Motilal Oswal Places A “Buy” On These 2 Stocks, Says 26% Returns Likely

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Buy Birla Corporation for a target of Rs 1,740 on the stock

Current market price Rs 1371
Target price Rs 1,740
Likely Profits if target price achieved 26%

Birla Corporation is primarily engaged in the manufacturing of cement as its core business activity. It has significant presence in the jute goods industry as well.

The company plans to increase capacity by 30% over the next 12 months, which should support volume growth. Around 55% of its capacity is in Central India (a preferred market), which bodes well for the margin outlook.

Birla Corporation: Attractive on the valuations front

Birla Corporation: Attractive on the valuations front

Birla Corporation first quarter results for FY 2022 was in line, with EBITDA growing by 47% YoY to Rs 3.4 billion, led by 39% growth in volume and EBITDA per tonne at Rs 1,026 (+6% YoY).

The ongoing 3.9 metric tonnes per annum greenfield expansion at Mukutban (to be commissioned in 4QFY22) provides strong volume growth visibility in FY23. While blended realization rose 3% year on year, to Rs 5,221 per tonne due to higher jute revenue, cement realization was flat year on year at Rs 4,943 per tonne (+2% QoQ).

“We expect a 14% earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization Compounded Annual Growth Rate in FY21-23E, led by 14% volume Compounded Annual Growth Rate, as it expands capacity by 30% over the next 12 months. Valuation is also attractive at 7.4x FY23E EV/EBITDA. We reiterate our Buy rating,” the brokerage firm has said.

Buy NOCIL Stock for 20% upside

Buy NOCIL Stock for 20% upside

Current market price Rs 287
Target price Rs 340
Likely Gains 20%

According to Motilal Oswal, NOCIL reported higher-than-estimated realization (pricing action taken in Apr’21 to offset the increase in input cost), while volumes came in below estimates (as operating activity at the customer was interrupted for 2-3 weeks by the second COVID wave). This translated to in-line revenue, although margins expanded.

“The management has guided that with no further supply surplus in the market, NOCIL should be able to pass on the cost going forward as well, Factoring in the beat on realization and margins, we revise our respective variables, resulting in an upward revision in EPS by 31% and 14% for FY22E/FY23E, ” the brokerage has said.

“As a result, we forecast a revenue/EPS CAGR of 28% and 47% over FY21-24E. Valuing the company at 22x Sep’23 EPS, we arrive at price target of Rs 340. Reiterate Buy,” it further added.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in stocks poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house, Motilal Oswal are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. Investors should take care because the markets are at record highs, with the Nifty crossing the 16,000 points mark.



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4 Midcap Stocks Available Cheap, Should You Buy?

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Midcap stocks that are cheap when compared to long-term averages

According to the “Bulls & Bears India Valuation Handbook” by Motilal Oswal Financial Services, there are many midcap stocks that are available at a discount to long-term averages, which automatically means that they are cheap.

Current p/e 10-year average p/e Discount
SAIL 4.3 12.5 -66%
SUN TV 13.9 18.0 -23%
Zee Entertainment 14.0 30.1 -53%
Bank of Baroda 8.3 12.9 -35%

Now, just because these midcap stocks are available at a discount, does not mean they become great investment bets. For example, investors maybe unwilling to buy the shares, because of issues surrounding growth, promoter related issues, or some issues that are a hangover on the stock. Therefore, it is not advisable to simply jump into stocks looking at the valuations and discount and go ahead and buy.

Here below we tell you whether you should buy these stocks.

Should you buy the stocks of SAIL, SUN TV, Zee and BOB?

Should you buy the stocks of SAIL, SUN TV, Zee and BOB?

Now, let’s take the case of SAIL. The stock has already had a solid run and is trading near 52-week highs. Metal prices have rallied and hence quarterly numbers of metal companies have been robust. Should the global economy slow, metal prices could fall and so would metal stocks.

Now as far as Zee Entertainment is concerned, the covid situation over the last 18 months or so has hit performance badly. Apart from this there have been issues in the past pertaining to the promoters pledged share to pay off debts in other group companies. SUN TV too has been hit by stiff competition and churning out solid growth rates looks difficult.

Bank of Baroda is a good midcap stock to buy

Bank of Baroda is a good midcap stock to buy

According to Motilal Oswal, earnings outlook is improving for government owned banks, led by a reduction in credit cost estimates, as most public sector banks have strengthened their provision coverage over the last couple of years.

Bank of Baroda is one stock that many analysts are optimistic on. Many analysts have set a higher price target on the stock. HDFC Securities said that the stock of Bank of Baroda inexpensive and valuation gives a comfort for long-term investment in a report recently.

“It is a play on the gradual recovery in the Indian economy. Any progress on the rollout of the proposed bad bank would be positive for large PSU banks like Bank of Baroda,” Motilal Oswal has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in stocks poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house, Motilal Oswal are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. Investors should take care because the markets are at record highs, with the Nifty crossing the 16,000 points mark.



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Reserve Bank of India gives corporate borrowers 6 more months to meet debt recast guidelines

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Experts also pointed out that RBI had given the relaxations as the earnings of companies were impacted due to the second wave of Covid-19.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday allowed corporate borrowers six more months to meet certain operational thresholds outlined by the KV Kamath committee under Covid-19 debt recast scheme. The relaxation has been provided by the central bank upon recognising the adverse impact of second Covid wave on revival of businesses. The financial parameters were earlier required to be met till March 31, 2022, by companies that took the benefit of the debt recast scheme.

“Recognising the adverse impact of the second wave of Covid-19 and the resultant difficulties on revival of businesses and in meeting the operational parameters, it has been decided to defer the target date for meeting the specified thresholds in respect of the above four parameters to October 1, 2022,” RBI governor Shaktikanta Das said on Friday.

Last September, the Kamath committee had recommended financial ratios for 26 sectors that had to be factored in by lending institutions while finalising a resolution plan for a borrower. Of these parameters, the thresholds in respect of total debt to EBIDTA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) ratio, current ratio, debt service coverage ratio and average debt service coverage ratio are related to operational performance of the company. The 26 sectors specified by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) included automobiles, power, tourism, cement, chemicals, gems and jewellery, logistics, mining, manufacturing, real estate, and shipping, among others.

According to bankers, the move by RBI will address the difficulties faced by businesses in their revival. SS Mallikarjuna Rao, MD and CEO of Punjab National Bank (PNB), said deferral for achievement of financial parameters under Resolution Framework 2.0 will address the revival difficulties faced by businesses in meeting the operational parameters.

Experts also pointed out that RBI had given the relaxations as the earnings of companies were impacted due to the second wave of Covid-19.

Vivek Iyer, partner and national leader-financial services risk advisory, Grant Thornton Bharat, said, “We need to be patient and study how the coming few months pan out. Since economic data comes out with a lag, the extra time would allow banks to make a sharper assessment.”

Anil Gupta, VP and sector head, financial sector ratings, Icra, said as earnings of companies have been impacted because of the second wave, achieving financial parameters related to profitability could be a challenge in FY2022. As per Icra’s estimates, the corporate loan restructuring implemented by banks is estimated to be Rs 70,000 crore.

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Muthoot Finance reports 14% rise in Q1 consolidated net

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The loan assets under management fell by Rs 145 crore q-o-q as the company decided to go slow on non-gold business.

NBFC Muthoot Finance on Friday reported a 14% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in its first quarter consolidated net profit to Rs 979 crore, largely due to good performance of the gold loan division. Consolidated loan assets under management increased 25% y-o-y to Rs 58,135 crore against Rs 46,501 crore in the year-ago period.

The company, which also operates a home loan, microfinance and insurance broking subsidiaries, said the net profit of the gold loan division increased 16% y-o-y to Rs 971 crore, and the share in the consolidated profit increased to 99%.

On a sequential basis, the total income of the gold loan division decreased by 4% to Rs 2,715 crore and the net profit declined by 3% quarter-on-quarter from Rs 996 crore reported in Q4 FY21. The loan assets under management fell by Rs 145 crore q-o-q as the company decided to go slow on non-gold business.

George Alexander Muthoot, MD, said: “We consciously decided to go slow in terms of non-gold lending business on account of continued uncertainty and emerging uncertain credit behaviour. We are redrawing our strategies in terms of non-gold lending business and we are confident to emerge stronger as environment improves. On the gold loan front, we are targeting 15% growth in the remaining three quarters.”

Loan assets of the gold loan division for the quarter stood at Rs 52,614 crore, compared to Rs 41,296 crore in the year-ago period, growing 27%.

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2 Shares To Buy For Short Term For Gains Up To 32% By ICICI Securities

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Buy Cipla With Upside Potential Of 32.23% For A Target Period of 12 Months

The brokerage firm ICICI Securities holds a bullish view on the stock of global pharma major Cipla. The firm has set a price target of Rs. 1205 on the scrip, implying an upside of 32.23% from the current market price of Rs. 911.30 in a short term of 12 months.

The company reported spectacular Q1FY22 results with sales inching higher by 26.6% YoY to Rs. 5504 crore. EBITDA also registered growth during the same period and was at Rs. 1345.9 crore, up 28% YoY with margins at 24%.

The brokerage firm in its report said, “We maintain BUY as we continue to focus on its core strength of following a calibrated approach of focusing more on branded products and core therapies across the world”. “We value Cipla at Rs. 1205 i.e. 28x P/E on FY23E EPS + Rs. 41 NPV for gRevlimid.

As per ICICI Securities, some of the triggers that will aid Cipla’s stock price upmove include the firm’s strategy of focusing on 4 verticals namely One-India, South Africa & EMs, US generics & specialty and lung leadership. Furthermore, the company is putting its focus on front end model for the US especially, and is gradually making a shift from loss-making HIV and other tenders to more profitable respiratory and other opportunities in the US and EU.

Cipla
Current market price Rs. 911.3
Target price Rs. 1205
Upside potential 32.23%

Alternate stock idea: Besides Cipla, in healthcare coverage ICICI Securities is bullish on Sun Pharma. “Higher contribution from specialty and strong domestic franchise is likely to change the product mix towards more remunerative businesses by FY23”.

Buy Tata Communications With Upside Potential Of 16.37% Over A 12-Month Period

Buy Tata Communications With Upside Potential Of 16.37% Over A 12-Month Period

The brokerage firm ICICI Securities has placed a ‘Buy’ call on the stock of global digital ecosystem enabler Tata Communications with a target price of Rs. 1725, implying an upside of 16.37% from the scrip’s last traded price of Rs. 1482.35.

ICICI Securities is of the view that the telecommunications company’s growth shall be aided by platforms such as a) cloud, edge, security, b) next generation connectivity, c) NetFoundry d) MOVE, IoT, wherein each have robust market size growth potential of 15-25% CAGR in next four to five years. “We expect approximately 8% revenue CAGR in FY21-23E in the overall data segment, driven by likely acceleration in growth from H2FY22 onwards. Strong cash flows generation to aid deleveraging”, added the brokerage.

Current market price of Tata Communications Rs. 1482.35
Target price Rs. 1725
Upside potential 16.37%

Alternate Stock Idea: In the telecom vertical, apart from Tata Communications, ICICI Securities likes the scrip of Bharti Airtel and recommends buying it for a target price of Rs. 720 as against the current price of Rs. 607.9, which means an upside potential of over 18%. “A play on favourable industry structure – a good enough kicker for eventual hike in tariff as well as superior digital play in the medium to long term”, said the brokerage report.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Stock market investment is risky and one should be even more careful when markets are near record high. Investments listed out in the story are taken from brokerage report and are just for informational purpose. These should not be construed as investment advice.

GoodReturns.in



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Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme 5th Tranche: Check Issue Price, Other Details

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Planning

oi-Sneha Kulkarni

|

On Monday, August 9, 2021, the fifth tranche of the government-run sovereign gold bond scheme 2021-22 opens for the subscription. According to the Reserve Bank of India’s schedule for the gold bond program 2021-22, the fifth tranche window will be open for investors from August 9 to August 13, for a five-day period (RBI).

Due to its broad use, gold is one of the most in-demand precious metals, and market demand remains reasonably stable despite market fluctuations and global economic circumstances. As a result, unsystematic risks of irregular swings in gold’s intrinsic value are negligible, allowing an investment portfolio to grow exponentially over time.

Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme 5th Tranche: Check Issue Price, Other Details

During the subscription period, the issuance price of the Bond would be Rs 4,790 per gram, as announced by RBI in a press release dated August 6, 2021. Gold bonds that pay interest are a popular way to buy yellow metal in a non-physical form.

The Government of India, in collaboration with the Reserve Bank of India, has agreed to give investors who apply online and pay via digital channel a discount of Rs 50 per gram off the issuance price. The issue price of a Gold Bond for such investors will be Rs 4,740 per gram of gold.

Gold bonds are investments that are connected to the price of gold on the open market and provide additional returns on investment. The government-run gold bond plan is open to residents, Hindu Undivided Families trusts, universities, and charity groups.

The price of SGB in the fifth tranche has been set at Rs 4790/gm. Non-physical gold investments, such as digital or paper gold, are highly recommended since they give great liquidity, have no storage costs, and are easier to sell than actual gold.

Gold prices have weakened in recent weeks, reaching a one-month low. It has lost almost Rs 1,000/10gm in value in the last week alone.

Story first published: Friday, August 6, 2021, 21:37 [IST]



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NSE, Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India ink pact for research collaboration, BFSI News, ET BFSI

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Leading stock exchange NSE on Friday said it has joined hands with the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India (IBBI) for research collaboration. The objective of the collaboration is to create a research ecosystem in the area of insolvency and bankruptcy in the country, the exchange said in a statement.

It further said that an efficient insolvency and bankruptcy resolution system enables timely resolution of financial stress, balances interests of all stakeholders, promotes entrepreneurship and increases availability of credit at optimal costs. This, in turn, improves growth prospects and builds institutional strength in an economy.

IBBI is a unique regulator, which regulates insolvency professionals as well as insolvency processes.

Under this collaboration, NSE and IBBI will focus on enhancing the existing research efforts in the areas related to insolvency and bankruptcy in India, promoting studies that explore interlinkages between the development of the insolvency process, financial markets and economy, the statement noted.

Also, they will analyse the effectiveness of insolvency laws and practices across the world and fostering evidence-based policy recommendations to strengthen the insolvency framework in India.

IBBI Whole-time Member Sudhaker Shukla said that in an evolving area such as insolvency and bankruptcy, there is a dire need to promote credible research on the best practices and outcomes.

To this effect, IBBI has collated a dynamic data set relating to processes and outcomes under the IBC and encouraged evidence-based research in the insolvency space, he said.

“To further this research, our endeavour is to explore new avenues and possibilities in the sphere of research collaboration. In this context, the partnership between IBBI and NSE will go a long way in plugging the research void in such an important area of distressed assets and its resolution,” he added.

Vikram Limaye, MD and CEO, NSE, said the exchange has always been at the forefront in encouraging research in relevant and emerging issues that are important for effective policy making and promote development of markets.



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4 Best Performing Mid Cap Funds Over A 10-Year Period That You Can Invest In 2021

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1. L&T Midcap Fund-Growth:

Launched in the year 2004, the open ended equity scheme is pre-dominantly invested into mid-cap stocks. The fund’s performance is benchmark to Nifty Midcap 100 TRI Index. The scheme is available as both direct and regular fund with annual recurring expense being 0.61% and 1.71%, respectively, as on July 31, 2021. The mid size fund has an asset size of Rs. 6725.8 crore and is categorized as a high risk fund as per the Mutual fund risk-o-meter. NAV of the fund as on August 5, 2021 is 200.86.

SIP in the fund can be planned for a minimum sum of Rs. 500 while for lump sum payment the minimum investment needed is of Rs. 5000. Rs. 10000 monthly SIP started in the fund is now worth Rs. 5.30 lakh.

Top holdings of the fund include Mphasis, Emami, Bayer CropScience, Birlasoft, Sundaram Finance etc.

Notably among the mid cap funds that have completed 10 years, L&T Midcap fund tops the chart with a 19.97% 5-year average daily rolling return over a ten-year period and has outperformed S&P BSE Mid Cap Index by 4.19%.

2. Edelweiss Mid cap fund:

2. Edelweiss Mid cap fund:

This mid cap fund from the Edelweiss AMC is CRISIL 4-Star rated and has outperformed the benchmark Nifty Midcap 100 TRI over the one year period with return to the tune of 81.87%. The fund was launched in the year 2007 and since launch has yielded return of 12.16%.

The assets under management of the fund are to the tune of Rs. 1486 crore and is again a moderately high risk plan given the mid cap exposure. Last NAV of the fund was 47.74. There applies an exit load of 1% in case of redemption before a period of 1 year.

SIP in the fund can be started for Rs. 500. A monthly SIP of Rs. 10000 started 3 years hence has grown to Rs. 6.13 lakh, i.e. a substantial growth during the period.

Top stocks in the fund’s portfolio include stock like Mphasis, Laurus Labs, Shriram Transport Finance, SRF, Dalmia Bharat, Gujarat Gas etc.

3. Kotak Emerging Equity-Growth:

3. Kotak Emerging Equity-Growth:

This is comparably a large fund attracting 10.48% of the investment into the category of Rs. 14,133 crore. Expense ratio of the fund is pegged at 1.82%. Both CRISIL and Value Research have accorded the fund a 4-Star rating.

Since launch in 2007, the fund has delivered a return of 14.29% and over the last year has underperformed the benchmark by a margin, delivering 78.67% during the past one year.

SIP in the fund can be planned for a minimum sum of Rs. 1000, while for the lump sum investment you need Rs. 5000. An investment of Rs. 10000 via monthly SIP started 3 years ago is now worth Rs. 6 lakh.

Top holdings of the fund include Supreme Industries, Coromandel International, Persistent Systems, The Ramco Cements, Thermax etc.

4. DSP Midcap fund:

4. DSP Midcap fund:

With a sizeable fund size to the tune of Rs. 12869 crore, the mid cap fund from the house of DSP Mutual fund is among the top performing funds over the last 10 years that has beaten the benchmark index. The fund is put under the high risk category and last NAV as on August 5, 2021 is 89.30. DSP Midcap fund carries an expense ratio of 1.83% which is lower than the category average.

63% of the corpus is invested into mid-cap stock, with remaining funds deployed in large cap and small cap stocks. Top stock holding of the fund include Balkrishna Industries, Max Financial, Supreme Industries, Atul Ltd., IPCA etc.

Over a 1-year period, the fund has delivered return of 56.11% underperforming the benchmark index.

SIP in the fund can be planned for a minimum of Rs. 500, while lump sum investment can also be made for just Rs. 500. SIP started in the fund 3 years ago has now become Rs. 5.52 lakhs.

Conclusion:

Conclusion:

Though the recent performance in mid cap funds has been outstanding in line with overall equities market withthe S&P BSE Mid Cap index delivering the second best returns on a year to date basis, investors can simply not be bogged down by impressive returns. They need to understand and be mindful that experts currently are advising caution when investing in such funds as the broader markets have seen a sharp rally of late.

“Macro-economic shocks over the last few years like demonetization, hastily implemented GST, IL&FS crisis & Covid-19 induced lockdowns have helped the large companies become larger and stronger, supported by scale and balance sheet strength. The smaller companies, however, have weakened and lost market share. Against this backdrop, when Covid-19 related uncertainty still lingers on, midcap valuations are close to all-time highs. We believe the markets are opting to ignore the risks associated with investing in smaller companies, but this could quickly reverse if global liquidity dries up or we encounter a Covid-19 third wave. We would advise the investor to tread with caution in the midcap & small-cap space,” said Sorbh Gupta, Fund Manager- Equity, Quantum AMC.

But definitely with a longer investment horizon of more than 3-years you can add these mid-cap funds to your kitty to generate a higher return over the investment term but at the same time be prepared for any moderate losses.

Disclaimer:

Disclaimer:

Mutual fund investment is subject to risk with exposure to stock market. Investors are advised to do their own research and take professional help before making any investment decision. Investments listed and suggested here are just for information and should be construed as investment advice.

GoodReturns.in



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Motilal Oswal Bets On These 2 Stocks, Says Buy For Up to 35% Returns

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Buy Apollo Tyres stock for target price of Rs 290

Current market price Rs 222.75
Target price Rs 290
Gains 30.00%

According to Motilal Oswal healthy demand momentum has been witnessed across key segments/key channels (except T&B OEM) since Jun’21 for Apollo Tyres. The brokerage says that the European Union operation margin is benefitting from the restructuring at the Netherlands plant. The pricing also offers some comfort for the company. Interestingly, Apollo Tyres raised the prices by 3-4% in the first quarter of FY 2021-22 and also raised the prices by another 3-4% in the month of July.

Capex and valuations of Apollo offer scope for appreciation in the stock

Capex and valuations of Apollo offer scope for appreciation in the stock

Capital expenditure in FY22 is estimated at Rs 20 billion at the consolidated level, with India business capital expenditure at Rs 18 billion (residual for the AP plant ramp-up and maintenance capital expenditure ) and Rs 2 billion for EU (for maintenance). It foresees the next leg of expansion for PCR in FY24 for addressing demand in India as well in the EU.

Apollo Tyres offers the best blend of earnings growth and cheap valuations. The stock trades at 12.3x/9.6x FY22E/FY23E consolidated EPS. We maintain our Buy rating with a target price of Rs 290 per share (12x Sep’23E consolidated EPS),” Motilal Oswal has said in its report.

Apollo Tyres is one of the leading tyre manufacturers in the country and abroad. It markets its products under our two global brands: Apollo and Vredestein. Apollo Tyres has multiple manufacturing units in India, the Netherlands and Hungary.

Buy GAIL for an upside target of 35%

Buy GAIL for an upside target of 35%

Current market price Rs 151
Target price Rs 200
Gains 35.00%

Brokerage firm, Motilal Oswal also has a buy on the stock of GAIL, with a target on the stock of Rs 200, from the current levels of Rs 151. GAIL is India’s leading natural gas company with diversified interests across the natural gas value chain of trading, transmission, LPG production & transmission, LNG re-gasification, petrochemicals, city gas, E&P, etc.

According to Motilal Oswal GAIL reported an EBITDA in line with its estimate, as better performance in Gas Trading and LPG and Liquid HC business offsets lower profitability in the Petchem segment (impacted due to the planned shutdown in 1QFY22).

GAIL reported an EBITDA in line with our estimate, as better performance in Gas Trading and LPG and Liquid hydro carbon business offsets lower profitability in the petrochemicals segment (impacted due to the planned shutdown in 1QFY22). Valuing the core business at 10x Sep’23E adjusted EPS of Rs 15.7 and adding investments, we arrive at our target price of Rs 200 per share. The stock is trading at 8.8 times FY23E P/E and 5.7 times FY23E EV/EBITDA. We reiterate GAIL as our top pick in the largecap oil and gas space,” the brokerage has said.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Investing in stocks poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution. Greynium Information Technologies, the author, and the brokerage house are not liable for any losses caused as a result of decisions based on the article. Investors should take care because the markets are at record highs, with the Nifty crossing the 16,000 points mark.



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