be ideal to buy gold, given the more than 20% fall from peak levels. In fact, when trading opens on Monday, expect another half a per cent knock on gold ETFs. Thus gold and gold related instruments are likely to remain attractive.

Sovereign bond yields on an upswing

Globally, interest rates are headed higher and sovereign bond yields may rise. This could put some more pressure on gold. In the international markets, gold saw its worst ever decline in more than 1-year. In fact, over the last 1-year gold has now given negative returns. However, we do not advocate buying large quantities, but, buying systematically and on regular basis, given the fall of 20% from peak levels.

In fact, regular accumulation at these levels would help investors also diversify their holdings into gold. Another 1 to 2% fall in the precious metal is certainly bound to make it even more attractive, given that alternative investment options like bank deposits offer no returns and equities have already rallied very sharply.

Time To Buy Gold Is Now, As Prices Dip Sharply

We wish to reiterate that it makes very little sense to buy physical gold because of the margins in buying and selling gold. Apart from this it is a nuisance to store and also a problem if there is a theft. The best way to go is through Gold ETFs. These can be bought through your broker provided you have a demat account. Talk to your broker and he can assist you in buying the same.



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Investment ideas to get the better of inflation

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With inflation in the doldrums between 2014 and 2020, Indian investors did not have to worry about whether they were investing in asset classes that fetched them a good real return (return over and above inflation).

But this is set to change, with sticky global inflation re-emerging, driven by a range of commodities from copper to cooking oil to steel.

Though RBI/MPC have been hoping that the spike in India’s CPI (Consumer Price Index) will be fleeting, it has proved stubborn averaging 6 per cent in the last twelve months.

So, if a resurgent global economy does trigger a high inflation phase, which assets should you own more of, to earn inflation-beating returns? Instead of relying on theory, we decided to rely on past data to find answers.

India encountered a long stretch of high CPI inflation averaging 10.4 per cent in the five year period from January 1 2009 to January 1 2014 and we ran returns on different assets to find the following.

Bonds, FDs?

When inflation is on the rise, central banks usually raise policy rates to quell it. This makes it a bad time to own bonds, as rising rates lead to declining bond prices.

With the Indian economy in shambles post-Covid, RBI/MPC may be late in hiking their rates in response to inflation today.

But even if policy rates do not rise in a hurry, market interest rates (such as the 10-year g-sec yield) can spike if inflation is perceived to be sticky.

Had you held Indian government securities (proxied by the CCIL All Sovereign Bond Index) during the period from 2009 to 2014, you would have earned just a 3.2 per cent CAGR, a significant negative real return.

If you believe that high inflation is here to stay, it would be best to stay off long-term g-secs and long-dated corporate bonds.

Bank FD rates are usually a little higher than sovereign bond rates, but not enough to beat inflation.

This time around, with policy actions likely to be delayed, bank FD rates may not keep up with inflation.

RBI data on deposit rates of banks for 1 year periods, shows that in the 2009 to 2014 period, bank FDs returned a healthy 8.6 per cent, but this still lagged CPI inflation of 10.4 per cent. Today bank FD rates are scraping 5-6 per cent. They are unlikely to deliver real returns, should inflation spike.

Equities

Equities are said to be the best asset class for inflation-beating returns, based on the textbook premise that in the long run, stocks must deliver a return premium over bonds to compensate for higher risk.

While this may be true over 10-year plus holding periods, over shorter times, stock performance need not keep up with inflation rates.

Stock prices track earnings growth. Rising prices of industrial inputs such as petrochemicals, chemicals and industrial metals can hurt the profitability of companies using these inputs unless they are able to pass them on in full to their customers.

Given the weak demand outlook after the Covid second wave, Indian companies in a majority of commodity-using sectors are likely to see some profit impact from rising input costs. Commodity-mining or processing companies however, could enjoy windfall profits.

In a high-inflation scenario, selective bets on stocks of commodity processors may pay off better than those of commodity users.

In a recent India Strategy report, Motilal Oswal found that while 11 of the Nifty companies benefit from rising commodity prices, 13 are adversely impacted and the rest tend to be neutral.

A high inflation scenario may call for reducing bets on auto, FMCG, consumer durable companies while raising them on steel, cement and upstream oil plays.

Small and mid-sized companies may enjoy lower pricing power and may be more hurt by input inflation than industry leaders.

However, commodity companies by virtue of sheer size tend to dominate Nifty earnings, by contributing 36 per cent of the profit pool.

In the inflationary period from 2009 to 2014, the Nifty50 Total Returns Index and Nifty500 Total Returns Index managed a 17 per cent CAGR, easily beating the 10.4 per cent inflation rate.

But equity performance then was underpinned by a low starting point. In 2009, after a big bear market, Indian stocks traded at low valuations (Nifty50 PE was 13.3 in January 2009). Today, market valuations are at record levels of 29 times (Nifty50) after a multi-year bull market.

This makes high real returns from equities as a class less certain. A selective approach of betting on commodity-makers or companies with pricing power, may work better.

One of the viable routes to acquire such exposure is to invest in thematic commodity equity funds.

Commodity funds with an international flavour, which offer dual exposure to global commodity giants and the US dollar, have in the past proved good bets in inflationary times.

In the 2009-2014 period, Aditya Birla Sun Life Global Commodity Equities Fund- Agri Plan managed a 14.4 per cent CAGR.

Gold

Gold is supposed to be a classic inflation hedge. But gold for Indian investors hasn’t always kept pace with inflation on a year-to-year basis. Broadly though, inflationary trends globally do spark investor interest in gold. For Indian investors, periods of global crisis or commodity price surges are usually accompanied by Rupee depreciation.

With these twin tailwinds, high inflation years from 2009 to 2014 did prove bumper years for Indian gold investors. Gold ETFs delivered a 13.2 per cent CAGR.

Raising gold allocations is therefore a good idea if you believe in the return of inflation.

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How Does PPF Account Work After Extension Upon Maturity?

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Withdrawal from PPF account upon maturity

Generally, you can withdraw the whole amount from a PPF account only after the account reaches maturity, which is after 15 years. After 15 years, your entire balance in the PPF account, including accumulated interest, can be withdrawn and the account can be closed respectively. That being said, if you want to withdraw earlier than 15 years, the scheme allows partial withdrawals after completing 6 years of continuous service as PPF holder. You must submit a completely filled Form C to the bank branch or post office where you maintain your PPF account in order to withdraw funds prematurely.

Following that, the PPF will be discontinued, and the funds will be credited to your registered bank account within 7 working days. Partial/premature withdrawals from the PPF account are completely exempted from tax, however, only one partial withdrawal is permitted every financial year. A penalty is imposed at a rate of 1% cut in the relevant interest rate for the duration the account remains open. However, if you want to get the most out of your PPF, you should keep it open until your retirement. This strategy will allow you to create a huge retirement corpus due to the compounding factor of PPF.

Extension of PPF account upon maturity without contributions

Extension of PPF account upon maturity without contributions

When your PPF account reaches maturity, you have the choice of withdrawing the whole balance or extending the account’s term in a 5-year block. PPF extension without contributions implies you keep your PPF account open after it matures, but don’t make any further or subsequent contributions. Until you withdraw the whole amount, your total corpus will continue to generate interest. You can only make one withdrawal from the account at the time of the extension after you’ve extended it for a block of five years. In addition, each year just one withdrawal is permitted. If you do not notify the bank or post office regarding your decision after 15 years, this will be the standard setting for your PPF account.

Extension of PPF account upon maturity with contributions

Extension of PPF account upon maturity with contributions

You can keep your PPF account open and make further contributions to it after it achieves maturity. This is only feasible if you submit Form H at your concerned bank or post office within one year of the account’s initial maturity date to extend your PPF account. If you don’t file Form H, you won’t be able to make subsequent contributions and any such contributions will be considered irregular and will not generate interest or qualify for a Section 80C tax deduction.

You can only withdraw 60% of the account at the time of extension throughout the subsequent 5-year term after the account has been extended with contributions. You are also limited to one withdrawal each year. According to the application of the guardian, an account established on behalf of a minor or a person of unsound mind can be extended. If the account holder does not provide his choice to continue the account within one year of the maturity date, no contributions can be made. Any contribution made in such an account will be considered irregular and the account holder will be refunded without interest by the concerned bank or post office.

Up to the end of the month before the month of closure, the balance in the account on the date of maturity will continue to accrue interest. If the account has been maintained with contributions for one or more five-block durations, you can quit or terminate the account without deposits at the end of any block period, and the account will continue to earn interest until it is closed. After providing your choice for a five-year extension of the account, you will not be able to cancel your request at a later date, according to the Department of Post.



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Covid loans are cheaper, but don’t go overboard

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For those short on liquidity, banks were offering Covid-19 personal loan last year with slightly lower interest rates than regular personal loans. With an aggressive second wave of infections across the country, some banks including SBI, Bank of Baroda have introduced personal loans specifically for the treatment of Covid-19. While these loans serve you in time of need and could come at an attractive interest rate, think twice before you apply, particularly when your financials are already stretched.

What’s offered

Since the outbreak of the virus in March last year, a few banks including PNB, SBI, Bank of India (BoI), Union Bank of India and Bank of Baroda had introduced Covid-19 personal loans to help you tide over the financial strain due to unexpected shortage of funds. While the Covid loan offer was initially only up to June 30 of last year, almost all of whom had introduced these kinds of loans, have extended the timelines. However, the objectives of most of these loans have changed now and it now available for treatment related to Covid. That is, at the time of availing the Covid personal loan, the borrower has to offer an undertaking that the funds are meant to cover the treatment expenses. For instance, PNB’s PNB Sahyog RIN Covid is a personal loan specifically for Covid treatment of self or family members infected on or after April 1, 2021.

SBI too offers Covid personal loan specifically for treating the infection for self or for family on or after April 1, 2021. It is available for SBI’s customers including salaried, non-salaried and pensioners, with no processing fee, security, and foreclosure charges. The minimum loan amount is ₹25,000 and maximum is ₹5 lakh.

The eligibility criteria for Covid personal loan also vary with each bank. For instance, BoI’s Covid-19 personal loanis available for customers having a salary account with the BoI, all existing housing loan customers and all existing standard personal loan customers.

In addition to personal loan for salaried/self-employed, a few banks offer Covid-19 pension loan solely for pensioners. For instance, PNB offers PNB Aabhar Rin COVID for treatment of Covid for self or family members (on or after April 1, 2021) and can be availed by all types of pensioners drawing pension through PNB branches. Bank of India too offers Covid-19 pensioner loan for regular pensioners, family pensioners and other pensioners who maintains their account with BoI.

The eligible loan amount here depends on the age and pension drawn. For instance, in case of BoI, the minimum loan amount is 10 times of last drawn pension subject to maximum of ₹2 lakh in case of regular pensioners (₹75,000 in case of family pensioners).

In case of PNB, the eligible loan amount is six times the average of last 6 months pension credited in the account subject to maximum of ₹10 lakh (for age up to 70 years) and ₹7.5 lakh for those aged between 70 and 75 years, (₹5 lakh for age 75 years and above).

Lower rates

One of the key deciding criteria for any loans will be interest rates. For Covid personal loans, the interest rates ranges between 6.85 and 8.5 per cent, lower than a regular personal loan (8-14 per cent interest rates). For instance, PNB charges 8.5 per cent which is repo linked lending rate (RLLR) of 6.8 per cent plus 1.7 per cent. On other hand, Union Bank of India charges interest at a fixed rate of 8.5 per cent.

The processing fee, margin requirements and other charges are either nil or low. For instance, BoI has zero processing fee and nil margin requirements, while BoB for its Covidcare Personal loan, charges 1 per cent of loan amount as processing fee for loan about ₹2 lakh (for loan amount ₹2 lakh, there is no processing fee). In the case of a regular personal loan with BoI and BoB, the processing fee works out up to 2 per cent (up to ₹10,000).

The repayment tenure for Covid-19 personal loan too varies with banks between 3 and 5 years. For instance SBI’s Covid personal loan can be repaid within 60 months (including 3 months of moratorium for which interest will be charged).

While the Covid-19 loans appear attractive, be careful before you sign up, particularly if you already have other ongoing loans. Instead, dip into your savings to tide over what may be a temporary liquidity crunch. Unless you are confident of steady cash-flows in the future, it is better to avoid taking fresh loans.

(This is a free article from the BusinessLine premium Portfolio segment. For more such content, please subscribe to The Hindu BusinessLine online.)

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All you wanted to know about advance tax

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A coffee time conversation between two colleagues leads to an interesting explainer on the rules of taxation.

Vina: Last week, I saw you juggling with tax calculations. What have you been up to?

Tina: Yeah! I was in a rush to make the tax payment for FY21, within the deadline.

Vina: But why? Didn’t you notice the due dates for filing returns for FY21 have been pushed to September 30, 2021 from July 31st?

Tina: I am well aware of that, Vina. But I guess you missed the crux here.

Vina: Oh! I see the grin and know what it means. Please don’t get started on how one should start filing returns early to avoid last-minute rush.

Tina: While that still stands true, I was trying to bring to your notice the fact that the due dates for advance tax installments have not been changed.

Vina: What’s advance tax now? Care to explain?

Tina: If your tax liability in any financial year works out to ₹10,000 or more, then you need to pay it in advance — in four installments.

This, however, does not apply to taxpayers aged 60 and above who do not earn any income under the head ‘profits and gains of business or profession’.

Vina: Oh lord. Then this definitely applies to me too.

Tina: For FY21, such taxpayers should have paid at least 15 per cent of their tax liability on or before June 15, 2020.

And at least 45 and 75 per cent, should have been paid by September 15 and December 15 2020, respectively. The last day for paying the entire tax amount is March 15, 2021.

Vina: Then, I have clearly passed the deadline for all my tax installments. What happens now?

Tina: You will now be required to pay interest on any shortfall under section 234 B and 234C of the Income Tax Act, at the rate of one per cent per month (under each section), for every month of delay. So if you file your returns late due to extension of the deadline and decide to pay all the taxes due then only, the charges under 234 B and C will go up.

Vina: I better act fast then.

Tina: Rightly said. But do remember that taxes deducted or collected at the source of income (TDS/TCS) are also forms of paying taxes in advance.

Vina: That should save me some skin. But this seems very tricky to me.

How am I expected to assess my yearly income, with such accuracy so much in advance?

Tina: Valid point, Vina. The taxman does allow room for such miscalculations.

For the first two installments (i.e. June and September 15), no interest shall have to be paid, if at least 12 per cent (instead of the required 15 per cent) and 36 per cent (instead of 45 per cent), of the advance tax is paid by the respective due dates.

Vina: Ok. Though I have again missed the June 15 deadline for this year, I will remember to be prompt with the rest of the instalments at least.

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How reading IPO prospectus helps avoid dud stocks

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Initial Public Offers (IPOs) are used by the investor community at large as a lottery of sorts. In this rush to clock quick gains, the risks are often overlooked and the IPO Red herring prospectus (RHP) is ignored by most. RHP is a detailed document of 500-600 pages that tells everything about the company – business model, promoters, financials, IPO objectives, risks, etc. Investors are well-served to read the RHP as we will see below.

Cash-generating business

Make sure that the business you invest in has strong underlying fundamentals and generates real earnings (profit and positive cash flows). This ensures the business doesn’t need external capital (such as debt or equity) to grow. Note that leverage is not necessarily bad. Companies raise debt for their capital requirements to enhance shareholders’ value. Caution has to be exercised in case of companies that continuously raise capital that adds to the interest burden or dilutes equity for existing shareholders.

Sooner or later, the share prices will reflect the company’s true health. .

Example 1 – Reliance Power. In 2007, there was a lot of talk about power sector being the hottest sector and signs of a bubble were visible. In the midst of this, Reliance Power got their mega IPO (₹11563 crore) in January 2008.

(i) Reliance Power had paltry revenue of ₹2.25 crore for the year ended March 31, 2007 and a tiny profit of ₹16 lakh. Tata Power had revenue of ₹6475 crore and net profit of ₹759 Cr while NTPC had revenue of ₹34079 crore and net profit of ₹6898 crore. (ii) Valuations were astronomical when compared to peers (NTPC, Tata Power, Gujarat Industries Power). Compared to the sector average price to earnings (P/E) of 14.5x and sector average price to boook value (P/BV) of 1.86x, Reliance Power was priced at 5625x P/E and 45x P/BV.

The IPO saw over ₹7.5 lakh crore of demand and more than 72 times oversubscription. A few minutes of research would have saved many investors. Reliance Power is down 97 per cent from its issue price of ₹450. It trades at ₹14.35 now.

Example 2 – Bharat Road Networks (BRNL) IPO opened in Sept 2017. A glance at their financials depicted the bad financial condition of the company. The company had continuous losses and bad cash flows.

Being a construction company, they had a lot of working capital needs and long gestation/long payback periods. All the facts made it clear that the issue was risky. Looks like the IPO was just to pay off some debt and delay the time of its liquidity problems. The IPO price was ₹205, and the CMP is ₹33, having destroyed 84 per centwealth!

Margin of safety

It is important to buy companies at cheap/affordable valuations so that there is a margin of safety. Value investing is about buying an asset worth ₹100 at ₹60 or lower, leaving a margin of safety. In simple words, don’t pay the price of a Ferrari for a Maruti 800.

During the IPO bull run of 2017-18, Prataap Snacks tapped the markets with a price of ₹930-938. The issue was priced at 196 P/E based on the FY17 consolidated diluted earnings per share (EPS). It was quite obvious that the company was asking for extremely expensive valuations in both absolute and relative terms as its peers were trading at 50-80x P/E.

Thanks to the IPO madness, it was subscribed 47.39x times. On listing day, the stock went to ₹1300 and post that it has never even touched the IPO price again. It now trades at ₹655.

One should closely analyze the dealing of the company with various stakeholders and the workings between the parent company and the subsidiary to check if the subsidiary is not suffering for the benefit of the parent. Investors are better served putting money in companies whose promoters treat themselves at par with minority shareholders.

Example 1 – In August 2019, Sterling Wilson Solar (SWSL), the solar EPC arm of the Shapoorji Pallonji Group (SPG), came up with its IPO at ₹780 per share. Its RHP mentioned that SPG owed ₹2563 crore to SWSL which was to be repaid within 90 days of the IPO (IPO was an offer for sale worth ₹3125 crore by the promoter group).

Per RHP, as on March 31, 2019, 35.76 per cent of the company’s shares were pledged by the promoter group, and debt to equity ratio was 2.7x. Their trade receivables were also quite high at 35 per cent of total balance sheet and 22 per cent of total sales.

On November 14, 2019, SPG asked for an extension citing ‘rapid deterioration in the credit markets’ as a reason. As a result, the stock started hitting lower circuits continuously and hit a 52-week low of ₹77 and currently trades at ₹236. The promoters’ promise of debt repayment was not met and borrowing through the subsidiary was used for benefit of the parent.

Example 2 – The promoters of Tara Jewels allotted shares to themselves at ₹10 in 2010 end (228,880 shares worth ₹22.8 lakh). They said it was a fundraise for working capital.

Two years later (November 2012) they brought the company’s IPO at ₹230 per share, a 23x jump from their buying price. What is unbelievable is that the promoters could have used their cash at bank (₹26 crore) to cover the working capital expense. The company was a wealth destroyer and doesn’t even trade on the exchanges now.

To sum it up, investors should spend time reading RHP and understanding the capital structure of the company, risks, business model, peers/competitors, related party transactions and pricing of the issue amongst many other things to form a complete view of the IPO.

The writer is COO at JST Investments

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Mutual Funds Or FD, Which Is better for a ten-year investment?

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Investment

oi-Sunil Fernandes

By Ravi Singhal

|

While a Fixed Deposit can guarantee you a fixed sum, the returns are substantially low in comparison to the similar investment in Mutual funds. A comparative analysis will present a clearer picture.

When you invest in a Bank Fixed Deposit (FD), the banks lend this money to businesses in the form of a loan, and when you invest in Equity Mutual Funds, then Mutual Funds Asset Management Company (AMC) further invest the accrued funds in the stock market and buy the equity of companies in turn. Whichever is the way of investment, ultimately, the money is getting invested in the businesses, and your funds have a credit risk associated with it.

On the one side, when people invest in a Bank FD, they feel relaxed and do not worry about the risks associated with the investment; however, on the other side, when they invest in Mutual Funds (MFs), they feel that their money is at risk.

The fact is that be it FDs or MFs, the money is lent to others, and there is always a risk associated with it. If you compare the returns of Large Cap Equity Mutual Funds with Bank FDs, the difference is huge. Therefore, we must understand the risk associated with both the investment instrument in greater details.

Why Fixed Deposits?

First, let us understand how FDs are safer than mutual funds:

1. Portfolio diversification: Banks has diversified portfolios, as they lend not only to the businesses but also to the retail customer. Banks have multiple forms of loans to attract maximum customers, such as Personal Loans, Home loans, Two Wheeler/Four wheeler loan etc. Whereas Equity Mutual Funds Companies generally invest in top 25-100 companies, on the other side banks have millions of customers under their ambit.

2. Insurance on FD: Every FD is insured by DICGC (Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation), which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). However, this insurance covers a maximum amount of Rs 5 Lakh. That means, in case a bank defaults, DICGC is liable to pay you the FD amount (only up to Rs 5 Lakh).

3. Returns are guaranteed: There are no market risks associated with FDs. Hence, the returns are guaranteed by the Banks.

Mutual funds Risk analysis

Credit Risk -If you invest in large-cap mutual funds, these funds invest the accrued amount in the top 20-50 stock market listed companies of India. To understand the real worth of these companies, companies, let us understand the concept with an example of the Nifty 50 index, which represents the leading 50 companies of the Indian stock market.

The market cap (capitalisation) of these top 50 companies is Rs 113.5 Lac Crore, which is almost 60 percent of the Indian Gross Domestic Product (GDP). These companies come from 14 different sectors such as Automobile, pharma, Banks etc., and these are the top companies of their respective sectors. In fact, the Indian economy has a huge dependency on these companies, so it is next to impossible that all these companies will default at the same time, and your investment goes down the drain.

Market Risk- As you might have heard on a daily basis that Mutual funds are subject to market risk. Actually, they are. However, if you stay invested for at least ten years, Nifty 50, a leading benchmark of share market performance, has never given negative returns.

In the last 20 years, it has given an average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 12.3 percent and a minimum CAGR of 5.5 percent (almost current FD rates) on a ten years investment horizon. Therefore, if you are investing for the long term, you can rely on the stock market.

Let’s say, if you invest Rs 1 lakh rupees for ten years, an FD will pay you Rs 1.79 Lakh (assuming 6 percent returns). However, if you invest the same amount in Large Cap Mutual Funds, it will become Rs 3.40 Lakh (assuming 13 percent returns, which is the average of all Large Cap Mutual funds return in 5 years), which is almost 190 percent of FD returns.

Conclusively, you must make an investment decision keeping all the above-mentioned factors in mind because investment in an FD is secure than mutual funds, but the cost of this safety is huge, and returns are abysmally low.

Authored by Ravi Singhal, Vice-Chairman, GCL Securities Limited

Mutual Funds Or FD, Which Is better for a ten-year investment?

Story first published: Saturday, June 19, 2021, 13:35 [IST]



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Top 10 Banks Promising The Cheapest Rates On Personal Loans

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Prerequisite for a personal loan

While applying for a personal loan, the only important prerequisite that is considered by every lender is the credit score. You can only get a personal loan with lower interest rates if you have an outstanding credit score. Therefore, if your credit score is poor, you may not be approved for a personal loan, and as a result, the interest rate will almost surely be more than those provided to customers with credit ratings of more than 750. Apart from a decent credit score, remember that the lender will determine the relevant personal loan interest rate and total loan amount based on various criteria such as your age, type of individual, income source, loan amount required, type of profession, and so on. Documentation also plays an important role when it comes to applying for a personal loan. With the nature of quick loan disbursal, you will be required basic documents such as Identity proof (scan copy of passport, voter ID card, driving license, Aadhaar, PAN), Address proof (scan copy of passport, voter ID card, driving license, Aadhaar), Bank statement of previous 3 months and Passbook of previous 6 months, latest salary certificate and Form 16, to apply for a personal loan instantly.

Interest rates on personal loans

Interest rates on personal loans

Recently, a handful of public sector banks, such as the State Bank of India, Union Bank of India, and Canara Bank, have launched out COVID-19 personal loans at 8.5 per cent interest rates which are only to fund COVID treatment and not immediate liquidity requirement. However, if you’re searching for a personal loan, here are the ten best deals being offered by some of the country’s largest banks right now. The interest rates in the table are as same as it is advertised by the respective bank and may change based on the terms and conditions of the lenders and eligibility criteria.

Banks ROI p.a. in %
Union Bank of India 8.90
Central Bank of India 8.90
Punjab National Bank 8.95
Indian Bank 9.05
Punjab & Sind Bank 9.50
IDBI Bank 9.50
Bank of Maharashtra 9.55
State Bank of India 9.60
UCO Bank 10.30
Bank of Baroda 10.50
Source: Bank Websites

Why should you take a personal loan for emergency needs?

Why should you take a personal loan for emergency needs?

Personal loans are unsecured kinds of lending that are commonly used to satisfy urgent financial needs. Its emergency lending nature allows you to use your loan amount for a range of subjects, including weddings, house renovations, vacation, and more. As it is an unsecured loan, the most appealing factor of this type of loan is that you won’t have to put up any assets as security for your loan. With your credit score and required loan amount, if you fulfil the eligibility criteria of the lender, you may simply obtain a low-interest personal loan. Personal loans are available at a quick disbursal process, which makes them more outstanding or helpful for meeting emergency needs. No matter where you are, you can apply for a personal loan online from the convenience of your home or workplace anytime and anywhere.



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5 Banking & Financial Services Stocks To Buy For Investors

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Trends in collections see solid improvement

According to Emkay Global, the recent discussions with various collection agencies indicate encouraging trends in collection and recoveries across portfolios and geographies despite the hiccups caused by recent lockdowns amid the second wave of Covid-19. Considering that the severity of lockdowns was relatively mild compared to last year, most businesses remained partly functional, witnessing only limited restrictions on movement of goods and services.

“Fully operational e-commerce channels have enabled even partial movement of non-essential items throughout this period, helping businesses take rather short time to ramp up activities and assume business-as-usual status,” the brokerage has said.

Good recoveries

Good recoveries

Superior recoveries in housing and secured products; vehicle loans remain mixed bag, the brokerage has said. Although collections for unsecured SME/business loans and consumer durable products hit some hard ground again, the credit cards segment is performing better as borrowers in general are preferring to hold liquidity. Vehicle finance segment remained the most vulnerable, with private cars and 2Ws seeing normalization in recoveries and CV and Passenger Vehicle (including cab aggregators) loans remaining under stress.

Although business recovery was halted during the second Covid wave, there is a built-in optimism for recovery playing out with the gradual unlocking and improvement in macros. We continue to like NBFCs with decent adequacy and diversified asset and liability mix.

5 Stocks to pick from the banking and financial services space

5 Stocks to pick from the banking and financial services space

1. HDFC

Emkay Global has placed a buy on the stock of housing finance major, HDFC with a price target of Rs 3,100. This is an almost 20% jump from the current levels. HDFC shares last closed at Rs 2,487 on the NSE.

2. Cholamandalam Investment

This is another share that has been recommended from the space, in the research report of the brokerage. It has set a price target of Rs 650 on the stock as against the current market price of Cholamandalam Investment of Rs 538. That again is a jump of nearly 20% from the current market price.

3. Shriram Transport Finance

According to Emkay Global, although business recovery was halted during the second Covid wave, there is a built-in optimism for recovery playing out with the gradual unlocking and improvement in macros.

It has recommended a “buy” on the stock of Shriram Transport Finance with a price target of Rs 1,680, as against the current market price of Rs 1,380.

4. Magma Fincorp

Magma Fincorp is an NBFC that provides car loans, SME loans, tractor loans etc. The brokerage is bullish on this NBFC stock as well and has set a price target of Rs 175, as against the prevailing market price of Rs 148. This again is a jump of almost 20% from the current market price.

5. Shriram City Union Finance

Shriram City Union Finance is another NBFC stock that is being recommended by the brokerage. The firm sees an upside target of Rs 1,950 on the stock, as against the current market price of 1,753.

 Disclaimer

Disclaimer

The above mentioned stocks have been picked from brokerag report of Emkay Global. The author, the brokerage or Greynium Information Technologies do not take any responsibility for losses that maybe incurred. The above article is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional advisor.



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The tale of Cryptocurrency – still up in the air?, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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After being out of favour for the past few years, cryptocurrency has seen a resurgence over the last year. Bitcoin, the poster child for the crypto movement, saw its value rise six times to ~ $ 63,000 by March 2021. Although it has sharply corrected post that it is still at four times the May 2020 levels. The primary reason for this has been the high participation, especially from retail players. This has been driven by the emergence of crypto exchanges like Coinbase, which went public April 2021 at a $100 billion valuation. Another key reason for its high value has been the scarcity; this is primarily because there is a limit set at 21 million bitcoins, and about 19 million of them has already been mined. Basis the success of Bitcoin, which has a current market cap of above $600 Billion, many more cryptocurrencies have emerged. Some of them, like Ethereum, Binance coin and tether, have a current market cap of more than $50 billion. So, what lead to the emergence of cryptocurrencies?

The cryptocurrency movement was driven by the distrust of the current financial system post the financial crisis of 2008. It was envisioned as a democratised currency created and owned by the people. The key to creating such a currency was a decentralised system where ownership is with everyone who participates. The trust this system created meant two parties not knowing each other could transact without needing an intermediary. It is this anonymous and decentralised nature that had the governments and central agencies concerned. Various governments had to impose restrictions on the use of cryptocurrency, owing to their increasing usage in illegal activities like money laundering, ransom payment, etc. This led to the fall in the value, post the initial enthusiasm. But globally, given the ease of launching a cryptocurrency and the interest, especially in the young, lead to multiple currencies being launched. There are more than 4000 cryptocurrencies globally, and they are still growing. While they might differ in their construct, the underlying volatility has been a feature of most of the cryptocurrencies launched, and therein lies the problem.

For any currency to act as a medium of exchange, the currency needs to be easy to carry, transact and should have a stable value over time. In the modern era, the primary role of central banks has been to provide this stability. Any drastic variation in the underlying value can lead to inflation or deflation, depending on the movement. While cryptocurrencies have been easy to transact and carry but the variability in their value and inability of a central agency to control it makes it a poor candidate to replace the current currency system. Widespread use of cryptocurrency can make the financial system vulnerable; this is especially true in developing countries where central banks ability to control inflation using monetary policy interventions can get severely impacted. Hence, we believe there is a very low probability that cryptocurrencies with their current construct can be seen as an alternate to the existing monetary system.

While cryptocurrencies have their drawbacks, having a digital currency is beneficial and hence many countries are looking to implement it. China has launched its digital currency. RBI has also been looking at creating a central bank digital currency (CBDC). The critical difference between these and existing cryptocurrencies is that they are expected to have a component of central control to help the central banks intervene and keep the value stable.

So what next for cryptocurrencies? While cryptocurrencies like bitcoin have not been able to serve their intended purpose of being a medium of exchange, they have emerged as an alternate asset class over the last few years. Given the limited availability and interest, especially among the millennials, their value is expected to increase. This has attracted significant capital flows towards this asset class. Given this, we believe the more prominent cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc. are here to stay. At what value? That seems to be a trillion-dollar question.

The blog has been authored by Nilaya Varma, CEO, Primus Partners and Shravan Shetty, MD, Primus Partners.

DISCLAIMER: The views expressed are solely of the author and ETBFSI.com does not necessarily subscribe to it. ETBFSI.com shall not be responsible for any damage caused to any person/organisation directly or indirectly.



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